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Vannucchi, Alessandro M.

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5755-0730

Mayo Clinic

Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi

Citations 186

TP53 multihit mutations in 142 patients with MPN or AML: Comparative analysis of survival and risk factors.
Abdelmagid, Maymona, Alsugair, Ali, Mangaonkar, Abhishek A. , Pardanani, Animesh , Patnaik, Mrinal M. , Zepeda‐Mendoza, Cinthya , He, Rong , Reichard, Kaaren K. , Foran, James M. , Gangat, Naseema , Tefferi, Ayalew , Fathima, Saubia , Badar, Talha , Loscocco, Giuseppe Gaetano , Guglielmelli, Paola , Vannucchi, Alessandro M. , Orazi, Attilio , Arber, Daniel A. , Hiwase, Devendra , Shah, Meera

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e18590 Get It

e18590 Background: TP53 mutations ( TP53 MUT ) are known to be associated with adverse prognosis in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and multihit TP53 MUT in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). The prognostic relevance of multihit TP53 MUT in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) was recently highlighted. The current study illustrates survival comparisons in multihit TP53- mutated MPN vs. AML and analysis of associated risk factors. Methods: A Mayo Clinic enterprise-wide database search identified 61 MPN and 81 AML cases with multihit TP53 MUT . Conventional statistical methods were used for analyses. Results: 142 patients with multihit TP53 MUT were included: i) chronic phase MPN (MPN-CP; N=19), ii) accelerated phase MPN (MPN-AP; N=14), iii) blast phase MPN (MPN-BP; N=28) and iv) AML, not including MPN-BP (N=81). Concomitant ASXL1 MUT , EZH2 MUT , IDH1 MUT and IDH2 MUT were more common in MPN-BP, compared to AML. At a median follow up of 0.6 years, 124 (87%) deaths and 19 (13%) allogeneic stem cell transplantations (ASCT) were documented. Overall survival (OS), calculated from time of TP53 MUT detection was similar between MPN-BP (median 4.6 months) and MPN-AP (5.6 months; p=0.5). OS in MPN-BP/AP (median 4.8 months) was inferior to that of AML (median 7.4 months; p=0.04) while that of MPN-CP (median 11.6 months) was similar to AML (0.07) but superior to that of MPN-BP/AP (p<0.01). Age-adjusted multivariable analysis (MVA) confirmed the independent prognostic significance of undergoing ASCT (HR 0.4, p=0.03), MPN-CP or achieving response to pre-transplant therapy (HR 0.2, p<0.01), and concurrent TET2 MUT or DNMT3A MUT (HR 2.7, p<0.01) on OS. Based on these risk factors, a 3-tiered risk model was constructed: low (no risk factors; N=18; median OS 23.8 months); intermediate (1 risk factor; N=44; median 11.1 months); and high (2 or more risk factors; N=80; median 4 months; p<0.01). Comparative analysis of risk factors among distinct diseases confirmed the prognostic significance of ASCT (HR 0.3, p=0.03), achieving response to pre-transplant therapy (0.4, p<0.01) and concurrent TET2 MUT or DNMT3A MUT (HR 5.0, p<0.01) in AML. In MPN AP/BP, OS was influenced by having received chemotherapy vs. supportive care (HR 0.1; p<0.01) and achieving response to pre-transplant therapy (0.2, p<0.01). No significant risk factors for OS were identified in MPN-CP. In MVA, ASCT did not appear to influence OS in MPN AP/BP (p=0.7) and MPN-CP (p=0.4) but the number of informative cases was too low to make definitive conclusions. Conclusions: The current study highlights the equally detrimental impact of multihit TP53 MUT in securing long-term survival in MPN and AML. Short-term survival was positively influenced by ASCT, at least in AML, and disease stage or remission status at time of mutation detection and ASCT, respectively.
Contemporary Topics in Myeloproliferative Neoplasms and Myelodysplastic Syndromes: American Journal of Hematology 100th Volume Anniversary Symposium
Brugnara, Carlo , Vannucchi, Alessandro M. , Tefferi, Ayalew , Vannucchi, Alessandro M

American Journal of Hematology | March 15, 2025 | Volume: 100 | Issue: S4 | Pages: 3-4

10.1002/ajh.27672 Get It

Multihit TP53 Mutations in Myeloproliferative Neoplasms and Acute Myeloid Leukemia: Comparative Analysis of Survival and Risk Factors in 142 Informative Cases
Fathima, Saubia , Abdelmagid, Maymona, Alsugair, Ali, Begna, Kebede H. , Al‐Kali, Aref , Mangaonkar, Abhishek A. , Pardanani, Animesh , Patnaik, Mrinal M. , Zepeda‐Mendoza, Cinthya , He, Rong , Reichard, Kaaren K. , Badar, Talha , Foran, James M. , Palmer, Jeanne , Loscocco, Giuseppe Gaetano , Hiwase, Devendra , Gangat, Naseema , Tefferi, Ayalew , Pardanani, Animesh , Zepeda-Mendoza, Cinthya J , Loscocco, Giuseppe Gaetano , Vannucchi, Alessandro M , Orazi, Attilio , Arber, Daniel A , Hiwase, Devendra , Shah, Mithun V , Gangat, Naseema , Tefferi, Ayalew , Badar, Talha , Fathima, Saubia , Guglielmelli, Paola , Vannucchi, Alessandro M. , Orazi, Attilio , Arber, Daniel A. , Shah, Meera

American Journal of Hematology | March 13, 2025 | Volume: 100 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 1010-1018

10.1002/ajh.27670 Get It

ABSTRACTA total of 142 patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) or acute myeloid leukemia (AML) associated with multihit TP53 mutations (mTP53 MUT) were accessed from the Mayo Clinic database and included (i) chronic phase MPN (MPN‐CP; N = 19), (ii) accelerated phase MPN (MPN‐AP; N = 14), (iii) blast phase MPN (MPN‐BP; N = 28), and (iv) AML (N = 81). Concurrent ASXL1 MUT, EZH2 MUT, IDH1,MUT and IDH2 MUT were more common in MPN‐MUTBP‐mTP53 compared to AML‐mTP53 MUT. At median of 11.6 months follow‐up, 124 (87%) deaths and 19 (13%) allogeneic stem cell transplantations (ASCT) were documented. Overall survival (OS), calculated from the time of mTP53 MUT detection, was similar between MPN‐BP‐mTP53 MUT (median 4.6 months) and MPN‐AP‐mTP53 MUT (5.6 months; p = 0.5) but both were inferior to MPN‐CP‐mTP53 MUT (11.6 months, p < 0.01). OS in MPN‐CP‐mTP53 MUT was similar to that of AML‐mTP53 MUT (median 7.4 months, p = 0.07). In multivariable analysis, OS was favorably affected by ASCT (HR 0.4, p = 0.03) and disease stage (i.e., chronic phase disease) or achieving response to pre‐transplant chemotherapy (HR 0.2, p < 0.01) and unfavorably by the presence of concurrent TET2 MUT or DNMT3A MUT (HR 2.7, p < 0.01). Based on these risk factors, a 3‐tiered risk model was constructed: low (no risk factors; N = 18; median OS 23.8 months); intermediate (one risk factor; N = 44; 11.1 months); and high (two or more risk factors; N = 80; 4 months; p < 0.01). The current study highlights the equally detrimental impact of mTP53 MUT on long‐term survival in MPN and AML and identifies predictors of short‐term survival.
TP53 Mutations in Myeloproliferative Neoplasms: Context‐Dependent Evaluation of Prognostic Relevance
Tefferi, Ayalew , Abdelmagid, Maymona, Loscocco, Giuseppe Gaetano , Fathima, Saubia, Begna, Kebede H. , Al‐Kali, Aref , Foran, James M. , Palmer, Jeanne , Badar, Talha , Patnaik, Mrinal M. , Reichard, Kaaren K. , He, Rong , Zepeda‐Mendoza, Cinthya , Pardanani, Animesh , Hiwase, Devendra , Gangat, Naseema , Fathima, Saubia , Loscocco, Giuseppe Gaetano , Zepeda-Mendoza, Cinthya J , Shah, Mithun V , Orazi, Attilio , Arber, Daniel A , Pardanani, Animesh , Vannucchi, Alessandro M , Hiwase, Devendra , Gangat, Naseema , Badar, Talha , Fathima, Saubia , Shah, Meera , Orazi, Attilio , Arber, Daniel A. , Vannucchi, Alessandro M. , Guglielmelli, Paola

American Journal of Hematology | January 28, 2025 | Volume: 100 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 552-560

10.1002/ajh.27609 Get It

ABSTRACT The clinical relevance of TP53 mutations ( TP53 MUT ) in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) and their prognostic interaction with MPN subtype designation has not been systematically studied. In the current study, 114 patients with MPN harboring TP53 MUT (VAF ≥ 2%) were evaluated for overall survival (OS), calculated from the time of TP53 MUT detection: chronic phase myelofibrosis (MF‐CP; N = 61); blast‐phase (MPN‐BP; N = 31) or accelerated‐phase (MPN‐AP; N = 16) MPN, and polycythemia vera/essential thrombocythemia (PV/ET; N = 6). Sixty‐five (57%) patients harbored International Consensus Classification (ICC)‐defined multihit TP53 MUT and 56 (49%) monosomal/complex karyotype (MK/CK). Majority of MPN‐BP (90%) and MPN‐AP (81%) while 39% of MF‐CP and none of PV/ET patients harbored multihit TP53 MUT . OS in MPN‐BP and MPN‐AP was equally dismal (median 6 vs. 4.5 months, respectively; p = 1.0), regardless of multihit configuration ( p = 0.44), while OS in TP53 MUT MPN‐BP/AP ( N = 47; median 4 months) was inferior to that of a separate cohort ( N = 49) with TP53 wild‐type MPN‐BP/AP (median 11 months; p < 0.01). OS in MF‐CP was significantly shorter with multihit versus non‐multihit TP53 MUT (median 10 vs. 35 months; HR 2.9; p < 0.01), independent of other MF‐relevant genetic risk factors, including ASXL1/SRSF2/U2AF1 mutations. Multihit TP53 MUT was also associated with inferior survival following allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT): median 9 months versus “not reached” in patients with ( N = 9) versus without ( N = 8) multihit TP53 MUT ( p < 0.01). The presence of multihit or non‐multihit TP53 MUT in MPN‐BP/AP or multihit TP53 MUT in MF‐CP is associated with exceptionally poor prognosis and justifies inclusion into the ICC category of “myeloid neoplasms with mutated TP53 .” By contrast, detection of non‐multihit TP53 MUT , by itself, might not endanger short‐term survival in MF‐CP, PV, or ET.
The dosage of ropeginterferon in polycythaemia vera: Balancing efficacy, safety and pharmacoeconomics across risk categories
Barbui, Tiziano , Tefferi, Ayalew , Vannucchi, Alessandro M. , Vannucchi, Alessandro M

British Journal of Haematology | January 13, 2025 | Volume: 206 | Issue: 3 | Pages: 984-985

10.1111/bjh.19996 Get It

TP53 Mutations in Myeloproliferative Neoplasms: Context-Dependent Evaluation of Prognostic Relevance
Tefferi, Ayalew , Abdelmagid, Maymona, Begna, Kebede, Al‐Kali, Aref , Foran, James M. , Palmer, Jeanne , Patnaik, Mrinal M. , Reichard, Kaaren K. , He, Rong , Mendoza, Cinthya, Pardanani, Animesh , Gangat, Naseema , Loscocco, Giuseppe Gaetano , Badar, Talha , Shah, Meera , Orazi, Attilio , Arber, Daniel A. , Vannucchi, Alessandro M. , Hiwase, Devendra , Guglielmelli, Paola

Blood | December 5, 2024 | Volume: 144 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 244-244

10.1182/blood-2024-210251 Get It

Background The prognostic relevance of TP53 mutations (TP53MT) in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) has been extensively studied and the information accessed for defining the new International Consensus Classification (ICC) category of “myeloid neoplasms with mutated TP53” (Blood 2022;140:1200). The latter designation requires ≥10% TP53 variant allele frequency (VAF) for AML and MDS/AML and in case of MDS, multi-hit TP53 or ≥10% VAF associated with complex karyotype (CK). We examined the prognostic relevance of TP53MT in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), specified by subtype and disease stage. Methods The current study was conducted under an institutional review board approved minimum risk protocol. Additional informative cases from the University of Florence, Italy and the South Australian Myeloid Neoplasm Registry were included. Diagnostic criteria and assignment of TP53 allelic state were according to the ICC. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) and cytogenetic studies were performed according to institutional standard protocols. Conventional statistical methods were employed. Survival analyses were censored for allogeneic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) and were calculated from the time of first detection of TP53MT. Results 115 patients with MPN and documented pathogenic TP53MT were considered (median age 68.5 years). ICC-defined subtype designations, at time of TP53MT detection, were polycythemia vera (PV) or essential thrombocythemia (ET) (N=9), chronic phase myelofibrosis (MF-CP; N=63), accelerated phase MPN (MPN-AP; N=16), and blast phase MPN (MPN-BP; N=27). Driver mutation distribution was JAK2 64%, CALR 18%, MPL 8%, and triple-negative 10%. Karyotype was monosomal (MK) in 42%, CK 9%, and normal (NK) 35%. Frequent co-mutations were ASXL1 (28%), TET2 (14%), and SRSF2 (14%). TP53MT were classified as ICC-defined multihit in 67 (58%) cases; karyotype in the latter was MK (58%), CK (16%), non-MK/CK (13%), or NK (13%). TP53 VAF was ≥50% in 27 (24%) patients and &lt;10% in 25 (22%). TP53MT included one (N=96) or ≥2 (N=19). MPN subtype- and stage-specific distributions for multihit TP53MT were 91% for MPN-BP, 88% MPN-AP, 44% MF-CP, and 0% ET/PV. In order to examine disease subtype- and stage-specific prognostic contribution of TP53MT, the study population was divided into 10 operational groups: 1) PV/ET non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=8; VAF range 3-32%); 2) MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK with TP53MT VAF &lt;10% (N=10); 3) MF-CP non-multihit VAF ≥10% and non-MK/CK (N=11); 4) PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit with MK/CK (N=5); 5) MF-CP multihit/non-MK/CK (N=8); 6) MF-CP multihit and MK/CK (N=20); 7) MPN-BP/AP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=2); 8) MPN-BP/AP non-multihit with MK/CK (N=2); 9) MPN-BP/AP multihit/non-MK/CK (N=9); and 10) MPN-BP/AP multihit with MK/CK (N=30). The corresponding median survivals were “not reached”, 55, 42, 6, 18, 10, “not reached”, 4, 4, and 6 months (p&lt;0.01). Survival was similar between groups 1, 2, and 3 (p&gt;0.2 for all comparisons) now referred to as “PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=39)”. Survival was similarly dismal for groups 8, 9, and 10 (p values &gt; 0.3 for all comparisons) now referred to as “MPN-BP/AP with or without multihit TP53MT or MK/CK (N=43)”. Survival was also similar between groups 4, 5, and 6 (p values &gt;3 for all comparisons) now referred to as “PV/ET/MF-CP with multihit TP53MT or MK/CK (N=33)”. The three consolidated groups were subsequently compared for survival that showed a significantly worse outcome for “MPN-BP/AP with or without multihit TP53MT or MK/CK” with median survival of 4 months, compared to 12 months for “PV/ET/MF-CP with multihit TP53MT or MK/CK” (HR 2.3; 95% CI; 1.3-3.9) and 55 months for “PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK” (10.9; 95% CI 5.3-22.4); survival in the latter two groups was also significantly different, in favor of PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (HR 4.8; 95% CI 2.3-10.1). Conclusions: The presence of multi-hit TP53MT or MK/CK, in MF-CP, and possibly in ET/PV, warrants their inclusion in the ICC category of “myeloid neoplasms with mutated TP53”. By contrast, non-multihit TP53MT in ET/PV/MF-CP, regardless of VAF and in the absence of MK/CK, does not appear to compromise short-term survival. The observations from the current study also suggest a prognostic hierarchy with blast percentage being the most unfavorable, followed by MK/CK and multihit TP53MT.
Autoimmune or Inflammatory Diseases in 1,968 Consecutive Patients with Polycythemia Vera and Essential Thrombocythemia: Impact on Disease Outcome and Co-Morbidities
Aperna, Fnu, Iftikhar, Moazah, Rana, Masooma , Pardanani, Animesh , Gangat, Naseema , Tefferi, Ayalew , Guglielmelli, Paola , Vannucchi, Alessandro M. , Loscocco, Giuseppe Gaetano

Blood | December 5, 2024 | Volume: 144 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 3171-3171

10.1182/blood-2024-203394 Get It

Background Previous studies have suggested a higher prevalence of autoimmune or inflammatory diseases (AID) in patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) (Haematologica 2010; 95:1216); more recent studies have suggested the absence of impact on tumor genetics or disease outcome (Leukemia 2023; 37:1741). In the current study, we conducted a before and after MPN diagnosis survey, in order to examine the prevalence of AID and its impact on overall and transformation-free survival as well as the risk of thrombosis or other co-morbidities, such as cancer. Methods The current study was conducted under an institutional review board approved minimum risk protocol. Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022; 140:1200). AID was operationally classified as occuring before or after diagnosis, with the latter requiring first diagnosis occuring ≥3 months after MPN diagnosis. Non-driver mutations were screened by next-generation sequencing (NGS) and was available for 620 patients. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used for univariate and multivariable analysis. Kaplan-Meier plots were used for time-to-event assessment, using JMP Pro 17.0.0 software SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA. Results The study population included 1,968 consecutive patients with polycythemia vera (PV; N=1,001) or essential thrombocythemia (ET; N=967), seen at the Mayo Clinic between 1970 and 2024. Mutation information was available in 620 patients. AID was diagnosed before or after MPN diagnosis in 157 (8%) patients, including 121 (6%) before and 43 (4%) after. 134 (85%) patients had history of only one AID while 23 (15%) had ≥2 AIDs. The most prevalent diagnoses included organ-specific AID (48 cases before and 21 after MPN diagnosis), inflammatory arthritis (37 before and 6 after), connective tissue diseases (17 before and 7 after) and inflammatory dermatosis (20 before and 4 after). For each one of these four categories, thyroid disorders (21 before and 6 after), rheumatoid arthritis (22 before and 2 after), antiphospholipid syndrome (8 before and 1 after), and psoriasis (11 before and 4 after) were the most frequent, respectively. Patients with pre-MPN AID history were older (p=0.02) and were more likely to have ET vs. PV and be females (p&lt;0.01); they were also more likely to present with venous (18% vs. 12%, p=0.04) but not arterial (p=0.2) thrombosis. Pre-MPN AID history was significantly associated with pre-MPN cancer history, with the latter including (25% vs 14%, p&lt;0.01) or excluding (18% vs 10%, p&lt;0.01) non melanoma skin cancers (NMSC). Pre-MPN AID history did not correlate with driver or other mutations (including TET2, ASXL1, DNMT3A), leukocyte, neutrophil, monocyte, or lymphocyte counts (p≥0.1 in all instances). Pre-MPN history of AID did not affect overall (p=0.08), myelofibrosis-free (p=0.3), leukemia-free (p=0.3), arterial thrombosis-free (p=0.9), or venous thrombosis-free (p=0.6) survival. Second cancer-free survival (SC-FS), including (p&lt;0.01) or excluding (p&lt;0.01) NMSC, was negatively affected by pre-MPN history of AID. Multivariate analysis confirmed the independent detrimental effect of a pre-MPN history of AID (HR 1.7, p&lt;0.01) on SC-FS; other independent risk factors for SC-FS were older age (p&lt;0.01), male sex (p&lt;0.01) and pre-MPN history of cancer (p&lt;0.01). The association between pre-MPN history of AID and second cancer was also apparent when the latter was limited to lymphoproliferative neoplasms, although with borderline significance (p=0.08), which was further confirmed by adjusting for age and sex (p=0.09). Median time from MPN diagnosis to post-MPN AID was 9 years (range 1-23), which was similar between PV and ET (p=0.5). Post-MPN development of AID was more likely in females (HR 2.3; p=0.01) and in patients with pre-MPN history of AID (HR 4.8; p&lt;0.01) or hypertension (HR 2.1; p&lt;0.03). These risk factors remained significant during multivariable analysis of post-MPN AID-free survival. Conclusions The current study suggests an increased risk of post-MPN AID and second cancers, in patients with pre-MPN history of AID. The study also showed a significant association between pre-MPN history of AID and venous thrombosis at time of MPN diagnosis. These observations reinforce the widely suggested role of tumor-extrinsic inflammation in exacerbating MPN-intrinsic thrombophilia and the development of cancer.
Thrombosis Risk Assessment in Polycythemia Vera (TRAP): A 4,636-Patient-Year Analysis of Arterial and Venous Thrombosis in Low-Risk Patients
Gangat, Naseema , Carey, Patricia , Faldu, Priyansh, Iftikhar, Moazah, Rana, Masooma , Jadoon, Yamna, Pardanani, Animesh , Barbui, Tiziano , Tefferi, Ayalew , Loscocco, Giuseppe Gaetano , Szuber, Natasha , Carobbio, Alessandra , Vannucchi, Alessandro M. , Guglielmelli, Paola

Blood | December 5, 2024 | Volume: 144 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 3185-3185

10.1182/blood-2024-204138 Get It

Background Conventional thrombosis risk stratification in polycythemia vera (PV) considers age &gt; 60 years and thrombosis history for assignment to low (no risk factor) or high (at least 1 risk factor) risk category (J Clin Oncol.2011;29(6):761-70). The current study exclusively focused on low-risk PV with the following objectives: i) estimate the incidence of arterial and venous thrombosis; ii) examine the prognostic relevance of clinical and genetic risk factors for thrombosis; and iii) assess the impact of treatment on thrombosis risk. Methods Patients were retrospectively recruited from the Mayo Clinic, USA, and University of Florence, Italy, PV databases. Diagnosis was according to the International Consensus Classification criteria (Blood 2022;140:1200). Only first major arterial (AT) and unprovoked venous thrombosis (VT) were considered. Conventional statistical methods were applied (JMP Pro 17.0.0, SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Results Mayo Clinic cohort A total of 346 patients with low-risk PV were considered: median age 49 years; males 54%; median hemoglobin 17.7 g/dl; median leukocyte count 10.9 x 109/L; leukocyte count &gt;11 x 109/L 49%; median platelet count 471 x 109/L; cardiovascular (CV) risk factors 47%; hypertension 29%; hyperlipidemia 20%; smoking history 12%; diabetes mellitus 5%. Most frequent mutations, other than JAK2, were ASXL1 (13%) and TET2 (13%). Median follow-up was 13.4 years (1-52) (4,636 patient-years) during which 25 (7%) AT and 20 (6%) VT were documented. The corresponding incidence rates were 5.4 and 4.3 per 1,000 patient-years. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, baseline hemoglobin &gt;17.5 g/dl in women or &gt;20 g/dl in men (15% vs 4%; OR 5.1; p&lt;0.01) and absence of leukocytosis &gt;11 x 109/L (10% vs 4%; OR 2.9; p=0.02) were associated with increased risk of AT; in addition, diabetes mellitus (19% vs 7%; OR 3.9; p=0.06), showed borderline significance; overall incidence of AT was 20% in the presence of ≥2 risk factors (n=61), 7% in the presence of one risk factor (n=177), and 1% in the absence of all three risk factors (n=108; p&lt;0.01). Multivariable analysis for arterial thrombosis-free survival (TFS) confirmed the predictive performance of these risk factors: hemoglobin thresholds (HR 4.4; p&lt;0.01); absence of leukocytosis &gt;11 x 109/L (HR 2.7; p=0.03); and diabetes (HR 2.8; p=0.09); 20-year cumulative incidence of AT was 32% in the presence of ≥2 risk factors and 7% otherwise (p&lt;0.01). In multivariable analysis, smoking history was found to be surprisingly protective against VT (0% vs. 7%; p=0.02) while female gender was associated with a borderline higher risk (8% vs 4%; OR 2.2; p=0.09); VT incidence rates were 9% in the presence of both risk factors (n=144), 4% with one risk factor (n=172), and 0% in the absence of both risk factors (n=40; p=0.02); 20-year cumulative incidence of VT was 10% in the presence of both risk factors and 3% otherwise (p=0.03). ASXL1 and TET2 mutations did not appear to modify the risk of either VT (p=0.59) or AT (p=0.66). Treatment at diagnosis included aspirin and cytoreductive therapy in 63% and 24% of patients, respectively. Aspirin but not cytoreductive therapy was associated with a lower incidence of AT (5% vs 11%; 2.3 vs 3.0 per 1,000 patient-years; p=0.04) and VT (4% vs 10%; 1.9 vs 2.8 per 1,000 patient-years; p=0.03). Thrombosis-free survival was not influenced by documented treatment at diagnosis or at the time of event (p&gt;0.1). University of Florence cohort A total of 284 low-risk PV patients were followed for a median of 9.1 years (1-38) with 19 (7%) AT and 24 (8%) VT events recorded; the corresponding incidence rates were 7.4 and 9.3 per 1,000 patient-years. In this Florence cohort, risk factors for AT were diabetes mellitus (HR 3.9), hyperlipidemia (HR 3.8) and advanced age, with only age remaining significant during multivariable analysis (p=0.03). Predictors of VT included hyperlipidemia (HR 4.2) and hypertension (HR 2.1). Treatment with aspirin or cytoreductive therapy did not impact thrombosis-free survival (p&gt;0.1). Conclusion The current study confirms the infrequent occurrence of AT and VT in low-risk PV but also exposes the challenges in identifying risk factors that are reproducible in different but otherwise well-characterized patient cohorts. Discrepancies were also apparent in retrospective comparison of treatment effects on thrombosis, which reinforces the need for prospective studies.
Monocytosis Is an Independent Risk Factor for Survival in Essential Thrombocythemia - a Revised Triple-a Prognostic Score (AAA+A) Based on Age and Absolute Monocyte, Neutrophil, and Lymphocyte Counts
Tefferi, Ayalew , Abdelmagid, Maymona, Pardanani, Animesh , Begna, Kebede, Patnaik, Mrinal M. , Barbui, Tiziano , Reichard, Kaaren K. , Gangat, Naseema , Loscocco, Giuseppe Gaetano , Szuber, Natasha , Carobbio, Alessandra , Guglielmelli, Paola , Vannucchi, Alessandro M.

Blood | December 5, 2024 | Volume: 144 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 3169-3169

10.1182/blood-2024-193907 Get It

Background Survival risk models in essential thrombocythemia (ET) include the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSET; Blood 2012;120:1197) and the more recently described “triple-A” prognostic score that considers Age and absolute neutrophil (ANC) and lymphocyte (ALC) counts, as risk variables (AJH 2023;98:1829). Monocytosis, defined by absolute monocyte count (AMC) of ≥0.8 x 109/L, was recently reported to be associated with inferior survival in polycythemia vera (ASH 2024 abstract). The current study examined the prognostic contribution of monocytosis in ET, in the context of other clinical and genetic risk factors. Methods Study patients were recruited from Mayo Clinic (USA) databases, based on availability of information on ANC, ALC, and AMC (N=649). Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022;140:1200). Mutations were screened by next-generation sequencing (NGS). Conventional statistical methods were employed (JMP Pro 17.0.0, SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA) and optimal cut-points for age, ANC, ALC, and AMC were determined by Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis. Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and ROC plots were used to estimate predictive accuracy of risk models. Results A total of 649 patients (median age 60 years; females 65%) were informative for AMC, ANC, and ALC, with median (range) values of 0.6 x 109/L (0.2-2.5), 5.7 x 109/L (1.5-26.5), and 1.9 (0.4-5.7), respectively. At presentation, IPSET risk distribution was low in 34%, intermediate 47%, and high 19%; triple-A risk distribution was low 21%, intermediate-1 50%, intermediate-2 13%, and high 16%; driver mutation distribution was 63.8% JAK2, 24.0% CALR, 3.7% MPL, and 8.5% triple-negative; median for platelets were 728 x 109/L, hemoglobin 13.9 g/dL, and leukocytes 8.5 x 109/L ; leukocytosis (leukocytes ≥11 x 109/L) was documented in 18.8% of patients, palpable splenomegaly 7%, arterial thrombosis (AT) history 14.5%, venous thrombosis (VT) history 9.2%, and major hemorrhage 7.8%. At median follow-up of 7 years (range 0.02-31.4), 146 (22.5%) deaths, 52 (8%) fibrotic progressions, 22 (3.4%) leukemic transformations, 71 (11%) AT events, 36 (5.6%) VT events, and 64 (10%) major bleeds were recorded. In age-adjusted univariate analysis, higher AMC was significantly associated with inferior survival, with a ROC determined cutoff value of ≥0.8 x 109/L (N=154; 24%); significance was sustained (HR 2.3; p&lt;0.01) during multivariable analysis (MVA) that also identified age &gt;70 years (HR 16.6; p&lt;0.01), age 50-70 years (HR 4.3; p&lt;0.01), ANC ≥8 x 109/L (HR 1.9; p&lt;0.01), ALC &lt;1.7 x 109/L (HR 1.8; p&lt;0.01), and AT history (HR 1.6; p=0.01). A similar MVA conducted on an external cohort from the University of Florence (N=514) confirmed the significant contribution from all of these risk variables, except AT (p=0.8). An HR-based 4-variable prognostic model based on Age &gt;70 years (4 points) or 50-70 years (2 points), AMC ≥0.8 x 109/L (1 point), ANC ≥8 x 109/L (1 point), and ALC &lt;1.7 x 109/L (1 point), henceforth referred to as the AAA+A model, was subsequently developed using the Mayo Clinic cohort and validated by the Florence cohort: Low (0-1 points; N= 180; median not reached), intermediate-1 (2-3 points; N=266; median 21.6 years), intermediate-2 (4-5 points; N=151; median 12.2 years), and high (6-7 points; N=52; median 8.7 years); HR values were 2.1 for high vs. intermediate-2, 5.4 for intermediate-2 vs. intermediate-1, and 3.8 for intermediate-1 vs. low (p&lt;0.001in all instances). The 20-year survival predictive performance of AAA+A (AIC 131; AUC 0.88) was superior to that of AAA (AIC 143; AUC 0.85) and IPSET (AIC 149; AUC 0.84). In MVA that included AAA+A risk variables, AMC ≥0.8 x 109/L (p=0.04) and ALC &lt;1.7 x 109/L (p=0.06) appeared to affect leukemia-free survival and ANC ≥8 x 109/L (p=0.04) myelofibrosis-free survival. In univariate analysis, AMC ≥0.8 x 109/L was associated with AT (p=0.03) but not VT (p=0.14) history and showed borderline significance for venous (p=0.09) and arterial (p=0.07) thrombosis-free survivals; however, significance was lost during MVA. Conclusions: Monocytosis is an adverse prognostic factor in ET and its inclusion as a risk variable enhances the predictive performance of the AAA risk model and is equally simple to apply worldwide. Analyses that include mutations will be presented at meeting.
Homozygosity of the JAK2 46/1 or GGCC Haplotype Contributes to Phenotype and Outcome Diversity Among Patients with Polycythemia Vera
Maccari, Chiara , Gangat, Naseema , Cicogna, Paolo, Signori, Leonardo , Rotunno, Giada, Nanni, Gloria, Catelani, Anna, Tefferi, Ayalew, Guglielmelli, Paola , Balliu, Manjola , Loscocco, Giuseppe Gaetano , Atanasio, Alessandro , Bartalucci, Niccolò , Nanni, Gloria, Manfredini, Rossella , Paoli, Chiara, Tefferi, Ayalew , Vannucchi, Alessandro M.

Blood | December 5, 2024 | Volume: 144 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 1795-1795

10.1182/blood-2024-198891 Get It

Background: The JAK2 46/1, also referred to as the GGCC, haplotype, is represented by 4 main SNPs spanning a region of 250kb in chr9 including the JAK2 gene, that are in complete linkage disequilibrium. The GGCC haplo was found to confer susceptibility to JAK2 mutated myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) (Jones AV, 2009; Olcaydu D, 2009; Kilpivaara O, 2009) while association with JAK2-wildtype MPN remains controversial (Pardanani A, 2010; Jones AV, 2010; Guglielmelli P, 2010; Trifa A, 2016). The GGCC haplo was also found enriched in MPN pts with splancnic vein thrombosis (SVT) (Smalberg JH, 2011), and to correlate with higher JAK2V617F variant allele frequency (VAF) (Alvarez-Larran, A, 2012). Nullizigosity for GGCC haplo was associated with reduced survival (OS) in pts with myelofibrosis (MF) (Tefferi A, 2019), but no information on the impact of GGCC haplo status with phenotype and outcome in PV is available. Aim: To assess the clinical correlates and the prognostic significance of GGCC haplo status in a large cohort of pts with PV. Pts and Methods: A total of 399 PV pts, all JAK2V617F mutated, diagnosis revised according to 2022 ICC criteria, were genotyped for 46/1 haplotype by PCR allele discrimination with rs12343867 (with the “C” allele standing for 46/1 haplotype). Results: A total of 301 pts (75.4%) had the C allele, of which 143 (47.5%) were CC homo and 158 (52.5%) CT hetero; 98 (24.6%) were nullizygous for GGCC (TT). Since preliminary analysis disclosed no significant difference between CT and TT haplotype for all variables considered, homozygous CC pts were compared to TT+CT. The CC haplotype was associated with higher leukocytes (median 11.3x10e9/L vs 9.6, p&lt;.001), higher hemoglobin (18.4 g/dL vs 17.5, p&lt;.001), lower platelets (441x10e9/L vs 514, p=.002) more aquagenic pruritus (51.8% vs 33.2%, p=.001), and higher JAK2VAF (60.8+-24.8% vs 36.8+-19.7%, p&lt;.001) at diagnosis. Pts with a VAF &gt;50% were 69% in CC versus 24.1% in TT+CT pts (p&lt;.001). ASXL1 mutations were enriched among CC pts (20.3% vs 9.4%, p=0.04), otherwise no difference regarding additional myeloid mutations was noted. All above differences remained significant when considering CC versus TT and CT separately. More pts with CC haplotype suffered from venous thrombosis (VT) during the FU (16.1% vs 4.3%, p&lt;.001), no difference was noted for arterial thrombosis nor for splancnic vein thrombosis. VT-FS by Kaplan Meyer was significantly shorter (p&lt;.001) in CC pts; the rate of VT at 5, 10, 15y after diagnosis, was 5.5%, 12%, 20.2% for CC versus 2.6%, 3.4%, 6.4% for TT+CT, respectively (all p&lt;.001). In multivariable analysis, including JAK2VAF &gt;50%, age &gt;60y, history of VT, WBC &gt;15x10e9/L, only CC haplo remained significant (HR 3.6, 95%CI 1.4-9.5, p=.009). Progression to post-PV MF occurred in 81 pts (20.3%), significantly more among CC (n=45, 31.5%) than TT+CT (n=36; 14.1%; p&lt;.001). Myelofibrosis-FS was significantly shorter in CC vs other genotypes (p=.02). However, in multivariable analysis, only BM fibrosis G1 remained significant (HR 3.2, 1.7-5.9; p&lt;.001). Evolution to blast-phase occurred in 13 pts (3.2%), 9 (6.3%) with CC haplo vs 4 TT+CT (1.6%; p=.01). During the follow-up, 102 pts (25.5%) died, 50 (35%) CC and 52 TT+CT (20.3%; p=.001). In multivariable analysis, including MIPSS-PV variables (Tefferi A 2020), the CC haplo remained significant (HR 1.8, 1.04-3.2, p=.03) together with age (HR 3.0, 1.6-5.7; p&lt;.001), WBC (HR 2.6, 1.3-4.8; p=.004), and thrombosis history (HR 1.9, 1.0-3.7; p=.03). Conclusions. Homozygosity for the 46/1 or CC haplotype contributes to the phenotype diversity of PV, in part possibly mediated by associated higher JAK2V67F VAF, and predicts for incident VT and shorter OS. Supported by AIRC, 21267; MIUR,2022F4WMR3; IHM, PNRR-MAD-2022-12376695