Wolff, Antonio C.

390216 Background: CDK4/6 inhibitors have become standard of care for advanced hormone receptor positive, HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer in combination with endocrine therapy (ET), with one approved for high-risk patients (pts) in the adjuvant setting. The PALLAS Trial investigated the addition of palbociclib to adjuvant ET in pts with stage II-III breast cancer. Stage IIA patients were specifically enrolled to evaluate the potential benefit of using palbociclib with adjuvant ET pts diagnosed at lower risk who may have more indolent disease. Methods: In the prospective, randomized, phase III PALLAS trial, pts with HR+/HER2- early breast cancer were randomly assigned to receive adjuvant ET for at least 5 years with or without 2 years of palbociclib (125 mg orally once daily, days 1-21 of a 28-day cycle). ET was of provider’s choice. Stage IIA enrollment was capped at 1,000 patients. While the primary end point of the overall study was invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) for the entire cohort, there was a preplanned analysis of recurrence and survival endpoints in the stage IIA cohort. Outcomes were compared between arms using stratified log-rank tests and Cox models (stratification factors: chemotherapy and age ≤ 50). Results: Among 5,796 pts enrolled at 406 centers in 21 countries worldwide between 9/1/2015 and 11/30/2018, a total of 1,010 stage IIA pts were enrolled. The protocol-defined number of events occurred at a median follow-up of 50 months for this subgroup (43.1 months for the overall study). Median age within this subgroup was 54 (range 29-85 yrs), and 410 (40.6%) were pre/perimenopausal, 506 (50.1%) T2/N0 (vs T0-1/N1), 272 (26.9%) grade 3 (vs. grade1/2), and 561 (55.5%) received chemotherapy. iDFS events occurred in 31 of 503 (6.2%) pts who received palbociclib plus ET and in 45 of 507 (8.9%) pts who received ET alone, resulting in a statistically nonsignificant difference in iDFS at 4 years (92.9% vs. 92.1%; hazard ratio, 0.75; CI, 0.48 to 1.19; P = .23). Nonsignificant differences were also observed for invasive breast cancer-free, distant recurrence-free, and locoregional cancer-free survival. No significant differences in iDFS were observed in subgroups including age group, receipt of chemotherapy, tumor grade, and clinical risk (T1/N1 vs. T2/N0).Conclusions: In this preplanned analysis of the stage IIA cohort of the PALLAS trial, the addition of adjuvant palbociclib to standard ET did not improve outcomes over ET alone, suggesting no benefit from the agent in reducing the incidence of early relapse in pts with lower-stage HR+/HER2- breast cancer. Future analyses will incorporate genomic risk and other molecular patterns from the extensive transPALLAS correlative program. Additional follow-up (10-year minimum) is also underway to assess the impact of palbociclib exposure on late recurrence in HR+ disease. Clinical trial information: NCT02513394.

97 Background: In order to maintain safety, clinical trial activities have been modified during the COVID-19 pandemic. As part of the TBCRC 057 survey, we assessed how pandemic-related modifications to trial activities affect breast cancer patients’ willingness to participate in clinical trials. Methods: US residents with breast cancer were eligible to complete the online survey 8/6/21 – 9/30/21. Respondents rated whether each of 11 modifications to clinical trial activities would affect their decision to participate in a trial during or after the pandemic. Items evaluated modifications that involved changing the location of trial activities to closer to home, switching trial activities to telemedicine and making the trial schedule more flexible and convenient. Response options were “much less likely to participate”, “somewhat less likely to participate”, “would not affect my decision whether or not to participate”, “somewhat more likely to participate” and “much more likely to participate”. Current trial participants were asked to consider how modifications would affect their decision to participate in another trial. Results are reported descriptively. Results: Among 385 respondents, median age was 52 (range 25-85), 88.6% were non-Hispanic White, 52.5% had metastatic disease, 93% were receiving active treatment, 48.6% received care at an academic center and 9.6% were current trial participants. Changing location of trial activities was viewed favorably, with 70.2%, 64.6% and 54.1% of respondents indicating they would be much or somewhat more likely to participate if they could complete trial blood tests, x-ray tests or doctor visits closer to home, respectively. Similarly, the option to complete trial activities electronically was viewed favorably, with 59.6%, 58.6% and 60.9% of respondents indicating they would be much or somewhat more likely to participate if they could complete trial doctor visits, consent and questionnaires via telemedicine, respectively. With regard to modifications to make the trial schedule more flexible and convenient, respondent feedback was also favorable. 71.4%, 67.7% and 82.4% of respondents indicated that requiring study site visits no more than once per 3 weeks, widening windows for trial activities and offering home delivery of oral study medications, respectively, would make them much or somewhat more likely to participate. Finally, 30.4% and 51.7% indicated that the flexibility to opt-out of research-only blood tests and biopsies, respectively, would make them much or somewhat more likely to participate. Conclusions: Patients view modifications to trial activities implemented during the pandemic favorably. Trials should be flexible and the option to conduct study activities close to home or electronically when possible should be maintained during the pandemic and beyond.

1564 Background: Enrollment in clinical trials has declined during the COVID-19 pandemic. Simultaneously, breast cancer patients have reported heightened anxiety. We assessed whether breast cancer patients’ anxiety about the pandemic affects their willingness to participate in trials. Methods: English or Spanish-speaking US residents with breast cancer were eligible to complete the online REDCap survey 8/6/21 – 9/30/21. Respondents rated their anxiety about the pandemic on an 11-point scale from 0 (no anxiety) to 10 (worst anxiety possible). Anxiety scores were categorized as no/mild (0-3), moderate (4-6) or severe (7-10). Knowledge about trials was assessed with 11 true/false items and attitudes toward trials with the Attitudes Toward Cancer Trials Scales - Cancer Treatment Subscale (ATCTS-CTS). Respondents rated their willingness to participate in a breast cancer clinical trial before and during the pandemic on 5-point scales from 0 (not at all willing) to 4 (definitely willing). Trial participants were considered “definitely willing.” Change in willingness to participate in trials during the pandemic compared to prior was defined as a binary outcome, "less willing" vs "no less willing." Means were compared via t-test and mean difference was tested via paired t-test. Multivariable logistic regression was used to model the association of anxiety and other factors with being less willing to participate in trials during compared to prior to the pandemic. Results: Among 385 respondents, median age was 52 (range 25-85), 271 (70%) were non-Hispanic White and 202 (53%) had metastatic disease. 154 (40%) received care at academic centers and 37 (10%) were current trial participants. Most rated their anxiety as moderate (43%) or severe (38%). Mean willingness to participate in a trial was lower during compared to prior to the pandemic (2.97 vs 3.10; p < 0.0001). Fifty (13%) respondents were less willing to participate in a trial during the pandemic compared to prior. After controlling for covariates, those with severe anxiety had 5.07 times odds of being less willing to participate during the pandemic compared to prior than those with no/mild anxiety (p = 0.01). For every 1-point increase in ATCTS-CTS score (indicating better attitude toward trials) there was a 3% decrease in the odds of being less willing to participate during the pandemic (p = 0.006). For every 1-point increase in the clinical trials knowledge score (indicating more knowledge) there was a 15% decrease in the odds of being less willing to participate during the pandemic (p = 0.02). Conclusions: Pandemic-related anxiety is common in breast cancer patients and is associated with being less willing to participate in trials during the pandemic compared to prior. Education about trials, including safety modifications implemented during the pandemic, may mitigate anxiety and improve willingness to participate.

Abstract Background: As the development and use of oral anticancer agents increases, it is critical to understand patient adherence to both standard and investigational agents. The open label, phase 3 multicenter PALLAS trial investigates whether adding 2 years of the CDK4/6 inhibitor palbociclib (P) to adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) improves invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) over adjuvant ET alone in patients (pts) with HR- positive, HR2-negative, stage II-III breast cancer. Pts were randomly assigned to either Palbociclib (125 mg/day, 3 weeks on, 1 week off, in a 28-day cycle) plus ongoing provider/patient-choice adjuvant ET (P+ET) versus ET alone. We examined patient-reported adherence to ET +/- P during the first two years of study treatment. Methods: Adherence outcomes were measured in English-speaking pts in the U.S., UK, Ireland and Australia, Spanish-speaking pts in Spain and Mexico, and German-speaking pts in Germany and Austria. Adherence measures included drug diaries completed at each cycle, pill counts (for P only) collected at each study visit, and the Morisky Medication Adherence Scale-4 item and the McHorney Adherence Estimator questionnaires completed at cycles 2, 3, 6, 12, 18, and 24 (22 months). Mean adherence for each cycle was defined as the average proportion of prescribed pills taken (via drug diary) across all patients who initiated that cycle. Persistence was defined as the duration of drug initiation to treatment cessation (via drug diary). Generalized estimating equations were used to model the “most adherent” pts on the Morisky (score = 5 vs score &lt;5) and “low risk” for adherence problems on the McHorney (score=0 vs score &gt;0) to compare the average difference between arms over time for ET, adjusting for baseline demographic and clinical variables. Results: 81% (N=4688) of PALLAS pts were included in this analysis. Median persistence to ET was 23.6 months in P + ET (n=2169), 23.7 months in ET alone (2136) and 20.4 months for P (n=2194). The number of pts who initiated each cycle for ET declined over time and was similar between arms; the decline was more marked for P (Table 1). Mean adherence range as measured by drug diary was 98.2-99.3% for ET in P+ET and 98.0 - 99.4% in ET alone; and for P, ranged from 93.4 - 98.8%. The adherence and persistence results were nearly identical whether measured by drug diary or pill count for P. The observed percent “most adherent” for P measured by the Morisky scale ranged from 71.9% - 79.6% and the percent “low risk” for adherence problems measured by the McHorney scale, 64.0% - 73.4%. The percent of pts “most adherent” and “low risk” for adherence problems to ET was higher, on average over time, in the P+ET group compared to ET alone (75% vs 68%, p&lt;0.01; 75% vs 72%, p=.05, respectively). Conclusions: Self-reported mean adherence for both P + ET and ET alone was strikingly high for pts who remained on therapy; persistence was also high with ET during the 2-year treatment period. Current analyses suggest that nonadherence to either P or ET was likely not a major contributor to the iDFS results seen in the overall PALLAS trial. These results illustrate the importance of measuring and monitoring patient adherence to oral study agents. Support: AFT, Pfizer; ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02513394) and EudraCT (2014-005181-30). https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org Table 1.Adherence and persistence in PALLAS over the 24 month treatment periodPalbocicilb + ETETPalbociclibETETTreatment cycleMean Adherence (SD)N*Mean Adherence (SD)NMean Adherence (SD)N193.4 (13.8)229098.7 (6.1)230999.0 (5.2)2343294.7 (13.3)218198.8 (6.4)220398.4 (7.1)2206397.4 (10.1)211298.7 (7.3)214298.8 (6.3)2168497.6 (10.2)203598.6 (7.8)211099.0 (5.7)2154597.6 (11.1)197598.3 (7.9)209398.1 (8.3)2148698.1 (8.7)189998.7 (6.6)203798.5 (8.2)2116798.1 (9.3)185599.0 (6.3)201298.6 (7.3)2102898.0 (9.1)181098.2 (8.2)199798.1 (8.2)2092998.4 (7.4)173399.0 (6.4)196298.8 (6.8)20511098.3 (8.6)171499.2 (4.9)194699.0 (5.5)20381198.3 (8.0)169198.5 (7.3)193798.2 (8.2)20311298.7 (6.2)161299.1 (5.3)191098.7 (7.5)19861398.5 (7.7)159698.9 (6.4)189398.8 (7.1)19691497.9 (9.3)157698.4 (7.3)188298.0 (9.1)19611598.5 (6.9)151499.2 (4.6)185499.0 (6.0)19281698.2 (8.7)148699.1 (4.6)183599.1 (5.7)19131798.1 (9.8)147998.3 (7.8)182698.5 (6.4)19031898.7 (6.8)141699.3 (4.1)176899.2 (5.3)18601998.7 (7.3)140899.3 (3.8)175699.4 (3.1)18482098.4 (8.9)139798.9 (5.3)174298.7 (5.8)18382198.5 (7.5)130199.0 (6.1)167698.8 (7.1)17842297.8 (9.7)124698.8 (6.2)164799.2 (5.7)17692398.1 (8.8)118098.2 (8.5)161998.4 (8.0)17552498.8 (7.2)108699.0 (6.3)146898.9 (7.1)16192598.8 (6.7)99699.2 (5.2)143298.8 (7.1)15892697.9 (11.2)84599.1 (5.7)140998.6 (8.8)1578ET=Endocrine therapy * Number of pts who initiated the treatment cycle. Citation Format: Eileen Shinn, David Zahrieh, Angela DeMichele, Nick Zdenkowski, Julie Lemieux, Jun Mao, Vesna Bjelic-Radisic, Michelle Naughton, Georg Pfeiler, Karen Gelmon, Ingrid Mayer, Daniel Egle, Gabriele Zoppoli, Tiffany Traina, Miguel Martin Jiménez, Silvia Antolin Novoa, Tufia Haddad, Arlene Chan, Alistair Edward Ring, Antonio Wolff, Jose JuanPonce Lorenzo, Dhanusha Sabanathan, Hal Burstein, Zbigniew Ireneusz Nowecki, Gunda Pristauz-Telsnigg, Adam Brufsky, Meritxell Bellet-Ezquerra, Theodoros Foukakis, Yelena Novik, Gabor Rubovszky, Karoline Muehlbacher, Otto Metzger, Theodora Goulioti, Ernest Law, Ann Partridge, Lisa Carey, Alex Zoroufy, Dominik Hlauschek, Christian Fesl, Erica Mayer, Michael Gnant. Adherence with adjuvant endocrine therapy with or without Palbociclib in the PALLAS trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2021 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2021 Dec 7-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-12-01.

Abstract Background Advances in the multidisciplinary care of hormone-receptor positive (HR+) early breast cancer (eBC) have markedly improved clinical outcomes: however, disease recurrence may still occur, particularly in patients (pts) with moderate or high-risk cancers at the time of diagnosis. The use of CDK4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i) combined with endocrine therapy (ET) is a standard of care for advanced breast cancer, supporting the rationale to study CDK4/6i in the eBC setting. Here we present the final protocol-planned analyses of the global phase III PALLAS trial investigating whether the addition of the CDK4/6i palbociclib (P) to adjuvant ET improves outcomes over ET alone for HR+/HER2- eBC. Methods PALLAS (PALbociclib CoLlaborative Adjuvant Study, NCT02513394) is a randomized phase III open-label trial in which pts with stage II-III HR+/HER2- eBC were randomized to receive either 2 years of P with adjuvant ET (P+ET) or ET alone. The primary endpoint is invasive disease-free survival (iDFS); secondary endpoints include distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRRFS), overall survival (OS), and safety. Mandatory biospecimen collection has supported the creation of an expansive translational science program, and long-term follow-up is planned. Revised sample size calculations required recruitment of 5600 pts in order to detect a 25% iDFS improvement in patients receiving P+ET with 85% power; this final protocol-planned analysis was planned after 469 iDFS events. Results From September 1, 2015 to November 30, 2018, 5,761 pts (median age 52 years, range 22-90) were randomized in 406 centers in 21 countries worldwide. 1,014 (17.6%) had stage IIA disease (capped) and 4,728 (82.1%) stages IIB/III. 4,754 (82.5%) had received prior (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy. After a protocol-planned 2nd interim analysis in May 2020 crossed the futility threshold, 349 P+ET pts still on active treatment stopped P and were transferred to follow-up. At the time of final analysis cutoff date (November 20, 2020), after a median follow-up of 31 months and 516 events recorded, iDFS was similar between the two arms, with 3-year iDFS of 89.3% (95% CI: 87.8-90.6%) for Palbo+ET, and 89.4% (88.0-90.7%) for ET alone (hazard ratio 0.96, 95% CI: 0.81-1.14). There was no statistically significant difference in secondary outcome endpoints. Subgroup analyses revealed no significant interactions between treatment effect and other factors (including risk category). The safety profile of P was as expected, with grade 3 or 4 neutropenia the most common side effect (safety population: 1759/2841 [61.9%] vs 11/2902 [0.4%]). Overall 42% of pts. discontinued P prior to the planned 2-year duration, 28.2% of Palbo+ET pts discontinued therapy due to adverse events, without an observed impact on survival outcomes. Conclusions Now with the full number of events, this analysis of the PALLAS trial shows that the addition of 2 years of P to ongoing adjuvant ET did not improve survival endpoints for pts with stage II-III HR+/HER2- eBC. Whether P is beneficial in the adjuvant setting for certain sub-groups of pts will be further evaluated with longer-term follow-up and by the ongoing translational science program. Support: ABCSG; AFT; Pfizer; ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02513394; https://www.abcsg.org; https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org Citation Format: Michael Gnant, Amylou C Dueck, Sophie Frantal, Miguel Martin, Hal Burstein, Richard Greil, Peter Fox, Antonio C Wolff, Arlene Chan, Eric Winer, Christian Singer, Kathy Miller, Marco Colleoni, Michelle Naughton, Gabor Rubovszky, Judith Bliss, Ingrid A Mayer, Guenther G Steger, Zbigniew Nowecki, Olwen Hahn, Norman Wolmark, Hope Rugo, Georg Pfeiler, Hannes Fohler, Otto Metzger, Céline Schurmans, Kathy P Theall, Dongrui R Lu, Kathleen Tenner, Christian Fesl, Angela DeMichele*, Erica L Mayer, *shared last authorship. Adjuvant palbociclib in HR+/HER2- early breast cancer: Final results from 5,760 patients in the randomized phase III PALLAS trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2021 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2021 Dec 7-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS1-07.

Abstract Patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) typically have short survival times and their successful treatment represents one of most challenging aspects of patient care. This poor prognostic behavior is in part due to molecular features including increased tumor cell clonal heterogeneity, multiple drug resistance mechanisms, and alterations of the tumor microenvironment. The AURORA US Metastasis Project was established with the goal to identify molecular features specifically associated with metastasis. We therefore collected and molecularly characterized specimens from 55 metastatic breast cancer (BC) patients representing 51 primary cancers and 102 metastases. The 153 unique tumors were assayed using RNAseq, tumor/germline DNA exomes and low pass whole genome sequencing, and global DNA methylation microarrays. We found intrinsic molecular subtype differences between primary tumors and their matched metastases to be rare in triple negative breast cancer (TNBC)/Basal-like subtype tumors. Conversely, tumor subtype changes were relatively frequent in estrogen receptor positive (ER+) cancers where ~30% of Luminal A cases switched to Luminal B or HER2-enriched (HER2E) subtypes. Clonal evolution studies identified changes in expression subtype coincident with DNA clonality shifts, especially involving HER2 amplification and/or the HER2E expression subtype. We further found evidence for ER-mediated downregulation of genes involved in cell-cell adhesion in metastases. Microenvironment differences varied according to tumor subtype where ER+/Luminal metastases had lower fibroblast and endothelial cell content, while TNBC/Basal-like metastases showed a dramatic decrease in B cells and T cells. In 17% of metastatic tumors, we identified DNA hypermethylation and/or focal DNA deletions near HLA-A that were associated with its’ significantly reduced expression, and with lower immune cell infiltrates. We also identified low immune cell features in brain and liver metastases when compared to other metastatic sites, even within the same patient. These findings have direct implications for the treatment of metastatic breast cancer patients with immune- and HER2-targeting therapies and suggest potential novel therapeutic avenues for the improvement of outcomes for some patients with MBC.

PURPOSE Palbociclib is a cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibitor approved for advanced breast cancer. In the adjuvant setting, the potential value of adding palbociclib to endocrine therapy for hormone receptor–positive breast cancer has not been confirmed. PATIENTS AND METHODS In the prospective, randomized, phase III PALLAS trial, patients with hormone receptor–positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2–negative early breast cancer were randomly assigned to receive 2 years of palbociclib (125 mg orally once daily, days 1-21 of a 28-day cycle) with adjuvant endocrine therapy or adjuvant endocrine therapy alone (for at least 5 years). The primary end point of the study was invasive disease-free survival (iDFS); secondary end points were invasive breast cancer–free survival, distant recurrence-free survival, locoregional cancer-free survival, and overall survival. RESULTS Among 5,796 patients enrolled at 406 centers in 21 countries worldwide over 3 years, 5,761 were included in the intention-to-treat population. At the final protocol-defined analysis, at a median follow-up of 31 months, iDFS events occurred in 253 of 2,884 (8.8%) patients who received palbociclib plus endocrine therapy and in 263 of 2,877 (9.1%) patients who received endocrine therapy alone, with similar results between the two treatment groups (iDFS at 4 years: 84.2% v 84.5%; hazard ratio, 0.96; CI, 0.81 to 1.14; P = .65). No significant differences were observed for secondary time-to-event end points, and subgroup analyses did not show any differences by subgroup. There were no new safety signals for palbociclib in this trial. CONCLUSION At this final analysis of the PALLAS trial, the addition of adjuvant palbociclib to standard endocrine therapy did not improve outcomes over endocrine therapy alone in patients with early hormone receptor–positive breast cancer.

PURPOSE The ATEMPT trial was designed to determine if treatment with trastuzumab emtansine (T-DM1) caused less toxicity than paclitaxel plus trastuzumab (TH) and yielded clinically acceptable invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) among patients with stage I human epidermal growth factor receptor 2–positive (HER2+) breast cancer (BC). METHODS Patients with stage I centrally confirmed HER2+ BC were randomly assigned 3:1 to T-DM1 or TH and received T-DM1 3.6 mg/kg IV every 3 weeks for 17 cycles or T 80 mg/m 2 IV with H once every week × 12 weeks (4 mg/kg load →2 mg/kg), followed by H × 39 weeks (6 mg/kg once every 3 weeks). The co-primary objectives were to compare the incidence of clinically relevant toxicities (CRTs) in patients treated with T-DM1 versus TH and to evaluate iDFS in patients receiving T-DM1. RESULTS The analysis population includes all 497 patients who initiated protocol therapy (383 T-DM1 and 114 TH). CRTs were experienced by 46% of patients on T-DM1 and 47% of patients on TH ( P = .83). The 3-year iDFS for T-DM1 was 97.8% (95% CI, 96.3 to 99.3), which rejected the null hypothesis ( P < .0001). Serially collected patient-reported outcomes indicated that patients treated with T-DM1 had less neuropathy and alopecia and better work productivity compared with patients on TH. CONCLUSION Among patients with stage I HER2+ BC, one year of adjuvant T-DM1 was associated with excellent 3-year iDFS, but was not associated with fewer CRT compared with TH.

520 Background: Systemic inflammation may contribute to cancer progression (PMC2803035), including recurrence of early breast cancer (PMC4828958). We hypothesized that inflammatory cytokines and/or chemokines may be associated with distant recurrence (DR). Methods: We performed a case:control study in women with stage II-III Her2-negative breast cancer, all of whom had surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy (doxorubicin/cyclophosphamide, then weekly paclitaxel) with/without bevacizumab, plus endocrine therapy if ER-positive (PMC6118403). Propensity score matching was used to identify approximately 250 case:control pairs (with/without DR). Serum samples obtained before adjuvant chemotherapy were analyzed using the MSD V-Plex Human Cytokine 36-Plex Kit for detection of human cytokines and chemokines involved in the Th1/Th2 pathway, chemotaxis, the Th17 pathway, angiogenesis, and immune system regulation. Conditional logistic regression analysis, with models fit via maximum likelihood, were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and test for associations. Due to skewed nature of cytokines, HRs are reported on log base 2 scale. If adjusted for multiple testing including 36 markers, a p value of < 0.0014 would be required for statistical significance. Results: A total 249 matched pairs (498 patients) were identified. Covariates used for propensity score matching included age, menopausal status (post 54% vs. pre/peri 46%), ER/PR status (one/both pos 64% vs. both neg 36%) tumor size ( < = 2cm 17%, > 2-5cm 67%, > 5cm 16%) nodal status (neg 15%,1-3+ 32%, 4+ 53%), and grade (low 3%, int. 31%, high 66%). The only biomarker associated with a significantly increased DR risk when adjusted for multiple testing was the proinflammatory cytokine IL-6 (HR 1.37, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.15, 1.65, p = 0.0006). Others associated with a 2-sided p value < 0.05 included the chemokine MDC(macrophage-derived chemokine/CCL22) (1.90, 95% CI 1.17, 3.1, p = 0.0098), the T helper cell inflammatory cytokine IL-17A (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.10, 1.67, p = 0.0052), and the cytokine VEGF-A (HR 1.13 for, 95% CI 1.01, 1.27, p = 0.037). There was no statistical interaction between VEGF-A and bevacizumab benefit. The median and mean value for IL-6 was 0.95 and 7.5 pg/ml (range 0.04-2761.24 pg/ml). Conclusions: This analysis provides level 1B evidence indicating that higher levels of the cytokine IL-6 at diagnosis are associated with a significantly higher DR risk in high-risk stage II-III breast cancer despite optimal adjuvant systemic therapy. This provides a foundation for confirmatory validation of IL-6 as a prognostic biomarker, and potentially as a predictive biomarker for testing therapeutic interventions targeting the IL-6/JAK/STAT3 pathway. Supported by NCI U10CA180820,180794,180821; UG1CA189859,232760,233290, 233196; Komen Foundation; Breast Cancer Research Foundation. Clinical trial information: NCT00433511.

PURPOSE Predictive biomarkers to identify patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)–positive breast cancer who may benefit from targeted therapy alone are required. We hypothesized that early measurements of tumor maximum standardized uptake value corrected for lean body mass (SULmax) on 18 F-labeled fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET-CT) would predict pathologic complete response (pCR) to pertuzumab and trastuzumab (PT). PATIENTS AND METHODS Patients with stage II or III, estrogen receptor–negative, HER2-positive breast cancer received four cycles of neoadjuvant PT. 18 F-labeled fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography was performed at baseline and 15 days after PT initiation (C1D15). Eighty evaluable patients were required to test the null hypothesis that the area under the curve of percent change in SULmax by C1D15 predicting pCR is ≤ 0.65, with a one-sided type I error rate of 10%. RESULTS Eighty-eight women were enrolled (83 evaluable), and 85% (75 of 88) completed all four cycles of PT. pCR after PT alone was 22%. Receiver operator characteristic analysis of percent change in SULmax by C1D15 yielded an area under the curve of 0.72 (80% CI, 0.64 to 0.80; one-sided P = .12), which did not reject the null hypothesis. However, between patients who obtained pCR and who did not, a significant difference in median percent reduction in SULmax by C1D15 was observed (63.8% v 41.8%; P = .004) and SULmax reduction ≥ 40% was more prevalent (83% v 52%; P = .03; positive predictive value, 31%). Participants not obtaining a 40% reduction in SULmax by C1D15 were unlikely to obtain pCR (negative predictive value, 91%). CONCLUSION Although the primary objective was not met, early changes in SULmax predict response to PT in estrogen receptor–negative and HER2-positive breast cancer. Once optimized, this quantitative imaging strategy may facilitate tailoring of therapy in this setting.