Citations

Background Plasma fibulin‐1 levels have been associated with N‐terminal pro–B‐type natriuretic peptide levels and left atrial size and shown to be predictive of mortality in patients with diabetes. The mechanisms behind these connections are not fully understood but are probably related to its roles as an extracellular matrix protein in cardiovascular tissues. Methods and Results One hundred twenty‐five patients with severe aortic stenosis who were scheduled for aortic valve replacement ( AVR ) were evaluated with preoperative echocardiography and their plasma fibulin‐1 levels were determined with ELISA . The cohort was followed for a median of 4 years after AVR . Increased restrictive left ventricular ( LV ) filling pattern was observed with increased plasma fibulin‐1 levels (2% versus 29% versus 24% in low, middle, and high plasma fibulin‐1 tertile groups, P =0.004). Likewise, reduced longitudinal systolic LV function (6.6±1.1 versus 6.1±1.3 versus 5.7±1.5 cm/s, P =0.05) and increased LV filling pressures was systolic velocity of the mitral annulus observed with increasing plasma fibulin‐1 concentrations (ratio of early transmitral flow velocity to early diastolic flow velocity of the mitral annulus 13±4 versus 15±5 versus 16±6 in the fibulin‐1 tertile groups, P =0.04). Conclusions In patients with symptomatic severe aortic stenosis undergoing AVR, plasma fibulin‐1 is associated with restrictive filling of the LV , decreased longitudinal systolic function of the LV , and increased LV filling pressures. Clinical Trial Registration URL: www.clinicaltrial.gov with Identifier: NCT00294775

Background Tools for the prediction of atrial fibrillation ( AF ) may identify high‐risk individuals more likely to benefit from preventive interventions and serve as a benchmark to test novel putative risk factors. Methods and Results Individual‐level data from 3 large cohorts in the U nited S tates (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities [ ARIC ] study, the Cardiovascular Health Study [ CHS ], and the Framingham Heart Study [ FHS ]), including 18 556 men and women aged 46 to 94 years (19% A frican A mericans, 81% whites) were pooled to derive predictive models for AF using clinical variables. Validation of the derived models was performed in 7672 participants from the Age, Gene and Environment—Reykjavik study ( AGES ) and the Rotterdam Study ( RS ). The analysis included 1186 incident AF cases in the derivation cohorts and 585 in the validation cohorts. A simple 5‐year predictive model including the variables age, race, height, weight, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, current smoking, use of antihypertensive medication, diabetes, and history of myocardial infarction and heart failure had good discrimination (C‐statistic, 0.765; 95% CI , 0.748 to 0.781). Addition of variables from the electrocardiogram did not improve the overall model discrimination (C‐statistic, 0.767; 95% CI , 0.750 to 0.783; categorical net reclassification improvement, −0.0032; 95% CI , −0.0178 to 0.0113). In the validation cohorts, discrimination was acceptable ( AGES C‐statistic, 0.664; 95% CI , 0.632 to 0.697 and RS C‐statistic, 0.705; 95% CI , 0.664 to 0.747) and calibration was adequate. Conclusion A risk model including variables readily available in primary care settings adequately predicted AF in diverse populations from the U nited S tates and E urope.

Background The etiologies of ischemic stroke remain undetermined in 15% to 40% of patients. Apart from atrial fibrillation, other arrhythmias are less well‐characterized as risk factors. Premature cardiac contractions are known to confer long‐term cardiovascular risks, like myocardial infarction. Ischemic stroke as cardiovascular risk outcome remains a topic of interest. We examined the prospective relationships in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities ( ARIC ) study, to determine whether premature atrial ( PAC ) or ventricular ( PVC ) contractions are associated with increased risk for incident ischemic stroke. Methods and Results We analyzed 14 493 baseline stroke‐free middle‐aged individuals in the ARIC public‐use data. The presence of PAC or PVC at baseline was assessed from 2‐minute electrocardiogram. A physician‐panel confirmed and classified all stroke cases. Average follow‐up time was 13 years. Proportional hazards models assessed associations between premature contractions and incident stroke. PAC s and PVC s were identified in 717 (4.9%) and 793 (5.5%) participants, respectively. In all, 509(3.5%) participants developed ischemic stroke. The hazard ratio ( HR ) (95% confidence interval [ CI ]) associated with PVC was 1.77 (1.30, 2.41), attenuated to 1.25 (0.91, 1.71) after adjusting for baseline stroke risk factors. The interaction between PVC and baseline hypertension was marginally significant ( P =0.08). Among normotensives, having PVC s was associated with nearly 2‐fold increase in the rate of incident ischemic stroke ( HR 1.69; 95% CI 1.02, 2.78), adjusting for stroke risk factors. The adjusted risk of ischemic stroke associated with PAC s was 1.30 (95% CI 0.92, 1.83). Conclusions Presence of PVC s may indicate an increased risk of ischemic stroke, especially in normotensives. This risk approximates risk of stroke from being black, male, or obese in normotensives from this cohort.