Citations

BACKGROUND: Surgical intervention remains the cornerstone of a multidisciplinary approach in the treatment of colorectal liver metastases (CLM). Nevertheless, patient outcomes vary greatly. While predictive tools can assist decision-making and patient counseling, decades of efforts have yet to result in generating a universally adopted tool in clinical practice. STUDY DESIGN: An international collaborative database of CLM patients who underwent surgical therapy between 2000 and 2018 was used to select 1,004 operations for this study. Two different machine learning methods were applied to construct 2 predictive models for recurrence and death, using 128 clinicopathologic variables: gradient-boosted trees (GBTs) and logistic regression with bootstrapping (LRB) in a leave-one-out cross-validation. RESULTS: Median survival after resection was 47.2 months, and disease-free survival was 19.0 months, with a median follow-up of 32.0 months in the cohort. Both models had good predictive power, with GBT demonstrating a superior performance in predicting overall survival (area under the receiver operating curve [AUC] 0.773, 95% CI 0.743 to 0.801 vs LRB: AUC 0.648, 95% CI 0.614 to 0.682) and recurrence (AUC 0.635, 95% CI 0.599 to 0.669 vs LRB: AUC 0.570, 95% CI 0.535 to 0.601). Similarly, better performances were observed predicting 3- and 5-year survival, as well as 3- and 5-year recurrence, with GBT methods generating higher AUCs. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning provides powerful tools to create predictive models of survival and recurrence after surgery for CLM. The effectiveness of both machine learning models varies, but on most occasions, GBT outperforms LRB. Prospective validation of these models lays the groundwork to adopt them in clinical practice.

Post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) is a complication of immunosuppressive therapy following solid organ or hematopoietic cell transplantation. Initial treatment typically includes a reduction of immunosuppression with or without rituximab. However, the optimal therapy for PTLD with plasmacytic differentiation is unclear. We present 3 cases of pediatric patients with plasmacytic PTLD. Two patients received a standard rituximab-based approach and relapsed, prompting additional chemotherapy. The third patient was treated with a novel regimen of bortezomib, dexamethasone, and daratumumab. This regimen was safe, well-tolerated, and resulted in a 2-year remission. Larger studies are needed to further explore this regimen.

Abstract Background The incidence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has risen among Black individuals and Hispanic or Latino individuals in the USA in recent decades; however, these patients are underrepresented in clinical trials of IBD therapies. We aimed to perform a post hoc analysis of the baseline demographics and clinical characteristics in three phase 3 clinical trials of vedolizumab for ulcerative colitis (UC) to identify differences between racial and ethnic groups. Methods The baseline demographics and clinical characteristics of patients with UC who were enrolled in GEMINI 1, VARSITY, and VISIBLE 1 were pooled and stratified by race and ethnicity, which were self-reported. The inclusion criteria for these trials included adult patients with moderately to severely active UC who had a prior inadequate treatment response, loss of response, or intolerance to conventional therapies or anti-tumour necrosis factor α treatment. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics, with mean or median values calculated for continuous variables, and the number and proportion of patients reported for categorical variables. T-tests and exact tests were used to compare continuous and categorical variables, respectively, between Black and White patients and between Hispanic or Latino patients and those who were not Hispanic or Latino. Results We included 1,358 patients, of whom 1,171 (86.2%) were White, 148 (10.9%) were Asian, 14 (1.0%) were Black, and 25 (1.8%) were of multiple or unspecified racial groups (Table 1). Black patients had significantly higher mean weight (87.9 kg vs 74.8 kg, p < 0.01) and body mass index (30.5 kg/m2 vs 25.2 kg/m2, p < 0.01), but lower albumin (38.5 g/L vs 41.2 g/L, p < 0.05) and haemoglobin levels (115.5 g/L vs 126.1 g/L, p < 0.05) than White patients (Table 1). Ethnicity data were recorded for 465 patients (34.2%). Hispanic or Latino patients were shorter in height (166.6 cm vs 171.0 cm, p < 0.01) and had shorter mean disease duration (4.6 years vs 7.6 years, p < 0.01) than those who were not Hispanic or Latino (Table 2). A non-significant, but numerically greater proportion of Hispanic or Latino patients had pancolitis than those who were not Hispanic or Latino (50.0% vs 35.8%). Conclusion In this post hoc analysis of vedolizumab clinical trials, Black patients and Hispanic or Latino patients with UC had differences in certain demographic and disease characteristics versus White patients and patients who were not Hispanic or Latino, respectively. These differences may have implications for therapy. Thus, inclusion of a more diverse patient population that reflects the demographics of the general population is warranted to adequately ascertain drug efficacy across racial and ethnic groups.

OBJECTIVES: Critically ill patients with COVID-19 experience high rates of delirium and coma. Whether delirium occurs through novel mechanisms in COVID-19 is not known. We analyzed the relationship among biomarkers of inflammation (C-reactive protein [CRP]), hypercoagulability (d-dimer), and lung macrophage activation (ferritin), and the primary composite outcome of delirium/coma next day. We also measured associations between biomarkers and next day delirium and coma independently, and delirium severity. DESIGN: Retrospective, observational cohort study. SETTING: ICUs at two large, urban, academic referral hospitals. PATIENTS: All consecutive adult patients admitted to the ICU from March 1, 2020, to June 7, 2020, with COVID-19 with clinical biomarkers and delirium assessments performed. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Daily concentrations of CRP, d-dimer, and ferritin were obtained. Coma (assessed by Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale) and delirium (assessed by Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU/Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU-7) were measured bid. A cohort of 197 ICU patients with COVID-19 were included. Higher d-dimer (odds ratio [OR], 1.57; 95% CI, 1.17–2.12; p < 0.01) and ferritin quartiles (OR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.02–1.81; p < 0.01) were associated with greater odds of the composite outcome of delirium/coma next day. d-dimer was associated with greater odds of next day delirium (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.14–1.94; p < 0.01) and coma independently (OR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.08–2.14; p = 0.017). Higher ferritin quartiles were associated with greater odds of next day delirium (OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.04–1.70; p = 0.026) and coma independently (OR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.14–2.23; p < 0.01). Higher CRP quartiles were associated with coma (OR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.03–1.79; p = 0.030) and delirium severity the next day (β = 0.30; se, 0.07; p ≤ 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Our hypothesis-generating study found d-dimer and ferritin were associated with delirium/coma the following day, as well as delirium and coma independently. CRP was associated with next day coma and delirium severity. Larger studies to validate these results are needed.

499 Background: The impact of socioeconomic status on gastrointestinal (GI) cancer mortality in the United States (US) is not well-established. We hypothesized that socially vulnerable populations have disproportionately higher mortality rates. Hence, we assessed the association of the social vulnerability index (SVI) with GI cancer mortality across US counties. Methods: Social vulnerability indices were obtained from the agency for toxic substances and disease registry (ATSDR) from 2014-2018 to compute percentile ranking scores (PRS: ranging from 0-1) for each US county. PRS were further categorized into quartiles (Q: 1st: 0-0.25 [least vulnerable]; 4th:0.75-1.00 [most vulnerable]). The wide-ranging online data for epidemiological research (WONDER) database was queried to abstract county-level age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 100,000 person-years (PY) for populations diagnosed with GI cancers. AAMRs were then linked with quartile rankings. Rate ratios (RR) of AAMRs between 4th and 1st Q were subsequently estimated with 95% confidence intervals using population-weighted, Poisson regression. Results: A total of 3142 counties were included in this analysis. The AAMR for overall deaths (OD) and premature deaths (PD; defined as death at age <65) in the GI cancer population was 53.8 and 17.7 per 100,000 PY. A gradient increase in GI cancer-related mortality was observed from 1st Q to 4th Q (OD: 49.2 vs 59.3; PD: 14.1 vs 21.3). This stepwise increase in AAMR over the quartiles was consistent across gender, different racial/ethnic subgroups, and rural/urban categories of counties. The AAMRs for OD were significantly higher in the 4th Q as compared to the 1st Q for gastric (RR: 1.67 [95% CI, 1.51-1.86]), hepatocellular including intrahepatic biliary (1.52 [1.45-1.61]), colorectal (1.21 [1.16-1.26]) and biliary (1.17 [1.06-1.28]) cancer. Similarly, significantly higher AAMRs for PD were observed in 4th Q vs1st Q for gastric (1.81 [1.60-2.05]), hepatocellular including intrahepatic biliary (1.78 [1.58-2.00]), biliary (1.64 [1.35-1.99]), colorectal (1.29 [1.21-1.39]) and pancreatic (1.16 [1.07-1.25]) cancer. However, no significant differences were observed for esophageal and small intestinal cancers. Men with gastric (1.58 [1.41-1.78]) and hepatocellular cancer (1.54 [1.43-1.66]), non-Hispanic Black population (1.54 [1.31-1.80]) with hepatocellular cancer, and Hispanic population with colorectal cancer (1.50 [1.31-1.72]) were observed to have higher overall mortality in the 4th Q compared to the 1st Q. The findings were similar for premature mortality. Conclusions: Population-level data suggests that the US counties with higher socio-economic adversities may be at an increased risk of GI cancer-related mortality. Investigations using patient-level data are required to probe the impact of socioeconomic vulnerabilities on cancer-related mortality.

Abstract Women are less likely to be senior authors, invited to write in scientific journals, and to be cited in high impact journals. The aim of this study was to investigate trends in authorship and gender differences in peer-reviewed burn literature over 13 years. We performed a retrospective analysis of original research articles published from January 2009 to September 2021 in three burn journals. A gender determination application was used to categorize the gender of the first and senior author. Of the 3,908 articles analyzed, 42.5% had a woman first author and 27.6% had a woman senior author. We identified 2,029 unique senior authors, 29.0% of whom were women. Woman senior authorship was associated with increased odds of woman first authorship [OR=2.31 (95% CI 2.00, 2.67); p&lt;0.001]. The percentage of papers with a woman senior author increased from 17.8% in 2009 to 35.7% in 2021. If this 1.0% (95% CI: 0.50 – 1.51%) linear trend increase per year in woman senior authorship continues, we will expect to see equal proportions of woman and man senior authors in the included journals starting in 2037. The field of burn care is far from reaching gender parity with respect to authorship of peer-reviewed publications. Supporting and encouraging gender concordant and discordant first:last authorship dyads in mentorship as well as redistributing obligations that may detract from authorship opportunities are potential ways to improve parity in authorship and academia.

Bcl-2 and Mcl-1 proteins play a role in multiple myeloma (MM) cell survival, for which targeted inhibitors are being developed. AT-101 is an oral drug, which disrupts Bcl-2 and Mcl-1 function, impedes mitochondrial bioenergetic processes and induces apoptosis in MM cells. When combined with lenalidomide and dexamethasone (Rd), AT-101 significantly reduced tumor burden in an in vivo xenograft model of MM. These data provided rationale for a phase I/II study to establish the effective dose of AT-101 in combination with Rd (ARd regimen) in relapsed/refractory MM. A total of 10 patients were enrolled, most with high-risk cytogenetics (80%) and prior stem cell transplant (70%). Three patients were lenalidomide-refractory, 2 were bortezomib-refractory and 3 were daratumumab-refractory. The ARd combination was well tolerated with most common grade 3/4 adverse events being cytopenia’s. The overall response rate was 40% and clinical benefit rate was 90%. The median progression free survival was 14.9 months (95% CI 7.1-NE). Patients responsive to ARd showed a decrease in Bcl-2:Bim or Mcl-1:Noxa protein complexes, increased CD8+ T and NK cells and depletion of T and B-regulatory cells. The ARd regimen demonstrated an acceptable safety profile and promising efficacy in patients with relapsed/refractory MM prompting further investigation in additional patients.