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ImportanceChronic hemodynamically significant aortic regurgitation (AR) is associated with excess risk of death, yet data for Asian patients are lacking, and whether Asian patients can abide by Western guidelines as to when aortic valve surgery should be performed is unknown.ObjectiveTo assess AR presentation and cutoffs of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), LV end-systolic dimension index (LVESDi), and LV end-systolic volume index (LVESVi) that are associated with risk of death in Asian patients with AR.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis retrospective cohort study included consecutive patients with chronic, moderately severe to severe AR from 3 tertiary referral centers (2 in Japan and 1 in Taiwan) from June 11, 2008, through November 19, 2020, with follow-up through November 11, 2021.ExposuresAortic regurgitation severity, graded by a comprehensive integrated approach.Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe primary outcome was the association between volume-derived LVEF, LVESDi, and LVESVi and all-cause death (ACD). The secondary outcome was the association of these LV indexes with cardiovascular death (CVD). Clinical and echocardiographic data were analyzed retrospectively. A de novo disk-summation method was used to derive LV volumes and volume-derived LVEF.ResultsOf 1259 patients (mean [SD] age, 64 [17] years; 934 [74%] male), 515 (41%) were Japanese and 744 (59%) were Taiwanese. The median follow-up was 4.1 years (IQR, 1.56-7.24 years). The mean (SD) body surface area was 1.67 (0.21) m2; LVEF, 55% (11%); LVESDi, 24.7 (5.7) mm/m2; LVESVi, 50.1 (28.0) mL/m2; and indexed mid–ascending aorta size, 24.7 (5.5) mm/m2. Aortic valve surgery occurred in 483 patients (38%); 240 patients (19%) died during follow-up. Overall mean (SD) 8-year survival was 74% (2%). Separate multivariate models adjusted for covariates demonstrated independent associations of LVEF, LVESDi, and LVESVi with ACD (LVEF: hazard ratio [HR] per 10%, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.70-0.92; P = .002; LVESDi: HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.06; P = .002; LVESVi: HR per 10 mL/m2, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.05-1.17; P < .001) and CVD (LVEF: HR per 10%, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.56-0.85; P < .001; LVESDi: HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.09; P = .01; LVESVi per 10 mL/m2: HR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.06-1.24; P < .001). In the total cohort, spline curves showed that mortality started to increase for an LVEF of 53% or less, LVESDi of 22 mm/m2 or greater, and LVESVi of 46 mL/m2 or greater for both ACD and CVD. Early surgery was beneficial in 3 strata of LVESDi (<20, 20 to <25, and ≥25 mm/m2) and 2 strata of LVESVi (<46 and ≥46 mL/m2).Conclusions and RelevanceThis multicenter cohort study of Asian patients with hemodynamically significant AR found cutoff values of LVEF, LVESDi, and LVESVi that were associated with increased risk of death. These findings suggest that Western guidelines seem applicable in Asian patients and, most importantly, that indexed LV parameters with a lower cutoff could be used in discriminating patients with excess mortality risk.

Abstract Background Diet modulates inflammation and insulin response and may be an important modifiable factor in the primary prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and chronic liver disease (CLD). We developed the empirical dietary inflammatory pattern (EDIP) and empirical dietary index for hyperinsulinemia (EDIH) scores to assess the inflammatory and insulinemic potentials of diet. We prospectively examined the associations of EDIP and EDIH at baseline with the following HCC risk and CLD mortality. Design We followed 485 931 individuals in the National Institutes of Health–American Association of Retired Persons Diet and Health Study since 1995. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results We confirmed 635 incident HCC cases and 993 CLD deaths. Participants in the highest compared with those in the lowest EDIP quartile had a 1.35 times higher risk of developing HCC (95% CI = 1.08 to 1.70, Ptrend = .0005) and a 1.70 times higher CLD mortality (95% CI = 1.41 to 2.04, Ptrend < .0001). For the same comparison, participants with the highest EDIH were at increased risk of HCC (HR = 1.53, 95% CI = 1.20 to 1.95, Ptrend = .0004) and CLD mortality (HR = 1.72, 95% CI = 1.42 to 2.01, Ptrend < .0001). Similar positive associations of scores with HCC risk and CLD mortality were observed for both women and men. Moreover, individuals in both the highest EDIP and EDIH tertiles had a 92% increased HCC risk (95% CI = 1.43 to 2.58) and 98% increased CLD mortality (95% CI = 1.27 to 3.08) compared with those in both lowest tertiles. Conclusions Our findings suggest that inflammation and hyperinsulinemia are potential mechanisms linking diet to HCC development and CLD mortality.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data regarding outcomes for patients with gastrointestinal (GI) primaries and brain metastases treated with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS). OBJECTIVE: To examine clinical outcomes after SRS for patients with brain metastases from GI primaries and evaluate potential prognostic factors. METHODS: The International Radiosurgery Research Foundation centers were queried for patients with brain metastases from GI primaries managed with SRS. Primary outcomes were local control (LC) and overall survival (OS). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used for univariate analysis (UVA) of prognostic factors. Factors significant on UVA were evaluated with a Cox multivariate analysis proportional hazards model. Logistic regressions were used to examine correlations with RN. RESULTS: We identified 263 eligible patients with 543 brain metastases. Common primary sites were rectal (31.2%), colon (31.2%), and esophagus (25.5%) with a median age of 61.6 years (range: 37-91.4 years) and a median Karnofsky performance status (KPS) of 90% (range: 40%-100%). One-year and 2-year LC rates were 83.5% (95% CI: 78.9%-87.1%) and 73.0% (95% CI: 66.4%-78.5%), respectively. On UVA, age >65 years ( P = .001), dose <20 Gy ( P = .006) for single-fraction plans, KPS <90% ( P < .001), and planning target volume ≥2cc ( P = .007) were associated with inferior LC. All factors other than dose were significant on multivariate analysis ( P ≤ .002). One-year and 2-year OS rates were 68.0% (95% CI: 61.5%-73.6%) and 31.2% (95% CI: 24.6%-37.9%), respectively. Age > 65 years ( P = .006), KPS <90% ( P = .005), and extracranial metastases ( P = .05) were associated with inferior OS. CONCLUSION: SRS resulted in comparable LC with common primaries. Age and KPS were associated with both LC and OS with planning target volume and extracranial metastases correlating with LC and OS, respectively. These factors should be considered in GI cancer patient selection for SRS.

INTRODUCTION: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) is a primary liver malignancy with poor prognosis. Current prognostic methods are most accurate for patients with surgically resectable disease. However, a significant proportion of patients with iCCA are not surgical candidates. We aimed to develop a generalizable staging system based on clinical variables to determine prognosis of all patients with iCCA. METHODS: The derivation cohort included 436 patients with iCCA seen between 2000 and 2011. For external validation, 249 patients with iCCA seen from 2000 to 2014 were enrolled. Survival analysis was performed to identify prognostic predictors. All-cause mortality was the primary end point. RESULTS: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group status, tumor number, tumor size, metastasis, albumin, and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 were incorporated into a 4-stage algorithm. Kaplan-Meier estimates for 1-year survival were 87.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 76.1–99.7), 72.7% (95% CI 63.4–83.4), 48.0% (95% CI 41.2–56.0), and 16% (95% CI 11–23.5), respectively, for stages I, II, III, and IV. Univariate analysis yielded significant differences in risk of death for stages II (hazard ratio [HR] 1.71; 95% CI 1.0–2.8), III (HR 3.32; 95% CI 2.07–5.31), and IV (HR 7.44; 95% CI 4.61–12.01) compared with stage I (reference). Concordance indices showed the new staging system was superior to the TNM staging for predicting mortality in the derivation cohort, P < 0.0001. In the validation cohort, however, the difference between the 2 staging systems was not significant. DISCUSSION: The proposed independently validated staging system uses nonhistopathologic data to successfully stratify patients into 4 stages. This staging system has better prognostic accuracy compared with the TNM staging and can assist physicians and patients in treatment of iCCA.

Abstract Purpose: Men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) frequently develop resistance to androgen receptor signaling inhibitor (ARSI) treatment; therefore, new therapies are needed. Trophoblastic cell-surface antigen (TROP-2) is a transmembrane protein identified in prostate cancer and overexpressed in multiple malignancies. TROP-2 is a therapeutic target for antibody–drug conjugates (ADC). Experimental Design: TROP-2 gene (TACSTD2) expression and markers of treatment resistance from prostate biopsies were analyzed using data from four previously curated cohorts of mCRPC (n = 634) and the PROMOTE study (dbGaP accession phs001141.v1.p1, n = 88). EPCAM or TROP-2–positive circulating tumor cells (CTC) were captured from peripheral blood for comparison of protein (n = 15) and gene expression signatures of treatment resistance (n = 40). We assessed the efficacy of TROP-2–targeting agents in a mouse xenograft model generated from prostate cancer cell lines. Results: We demonstrated that TACSTD2 is expressed in mCRPC from luminal and basal tumors but at lower levels in patients with neuroendocrine prostate cancer. Patients previously treated with ARSI showed no significant difference in TACSTD2 expression, whereas patients with detectable AR-V7 expression showed increased expression. We observed that TROP-2 can serve as a cell surface target for isolating CTCs, which may serve as a predictive biomarker for ADCs. We also demonstrated that prostate cancer cell line xenografts can be targeted specifically by labeled anti–TROP-2 agents in vivo. Conclusions: These results support further studies on TROP-2 as a therapeutic and diagnostic target for mCRPC.

241 Background: We previously reported on the use of gene expression profiling to characterize four primary subtypes in an analysis of over 100,000 prostate cancer primary tumors. Here we examine these subtypes and response to radiation (RT) after prostatectomy or chemotherapy in addition to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in hormone-sensitive metastatic prostate cancer (mHSPC). Methods: We examined a 215-gene prostate subtyping classifier (PSC) which groups luminal and basal gene expression profiles into one of four subtypes; luminal differentiated (LD), luminal proliferating (LP), basal immune (BI) and basal neuroendocrine-like (BN). The log-rank method was used to compare (i) metastasis-free survival between patients who did and did not receive salvage RT in the META855 cohort of localized disease patients treated with radical prostatectomy (n=855) and the (ii) overall survival of patients on the Phase III mHSPC EA3805 CHAARTED trial of ADT or ADT + docetaxel chemotherapy (n=160). Results: After radical prostatectomy, patients with BI tumors derived benefit from RT in terms of metastasis-free survival ( P=9.23e-4) while those with other subtype tumors did not (Each Log-rank P≥0.5). Patients with metastatic disease and LP tumors derived benefit from docetaxel (Log-rank P=0.002) while those with other subtypes tumors did not (Log-rank P=0.2). Conclusions: Basal-luminal subtyping segments tumors by relevant biological processes with potential implications for identifying patients who benefit from salvage radiation post prostatectomy and addition of docetaxel to ADT in mHSPC.

Objectives: Administrative criteria are often used to define COVID-19 outcomes despite challenges in differentiating hospitalization “for” vs “with” COVID-19 and unknown reliability for identifying COVID-related cardiopulmonary complications. We implemented a protocol to adjudicate COVID-related events across 14 studies participating in C4R. Methods: C4R cohorts ascertained COVID-related hospitalizations and deaths via questionnaires or ongoing surveillance. Medical records were reviewed by C4R physicians using a standardized protocol to assign COVID-related diagnoses as definite or probable. C4R diagnoses were compared against ICD codes assigned to the events. This report includes data from events centrally adjudicated by C4R as of September 2022. Results: Among 144 events ascertained across 7 cohorts as potentially COVID-related, SARS-CoV-2 infection was confirmed in 107/117 (91%) non-fatal hospitalizations and 26/27 (96%) deaths. Of confirmed infections, COVID-19 illness was diagnosed as the cause of 101/107 (94%) hospitalizations and 24/26 (92%) deaths ( Table ). Of non-fatal hospitalizations with infection, 72% were diagnosed with severe or critical COVID-19, 78% with COVID-associated pneumonia, and 29% with renal failure; other complications were less common. C4R review did not validate diagnoses indicated by ICD codes for 1 COVID-19 infection, 5 pneumonias, 1 stroke, and 7 renal failure cases. C4R review did identify diagnoses that were not ICD-coded for 13 infections, 31 pneumonias, 6 myocardial infarctions, 5 venous thromboses, and 21 renal failure cases. Conclusions: Protocolized medical records review by C4R confirmed COVID-19 as the cause of hospitalization or death in 87% of events ascertained as potentially COVID-related and 94% of those in which SARS-CoV-2 infection was confirmed. Both false-positive and false-negative misclassification by ICD criteria was observed. Protocolized review may be useful to identify and validate COVID-related events for epidemiologic research.

Purpose: Quantitative biomarkers from chest computed tomography (CT) can facilitate the incidental detection of important diseases. Atrial fibrillation (AFib) substantially increases the risk for comorbid conditions including stroke. This study investigated the relationship between AFib status and left atrial enlargement (LAE) on CT. Materials and Methods: A total of 500 consecutive patients who had undergone nongated chest CTs were included, and left atrium maximal axial cross-sectional area (LA-MACSA), left atrium anterior-posterior dimension (LA-AP), and vertebral body cross-sectional area (VB-Area) were measured. Height, weight, age, sex, and diagnosis of AFib were obtained from the medical record. Parametric statistical analyses and receiver operating characteristic curves were performed. Machine learning classifiers were run with clinical risk factors and LA measurements to predict patients with AFib. Results: Eighty-five patients with a diagnosis of AFib were identified. Mean LA-MACSA and LA-AP were significantly larger in patients with AFib than in patients without AFib (28.63 vs. 20.53 cm2, P<0.000001; 4.34 vs. 3.5 cm, P<0.000001, respectively), both with area under the curves (AUCs) of 0.73. Multivariable logistic regression analysis including age, sex, and VB-Area with LA-MACSA improved the AUC for predicting AFib (AUC=0.77). An LA-MACSA threshold of 30 cm2 demonstrated high specificity for AFib diagnosis at 92% and sensitivity of 48%, and LA-AP threshold at 4.5 cm demonstrated 90% specificity and 42% sensitivity. A Bayesian machine learning model using age, sex, height, body surface area, and LA-MACSA predicted AFib with an AUC of 0.743. Conclusions: LA-MACSA or LA-AP can be rapidly measured from routine chest CT, and when >30 cm2 and >4.5 cm, respectively, are specific indicators to predict patients at increased risk for AFib.

AbstractFinding a feeding vessel with diameter greater than 0.9 mm during transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for hepatocellular cancer (HCC) has been shown to predict tumor necrosis on subsequent pathology. However, whether this translates into a useful clinical predictor for post-chemoembolization response and survival is unknown. This study aimed to determine whether the presence of an arterial feeder on pre-TACE cross-sectional imaging is associated with treatment response and survival after TACE for unresectable HCC. Retrospective medical record search for all chemo-embolizations performed for HCC from 2015 to 2016 yielded 138 patients who underwent 275 TACE sessions spanning 2011 to 2017. Patients consisted of 98 males (71%) with mean age of 62 (range, 37–86). Each patient underwent an average of two TACE sessions (range, 1–11). Endpoints included target tumor response and overall response defined by the mRECIST criteria, as well as patient survival. Preprocedural MRI/CT was reviewed for the presence of arterial feeder. Multivariable logistic regressions and Cox proportional hazard regressions were used to assess the effects of arterial feeder presence on treatment response and survival, respectively, adjusting for other covariates. Overall response was seen in 69% of patients. Arterial feeder was present on preprocedural cross-sectional imaging for 28% of TACE sessions. Median survival was 26.5 months (interquartile range, 13.2–38.1). The presence of arterial feeder led to better target tumor response (OR = 11.9, p < 0.0001), overall response (OR = 9.3, p < 0.0001), and improved survival (HR = 0.55, p = 0.02). The presence of an arterial feeder on pre-TACE cross-sectional imaging is associated with target tumor response, overall response, and survival after TACE.