Shaknovich, Rita

Abstract Blood-based multicancer early detection (MCED) tests represent a new approach for cancer detection. To gain insights into the utility of various approaches of evaluating a cancer signal detected (CSD) test result, we evaluated diagnostic journeys of a subset of 6,662 participants in PATHFINDER who had a CSD on both an initial and refined version of an MCED test that also provided a prediction of cancer signal origin (CSO). We sought to determine whether CSO prediction–guided diagnostic evaluations led to diagnostic resolution; whether participants with known risk factors for cancer beyond age alone and a negative initial diagnostic evaluation had a cancer diagnosis during study follow-up; the utility of whole-body imaging in reaching diagnostic resolution; and differences in the diagnostic journeys needed to reach diagnostic resolution for both true- and false-positive results. Of the 39 participants in this analysis, 82% (32/39) achieved diagnostic resolution after the initial evaluation, including 78% (25/32) who reached resolution specifically with a CSO prediction–directed workup. Eighteen percent (7/39) required additional evaluation for persistent clinical suspicion of cancer, all of whom achieved resolution (3 with and 4 without cancer). Whole-body imaging contributed to diagnostic resolution in only 49% of CSD cases. Approximately 90% of true- and false-positive cases had imaging tests; more true positives versus false positives (81.0% vs. 38.9%) had nonsurgical and/or surgical procedures. In conclusion, CSO prediction–directed evaluations enabled diagnostic resolution for most participants, although some with negative initial evaluations but persistent suspicion of cancer required additional testing. Prevention Relevance: MCED testing has the potential to increase detection of cancer at earlier stages. As MCED testing is a new technology, there are few data on the diagnostic journeys patients undergo following testing. We observed that for most patients, CSO prediction–directed workups were efficient, leading to diagnostic resolution after initial evaluation.

10520 Background: PATHFINDER (NCT04241796) was a prospective, interventional return of results study that enrolled 6,662 participants (pts) from 7 US institutions to assess clinical implementation of a blood-based multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test. Test results for those with a cancer signal detected also included a cancer signal origin prediction designed to help guide diagnostic evaluations. We analyzed whether the diagnostic evaluations in PATHFINDER were appropriately directed by cancer signal origin predictions, assessed the residual risk of cancer after negative initial evaluation, and examined the role of whole-body imaging (WBI, defined as PET/CT or CT chest/abdomen/pelvis) in diagnostic evaluation. Methods: Analysis included pts with a cancer signal detected result from the two different versions of an MCED test evaluated in PATHFINDER. Prespecified criteria blinded to study results were used to define expected diagnostic evaluations by cancer signal origin prediction. These criteria were then used to judge concordance between cancer signal origin predictions and the diagnostic evaluation actually performed. Definitive cancer or no cancer diagnosis (cancer status at end of study [EOS]) was assessed at 12 months after enrollment (EOS). Results: 39 pts had cancer signal detected results by both test versions. Diagnostic evaluations were consistent with cancer signal origin in 30/39 (77%) cases. Diagnostic resolution was achieved in 32/39 (82%) pts after initial evaluation, while 7/39 (18%) required additional workup. 25 of the 32 (78%) pts who achieved diagnostic resolution after initial evaluation had a cancer signal origin-guided workup. Additional evaluation of the 7 pts not achieving initial diagnostic resolution was based on persistent clinical suspicion of cancer due to prior cancer history (n = 1) or abnormal/equivocal findings on initial evaluation (n = 6). Additional workup led to diagnostic resolution in all 7 cases (3 with cancer and 4 with no cancer confirmed at EOS). WBI was ordered in 27 cases, of whom 9 had a prior cancer history, 10 had non-localizing cancer signal origin (hematologic or indeterminate), and 1 had both. WBI was equivocal or had no impact on diagnostic resolution in 8/27 (30%) cases. Conclusions: Most cases resulted in diagnostic resolution after cancer signal origin-directed diagnostic workup. In pts with a cancer history and negative initial evaluations, and those with equivocal initial evaluations, there was still a risk of cancer, suggesting the need for additional evaluation. WBI was used mostly in those with a cancer history or non-localizing cancer signal origins, and had no impact on diagnosis in almost one-third of pts. Clinical trial information: NCT04241796 .

To examine the extent of the evaluation required to achieve diagnostic resolution and the test performance characteristics of a targeted methylation cell-free DNA (cfDNA)-based multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test, ~6200 participants ≥50 years with (cohort A) or without (cohort B) ≥1 of 3 additional specific cancer risk factors will be enrolled in PATHFINDER (NCT04241796), a prospective, longitudinal, interventional, multi-center study. Plasma cfDNA from blood samples will be analyzed to detect abnormally methylated DNA associated with cancer (i.e., cancer “signal”) and a cancer signal origin (i.e., tissue of origin). Participants with a “signal detected” will undergo further diagnostic evaluation per guiding physician discretion; those with a “signal not detected” will be advised to continue guideline-recommended screening. The primary objective will be to assess the number and types of subsequent diagnostic tests needed for diagnostic resolution. Based on microsimulations (using estimates of cancer incidence and dwell times) of the typical risk profiles of anticipated participants, the median (95% CI) number of participants with a “signal detected” result is expected to be 106 (87–128). Subsequent diagnostic evaluation is expected to detect 52 (39–67) cancers. The positive predictive value of the MCED test is expected to be 49% (39–58%). PATHFINDER will evaluate the integration of a cfDNA-based MCED test into existing clinical cancer diagnostic pathways. The study design of PATHFINDER is described here.

Abstract Purpose: We recently reported the development of a cell-free DNA (cfDNA) targeted methylation (TM)-based sequencing approach for a multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test that includes cancer signal origin prediction. Here, we evaluated the prognostic significance of cancer detection by the MCED test using longitudinal follow-up data. Experimental Design: As part of a Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas (CCGA) substudy, plasma cfDNA samples were sequenced using a TM approach, and machine learning classifiers predicted cancer status and cancer signal origin. Overall survival (OS) of cancer participants in the first 3 years of follow-up was evaluated in relation to cancer detection by the MCED test and clinical characteristics. Results: Cancers not detected by the MCED test had significantly better OS (P < 0.0001) than cancers detected, even after accounting for other covariates, including clinical stage and method of clinical diagnosis (i.e., standard-of-care screening or clinical presentation with signs/symptoms). Additionally, cancers not detected by the MCED test had better OS than was expected when data were adjusted for age, stage, and cancer type from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program. In cancers with current screening options, the MCED test also differentiated more aggressive cancers from less aggressive cancers (P < 0.0001). Conclusions: Cancer detection by the MCED test was prognostic beyond clinical stage and method of diagnosis. Cancers not detected by the MCED test had better prognosis than cancers detected and SEER-based expected survival. Cancer detection and prognosis may be linked by the underlying biological factor of tumor fraction in cfDNA.

Abstract Background The Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas (CCGA; NCT02889978) study is a prospective, multi-center, observational, case-control study with longitudinal follow-up to support the development of a plasma cfDNA-based multi-cancer early detection assay. We previously reported that the fraction of tumor-derived cfDNA fragments in plasma (estimated tumor fraction [TF]) is associated with detection of multiple cancer types using a prototype whole-genome bisulfite sequencing (WGBS) assay in a pre-specified substudy. In addition, detectability of breast cancer varied by hormone-receptor (HR) status: HR negative (HR-) breast cancer had a higher detection rate than the overall breast cancer cohort. Here, we performed a planned in-depth analysis of the breast cancer cohort to understand the main clinical and biological determinants of detectability using our WGBS assay. Methods Blood samples were prospectively collected from participants (pts) with newly-diagnosed, untreated breast cancer. In a pre-specified CCGA substudy, 511 (31.4%) of 1,628 pts had a clinicopathologic diagnosis of breast cancer (any stage, excluding stage 0) and a WGBS result. Pre-specified biological and clinical factors were assessed for correlation with TF: clinical stage, pathologic N stage, lesion size (by imaging), T stage, histologic grade, hormone receptor (HR) status, and proliferative rate (Ki-67 by IHC [MIB-1 clone]) via univariate and multivariate analyses. Ki-67 was obtained from pathology reports provided by enrollment sites and also assessed centrally (Mayo Clinic [Rochester, MN]). Stage-specific differences in detection rates between HR positive (HR+) and HR- breast cancers due to biological differences such as histologic grade and/or proliferative rate was also assessed. Results Of 511 pts, 94 (18.4%; 48.9% HR- and 12.3% in HR+) had WGBS-detected cancer. Higher TF was significantly associated with cancer detection (p<0.001). In univariate analyses, the variables significantly associated with TF were clinical stage, pathological N stage, and histologic grade (p<0.001 each). Primary lesion size was modestly correlated with TF (all stages combined: Spearman's correlation coefficient rs=0.4, p<0.001), and when grouped by early and late stages (stages I/II: rs=0.27, p<0.01; stages III/IV: rs=0.50, p<0.01); clinical T stage was significantly associated with TF only when all stages were combined (p<0.001). Proliferative rate (Ki-67) was positively correlated with TF at stages I/II (rs=0.29, p<0.05) but not III/IV (rs=-0.24, p=0.34); Ki-67 results obtained through Mayo were similar to that from enrollment sites (Pearson’s correlation coefficient rp=0.68, p<0.001). HR- breast cancers had significantly higher TF versus HR+ breast cancers only at stage II (p<0.001). In addition, compared to HR+ breast cancers, HR- breast cancers had a significantly higher proportion of high histologic grade (p<0.001 at stages I and II) and proliferative rate at earlier stages (p<0.05 at stages I, II, and III). In the multivariate analysis, clinical stage (stage III vs I and IV vs I) and HR status remained the most significantly associated with TF (p<0.001 each). Conclusions Using a prototype methylation-based plasma cfDNA cancer detection assay, TF was found to be associated with detection, and with clinical and biological features of breast cancer. Features routinely used to assess clinical aggressiveness (eg, HR- status and histologic grade) also demonstrated stage-specific associations with TF. Given the known relationship between TF and detection, these data suggest that clinical and biological cancer features may also provide insight into the variability of cancer detection using plasma-based cfDNA tests. Citation Format: Minetta C. Liu, Jodi M. Carter, Daniel W. Visscher, Karla Kopp, Rita Shaknovich, Xiaoji Chen, Kathryn N. Kurtzman, Shilpen Patel, Jacqueline D. Brooks, Carlo R. Cosenza, Jafi A. Lipson, Donald A. Richards, Fergus J. Couch, Zhao Dong, Hai Liu, Oliver Venn, Joerg Bredno, Eric T. Fung, Anne-Renee Hartman. Blood-based cancer detection in plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA): Evaluating clinical and pathologic tumor characteristics in participants with breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2019 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2019 Dec 10-14; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P5-01-01.

283 Background: Cancers of the esophagus, stomach, pancreas, gallbladder, liver, bile duct, colon and rectum will account for 17% of incident cancer diagnoses and 26% of cancer-related deaths in the US in 2019. We developed a methylation-based cfDNA early multi-cancer detection test that also can predict the tissue of origin (TOO) of these and other cancers types; performance of this test for gastrointestinal (GI) tract cancers is reported here. Methods: The Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas (CCGA; NCT02889978) study is a prospective, multi-center, observational, case-control study with longitudinal follow-up, enrolling individuals with cancer ( > 20 cancers, all stages, newly diagnosed) and without cancer. Plasma cfDNA was subjected to a cross-validated targeted methylation (TM) sequencing assay. Methylation fragments were combined across targeted genomic regions and assigned a probability of cancer and a predicted TOO. GI cancer classes were upper GI (esophagus/stomach, n = 67), pancreas/gallbladder/extrahepatic bile duct (n = 95), liver/intrahepatic bile duct (n = 29), and colon/rectum (n = 121). Results: Detection across all GI cancers was 82% (95% CI 77-86) at a > 99% pre-set specificity. Overall predicted TOO accuracy was 92% (88-95) among the samples for which TOO was predicted (6/255 had indeterminate predicted TOO). The table shows performance by GI cancer type. Conclusions: Simultaneous detection at high specificity ( > 99%) of multiple cancer types, including GI cancers across stages at high sensitivity (82%), was shown using TM analysis of cfDNA. Accurate (92%) localization of cancers to specific regions of the GI tract was also achieved. Detection of multiple GI cancers from a single noninvasive blood test could be a practical method for detecting GI and other cancers, and may facilitate diagnostic work-ups. Clinical trial information: NCT02889978. [Table: see text]

44 Background: A noninvasive cfDNA blood test detecting multiple cancers at earlier stages could decrease cancer mortality. In earlier discovery work, whole-genome bisulfite sequencing outperformed whole-genome and targeted sequencing approaches for multi-cancer detection across stages at high specificity. Here, multi-cancer detection and TOO localization using bisulfite sequencing of plasma cfDNA to identify methylomic signatures was evaluated in preparation for clinical validation, utility, and implementation studies. Methods: 2301 analyzable participants (1422 cancer [ > 20 tumor types, all stages], 879 non-cancer) were included in this prespecified substudy from the Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas (CCGA) (NCT02889978) study - a prospective, multi-center, observational, case-control study with longitudinal follow-up. Plasma cfDNA was subjected to a targeted methylation sequencing assay using high-efficiency methylation chemistry to enrich for methylation targets, and a machine learning classifier determined cancer status and tissue of origin (TOO). Observed methylation fragments characteristic of cancer and TOO were combined across targeted regions and assigned a relative probability of cancer and of a specific TOO. Results: Performance is reported at 99% specificity (ie, a combined false positive rate across all cancer types of 1%), a level required for population-level screening. Across cancer types, sensitivity ranged from 59 to 86%. Combined cancer detection (sensitivity [95% CI]) was 34% (27-43%) in stage I (n = 151), 77% (70-83%) in stage II (n = 171), 84% (79-89%) in stage III (n = 204), and 92% (88-95%) in stage IV (n = 281). TOO was provided for 94% of all cancers detected; of these, TOO was correct in > 90% of cases. Conclusions: Detection of multiple deadly cancers across stages using methylation signatures in plasma cfDNA was achieved with a single, fixed, low false positive rate, and simultaneously provided accurate TOO localization. This targeted methylation assay is undergoing validation in preparation for prospective clinical investigation as a cancer detection diagnostic. Clinical trial information: NCT02889978.

1545 Background: Screening tests for early cancer detection are often criticized due to risk of overdiagnosis—detection of good prognosis cancers which may not require immediate treatment. We recently reported development of cfDNA sequencing approaches for cancer detection; longitudinal follow-up (F/U) data were utilized here to evaluate prognostic significance of cancer detection using cfDNA. Methods: Plasma cfDNA samples were subjected to whole-genome bisulfite sequencing (WGBS, 30X) as part of a previously-reported Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas (CCGA; NCT02889978) substudy. This exploratory analysis evaluated the overall survival (OS) of training and test set participants (pts) with cancer (20 cancer types, any stage I-IV). Combining train and test set pts, univariate and multivariate analyses (Cox proportional hazards) assessed OS association with WGBS result (cancer detected vs not detected, set at 98% specificity), clinical stage (IV vs I-III), diagnostic method (symptom- vs screen-detected), sex, age, and histologic grade. Results: Of 827 pts from the training set with F/U (median 12.2 mo), 334 (40.4%) had WGBS-detected cancer. Among 127 (15.4%) pts with cancer that died during F/U, cancer was detected in 104 (81.9%). Results were similar in the test set. In univariate analyses all variables were associated with prognosis, including WGBS result (HR 7.7 p<0.001). In multivariate analyses accounting for other covariates, the three variables that most significantly remained prognostic were WGBS (HR 3.0, p<0.001), clinical stage (HR 3.3, p<0.001), and diagnostic method (HR 3.0, p<0.001). Validation of these findings is ongoing in an independent cohort of ~5,000 cancer pts from CCGA using an optimized assay; updated performance results will be reported. Conclusions: Cancers detected using WGBS of cfDNA had a worse prognosis than cancers not detected. WGBS cancer detection carried comparable prognostic significance as clinical stage. By preferentially detecting higher risk cancers, cancer detection using plasma cfDNA may avoid some of the overdiagnosis that has been seen with some existing cancer screening methods. Clinical trial information: NCT02889978.