Murphy, Elizabeth J.

Abstract Previous work has suggested a relationship between disease activity and in vivo birth rates of chronic lynphocytic leukemia (CLL) cells, as measured by incorporation of deuterium into DNA during heavy water (2H2O) consumption. By extension, CLL-cell kinetics may be a useful prognostic marker in early stage disease, with an increased birth rate predicting shorter time to disease progression and poor prognosis. We are conducting a multi-center study to evaluate the relevance of proliferation rates to both known prognostic markers and to disease progression during 2.5 years of clinical follow up in previously untreated patients with early stage disease. Patients are given a daily dose of 2H2O for 6 weeks and CLL-cell birth rates are measured. We examined the leukemia cells of 36 patients for known prognostic markers (ZAP 70 expression, CD38 expression, IgVH mutation status) and CLL birth rates. Subjects were Rai Stage 0 (n=15), 1 (n=17), or 2 (n=4); mean age 57 +/− 9 (range 41–78); mean time from diagnosis to enrollment 2.1 +/− 2.2 y (range 0.1–10 y). ZAP-70 expression (20% cutoff) was positive in 44%, CD38 expression (30% cutoff) was positive in 35%, and use of unmutated IgVH genes was found in 45% of the subjects. CLL-cell birth rates ranged from 0.09 to 0.97% per day. Utilizing the previously published cut-off value of 0.35% newly divided cells per day, 33% of subjects had a high proliferation rate. Data on all biomarkers were available for 33 subjects. Nine subjects had 4/4 favorable prognostic indicators and 5 subjects had 4/4 unfavorable prognostic indicators. Agreement between prognostic markers, as assessed by kappa coefficient, was strongest for the ZAP-70 v. IgVH mutational status comparison. Comparisons were also significant for ZAP-70 v. CD38 and IgVH mutational status v. CD38. Birth rate was not significantly correlated with any of the other prognostic markers, suggesting it may be a useful independent predictor of disease progression. Isolation of CLL-cells from the bone marrow at the end of the 6 wk labeling period in 5 subjects revealed matching proliferation rates in the marrow and blood in 3 subjects. In 2 subjects, marrow enrichment was lower, suggesting a more slowly proliferating pool in the marrow, the pathophysiologic significance of which is unclear. In 5 subjects, kinetic analysis revealed a very delayed entry of newly divided cells into the blood compartment, presumably from tissue sites of proliferation. This parameter may reflect pool size of CLL-cells in tissues and correlation with lymph node burden is being evaluated. In summary, analysis of CLL-cell birth rates in vivo in these early stage patients provides unique information about the biology of CLL. Correlations with disease progression during the follow-up period will help determine the utility of this test as a prognostic biomarker.

Abstract Background: Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) patients exhibit variable times from diagnosis to the need to initiate therapy. Previous studies have demonstrated that the rates of CLL cell proliferation (birth) and elimination (death plus recirculation to solid tissues) could be estimated using the incorporation of deuterium (2H), taken in the form of heavy water (2H2O), into the DNA of dividing cells. In a cross-sectional study of patients with early and late stage CLL, birth rates above 0.35% per day were associated with more aggressive disease. The NIH-sponsored CLL Research Consortium (CRC) conducted a prospective study on patients with early stage disease to assess the relationship between CLL-cell birth rate and the length of time to initiation of initial therapy. Methods: Eligible patients had untreated early stage (Rai 0, 1 or 2) disease, and were no more than 3 years from diagnosis. Additional clinical parameters included age at diagnosis, gender, mutational status of the immunoglobulin heavy chain variable region (IGHV), 70-kD zeta-associated protein (ZAP-70) (binary split at 20%) and CD38 (binary split at 30%) expression, and FISH cytogenetics by the Dohner hierarchy. Heavy water was administered daily for 6 weeks, and peripheral blood was obtained for kinetic measurements at the end of weeks 3, 6, 9, 12, and 16. CLL birth rates for blood samples were measured at the same facility (KineMed, Inc, Emeryville, CA) by quantifying deuterium incorporation into the deoxyribose moiety of DNA of tumor cells, using isotope ratio mass spectrometry (IRMS). Subjects were followed for time to administration of therapy; subjects still without treatment at time of analysis were censored, as were subjects who exited the study to receive treatment outside of the established criteria. To assess the impact of birth rate and other factors on time to first therapy, Kaplan-Meier curves were compared using the logrank test for univariable analyses; stepwise Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to build multivariable models. Results: Between July 2005 and February 2009, 119 subjects were enrolled through the CRC. 107 subjects were eligible. For 10 eligible patients, exit from the study prior to completion of protocol-mandated heavy water consumption (n=5) or technical issues (n=5) made it impossible to obtain estimates of birth rate. The 97 eligible subjects for whom birth rates were available form the basis of this report. 60% of subjects were male; median age 57 years (range 40-85). Median birth rate was 0.32%/day (range 0.07-1.31%/day). 43 subjects (44%) had birth rates higher than the previously reported threshold of 0.35%/day. With a median follow up of 4 years, 33 eligible subjects (34%) required treatment. IGHV status (31 subjects unmutated), elevated ZAP-70 (31 subjects), elevated CD38 (21 subjects), and hierarchical categorization of FISH anomalies (4 del(17p), 5 del(11q), 8 tri(12), 50 del(13q)) were examined for association with differential time to first therapy in univariable analyses. All were associated with earlier need for therapy (p <0.001) except for genomic aberrations defined by FISH (p = 0.96). Birth rate > 0.35%/day was also significantly associated with shorter time to first therapy (p < 0.001). In multivariable modeling, only birth rate and IGHV status met the criteria for inclusion (Wald p-value < 0.05). Hazard ratios were 3.51 (p = 0.002) for birth rate above 0.35%/day and 5.0 for unmutated IGHV status (p < 0.001). The association between elevated birth rate and shorter time to first treatment was observed within subjects with both unmutated and mutated IGHV (see Figure 1). Conclusion: An increased birth rate of CLL cells early in the disease course is a strong predictor of an earlier need for treatment in univariable analysis, as are unmutated IGHV, elevated ZAP-70 expression and elevated CD38 expression. However, only unmutated IGHV and an increased birth rate contribute significantly to the multivariable model. This adds a direct measure of B-cell kinetics to the array of biomarkers available to subjects with CLL. Figure 1 Time to treatment by birth rate and IGHV status Figure 1. Time to treatment by birth rate and IGHV status Disclosures Murphy: KineMed, Inc: Equity Ownership. Emson:KineMed, Inc.: Employment, Equity Ownership. Li:KineMed, Inc.: Employment, Equity Ownership. McConnel:KineMed, Inc.: Equity Ownership. Turner:KineMed, Inc.: Employment, Equity Ownership. Busch:KineMed, Inc.: Equity Ownership. Hellerstein:KineMed Inc: Consultancy, Employment, Equity Ownership, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Chiorazzi:KineMed, Inc.: Stock options Other.