Hodis, Jeffrey D.

Background The impact of the new 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) hypertension guideline on dementia risk at the population level has not been evaluated. Methods and Results We studied dementia‐free participants in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) Study cohort in 1987 to 1989. Hypertension was defined by 2003 Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure and 2017 ACC/AHA guidelines using blood pressure measured at baseline. Dementia was defined using adjudicated consensus diagnoses, informant telephone interviews, and discharge codes from hospitalizations and death certificates. Cox regression estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for dementia and 95% CIs by hypertension categories, adjusting for confounders. Population attributable fraction of dementia was calculated by hypertension categories. Among 13 971 participants followed up for a median of 23 years, 1381 dementia cases were identified. Prevalence of hypertension was 34% and 48%, according to the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure and ACC/AHA criteria, respectively. HRs (95% CIs) compared with normal blood pressure, according to ACC/AHA categories, were 1.35 (1.12–1.61) for elevated blood pressure, 1.28 (1.07–1.52) for hypertension stage 1, and 1.36 (1.18–1.57) for hypertension stage 2. Population attributable fractions (95% CIs) of dementia from blood pressure categories were 3% (1%–5%), 3% (1%–5%), and 9% (4%–14%), respectively. Population attributable fractions (95% CIs) using the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure categories were 6% (3%–9%) for prehypertension, 0% (−2% to 2%) for hypertension stage 1, and 9% (5%–13%) for hypertension stage 2. Conclusions Risk of dementia increased across hypertension categories defined by ACC/AHA guidelines. The population impact on dementia incidence using ACC/AHA categories was similar to the impact of the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure.

Background: Although associations between hypertension in mid-life and the development of dementia and cognitive decline have been established, the impact of the new 2017 ACC/AHA guidelines on dementia risk at the population level has not been evaluated. Objectives: To assess the association of hypertension categories with the risk of incident dementia and to calculate the population attributable fraction (PAF) for dementia from hypertension categories according to the 2017 ACC/AHA guidelines, and compare these associations with hypertension defined according to JNC7. Methods: We studied dementia-free participants recruited to the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort in 1987-89. Hypertension was defined by 2003 JNC7 and 2017 ACC/AHA guidelines using blood pressure measured at baseline; participants using antihypertensive medication were included in hypertension stage 2 for both sets of guidelines. Dementia was defined using adjudicated consensus diagnoses at visit 5 (2011-13), informant telephone interviews, and ICD-9 codes from hospitalizations and death certificates through 2013. Cox proportional hazards regression models estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) by hypertension categories, adjusting for potential confounders, including sociodemographic, lifestyle and clinical variables. PAF of dementia by hypertension category was calculated using rate ratios from Poisson regression and the prevalence of the risk factor in the population. Results: Among 13,971 participants followed for a median of 23.0 years, 1381 cases of dementia were identified. Prevalence of elevated BP (systolic BP [SBP] 120-129 and diastolic BP [DBP] <80), hypertension stage 1 (SBP 130-139 or DBP 80-89) and hypertension stage 2 (SBP ≥140 or DPB ≥90) according to 2017 ACC/AHA categories was 13%, 15% and 44%, respectively. Corresponding HR (95%CI) compared to normal BP were 1.35 (95%CI 1.12, 1.61), 1.28 (1.07, 1.52) and 1.36 (1.18, 1.57), respectively. PAF (95%CI) of dementia from hypertension categories were 3% (1%, 5%), 3% (1%, 5%) and 9% (4%, 14%). PAF using JNC7 categories were similar to 2017 ACC/AHA: 6% (3%, 9%) for prehypertension (SBP 120-129 or DBP 80-89), 0% (-2%, 2%) for hypertension stage 1 (SBP 140-159 or DBP 90-99), and 9% (5%, 13%) for hypertension stage 2 (SBP ≥160 or DBP ≥100). Conclusions: Risk of dementia was increased across categories defined by the new ACC/AHA hypertension guidelines. However, the population impact on dementia incidence using 2017 ACC/AHA was similar to the impact of JNC7. These results suggest that the new criteria for diagnosis of hypertension will not increase the number of persons in whom hypertension could be reasonably labeled as a risk for dementia.