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HCC recurrence following liver transplantation (LT) is highly morbid and occurs despite strict patient selection criteria. Individualized prediction of post-LT HCC recurrence risk remains an important need. Clinico-radiologic and pathologic data of 4981 patients with HCC undergoing LT from the US Multicenter HCC Transplant Consortium (UMHTC) were analyzed to develop a REcurrent Liver cAncer Prediction ScorE (RELAPSE). Multivariable Fine and Gray competing risk analysis and machine learning algorithms (Random Survival Forest and Classification and Regression Tree models) identified variables to model HCC recurrence. RELAPSE was externally validated in 1160 HCC LT recipients from the European Hepatocellular Cancer Liver Transplant study group. Of 4981 UMHTC patients with HCC undergoing LT, 71.9% were within Milan criteria, 16.1% were initially beyond Milan criteria with 9.4% downstaged before LT, and 12.0% had incidental HCC on explant pathology. Overall and recurrence-free survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was 89.7%, 78.6%, and 69.8% and 86.8%, 74.9%, and 66.7%, respectively, with a 5-year incidence of HCC recurrence of 12.5% (median 16 months) and non-HCC mortality of 20.8%. A multivariable model identified maximum alpha-fetoprotein (HR = 1.35 per-log SD, 95% CI,1.22–1.50, p < 0.001), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (HR = 1.16 per-log SD, 95% CI,1.04–1.28, p < 0.006), pathologic maximum tumor diameter (HR = 1.53 per-log SD, 95% CI, 1.35–1.73, p < 0.001), microvascular (HR = 2.37, 95%–CI, 1.87–2.99, p < 0.001) and macrovascular (HR = 3.38, 95% CI, 2.41–4.75, p < 0.001) invasion, and tumor differentiation (moderate HR = 1.75, 95% CI, 1.29–2.37, p < 0.001; poor HR = 2.62, 95% CI, 1.54–3.32, p < 0.001) as independent variables predicting post-LT HCC recurrence (C-statistic = 0.78). Machine learning algorithms incorporating additional covariates improved prediction of recurrence (Random Survival Forest C-statistic = 0.81). Despite significant differences in European Hepatocellular Cancer Liver Transplant recipient radiologic, treatment, and pathologic characteristics, external validation of RELAPSE demonstrated consistent 2- and 5-year recurrence risk discrimination (AUCs 0.77 and 0.75, respectively). We developed and externally validated a RELAPSE score that accurately discriminates post-LT HCC recurrence risk and may allow for individualized post-LT surveillance, immunosuppression modification, and selection of high-risk patients for adjuvant therapies.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data regarding outcomes for patients with gastrointestinal (GI) primaries and brain metastases treated with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS). OBJECTIVE: To examine clinical outcomes after SRS for patients with brain metastases from GI primaries and evaluate potential prognostic factors. METHODS: The International Radiosurgery Research Foundation centers were queried for patients with brain metastases from GI primaries managed with SRS. Primary outcomes were local control (LC) and overall survival (OS). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used for univariate analysis (UVA) of prognostic factors. Factors significant on UVA were evaluated with a Cox multivariate analysis proportional hazards model. Logistic regressions were used to examine correlations with RN. RESULTS: We identified 263 eligible patients with 543 brain metastases. Common primary sites were rectal (31.2%), colon (31.2%), and esophagus (25.5%) with a median age of 61.6 years (range: 37-91.4 years) and a median Karnofsky performance status (KPS) of 90% (range: 40%-100%). One-year and 2-year LC rates were 83.5% (95% CI: 78.9%-87.1%) and 73.0% (95% CI: 66.4%-78.5%), respectively. On UVA, age >65 years ( P = .001), dose <20 Gy ( P = .006) for single-fraction plans, KPS <90% ( P < .001), and planning target volume ≥2cc ( P = .007) were associated with inferior LC. All factors other than dose were significant on multivariate analysis ( P ≤ .002). One-year and 2-year OS rates were 68.0% (95% CI: 61.5%-73.6%) and 31.2% (95% CI: 24.6%-37.9%), respectively. Age > 65 years ( P = .006), KPS <90% ( P = .005), and extracranial metastases ( P = .05) were associated with inferior OS. CONCLUSION: SRS resulted in comparable LC with common primaries. Age and KPS were associated with both LC and OS with planning target volume and extracranial metastases correlating with LC and OS, respectively. These factors should be considered in GI cancer patient selection for SRS.

Significance Statement Changes in albuminuria and GFR slope are individually used as surrogate end points in clinical trials of CKD progression, and studies have demonstrated that each is associated with treatment effects on clinical end points. In this study, the authors sought to develop a conceptual framework that combines both surrogate end points to better predict treatment effects on clinical end points in Phase 2 trials. The results demonstrate that information from the combined treatment effects on albuminuria and GFR slope improves the prediction of treatment effects on the clinical end point for Phase 2 trials with sample sizes between 100 and 200 patients and duration of follow-up ranging from 1 to 2 years. These findings may help inform design of clinical trials for interventions aimed at slowing CKD progression. Background Changes in log urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) and GFR slope are individually used as surrogate end points in clinical trials of CKD progression. Whether combining these surrogate end points might strengthen inferences about clinical benefit is unknown. Methods Using Bayesian meta-regressions across 41 randomized trials of CKD progression, we characterized the combined relationship between the treatment effects on the clinical end point (sustained doubling of serum creatinine, GFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 , or kidney failure) and treatment effects on UACR change and chronic GFR slope after 3 months. We applied the results to the design of Phase 2 trials on the basis of UACR change and chronic GFR slope in combination. Results Treatment effects on the clinical end point were strongly associated with the combination of treatment effects on UACR change and chronic slope. The posterior median meta-regression coefficients for treatment effects were −0.41 (95% Bayesian Credible Interval, −0.64 to −0.17) per 1 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 per year for the treatment effect on GFR slope and −0.06 (95% Bayesian Credible Interval, −0.90 to 0.77) for the treatment effect on UACR change. The predicted probability of clinical benefit when considering both surrogates was determined primarily by estimated treatment effects on UACR when sample size was small (approximately 60 patients per treatment arm) and follow-up brief (approximately 1 year), with the importance of GFR slope increasing for larger sample sizes and longer follow-up. Conclusions In Phase 2 trials of CKD with sample sizes of 100–200 patients per arm and follow-up between 1 and 2 years, combining information from treatment effects on UACR change and GFR slope improved the prediction of treatment effects on clinical end points.

TPS589 Background: In patients (pts) with metastatic unresectable urothelial cancer, platinum-based chemotherapy remains the standard of care for first-line treatment followed by switch maintenance avelumab if disease control is achieved with chemotherapy. Outside of this setting, single agent immunotherapy is often used in pts that have recurrence after platinum-based chemotherapy or are platinum ineligible. Atezolizumab is a PD-L1 inhibitor currently approved for pts that have urothelial cancers expressing positive PD-L1 or pts ineligible for receiving platinum-based chemotherapy. Tumor-targeted radiotherapy can generate immune-stimulating effects without immune suppression as was previously thought. Moreover, it has become clear that radiotherapy can induce profound effects on tumor cells and the tumor microenvironment that can enhance or trigger an anticancer immune response. While numerous trials have investigated the abscopal effect, this trial will have specific parameters regarding drug type, radiation dose and administration. Methods: A032002 is a phase 2 trial addressing pts that are platinum ineligible or refractory to platinum-based chemotherapy. 144 pts will be randomized to receive either atezolizumab or atezolizumab and single site radiation therapy. The atezolizumab regimen is 1200 mg every 3 weeks. Administration of radiotherapy will occur to one non-target site (8 Gy x 3) for pts randomized to the atezolizumab + radiotherapy arm. All pts will undergo centralized PD-L1 testing (SP142 monoclonal primary antibody), which can be performed on archival tissue; a new biopsy is only required if no archival tissue is available. Key eligibility criteria include age ≥ 18 years, ECOG performance status 0-2, histologically confirmed metastatic urothelial cancer, having at least one measurable site per RECIST 1.1 to monitor for abscopal response, one site targetable for radiation, and tissue available for PD-L1 testing. The primary endpoint is tumor response within 6 months of randomization. Tumor response is defined as a complete response (CR) or partial response (PR) as assessed by the treating physician using RECIST 1.1 criteria. For a one-sided log rank test with a type 1 error rateof 0.10, the study has 90% power to detect a 20% increase in response rate. Key secondary endpoints include tumor response using iRECIST, progression-free survival and overall survival. Quality of life assessments include EORTC QLQ-C30, QLQ-BLM30 and PROMIS-Fatigue. Tissue, urine and blood samples will be collected and biobanked for future correlative science. Enrollment to ART began in December 2021. The study is available for participation at all US NCTN sites with a projected enrollment of 3 years. Support: U10CA180821, U10CA180882. Clinical trial information: NCT04936230 .

TPS277 Background: Despite a growing number of treatment options for first-line mCRPC, approximately 40% of patients (pts) have radiographic progression within the first year. Co-inhibition of androgen receptor (AR) and PARP is a promising therapeutic strategy that leverages synthetic lethality induced by impaired double-strand DNA repair. Two phase III studies have shown improvement in radiographic progression-free survival (rPFS) in HRR-mutant pts with abiraterone + PARPi combinations vs abiraterone alone. However, the results in HRR-wild type pts are conflicting, with only one of the studies demonstrating a benefit with the abiraterone + PARPi combination. ENZ + RUCA has shown an acceptable safety profile & no significant drug-drug interactions (S-DDI) in a phase 1b trial. This allows its evaluation in mCRPC. Methods: CASPAR (A031902) is a phase 3 study in which 984 pts will be randomized on a 1:1 basis to ENZ plus RUCA/PBO. HRR gene aberration is not required for enrollment. All pts will undergo next-generation targeted exome sequencing from archival tumor tissue (new biopsy only required if no archival tissue is available). Treatment will be continued until disease progression and crossover is not allowed. Key eligibility criteria are age ≥ 18 years, ECOG PS 0-2, biopsy-proven prostate adenocarcinoma, progressive (PSA or radiographic) disease per Prostate Cancer Working Group 3 guidelines, measurable or non-measurable disease per RECIST 1.1, no prior treatment for mCRPC (prior docetaxel, abiraterone, darolutamide, or apalutamide in non-mCRPC setting is allowed), no significant uncontrolled comorbidity, and no medications with S-DDI with ENZ/RUCA. Hierarchical co-primary endpoints are overall survival (OS) and rPFS. The OS analysis will be undertaken as a primary endpoint if the rPFS endpoint is met. For a one-sided logrank test with a type 1 error rate equal to 0.025, the study has 90% power to detect a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.71 in rPFS (median rPFS of 15 and 21 months in control and combination arms, respectively), and 80% power to detect an HR of 0.80 in OS (median OS of 32 and 40 months, respectively). Key secondary endpoints are rPFS and OS in pts with vs without pathogenic BRCA1, BRCA2, or PALB2 alterations; and differences in adverse events and quality of life (QOL) outcomes between the treatment arms. QOL assessments include Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy–Prostate (FACT-P), Brief Pain Inventory Short Form (BPI-SF), and EQ-5D-5L. A key correlative endpoint is the sensitivity of ctDNA testing for HRR gene alterations. Enrollment began in July 2021 & the study is available for participation to all US-NCTN sites. Clinical trial information: NCT04455750 .

AbstractBackgroundVEXAS (vacuoles, E1 enzyme, X‐linked, autoinflammatory, somatic) syndrome is an autoinflammatory disease with frequent cutaneous manifestations.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective study of all patients with genetically confirmed VEXAS syndrome seen at our institution. Available clinical photographs and skin biopsy slides were reviewed.ResultsCutaneous manifestations developed in 22/25 (88%) patients with VEXAS syndrome. From this group, 10/22 (45%) developed skin involvement before or at the time of other clinical features of VEXAS. Twenty distinct dermatologic presentations of VEXAS from 14 patients were reviewed, and histopathologic patterns were classified as follows: neutrophilic urticarial dermatosis (n = 5, 25%), leukocytoclastic/urticarial vasculitis (n = 4, 20%), urticarial tissue reaction (n = 4, 20%), neutrophilic dermatosis (n = 3, 15%), neutrophilic panniculitis (n = 2, 10%), and nonspecific chronic septal panniculitis (n = 2, 10%). Common systemic findings included macrocytic anemia (96%), fever (88%), thrombocytopenia (76%), weight loss (76%), ocular inflammation (64%), pulmonary infiltrates (56%), deep venous thrombosis or pulmonary embolism (52%), and inflammatory arthritis (52%).ConclusionsCutaneous involvement is a common feature of VEXAS syndrome, and histopathologic findings exist on a spectrum of neutrophilic inflammatory dermatoses.

AbstractFrom a complex systems perspective, clinical syndromes emerging from neurodegenerative diseases are thought to result from multiscale interactions between aggregates of misfolded proteins and the disequilibrium of large-scale networks coordinating functional operations underpinning cognitive phenomena. Across all syndromic presentations of Alzheimer’s disease, age-related disruption of the default mode network is accelerated by amyloid deposition. Conversely, syndromic variability may reflect selective neurodegeneration of modular networks supporting specific cognitive abilities. In this study, we leveraged the breadth of the Human Connectome Project-Aging cohort of non-demented individuals (N = 724) as a normative cohort to assess the robustness of a biomarker of default mode network dysfunction in Alzheimer’s disease, the network failure quotient, across the aging spectrum. We then examined the capacity of the network failure quotient and focal markers of neurodegeneration to discriminate patients with amnestic (N = 8) or dysexecutive (N = 10) Alzheimer’s disease from the normative cohort at the patient level, as well as between Alzheimer’s disease phenotypes. Importantly, all participants and patients were scanned using the Human Connectome Project-Aging protocol, allowing for the acquisition of high-resolution structural imaging and longer resting-state connectivity acquisition time. Using a regression framework, we found that the network failure quotient related to age, global and focal cortical thickness, hippocampal volume, and cognition in the normative Human Connectome Project-Aging cohort, replicating previous results from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging that used a different scanning protocol. Then, we used quantile curves and group-wise comparisons to show that the network failure quotient commonly distinguished both dysexecutive and amnestic Alzheimer’s disease patients from the normative cohort. In contrast, focal neurodegeneration markers were more phenotype-specific, where the neurodegeneration of parieto-frontal areas associated with dysexecutive Alzheimer’s disease, while the neurodegeneration of hippocampal and temporal areas associated with amnestic Alzheimer’s disease. Capitalizing on a large normative cohort and optimized imaging acquisition protocols, we highlight a biomarker of default mode network failure reflecting shared system-level pathophysiological mechanisms across aging and dysexecutive and amnestic Alzheimer’s disease and biomarkers of focal neurodegeneration reflecting distinct pathognomonic processes across the amnestic and dysexecutive Alzheimer’s disease phenotypes. These findings provide evidence that variability in inter-individual cognitive impairment in Alzheimer’s disease may relate to both modular network degeneration and default mode network disruption. These results provide important information to advance complex systems approaches to cognitive aging and degeneration, expand the armamentarium of biomarkers available to aid diagnosis, monitor progression and inform clinical trials.

Abstract Erdheim-Chester disease (ECD) and Rosai-Dorfman disease (RDD) are rare non-Langerhans cell histiocytoses (non-LCHs), for which therapeutic options are limited. MAPK pathway activation through BRAFV600E mutation or other genomic alterations is a histiocytosis hallmark and correlates with a favorable response to BRAF inhibitors and the MEK inhibitor cobimetinib. However, there has been no systematic evaluation of alternative MEK inhibitors. To assess the efficacy and safety of the MEK inhibitor trametinib, we retrospectively analyzed the outcomes of 26 adult patients (17 with ECD, 5 with ECD/RDD, 3 with RDD, and 1 with ECD/LCH) treated with orally administered trametinib at 4 major US care centers. The most common treatment-related toxicity was rash (27% of patients). In most patients, the disease was effectively managed at low doses (0.5-1.0 mg trametinib daily). The response rate of the 17 evaluable patients was 71% (73% [8/11] without a detectable BRAFV600E achieving response). At a median follow-up of 23 months, treatment effects were durable, with a median time-to-treatment failure of 37 months, whereas the median progression-free and overall survival were not reached (at 3 years, 90.1% of patients were alive). Most patients harbored mutations in BRAF (either classic BRAFV600E or other BRAF alterations) or alterations in other genes involved in the MAPK pathway, eg, MAP2K, NF1, GNAS, or RAS. Most patients required lower than standard doses of trametinib but were responsive to lower doses. Our data suggest that the MEK inhibitor trametinib is an effective treatment for ECD and RDD, including those without the BRAFV600E mutation.