Assel, Melissa

Objectives To prospectively evaluate the performance of a pre‐specified statistical model based on four kallikrein markers in blood (total prostate‐specific antigen [PSA], free PSA, intact PSA, and human kallikrein‐related peptidase 2), commercially available as the 4Kscore, in predicting Gleason Grade Group (GG) ≥2 prostate cancer at biopsy in an international multicentre study at three academic medical centres, and whether microseminoprotein‐β (MSP) adds predictive value. Patients and Methods A total of 984 men were prospectively enrolled at three academic centres. The primary outcome was GG ≥2 on prostate biopsy. Three pre‐specified statistical models were used: a base model including PSA, age, digital rectal examination and prior negative biopsy; a model that added free PSA to the base model; and the 4Kscore. Results A total of 947 men were included in the final analysis and 273 (29%) had GG ≥2 on prostate biopsy. The base model area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.775 increased to 0.802 with the addition of free PSA, and to 0.824 for the 4Kscore. Adding MSP to the 4Kscore model yielded an increase (0.014–0.019) in discrimination. In decision‐curve analysis of clinical utility, the 4Kscore showed a benefit starting at a 7.5% threshold. Conclusion A prospective multicentre evaluation of a pre‐specified model based on four kallikrein markers (4Kscore) with the addition of MSP improves the predictive discrimination for GG ≥2 prostate cancer on biopsy and could be used to inform biopsy decision‐making.

AbstractBackgroundTo assess whether a prespecified statistical model based on the four kallikrein markers measured in blood—total, free, and intact prostate‐specific antigen (PSA), together with human kallikrein‐related peptidase 2 (hK2)—or any individual marker measured in pretreatment serum were associated with biochemical recurrence‐free (BCR) or metastasis‐free survival after radical prostatectomy (RP) in a subgroup of men with very high‐risk disease.MethodsWe identified 106 men treated at Mayo Clinic from 2004 to 2008 with pathological Gleason grade group 4 to 5 or seminal vesicle invasion at RP. Univariable and multivariable Cox models were used to test the association between standard predictors (Kattan nomogram and GPSM [Gleason, PSA, seminal vesicle and margin status] score), kallikrein panel, and individual kallikrein markers with the outcomes.ResultsBCR and metastasis occurred in 67 and 30 patients, respectively. The median follow‐up for patients who did not develop a BCR was 10.3 years (interquartile range = 8.2‐11.8). In this high‐risk group, neither Kattan risk, GPSM score, or the kallikrein panel model was associated with either outcome. However, after adjusting for Kattan risk and GPSM score, separately, preoperative intact PSA was associated with both outcomes while hK2 was associated with metastasis‐free survival.ConclusionsConventional risk prediction tools were poor discriminators for risk of adverse outcomes after RP (Kattan risk and GPSM risk) in patients with very high‐risk disease. Further studies are needed to define the role of individual kallikrein marker forms in the blood to predict adverse prostate cancer outcomes after RP in this high‐risk setting.