Early Machine Learning-Based Identification of Hospitalized Patients at Low Risk of Respiratory Deterioration or Mortality in Community-Acquired Pneumonia: External Validation of a Multivariable Model
Background/Objective: To externally validate our previously published machine learning model for identifying hospitalized patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) at low risk of respiratory deterioration or death using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) who were admitted with CAP and acute hypoxemic respiratory failure using the publicly available MIMIC-IV critical care dataset (Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA). We conducted an external validation study of a previously developed gradient boosting machine (GBM) model without recalibration using data available within the first 6 h of hospital admission. Results: For the primary composite outcome (need for advanced respiratory support [high flow nasal cannula (HFNC), non-invasive mechanical ventilation (NIMV), invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV)] or in-hospital death), the gradient boosting model demonstrated comparable performance in the derivation and external validation cohorts. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.713 in the Mayo cohort (n = 4379) and 0.689 in the MIMIC-IV cohort. Accuracy was 0.612 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.595–0.628) versus 0.606 (95% CI 0.600–0.611), specificity 0.574 versus 0.523, sensitivity 0.723 versus 0.754, NPV 0.860 versus 0.842, and PPV 0.364 versus 0.401, respectively. For secondary outcomes, model discrimination was comparable between cohorts. The AUC for in-hospital mortality was 0.727 in the Mayo Cohort versus 0.733 in MIMIC-IV; for IMV, 0.736 versus 0.724; and for NIMV, 0.732 versus 0.708. Conclusions: Our machine learning algorithm demonstrated good discrimination and a high negative predictive value for identifying low-risk hospitalized CAP patients for respiratory deterioration or death in the external MIMIC-IV dataset, supporting its potential utility for prognostic enrichment in pneumonia clinical trials.
C32-19 Caught Between Defect and Dysregulation - A Case of Immune Dysregulation in a Patient With Severe Pulmonary Nocardiosis and Chronic Granulomatous Disease
Abstract Introduction Chronic granulomatous disease (CGD) is an inherited immunodeficiency caused by NADPH oxidase defects, leading to impaired reactive oxygen species (ROS) production and defective intracellular pathogen killing. Typically diagnosed in childhood, CGD manifests as recurrent infections by catalase-positive bacteria and fungi. Immune dysregulation with hyperinflammatory responses may occur even without infection. We present a case of severe immune dysregulation in CGD with concomitant pulmonary nocardiosis. Case Summary A 37-year-old man presented with one month of progressive productive cough, fevers, malaise, vomiting, poor oral intake and high ileostomy output. He was diagnosed with X-linked CGD at age 5 which was complicated by recurrent skin infections and fulminant colitis requiring subtotal colectomy. Laboratory studies showed elevated WBC and CRP of 282.77mg/l. CT scan of chest showed widespread pulmonary nodules and dense consolidation in the left upper lobe with heterogeneous diminished enhancement suggesting necrosis (Fig 1). Cell-free pathogen DNA sequencing testing on sputum identified Nocardia cyriacigeorgica DNA. Fungal cultures on bronchoalveolar lavage grew Nocardia cyriacigeorgica. He was treated with imipinem-cilastin, sulfamethoxazole-trimethoprim, and posaconazole. His course was complicated by refractory fevers (T.max 40.5 C), septic shock, and ARDS. He had two episodes of extubation failure characterized by sudden recrudescence of fever, hemodynamic change, and worsening oxygenation. Each of these episodes occurred during steroid tapers and improved after reinitiating full stress doses. Immune dysregulation was suspected, and he was maintained on 0.8mg/kg/day of methylprednisone with plans for a prolonged taper. He gradually improved, was weaned off oxygen, and discharged home. Discussion Pulmonary nocardiosis is common in CGD, particularly without prophylaxis. Case series report that some patients fail to improve with antimicrobials alone and require adjunctive corticosteroids to control excessive inflammation, as seen in this patient. Immune dysregulation in CGD involves both defective microbial killing and excessive inflammation. Absent ROS results in persistent NF-κB and inflammasome activation, driving production of pro-inflammatory cytokines, leading to granuloma formation, autoimmunity, and IBD-like colitis. Granulomatous inflammation may cause gastrointestinal or genitourinary obstruction, and up to half of patients develop colitis. Exaggerated inflammatory responses to infection or environmental triggers can also mimic hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH). Concurrent susceptibility to infections and inflammation complicates diagnosis and management. Corticosteroids remain first-line for inflammatory episodes and may be combined with antibiotics, as in disseminated nocardiosis, to control hyperinflammation. However, long-term use is limited by adverse effects, and steroid-sparing agents lack proven efficacy in CGD. Hematopoietic stem cell transplantation remains the only curative option in CGD. This abstract is funded by: None
D22-22 Neighborhood-level Disparities Among Patients With IPF
Abstract Rationale Patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) living in disadvantaged neighborhoods have worse composite outcomes and pulmonary function. Although the current FDA approved drugs reduce lung function decline and may improve mortality for this progressive and fatal disease, equitable access to therapy remains a challenge, which may be contributing to low antifibrotic uptake. Existing understanding of social determinants of health in IPF is derived from local registries and special subpopulations, such as Veterans. The aim of our study is to investigate the association between neighborhood-level deprivation indicators and both the distribution of patients with IPF and outcomes in a large national database. Methods We performed a retrospective cohort analysis between October 1st, 2014, and December 31st 2022, using the Optum Labs Data Warehouse, a large de-identified administrative claims database. We used claims data from commercial, Medicare Advantage, and Medicare Fee-for-Service enrollees across the United States. Diagnosis of IPF was defined using ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes. Social deprivation index (SDI), assessed at the zip code tabulation area level, was determined based on 7 demographic characteristics from the 2015-2019 American Community Survey. Patients were grouped in quintiles based on SDI at diagnosis, where higher values reflect greater deprivation. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated for all-cause mortality as primary and hospitalization as secondary outcome. Results A total of 96,143 patients (mean age 75.1 years ± 6.9 years) were included in the study, 23.5% received antifibrotics. As area deprivation increased, proportion of female, Black, and Hispanic patients increased, whereas, proportion of male, White, and Asian patients decreased. Similarly, antifibrotic use declined slightly, while prescription of steroids and oxygen increased with SDI. Residing in most disadvantaged neighborhoods increased risk of hospitalization (HR, 1.13 [95% CI 1.09 - 1.17] and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.15 [95% CI 1.11 - 1.19]) after adjusting for covariates over median follow-up of 301 days and 680 days, respectively. Conclusion Gender and racial disparities were evident among IPF patients who live in resource-limited areas. Our study shows that greater proportion of female, Black, and Hispanic IPF patients were disproportionately represented in more socioeconomically deprived areas. Furthermore, as area-level disadvantage increased, fewer patients received antifibrotics, while more patients were on steroids and oxygen therapy potentially indicating more advanced disease. Moreover, living in disadvantaged neighborhoods was associated with worse all-cause mortality and hospitalizations. Identifying individuals who live in socioeconomically disadvantaged areas is essential to provide equitable care and improve outcomes for this life-threatening disease. This abstract is funded by: None
A39-18 Ezetimibe Associated With Improved Outcomes in Patients With Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis
Abstract Background Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease that continues to have high morbidity and mortality. There are only 3 approved medications, (nintedanib, pirfenidone and nerandomilast) which marginally slow FVC decline and only nerandomilast having some mortality benefit. All three have no effect on quality of life (exacerbations and hospitalizations). There is an urgent need to find more effective treatment options. Since IPF is predominantly a disease of the elderly with a peak prevalence in those 65 and older, it is common for these individuals to have other comorbidities such as Hyperlipidemia (HLD). Interestingly, in a prior small study of IPF patients, there is evidence to suggest clinical benefit from ezetimibe, a medication used to treat HLD. This study aims to further evaluate the clinical benefits of ezetimibe in patients with IPF in a large national cohort. Methods We conducted this study using the Optum Labs Data Warehouse (OLDW). The OLDW contains de-identified administrative claims data, including medical and pharmacy claims and enrollment records. This study used claims data from commercial, Medicare Advantage (MA), and Medicare Fee-for-service (FFS) enrollees between October 1st, 2014, and December 31st, 2021. Diagnosis of IPF was defined using ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes. Patients without a diagnosis of IPF were excluded. P < 0.05 was set to determine statistical significance. Two matched patient cohorts depending on ezetimibe use were defined. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and secondary outcome was hospitalizations. Results We identified 7724 patients with IPF. After adjusting for age, age group, gender, race, health plan, year of IPF diagnosis, smoking, diabetes, statin treatment, and antifibrotic treatment, two cohorts were identified and matched, patients treated with ezetimibe (n = 3862) and patients not treated with ezetimibe (n = 3862). Among the patients with IPF treated with ezetimibe, ezetimibe use was associated with a reduction in all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 0.704 [0.660 - 0.752], p-value: <0.001) and hospitalizations(hazard ratio [95% CI]: 0.907 [0.857 - 0.959], p-value: 0.001) compared to patients not treated with ezetimibe. Conclusion In patients with IPF, treatment with ezetimibe may be associated with improved clinical outcomes. Further studies are necessary to confirm benefits, assess anti-fibrotic effects, and inform implementation in management of IPF. As IPF remains a disease with limited treatment options, repurposing drugs continues to offer an avenue to find affordable, safe and already approved medications for use. This abstract is funded by: None
Drug Repurposing for Lung Disease: Mechanistic Rationale, Clinical Evidence, and the Path Forward
American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine | April 25, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available
Abstract IntroductionFungal infections, particularly in the Midwest, can often be asymptomatic and may mimic primary lung cancer. This case illustrates pulmonary histoplasmosis in an 80-year-old woman with a history of lung cancer highlighting the diagnostic challenges presented when both conditions coexist.Case SummaryAn 80-year-old woman (prior smoking history of 47-pack-years) with synchronous lung cancers (poorly differentiated non-small cell carcinoma with squamous differentiation in the left lower lobe and squamous cell carcinoma in the right lower lobe) previously underwent radiation therapy to both lesions. She was admitted for shortness of breath and cough and was initially diagnosed with pneumonia based on CT findings. Despite multiple courses of antibiotics, her symptoms persisted over 2 months, improving only temporarily with a short course of prednisone. A follow-up CT revealed increasing confluent thick-walled cavitation in the posterior right upper lobe and superior segment of the right lower lobe concerning for cavitating/necrotizing pneumonia versus possible cancer progression. A PET-CT scan (Fig.1A) showed significant FDG uptake in the right upper lobe lesion and mild uptake in mediastinal lymph nodes complicating the differentiation between cancer and infection. Bronchoscopy with biopsy of an endobronchial lesion in the posterior segment of right lower lobe revealed necrotizing granulomatous inflammation (Fig.1B) with GMS stain showing the presence of fungal organisms suggestive of histoplasmosis. Histoplasma PCR from bronchoalveolar lavage was also positive. She was subsequently started on antifungal therapy for a planned one-year treatment course. DiscussionHigh positron emission tomography (PET) avidity in chest imaging is often linked to aggressive tumors but can also indicate benign conditions such as fungal infections. A “flip-flop sign” on PET imaging, where nodal activity surpasses that of a lung nodule, is typically seen in benign lung lesions, particularly fungal infections. However, infections and inflammatory conditions may also show high PET avidity mimicking malignancy. Endobronchial lesions, common in lung cancer, are less frequently associated with infections. In patients with a history of cancer, active lung infection, and PET-avid lesions without the flip-flop sign, invasive testing is usually required to differentiate between infection and malignancy. In this case, our patient with a history of lung cancer and a PET-avid lung lesion was found to have pulmonary histoplasmosis after invasive testing highlighting the need for comprehensive evaluation.ConclusionThis case emphasizes the importance of considering fungal infections in the differential diagnosis of PET-avid pulmonary lesions, particularly in patients with a history of malignancy.
Dilated Cardiomyopathy Evaluation with Imagenomics: Combining Multimodal Cardiovascular Imaging and Genetics
Abstract Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a clinical diagnosis characterized by the presence of left ventricular dilatation and systolic dysfunction unexplained by abnormal loading conditions or coronary artery disease. However, a broad range of phenotypic manifestations, encompassing isolated scar, DCM with preserved ejection fraction, and overt DCM, should be regarded as a diagnostic classification representing a broad spectrum of underlying aetiologies, including both inherited and acquired heart muscle disorders. A multimodal non-invasive imaging approach is essential for accurate morpho-functional assessment of cardiac chambers and is key to establish the cardiac phenotype and to rule out an underlying ischaemic aetiology. Furthermore, advanced imaging techniques enable deep cardiovascular phenotyping and non-invasive tissue characterization. The aim of this review is to propose a systematic approach to the diagnosis of DCM, emphasizing the importance of genetics and clinical findings for a precise and practical clinical approach. Also, we strive to qualify the role of cardiac imaging in the diagnosis of DCM, particularly on the relevance of novel techniques and clinical utility of actionable parameters to improve current diagnostic schemes and risk stratification algorithms. We further elaborate on the role of cardiac imaging to deliver optimal guidance to aetiology-based therapeutic approaches, verification of treatment response and disease progression monitoring.
Abstract 4147050: Genetic Insights into Arrhythmogenic Mitral Valve Prolapse – A Case-Control Study from UK Biobank and NIH All of Us
Background: Mitral valve prolapse (MVP) is a common valvular abnormality. Observational studies demonstrate an association between MVP and increased risk of sudden cardiac death from ventricular arrhythmias, coined arrhythmogenic MVP. A genetic component has been postulated but remains under-investigated. Hypothesis: Predicted deleterious variants in Mendelian cardiomyopathy and arrhythmia genes are more frequent in arrhythmogenic MVP (aMVP) compared to non-arrhythmogenic MVP. Aims: To comprehensively phenotype and genotype a single-center aMVP cohort and compare to non-aMVP from two large population-based cohorts and investigate their clinical outcomes. Methods: The aMVP cohort included 46 prospectively enrolled patients from a regional referral center for inherited cardiovascular disease and had undergone multi-modality imaging and clinical gene panel testing. The non-aMVP comparator cohorts included 453 participants from the UK Biobank (UKBB), a prospective cohort of 500,000 UK residents, and 1,418 participants from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) All of Us (AoU), a prospective cohort of 450,000 USA participants. Gene variants were annotated in ANNOVAR. Participants with and without pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants reported on ClinVar with ≥2-star level of evidence were considered genotype positive (G+) and negative (G-) respectively. Results: The demographics for aMVP (age 61.2 ± 12.8 years, 56.5% female) and non-aMVP (UKBB: age 59.8 ± 7.3 years, 50.7% female and AoU: age 65.3 ± 13.4 years, 76.2% female) were comparable. G+ participants were more prevalent in the aMVP cohort 10/46 (21.7%) versus non-aMVP in the UKBB 8/453 (1.8%) and in the AoU 21/1418 (1.5%); p<0.001. The most frequently implicated gene in aMVP was TTN . Of 46 in aMVP cohort, 33 (71%) underwent CMR. G+ participants had a higher frequency of late gadolinium enhancement [6/6 (100%) vs. 14/27 (51.8%), p<0.001] and wall motion abnormalities [3/6 (50%) vs. 1/27 (3.7%), p<0.001] compared to G- participants. The aMVP cohort had significantly more implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implants compared to non-aMVP cohort [5/46 (10.9%) vs. 1/453 in UKBB (0.2%), p<0.001]. G+ aMVP cohort showed a trend for developing heart failure and ICD implants compared to G- aMVP . Conclusion: P/LP variants in cardiomyopathy and arrhythmia genes are more prevalent in aMVP participants compared to non-aMVP participants. This could be a hitherto unrecognized effect modifier predicting aMVP .