Citations

PURPOSECurrent tools in predicting survival outcomes for patients with colon cancer predominantly rely on clinical and pathologic characteristics, but increasing evidence suggests that diet and lifestyle habits are associated with patient outcomes and should be considered to enhance model accuracy.METHODSUsing an adjuvant chemotherapy trial for stage III colon cancer (CALGB 89803), we developed prediction models of disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival by additionally incorporating self-reported nine diet and lifestyle factors. Both models were assessed by multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression and externally validated using another trial for stage III colon cancer (CALGB/SWOG 80702), and visual nomograms of prediction models were constructed accordingly. We also proposed three hypothetical scenarios for patients with (1) good-risk, (2) average-risk, and (3) poor-risk clinical and pathologic features, and estimated their predictive survival by considering clinical and pathologic features with or without adding self-reported diet and lifestyle factors.RESULTSAmong 1,024 patients (median age 60.0 years, 43.8% female), we observed 394 DFS events and 311 deaths after median follow-up of 7.3 years. Adding self-reported diet and lifestyle factors to clinical and pathologic characteristics meaningfully improved performance of prediction models (c-index from 0.64 [95% CI, 0.62 to 0.67] to 0.69 [95% CI, 0.67 to 0.72] for DFS, and from 0.67 [95% CI, 0.64 to 0.70] to 0.71 [95% CI, 0.69 to 0.75] for overall survival). External validation also indicated good performance of discrimination and calibration. Adding most self-reported favorable diet and lifestyle exposures to multivariate modeling improved 5-year DFS of all patients and by 6.3% for good-risk, 21.4% for average-risk, and 42.6% for poor-risk clinical and pathologic features.CONCLUSIONDiet and lifestyle factors further inform current recurrence and survival prediction models for patients with stage III colon cancer.

Abstract Background Combination irinotecan and cetuximab is approved for irinotecan-refractory metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). It is unknown if adding bevacizumab improves outcomes. Patients and Methods In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase II trial, patients with irinotecan-refractory RAS-wildtype mCRC and no prior anti-EGFR therapy were randomized to cetuximab 500 mg/m2, bevacizumab 5 mg/kg, and irinotecan 180 mg/m2 (or previously tolerated dose) (CBI) versus cetuximab, irinotecan, and placebo (CI) every 2 weeks until disease progression or intolerable toxicity. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS), objective response rate (ORR), and adverse events (AEs). Results The study closed early after the accrual of 36 out of a planned 120 patients due to changes in funding. Nineteen patients were randomized to CBI and 17 to CI. Baseline characteristics were similar between arms. Median PFS was 9.7 versus 5.5 months for CBI and CI, respectively (1-sided log-rank P = .38; adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.25-1.66). Median OS was 19.7 versus 10.2 months for CBI and CI (1-sided log-rank P = .02; adjusted HR = 0.41; 95% CI, 0.15-1.09). ORR was 36.8% for CBI versus 11.8% for CI (P = .13). Grade 3 or higher AEs occurred in 47% of patients receiving CBI versus 35% for CI (P = .46). Conclusion In this prematurely discontinued trial, there was no significant difference in the primary endpoint of PFS between CBI and CI. There was a statistically significant improvement in OS in favor of CBI compared with CI. Further investigation of CBI for the treatment of irinotecan-refractory mCRC is warranted. Clinical Trial Registration: NCT02292758

Abstract Background The incidence of young-onset colorectal cancer (yoCRC) is increasing. It is unknown if there are survival differences between young and older patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Methods We studied the association of age with survival in 2326 mCRC patients enrolled in the Cancer and Leukemia Group B and SWOG 80405 trial, a multicenter, randomized trial of first-line chemotherapy plus biologics. The primary and secondary outcomes of this study were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), respectively, which were assessed by Kaplan-Meier method and compared among younger vs older patients with the log-rank test. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated based on Cox proportional hazards modeling, adjusting for known prognostic variables. All statistical tests were 2-sided. Results Of 2326 eligible subjects, 514 (22.1%) were younger than age 50 years at study entry (yoCRC cohort). The median age of yoCRC patients was 44.3 vs 62.5 years in patients aged 50 years and older. There was no statistically significant difference in OS between yoCRC vs older-onset patients (median = 27.07 vs 26.12 months; adjusted HR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.88 to 1.10; P = .78). The median PFS was also similar in yoCRC vs older patients (10.87 vs 10.55 months) with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.02 (95% CI = 0.92 to 1.13; P = .67). Patients younger than age 35 years had the shortest OS with median OS of 21.95 vs 26.12 months in older-onset patients with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.08 (95% CI = 0.81 to 1.44; Ptrend = .93). Conclusion In this large study of mCRC patients, there were no statistically significant differences in survival between patients with yoCRC and CRC patients aged 50 years and older.

3588 Background: Growing data suggest dietary factors are associated with survival among pts with non-metastatic CRC. However, data on diet and survival among pts with advanced or metastatic disease are very limited. Methods: We prospectively examined dietary fat intake assessed at initiation of treatment for advanced or metastatic CRC in relation to OS and PFS. This analysis was conducted among 1,149 pts in the CALGB 80405 randomized controlled trial who completed a validated food frequency questionnaire. We examined intakes of saturated, monounsaturated, and polyunsaturated (total n-3, long-chain n-3, and total n-6) fats as well as animal and vegetable fats. Based on data from non-metastatic CRC and other cancers, we hypothesized that higher intakes of long-chain n-3 fatty acids and vegetable fats would be associated with longer OS and PFS and higher intakes of saturated fat and animal fat would be associated with shorter OS and PFS. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: Over a median follow-up of 6.1 years [y; interquartile range (IQR): 5.3, 7.2 y], we observed 974 deaths and 103 events of progression without death during follow-up. Participants in this analysis had a median age of 59 y (IQR: 51 to 67 y); 41% were female and 86% identified as white. We observed no statistically significant associations between any type of dietary fat and OS. However, vegetable fat was non-linearly associated with longer PFS (HR comparing 4th to 1st quartile: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.64, 0.96; p-trend: 0.10). We also observed a linear association between continuous saturated fat and PFS (HR per 5% kcal/d: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.42; p-value: 0.02), perhaps driven by pts with high saturated fat intake. Conclusions: We observed no statistically significant associations between types of dietary fat and OS among pts with advanced or metastatic CRC. However, a healthy diet that includes vegetable fat and is modest in saturated fat may be associated with longer PFS. Future studies to replicate these findings and examine diet in relation to cancer survival in racially/ethnically diverse populations are needed. Support: K07CA197077, U10CA180821, U10CA180882, https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org . Clinical trial information: NCT00265850.

3568 Background: Diets inducing an elevated insulin response have been associated with increased recurrence and mortality in patients with non-metastatic colorectal cancer, but it remains unknown if postprandial hyperinsulinemia also affects progression and mortality in mCRC patients. The goal of this study was to assess the influence of dietary insulin load (DIL) and dietary insulin index (DII) on survival of mCRC patients. Methods: This was a prospective cohort study of 1,177 patients with previously untreated mCRC enrolled in a phase III trial of systemic chemotherapy plus biologics who reported dietary intake within one month after chemotherapy initiation. DIL was calculated as a function of food insulin index and the energy content of individual foods reported on a food frequency questionnaire. DII was calculated by dividing DIL by total energy intake. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Secondary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS) and treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs). The primary statistical test was a test for trend, which was performed using the median value for each quintile of dietary insulin score as a continuous variable. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to adjust for potential confounders including assigned treatment arm, known prognostic factors, comorbidities, body mass index, and physical activity. Results: Higher DIL was significantly associated with worse OS (ptrend = 0.04); patients in the highest quintile survived 34.1 months, compared to 27.7 months in the lowest quintile (Cox hazard ratio [HR] 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99 - 1.51). Higher DII was non-significantly associated with worse OS (HR 1.18, 95% CI 0.94 - 1.48, ptrend = 0.09). There was no significant association between dietary insulin scores and PFS. The influence of dietary insulin scores on survival did not differ significantly by various molecular markers involved in the insulin signaling pathway, including C-peptide, adiponectin, IGF-1, IGFBP-3, and IGFBP-7. Higher dietary insulin scores were significantly associated with greater risk of any TRAE. Those with a DIL greater than the median had a 75.4% rate of any TRAE, compared to 70.8% in those with a DIL less than or equal to the median (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.03 - 1.38, p=0.02); the most significant associations were with neutropenia (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.05 - 1.61, p=0.01) and diarrhea (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.00 - 2.06, p=0.05). Conclusions: Higher DIL was significantly associated with worse OS, and both higher DIL and DII were significantly associated with increased TRAEs, in patients with previously untreated mCRC. These findings may inform future dietary recommendations for patients with mCRC. Further investigation into the molecular mechanisms underlying these associations is warranted. Clinical trial information: NCT00265850.

Abstract Germline variation and smoking are independently associated with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). We conducted genome-wide smoking interaction analysis of PDAC using genotype data from four previous genome-wide association studies in individuals of European ancestry (7,937 cases and 11,774 controls). Examination of expression quantitative trait loci data from the Genotype-Tissue Expression Project followed by colocalization analysis was conducted to determine whether there was support for common SNP(s) underlying the observed associations. Statistical tests were two sided and P < 5 × 10–8 was considered statistically significant. Genome-wide significant evidence of qualitative interaction was identified on chr2q21.3 in intron 5 of the transmembrane protein 163 (TMEM163) and upstream of the cyclin T2 (CCNT2). The most significant SNP using the Empirical Bayes method, in this region that included 45 significantly associated SNPs, was rs1818613 [per allele OR in never smokers 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.82–0.93; former smokers 1.00, 95% CI, 0.91–1.07; current smokers 1.25, 95% CI 1.12–1.40, Pinteraction = 3.08 × 10–9). Examination of the Genotype-Tissue Expression Project data demonstrated an expression quantitative trait locus in this region for TMEM163 and CCNT2 in several tissue types. Colocalization analysis supported a shared SNP, rs842357, in high linkage disequilibrium with rs1818613 (r2 = 0. 94) driving both the observed interaction and the expression quantitative trait loci signals. Future studies are needed to confirm and understand the differential biologic mechanisms by smoking status that contribute to our PDAC findings. Significance: This large genome-wide interaction study identifies a susceptibility locus on 2q21.3 that significantly modified PDAC risk by smoking status, providing insight into smoking-associated PDAC, with implications for prevention.

TPS153 Background: The clinical benefit of approved therapies in patients (pts) with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) who progress on first- and second-line chemotherapy (FOLFOX and FOLFIRI) is limited. In pts with chemotherapy-refractory RAS wild type mCRC, antibodies targeting EGFR offer a monotherapy response rate of approximately 20% and a progression-free survival (PFS) of 4 months (Price 2014). HER2 is a validated target in gastric and breast cancers, with HER2 amplification occurring in ~3–5% of pts with mCRC. Tucatinib (TUC), recently approved for HER2+ metastatic breast cancer, is a tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) highly selective for HER2 with minimal inhibition of EGFR. In pt-derived xenograft models of HER2+ mCRC, the combination of TUC + trastuzumab (TRAS) showed significantly greater antitumor activity compared with either agent alone (Kulukian 2020). The MOUNTAINEER trial was initiated to evaluate the efficacy and safety of TUC in combination with TRAS in pts with HER2+ RAS wild-type mCRC. Interim analysis of the initial 26 pts enrolled in MOUNTAINEER demonstrated an objective response rate (ORR) of 52.2% (12 partial responses [PRs] in 23 evaluable pts), median duration of response of 10.4 months, with a median PFS of 8.1 months and a median overall survival (OS) of 18.7 months (Strickler 2019). Based on these results, the trial was expanded to enable better estimation of ORR and safety. Methods: MOUNTAINEER (NCT03043313) is an open-label, pivotal phase 2 trial that initially consisted of a single cohort of up to 45 pts (Cohort A) treated with TUC (300 mg BID) and TRAS (8 mg/kg IV followed by 6 mg/kg IV every 3 weeks). The trial was expanded to include an additional 70 pts randomized 4:3 into 2 cohorts: Cohort B (N = 40) who will receive TUC + TRAS, and Cohort C (N = 30) who will receive TUC monotherapy. Pts in Cohort C will be treated with TUC (300 mg orally twice daily) with the option to crossover to TUC + TRAS if an objective response is not achieved by 12 weeks, or if progressive disease develops at any time. Eligible pts have RAS wild-type and HER2+ mCRC, and must have previously received regimens that include fluoropyrimidines, oxaliplatin, irinotecan, anti-VEGF therapy, and an anti-PD-1 if the tumor has dMMR proteins or is MSI-H. Pts who have received prior HER2-directed therapies are not eligible. Additionally, pts must have measurable disease and ECOG PS of 0 to 2. The primary endpoint of this trial is confirmed ORR (per RECIST v1.1) in Cohorts A + B as assessed by blinded independent central review. Secondary endpoints include duration of response, PFS, OS, and safety and tolerability. Enrollment is ongoing in the US and planned for the EU. Clinical trial information: NCT03043313.

TPS143 Background: Patients with KRAS and NRAS ( RAS) wild-type mCRC benefit from the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) monoclonal antibodies (Abs) panitumumab and cetuximab, but nearly all patients experience resistance. Blood-based profiling of cell free DNA (cfDNA) can identify genomic alterations that drive acquired EGFR Ab resistance. After discontinuation of anti-EGFR Abs, acquired genomic alterations decay over time to undetectable levels. Some studies have suggested clinical benefit from EGFR Ab rechallenge, but there is limited evidence that EGFR Ab rechallenge improves survival compared to standard of care (SOC) therapies. We hypothesize that cfDNA profiling will identify patients appropriate for panitumumab rechallenge, and that these molecularly selected patients will have improved survival compared to current SOC therapies. Methods: This is a randomized phase II, open label study designed to compare the overall survival (OS) of panitumumab rechallenge versus SOC (investigator choice TAS-102 or regorafenib). Secondary objectives include comparisons of progression free survival, objective response rate, clinical benefit rate, and quality of life as measured by the linear analogue self-assessment (LASA) questionnaire. Eligible patients have radiographically measurable KRAS, NRAS, and BRAF codon 600 wild-type mCRC based on tumor tissue testing, and must have experienced progression or intolerance to treatment with a fluoropyrimidine, oxaliplatin, irinotecan, an anti-VEGF Ab, and an anti-PD-1 Ab if the tumor has mismatch repair deficiency or is MSI-H. Progression after at least 4 months treatment with an anti-EGFR Ab is required. All patients must be enrolled in the COLOMATE cfDNA screening protocol (NCT03765736) and meet molecular eligibility based on Guardant360 cfDNA profiling (absence of amplification of ERBB2, KRAS, NRAS, and MET; absence of mutations of BRAF, EGFR, ERBB2, KRAS, NRAS, and MET [mutant allele frequency > 0.5%]). Greater than 90 days must have elapsed between the most recent treatment with an anti-EGFR Ab and cfDNA profiling. Dosing for all study drugs is according to clinical SOC. 120 patients will be randomized 1:1 to panitumumab rechallenge or SOC. With 83 OS events, this study will have 80% power to detect an improvement in median OS from 6.5 to 10 months (HR=0.65; 1-sided α= 0.15). This study began enrollment in 6/2020. Recruitment is ongoing at 16 sites in the Academic and Community Cancer Research United (ACCRU) network (ACCRU-GI-1623). Clinical trial information: NCT03992456.