Ahmad, Ayesha

Abstract Background An artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm detecting age from 12-lead ECG has been suggested to signal “physiological age” of the individual. Importantly, increased physiological age gauged by an increased difference between ECG-age and chronological age has been associated with higher risk of cardiac events in non-transplant population. Purpose We sought to investigate the validity of the AI-derived ECG-age algorithm in patients who underwent heart transplantation and its relationship to major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Methods A total of 489 consecutive patients who had undergone heart transplantation in our institution between 1994 and 2018 were studied. AI-ECG age was calculated by a previously-trained artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm using a 12-lead ECG per patient. ECGs used in the training process of the algorithm were excluded. The average of the ECG-ages within one year before and one year after heart transplantation was used to represent pre- and post-transplant ECG-ages. MACE was defined as any incidence of revascularization, re-transplantation, and death. Results Pre-transplant ECG-age (mean 63±10 years) correlated significantly with recipient chronological age (mean 50±13 years, r=0.57, p<0.0001), but this correlation between recipient and ECG-ages was weakened after transplantation (mean post-transplant ECG age of 55±10 years, r=0.34, p<0.0001). Interestingly, post-transplant ECG-age correlated significantly with donor age (mean ECG age of 55±10 years vs. mean donor age of 32±13 years, r=0.42, p<0.0001). During a median (IQR) follow-up of 9 (5, 14) years, 251 patients had MACE. Mean change in ECG age after transplantation compared to before was −8.8±12.7 years. Patients who had an increase in ECG-age after compared to before transplantation showed increased risk of MACE (HR: 1.53 [1.16, 2.01], p=0.002), independent of recipient and donor ages (adjusted HR: 1.68 [1.26, 2.25], p=0.001); whereas there were no significant differences in risk of MACE in patients who were transplanted with an older donor heart (HR: 1.07 [0.77, 1.50], p=0.66). In a Kaplan Meier survival analysis, those with increased ECG-age after transplantation had significantly lower MACE-free survival compared to those with decreased ECG-age. (Log-rank P=0.002; Wilcoxon P=0.001) (Figure) Conclusion Post-transplant ECG-age correlates more faithfully with the donor's than the recipient's chronological age, suggesting that ECG-age more closely reflects cardiac age than the patient age. Furthermore, ECG-age derived cardiac aging after transplantation is associated with higher risk of MACE. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

Enzyme-based newborn screening for Mucopolysaccharidosis type I (MPS I) has a high false-positive rate due to the prevalence of pseudodeficiency alleles, often resulting in unnecessary and costly follow up. The glycosaminoglycans (GAGs), dermatan sulfate (DS) and heparan sulfate (HS) are both substrates for α-l-iduronidase (IDUA). These GAGs are elevated in patients with MPS I and have been shown to be promising biomarkers for both primary and second-tier testing. Since February 2016, we have measured DS and HS in 1213 specimens submitted on infants at risk for MPS I based on newborn screening. Molecular correlation was available for 157 of the tested cases. Samples from infants with MPS I confirmed by IDUA molecular analysis all had significantly elevated levels of DS and HS compared to those with confirmed pseudodeficiency and/or heterozygosity. Analysis of our testing population and correlation with molecular results identified few discrepant outcomes and uncovered no evidence of false-negative cases. We have demonstrated that blood spot GAGs analysis accurately discriminates between patients with confirmed MPS I and false-positive cases due to pseudodeficiency or heterozygosity and increases the specificity of newborn screening for MPS I.