AbstractBackgroundBiomarker cutpoints have received significant importance in AD research. Reliable worsening method based on serial biomarker data has been proposed (Jack et al., 2017 Alz & Dem). Advanced machine learning models (ML) and explainable AI provide an opportunity to enhance existing techniques. We aimed to estimate biomarker cutpoints on cross‐sectional data using ML by identifying important transitions in the biomarker values.MethodWe first trained an ML model with the biomarker of interest as an input including other available biomarkers, demographics, and diagnosis, and predicted global cognition z‐score. We then obtained SHAP values (Shapley Additive exPlanations), fit a curve between the SHAP values and biomarker values, and calculated the first derivatives (slope) of the curve. Then, a CUSUM (Cumulative Sum) analysis was used to identify SHAP change points and cross‐referenced to values where the slopes were steepest near the zero‐crossing location of the curve. A zero SHAP is an important indicator of a feature’s progressive importance for model prediction because a feature’s influence on prediction significantly shifts when its SHAP values go from positive to negative or vice versa. However, relying on zero‐crossing alone may be insufficient when the relationship is non‐linear. Consequently, we calculated the second derivatives to identify inflection points (peaks and troughs) along the curve. Lastly, we compiled all the potential cutpoints and performed post‐processing as shown in Fig. 1.ResultThe algorithm identified cutpoints at 1.44 SUVR for all and at 1.42 SUVR for CU participants (Fig. 2). At age 70, both cutpoints estimated the percentage of abnormals at less than 40% (Fig. 3).ConclusionTPE amyloid‐PET SUVR cutpoints for CUs equal the reported RW values (1.42 SUVR). A strength of the TPE is its application on cross‐sectional data making it versatile for various biomarkers across different cohorts.
Comparison of [18F]MK6240 and [18F]Flortaucipir standardized uptake values (SUVs): the HEAD study
AbstractBackgroundDifferences between on‐ and off‐target retention characteristics between [18F]MK6240 and [18F]Flortaucipir (FTP) complicate the harmonization across tracers. Our objective here was to separate the impact of the reference region by evaluating correlations between [18F]MK6240 (MK) and [18F]FTP standard uptake values (SUVs).MethodParticipants (Figure 1, n=90) received an amyloid‐β (Aβ) PET scan ([11C]PIB or [18F]NAV4694) and two tau‐PET scans: [18F]MK (90‐110 minutes post‐injection) and [18F]FTP (80‐100 minutes post‐injection). For all PET scans, the individual frames were realigned, averaged, and co‐registered to a Freesurfer 7.1‐segmented T1‐MPRAGE. SUVs were calculated in the reference region (inferior cerebellar gray), on‐target regions (entorhinal cortex, hippocampus, Braak III, Braak IV, Braak V, Braak VI) and off‐target regions (caudate, pallidum, putamen, thalamus, cerebellar white matter, choroid plexus, meninges, eroded white matter). We examined correlations between [18F]MK and [18F]FTP SUV values as a function of Aβ status, as well as their associations with age.ResultAll correlations (Figure 2) were significant at p<0.001. The interaction with Aβ status was significant for hippocampus, BraakIII‐V and the metatemporal region. In Aβ+ participants, [18F]FTP and [18F]MK6240 have similar SUVs in on‐target regions with a slope close to 1 except for in hippocampus and Braak VI. However, [18F]FTP SUVs, on average, were greater than [18F]MK SUVs in Aβ+ and Aβ‐ subjects in the reference region and all off‐target regions except for meninges, and in Aβ‐ subjects in the on‐target regions. Age correlated with [18F]FTP SUVs in Aβ‐ subjects in all regions (except the reference region, Braak VI and meninges) and [18F]MK SUVs in putamen and pallidum, but this correlation was only significant (p<0.01) when young and old subjects were included.ConclusionDespite [18F]MK’s higher affinity for tau and SUVR dynamic range being twice that of [18F]FTP, the SUVs in on‐target regions are similar. The higher [18F]FTP signal in the reference region appears to be the contributing factor to the lower dynamic range. The higher [18F]FTP signal in on‐target regions for Aβ‐ subjects may reflect the presence of off‐target signals in these subjects. Taking off‐target signals into account should improve correlations between the two tracers, especially when measuring the earliest deposition of tau.
Plasma and MRI biomarkers predict post‐mortem tau pathology
AbstractBackgroundImaging and plasma markers are used as key indicators of disease for Alzheimer’s disease (AD) but their usefulness in predicting regional tau pathology is relatively understudied. Our objective was to construct predictive models for regional tau pathology measured on postmortem brain tissue using multiple ante‐mortem AD biomarkers. We focused on hippocampal and parietal regions that were immunostained with AT8 and 2E9 that reflect early and advanced aspects of tangle maturity, respectively.MethodsUsing autopsy data from 63 participants enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) where the last clinical visit is within three years of death, we analyzed three ante‐mortem plasma markers ‐ phosphorylated tau protein at the threonine 181 residue, glial fibrillary acidic protein, total ß‐amyloid Aß42 relative to Aß40 ratio (Quanterix Simoa HD‐X Analyzer), and three regional MRI markers computed using SPM12 ‐ parietal thickness, parietal volume relative to total intracranial volume ratio, and hippocampal volume adjusted for total intracranial volume. Based on eight separate cross‐sectional linear regression models weighted by the inverse of time from last visit to death, we estimated the multiple and partial R2 predicting post‐mortem pathology measures, including AT8 and 2E9 in both the hippocampal and parietal regions. All models were adjusted for age, sex, and cardiovascular and metabolic conditions score.ResultsThe MRI models (R2 of 0.26‐0.53) had greater predictive power compared to the plasma models (R2 of 0.17‐0.26). The best multiple R2 was 0.53 for prediction of hippocampal AT8 using antemortem hippocampal volume adjusted for total intracranial volume followed by R2 of 0.43 for prediction of hippocampal 2E9 using hippocampal volume adjusted for total intracranial volume. Though the model prediction of parietal AT8 and 2E9 measurements was low (R2 of 0.21‐0.26), parietal thickness exhibited better predictive performance than parietal volume relative to total intracranial volume ratio.ConclusionsThe data we presented here may be utilized to validate biomarkers using regional pathology. Our results support that regional MRI is sensitive to tau pathology. Newer MRI methods should be tested to examine the specificity of newer quantitative measurements to tau pathology.
Comparing regional and global diffusion MRI markers as biomarkers of VCID
AbstractBackgroundQuantifying white matter using diffusion MRI (dMRI) has been proposed for measuring early microstructural tissue changes due to cerebral small vessel disease and aid in quantifying vascular contributions to cognitive impairment and dementia (VCID). Our goal was to compare the usefulness of longitudinal white matter changes in the commonly available diffusion MRI measures for VCID prevention trials.MethodWe included 718 participants over 50 years of age (mean age: 71.1(9.6) years) from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging, a population‐based sample, with at least two dMRI scans and structural imaging. We computed the commonly available single‐shell dMRI measures (fractional anisotropy, mean diffusivity, and two MarkVCID measures ‐ free water and peak‐width skeletonized mean diffusivity [PSMD]) at each time point. We tested for voxel‐wise associations between dMRI markers and vascular risk measured by cardiovascular metabolic condition (CMC) and observed a region‐specific dependance across all dMRI measures. Using both global and regional dMRI measures, we (i) examined the longitudinal association of dMRI measures with cognition and (ii) computed sample size estimates for a hypothetical clinical trial. We also included white matter hyperintensities (WMH) and our previously proposed composite vascular white matter score (combination of WMH and fractional anisotropy of the genu) as a comparison.ResultVascular risk was associated with all single shell dMRI measures in the genu of the corpus callosum, which we included as a regional dMRI marker for comparison (Figure 1). All dMRI markers correlated with cognitive performance longitudinally (Table 1) and had comparable sample size estimates required for hypothetical VCID clinical trials (Figure 2). Further, global free water and the composite vascular white matter score had the smallest sample size estimates.ConclusionAll commonly used dMRI markers had significant frontal lobe changes due to vascular risk. Both global and regional corpus callosum dMRI markers were sensitive to longitudinal cognitive decline, suggesting their utility in measuring the slowing down of VCID. The composite vascular white matter score, global free water, and WMH show promise as VCID biomarkers. Further work is needed to validate these markers on multiple populations.
A Comparison of DTI‐Based Measures as Predictors of Future Cerebrovascular Degeneration
AbstractBackgroundThere has been a recent proliferation of various quantities based on single shell Diffusion Tensor Imaging (DTI) for capturing overall cerebrovascular health, especially Small Vessel Disease (SVD) as a single number. The existing literature has gaps in the comparison of these measures, so we evaluated them as predictors of both current and future White Matter Hyperintensity (WMH) as a proxy of SVD.MethodUsing baseline 3T MRI examinations (T1, DTI, FLAIR scans) of 598 participants (>60 years, amyloid negative, to limit to those on the SVD pathway) from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging, we calculated five summary DTI quantities with varying degree of complexity. We estimated their partial R2 from cross‐sectional linear regression models and computed semi‐partial R2 from mixed models predicting WMH volume as a percentage of Total Intracranial Volume (TIV). All models were adjusted for age, sex, and scanner model, and the WMH and based were log‐transformed before fitting. We also conducted subset analyses with high (WMH+) vs. low (WMH‐) baseline WMH load (cut at 1.62%) to compare the performance of the measures in early vs. widespread WMH.ResultAll MD‐based quantities computed on the whole brain, including FWF, performed similarly to each other, but Genu FA underperformed at explaining WMH variance (Table 1). PSMD (skeletonized or atlas based) was more sensitive in WMH+ but dramatically less so in WMH‐. In WMH‐ and overall cohort, FWF and JHU MD (which is a simple averaging of MD in the JHU atlas) performed well.ConclusionAll MD‐based measures performed similarly to each other in the whole dataset but dichotomizing by WMH load showed interesting differences. PSMD measurements are driven by the extreme end (95th percentile) of the MD distribution and therefore more sensitive in WMH+. Genu FA, a regional measure, was not useful for predicting whole brain WMH change. We noticed some variation in how the quantities are affected by scanner model (GE Signa HDxt and Discovery 750) which needs broader investigation. Simply averaging MD over WM avoids additional processing and is more sensitive to WM degeneration that is not (yet) severe.
Immunoassay and Immunohistochemistry of TDP‐43 and the association with annual rate of hippocampal atrophy in Alzheimer's disease
AbstractBackgroundTransactive response DNA‐binding protein of 43 kDa (TDP‐43) is implicated in numerous neurodegenerative diseases, including Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Immunohistochemically stained TDP‐43 is linked to faster rates of hippocampal atrophy (HA) in AD. However, it is unclear whether phosphorylated TDP‐43 (pTDP‐43) measured using an immunoassay is also associated with HA. We explored associations between pTDP‐43 levels, TDP‐43 immunohistochemistry, and annual rate of HA in AD. We hypothesized that higher pTDP‐43 levels would be associated with positive TDP‐43 immunohistochemistry, and faster rates of HA.MethodThirty‐seven cognitively impaired participants from the Mayo Clinic Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center underwent serial brain MRIs and brain autopsy. Hippocampal TDP‐43 was detected histochemically, and pTDP‐43 was quantified using biochemical assay. Hippocampal volumes were measured using the longitudinal pipeline in FreeSurfer‐7 and annualized HA rates were calculated. Linear regression analyzed the relationship between HA and pTDP‐43 biochemical assay levels. pTDP‐43 was categorized as positive (=400) or negative (<400), and logistic regression tested the association of these levels with HA rates. The correlation between TDP‐43 immunohistochemistry status and biochemical assay levels was evaluated using descriptive statistics. All analyses were adjusted for potential confounders.ResultsThe mean age at death was 83.5 (±9.9) years with 49% females. Median scan interval was 3‐years. A negative relationship was observed between age at death and annual HA rate (ß=‐3.1; 95% CI [‐5.3,‐0.9]; p=0.007), and a positive relationship was observed between pTDP‐43 level and annual HA rate (ß=0.02; 95% CI [0.003,0.03]; p=0.015). A one‐unit increase in HA rate was associated with a 3% increase in the odds of being pTDP‐43 positive (=400) (odds ratio=1.03; CI [1.007,1.05]; p=0.014). Cases that tested positive for Immunohistochemistry TDP‐43 had significantly higher mean pTDP‐43 immunoassay levels (1508 ± 2072 vs. 202 ± 131; p=0.008). More cases with positive IHC TDP‐43 surpassed the pTDP‐43 immunoassay cut‐off level of 400 vs the negative participants (p=0.003).ConclusionHigher pTDP‐43 levels in the hippocampus are linked to faster HA in AD and correlated with immunohistochemistry TDP‐43 positivity. These findings underscore the role of TDP‐43 in AD neurodegeneration. The biological and clinical implications of these observations necessitate further exploration in subsequent studies.
Chronic Medical Conditions and Dementia Risk: Brain Age Models for Quantifying Impact and Understanding Mechanisms
AbstractBackgroundChronic medical conditions increase dementia risk, and the mechanism may be captured computationally by measures of accelerated brain aging. We hypothesized that quantifying the impact of chronic conditions on GM and WM aging will aid in measuring the differential impact of each condition on brain aging and shed light on the mechanisms through which they increase dementia risk. We specifically focused on microstructural brain changes with Neurite Orientation Dispersion and Density Imaging (NODDI) based on advanced diffusion MRI ‐ neurite density index (NDI), free water fraction (FWF), and orientation dispersion index (ODI).MethodWe identified 1123 participants [913 cognitively unimpaired (CU), 114 with MCI, 96 with AD] from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) and Mayo ADRC with multi‐shell diffusion MRI. MCSA participants had chronic medical conditions’ diagnosis (based on US Dept of HHS) extracted from the electronic health care records. Using the BorutaSHAP algorithm on NDI, ODI, and ISOVF features from GM and WM separately, we constructed two distinct brain age models for GM and WM. First, we evaluated the usefulness of the predicted age gap (PAG), which is the difference between predicted age by model and chronological age, for both WM and GM NODDI models in CU/MCI/AD. We then developed separate GM and WM models for each condition using samples from condition‐negative participants to compare PAG of GM and WM for that condition.ResultThere was greater PAG in GM (avg = ) than WM (avg = 9.15 yrs) in MCI/AD participants (Fig. 1A). Each condition shifted the GM PAG by 0.10 to 3.56 years and WM PAG by 0.38 to 3.72 years with stroke and congestive heart failure showing the greater PAG overall for GM and WM PAD respectively (Fig. 2). COPD, stroke, chronic kidney disease, hypertension had comparatively greater GM PAG than WM PAG; while hyperlipidemia, congestive heart failure and coronary artery disease had greater WM PAG than GM PAG (Fig. 1B).ConclusionChronic conditions are associated with increased GM and WM Brain aging models can aid in quantifying the impact of chronic conditions on dementia risk and understanding mechanisms.
TDP‐43 association with Subiculum and CA1 Hippocampal Subfield Atrophy in Primary Age‐Related Tauopathy
AbstractBackgroundThe TAR DNA‐binding protein of 43 kDa (TDP‐43) is linked to hippocampal volume loss and faster rates of hippocampal atrophy in Alzheimer's disease and primary age‐related tauopathy (PART). Hence, TDP‐43 is becoming an important player in age‐related neurodegeneration. To advance our understanding of TDP‐43 effect on hippocampus, we conducted an imaging‐pathological study to determine which specific hippocampal subfields are affected by TDP‐43 in cases of PART.MethodOne‐hundred fifteen autopsied cases from Mayo Clinic Alzheimer Disease Center, Study of Aging and Neurodegenerative Research Group were analyzed. All had completed antemortem brain MRIs, underwent neuropathological examination per NIA and Alzheimer’s Association (NIA‐AA) criteria and had additional assessment for TDP‐43 deposition. Only cases meeting criteria for PART (Thal phases 0‐2 and Braak NFT stages I‐IV) were included. Hippocampal subfield segmentation was performed using FreeSurfer‐7. Brain volumes were normalized to total intracranial volume (TIV) when comparing TDP‐43 groups. Statistical analyses including logistic regression analyses were utilized to explore associations between TDP‐43 status and hippocampal subfield volumes.ResultForty‐nine of the 115 cases (43%) with PART were female. Thirty‐seven (32%) cases were TDP‐positive. Mean age at last MRI was 84 years. There were no differences in pathological characteristics between both groups except for presence of hippocampal sclerosis which was more frequent in the TDP(+) group (P <0.001). Whole hippocampal volume was significantly smaller in the TDP(+) group (176 ±31 vs. 188 ±27, p=0.049). After stratification of hippocampus into head, body, and tail, TDP‐positive cases had smaller volumes of hippocampal body (p=0.031) and tail (p=0.021) but did not reach significance for hippocampal head (p=0.129). When regions were subdivided into hippocampal subfields, TDP(+) cases showed smaller volumes of molecular layer of the hippocampal body (p=0.046), CA1 body (p=0.031), subiculum body (p=0.023), and presubiculum body (p=0.046) compared to TDP(‐) cases. Logistic regression analysis adjusting for TIV confirmed these associations.ConclusionThis study underscores the association between TDP‐43 and the hippocampus and provides further evidence that TDP‐43 targets multiple regions and subfields of the hippocampus in patients with PART. Intriguingly, regions targeted are those where TDP‐43 deposition is microscopically observed, suggesting a direct “hit” by TDP‐43 deposition.
CSF biomarkers of immune activation and Alzheimer's disease for predicting cognitive impairment risk in the elderly
AbstractBackgroundThe immune system is substantially involved in the development and progression of age‐related cognitive decline and Alzheimer’s disease (AD).MethodAs genetic and environmental factors interactively impact these conditions, we investigated how risk factors such as APOE genotype, age, and sex influence immune activation markers and AD biomarkers in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) in elderly individuals enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging cohort. Among cognitively unimpaired individuals aged over 65 at the baseline visit (N=298), we measured 365 CSF immune activation markers using the proximity extension assay.ResultWe found that age, sex, and diabetes status are associated with altered CSF levels of immune activation markers independently of other factors. For CSF AD biomarkers, we observed significant positive correlations between age and total tau, phosphorylated tau‐181 (p‐tau181), neurofilament light (NfL), and YKL40. APOE4 was also associated with lower Aß42 and higher SNAP25 in CSF. We further examined whether baseline visit variables can predict cognitive decline, represented by the conversion from CDR=0 to CDR>0. We found that age, Aß42, NfL, and REG4 were independently correlated with CDR conversion risk. When the cohort was dichotomized by their median values, older participants with lower Aß42, higher NfL, and higher REG4 at baseline developed cognitive impairment during the follow up with a c‐index of 0.762 while age alone had a c‐index of 0.699.ConclusionTogether, our results suggest that assessing CSF immune activation markers and AD biomarkers can improve the prediction of cognitive impairment risk in the elderly.
Comparison of tau‐PET tracers for in vivo Braak staging: the HEAD Study
AbstractBackgroundTau‐PET tracers allow for in vivo Braak staging of individuals in the Alzheimer’s disease (AD) continuum. The impact of tracers’ characteristics for Braak staging using tau‐PET remains unclear. Therefore, we performed a head‐to‐head comparison of Braak staging using first‐ and second‐generation tau‐PET tracers.MethodWe assessed 51 cognitively unimpaired (CU) and 49 cognitively impaired participants (mean [SD] age 69.4 [7.5] years) with at least two tau‐PET ligands ([18F]MK6240, [18F]AV1451, and/or [18F]RO948) at McGill University, as part of the HEAD study. We calculated standardized uptake value ratios (SUVR) in Braak‐like regions of interest (ROI) for each ligand and investigated their association using Spearman’s correlation. Thresholds defined the presence of tauopathy in each Braak ROI, which was used to assign a Braak stage to each participant. Finally, we assessed the agreement between the Braak staging provided by each tracer, both for the traditional (using separate Braak stages – 0, I, II, III, IV, V, and VI) and simplified (using joint Braak stages – 0, I‐II, III‐IV, and V‐VI) frameworks.ResultIn all Braak ROIs, we found positive correlations between the SUVR values of the three tracers (Fig. 1). The strongest correlation was between [18F]MK6240 and [18F]RO948 in Braak II (r=0.94), and the weakest between [18F]AV1451 and [18F]RO948 in VI (r=0.51). Inter‐tracer agreement regarding the latest stage of abnormality was substantial or nearly perfect between pairs of tracers but moderate between the three tracers (Fig. 2A). The simplified framework presented greater agreement compared to traditional Braak staging, except between [18F]MK6240 and [18F]RO948. At the ROI level, the lowest agreements were observed for Braak II and I‐II, when [18F]MK6240 and [18F]RO948 were compared to [18F]AV1451 (Fig. 2B‐C). [18F]AV1451 had the highest probability of overestimating the Braak stage assigned by [18F]MK6240 and by [18F]RO948, especially at earlier stages (Fig. 3).ConclusionThe ligands presented moderate to nearly perfect agreement for in vivo staging of AD severity. Off‐target binding of [18F]AV1451 to the choroid plexus might explain disagreements at early stages. Overall, slight improvements in agreements were achieved with the simplified framework, as observed in histopathological staging.