ImportanceLate-onset meningitis (LOM) has been associated with adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes in children born extremely preterm.ObjectiveTo report the incidence of LOM during birth hospitalization and neurodevelopmental outcomes at 18 to 26 months’ corrected age.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis cohort study is a secondary analysis of a multicenter prospective cohort of children born at 22 to 26 weeks’ gestation between 2003 and 2017 with follow-up from 2004 to 2021. The study was conducted at 25 Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Neonatal Research Network centers.ExposuresCulture-confirmed LOM.Main Outcomes and MeasuresIncidence and microbiology of LOM (2003-2017); lumbar puncture (LP) performance in late-onset sepsis (LOS) evaluations (2011-2017); composite outcome of death or neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI; 2004-2021).ResultsAmong 13 372 infants (median [IQR] gestational age, 25.4 [24.4-26.1] weeks; 6864 [51%] boys), LOM was diagnosed in 167 (1%); LOS without LOM in 4564 (34%); and neither LOS nor LOM in 8641 (65%). The observed incidence of LOM decreased from 2% (95% CI, 1%-3%) in 2003 to 0.4% (95% CI, 0.7%-1.0%) in 2017 (P < .001). LP performance in LOS evaluations decreased from 36% (95% CI, 33%-40%) in 2011 to 24% (95% CI, 21%-27%) in 2017 (P < .001). Among infants with culture-confirmed LOS, LP performance decreased from 58% (95% CI, 51%-65%) to 45% (95% CI, 38%-51%; P = .008). LP performance varied by center among all LOS evaluations (10%-59%, P < .001) and among those with culture-confirmed LOS (23%-79%, P < .001). LOM occurred in the absence of concurrent LOS in 27 of 167 cases (16%). The most common LOM isolates were coagulase-negative Staphylococcus (98 [59%]), Candida albicans (38 [23%]), and Escherichia coli (27 [16%]). Death or NDI occurred in 22 of 46 children (48%) with LOM due to coagulase-negative Staphylococcus, 43 of 67 (64%) due to all other bacterial pathogens, and 26 of 33 (79%) due to fungal pathogens. The adjusted relative risk of death or NDI was increased among children with LOM (aOR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.04-2.25) and among those with LOS without LOM (aOR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.29-1.54) compared with children with neither infection.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this cohort study, LP was performed with decreasing frequency, and the observed incidence of LOM also decreased. Both LOM and LOS were associated with increased risk of death or NDI; risk varied by LOM pathogen. The full association of LOM with outcomes of children born extremely preterm may be underestimated by current diagnostic practices.
Prognostic and predictive significance of PAM50 intrinsic subtypes in the NCIC CTG MA.21 phase III chemotherapy trial.
Prognostic associations of 25OH vitamin D in NCIC CTG MA.21, a phase III adjuvant RCT of three chemotherapy regimens (EC/T, CEF, AC/T) in high-risk breast cancer (BC).
Abstract P1-13-01: A randomized trial of CEF versus dose dense EC followed by paclitaxel versus AC followed by paclitaxel in women with node positive or high risk node negative breast cancer, NCIC CTG MA.21: Results of the final relapse free survival analy
Abstract Background: In 2000, cyclophosphamide(C), epirubicin(E) and fluorouracil (F) (CEF) and doxorubicin (A) and C followed by paclitaxel (T) (AC/T) given every three weeks were commonly used regimens in Canada and the USA to treat women with node positive or high risk node negative operable breast cancer. In a previous trial in women with locally advanced breast cancer, 3 months of dose-dense EC was equivalent to six months of CEF. We hypothesized that the addition of 3 months of a taxane following dose-dense EC would be superior to CEF alone or AC/T. In a randomized trial in women with early breast cancer we compared CEF, dose dense EC/T and AC/T. An interim analysis (JCO, 2010) conducted when 50% of the events for the relapse-free-survival (RFS) analysis were observed, demonstrated that AC/T administered every 3 weeks was significantly inferior to CEF or EC/T. The results of the final RFS including CEF versus EC/T will be presented. Methods: Women, 60 years or younger, with operable axillary node positive or high risk node negative breast cancer were randomized to adjuvant CEF, EC/T or AC/T. CEF was given for 6 cycles and consisted of: C 75 mg/m2 orally on Days 1–14, and E 60 mg/m2 and F 500 mg/m2, IV on Days 1 and 8. CEF patients received concurrent antibiotic prophylaxis. EC/T consisted of 6 cycles of EC every 14 days; E 120 mg/m2 and C 830 mg/m2, both IV on Day 1 with filgrastim 5 [ug]/kg/day subcutaneous from Days 2–13 and epoetin alpha 40,000 units subcutaneous once weekly. After completion of EC, 4 cycles of T 175 mg/m2 every 21 days with filgrastim and epoetin alpha were given. The AC/T regimen consisted of A 60 mg/m2 and C 600 mg/m2 IV every 21 days for 4 cycles. This was followed by T 175 mg/m2 every 21 days for 4 cycles. The final analysis for RFS was planned when 453 events were observed permitting the detection of a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.43 between CEF and AC/T and a HR of 1.43 between EC/T and the best of the other two arms. Quality of Life data using the EORTC C-30 and the Breast Cancer Chemotherapy questionnaires were collected throughout the study. The results will be available at the time of the presentation. Results: A total of 2104 women were enrolled between December 2000 and April 2005. The required 453 events for the RFS analysis were observed by the clinical cut-off date of March 30, 2012. At this point 369 deaths had been observed. The median follow-up is 87.5 months. Outstanding data and queries are currently being collected and reviewed with an expected database lock and final analysis mid August, 2012. Febrile neutropenia remains higher on the CEF and EC/T arms while more neuropathy was seen in the taxane containing regimens. Conclusions: Although the two regimens considered a standard of care at the time the study was initiated are no longer widely used, the trial results will enhance our understanding of the magnitude of benefit of taxane following an anthracycline, the significance of cumulative anthracycline dose, and the role of dose density/ intensity as backbone of conventional chemo regimens. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2012;72(24 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-13-01.
P5-14-01: Differences in Efficacy by Assessment Method: NCIC CTG Adjuvant Breast Cancer Trials MA.5, MA.12, MA.14, MA.21, MA.27 Meta-Analysis.
Abstract Background: Based on recent breast cancer literature, we hypothesized that there could be substantive differences in apparent efficacy estimates using a log-normal (LN) survival model rather than with standard Kaplan-Meier (K-M) or Cox model methods. While both Cox and LN survival analyses offer greater specification by individual patient characteristics, the LN model may more robustly estimate survival under model misspecification. Methods: We recently pooled data for 5 NCIC CTG primary breast cancer trials: MA.5, MA.12, MA.14, MA.21, and MA.27. The total patient count for patients who received at least 1 dose of trial therapy is 11,253. Compilation included definition of STEEP endpoints (C Hudis, JCO, 2008) and standardized factor categorizations. The primary endpoint is Breast Cancer Free Interval (BCFI) defined as the time from randomization until recurrence: first local invasive or DCIS; regional, or distant; contralateral invasive or DCIS; or death from breast cancer. We found substantive evidence of non-proportionality for 7 factors compiled for the meta-analyses. In this work, we fit multivariate Cox and LN models with these 7 factors, lymph node status and pathologic T status. We then compare BCFI efficacy estimates for patient and tumour characteristics at 1-, 3-, and 5-years obtained with K-M, Cox, and LN models. Results: There was evidence that the Cox assumption of proportional hazards was violated for 7 factors: age, menopausal status, hormone receptor status, anthracycline use, chemotherapy use, race, and ECOG performance status. Differences between models were intrinsically affected by timing and extent of non-proportionality; there was no consistent pattern. In particular, investigations to date indicate efficacy estimates with absolute differences between K-M, Cox and LN estimates which varied by time of assessment: at 1-year 0.0 to 6.7%, at 3-years 0.4 to 18.6%, and at 5-years 0.2 to 17.0%. BCFI estimates with the K-M were inconsistently closer to those with the LN or Cox model: for K-M to Cox at 1-year 0.4 to 5.2%, at 3-years 0.4 to 15%, at 5-years 0.4 to 14.3%; for K-M to LN at 1-year 0.0 to 6.7%, at 3-years 0.5 to 18.6%, at 5-years 0.2 to 17.0%; for Cox to LN at 1-year 0.8 to 1.8%, at 3-years 1.9 to 6.0%, at 5-years 0.6 to 5.7%. K-M and Cox models have step-wise adjustments at events for K-M and Cox, rather than smooth modeling with the LN. Discussion: Even with reasonably large population subgroups, there were substantive differences in apparent survival (0.0 to 18.6%) between K-M, Cox and LN model types. The magnitude of differences in survival estimates was large enough to be clinically relevant and warrant further consideration as we evaluate new therapies and prognostic/predictive factors. We will be statistically investigating framework robustness under differing levels of model misspecification. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2011;71(24 Suppl):Abstract nr P5-14-01.