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Abstract Background The management of extramedullary relapse (EM) of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) after allogeneic stem cell transplant (allo-SCT) is not standardized. We present a single institution experience, describing the risk factors, outcomes and management of EM leukemia relapse in AML patients who underwent allo-SCT. Methods After due IRB approval, 351 patients with AML who underwent allo-SCT at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, from 1985 through 2012, were evaluated for EM relapse. All patients had BM biopsies and cytogenetic studies at diagnosis and at relapse. Extramedullary relapse was identified by clinical exams and radiological methods and confirmed where possible by biopsies and cerebrospinal analysis (CSF). Clinical, pathological and transplant related data was retrospectively abstracted. Results Of 351 patients, 26 (7%) had EM involvement at initial diagnosis (17 CNS, 9 non-CNS, 3 both). Forty-four (13%) patients had CNS disease detected prior to allo-SCT. Of these, 17 (39%) were detected at AML diagnosis due to clinical signs/symptoms, 11 (25%) were detected to have CNS involvement at the time of AML relapse and 16 (36%) were asymptomatic; diagnosed on routine pre transplant CSF studies. All patients with pretransplant EM disease received appropriate therapy prior to undergoing transplantation. After allo-SCT, 21 (6%; 12 male) of 351 patients sustained an EM relapse (11 CNS alone, 9 non-CNS, 1 both). The non-CNS EM relapse sites were cutaneous, skeletal, renal, breast, testicular, gastrointestinal tract and soft tissue. In 12 patients with CNS relapse, 8 (68%) presented with localizing signs and symptoms and 4 were asymptomatic. The median age at EM relapse was 42 years (range; 2 - 61 years) and the median time to EM relapse was 443 days (range; 90- 6069 days). Salvage therapy offered in 18 patients included, intrathecal chemotherapy (IT) alone in 2, IT + systemic chemotherapy (CTX) in 2, allo-SCT in 1, CTX alone in 6, IT + radiation therapy (XRT) in 1, CTX, IT and XRT in 1, and CTX + XRT in 5 patients, respectively. Three patients were ineligible for further therapy. Median survival after EM relapse was 136 days (18 – 819, days), with 4 patients alive at last followup. At the time of AML diagnosis; 6 (29%) of 21 patients had EM involvement (2 breast, 1 lymph node, 1 CNS and lymph node, 1 cutaneous), 8 (38%) patients had a monocytic differentiation (AML-M4/M5) and 6 of 9 tested, had CD56 expression. Three (14%), 8 (38%) and 10 (48%) patients were risk stratified based on cytogenetic and molecular status (FLT3/NPM1) into favorable, intermediate and high risk, respectively. Subsequently, all 21 patients underwent allo-SCT with 14 patients undergoing matched related donor (MRD) transplants. The transplant conditioning was myeloablative in 16 (76%) patients, of which 11 (69%) received total body irradiation (TBI). Grade II-IV acute graft versus host disease (GVHD) was noted in 11 (52%) patients, while chronic GVHD was noted in 8 (38). On univariate analysis, factors associated with shortened survival after EM relapse included; high risk karyotype at diagnosis (p=0.009), concurrent bone marrow involvement with EM relapse (p=0.01) and reduced intensity conditioning (RIC) (p=0.04). Importantly, CD56 expression (p=0.27), CNS involvement at diagnosis (p=0.76), and chronic GVHD (p=0.383) were not prognostic. On a multivariate analysis, high risk karyotype (p=0.04) and concurrent bone marrow involvement (p=0.04) retained their negative prognostic value. Conclusions Although uncommon, EM relapse after allo-SCT for AML is associated with poor outcomes. Pretransplant CSF screening identifies a significant number of asymptomatic patients with CNS disease. High risk karyotype at diagnosis and concurrent BM involvement with EM relapse are poor prognosticators. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract Abstract 5148 INTRODUCTION. Patients presenting with a clinical picture of essential thrombocythemia (ET) can actually have an early/prefibrotic myelofibrosis (PMF), according to current WHO criteria, in about 18% of cases. Laboratory tests which are significantly different in early/prefibrotic PMF as compared with histologically confirmed ET (WHO-ET) include decreased gender-matched hemoglobin (Hb), increased white blood cell (WBC), platelet (PLT) counts and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) values. AIM. To evaluate sensitivity (SE) and specificity (SP) of blood cell counts and LDH, at presentation, for the diagnosis of early/prefibrotic PMF vs. WHO-ET. METHODS. Five hundred thirty-six cases (50%) who had complete laboratory data measured at diagnosis constituted the exploratory set of our study and were derived from an international ET database. The discriminatory ability of Hb, WBC, PLT and LDH in correctly classifying patients in the early/prefibrotic PMF or WHO-ET groups was initially tested by plotting their Receiving Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves and comparing the relative Areas Under the Curve (AUC) with the value of 0.50 (which stands for the completely useless of the test). Three parameters with statistically significant discriminatory power were chosen (Hb, WBC and LDH) and thresholds searched in order to guarantee at least 90% of SE or SP. Finally, a diagnostic algorithm was designed. The validation set of this analysis was constituted by 321 patients with WHO-ET (n=62) or early/prefibrotic PMF (n=259) diagnosed by the same pathologist who confirmed the training set cohort and collected in the Institute for Pathology, University of Cologne, Germany. SE and SP for the same parameters and thresholds as well as the final diagnostic algorithm were applied to this set of patients to demonstrate the results' reproducibility. RESULTS. Sensitivity and specificity to recognize early/prefibrotic PFM have been evaluated by ROC curves. The best performance was found for LDH (AUC = 0.7059). WBC and Hb had super imposable curves, with AUC of 0.6279 and 0.6257, respectively. The worst performance was registered for PLT count: its AUC was only 0.5628, not significantly different from the reference value of 0.50 (p=0.154). Thresholds of Hb, WBC and LDH were searched to achieve at least 90% of SE or SP. HB < 12 g/dL for women or <13 g/dL for men, and WBC >= 13 x109/L had higher SP (92% and 91%, respectively). High SP is highly related to the presence of early/prefibrotic PMF (true positives). On the contrary, LDH < 200 mU/mL and WBC < 7 x109/L had good sensitivity (91% and 94%, respectively). High SE is highly related to the absence of early/prefibrotic PMF (true negatives). By applying these SE and SP values in a step-by-step algorithm, nearly half of patients (48%) could be classified as WHO-ET or early/prefibrotic PMF, assuming at each step a margin of error of less than 10%. For the remaining 50% of patients, laboratory results didn't allow to suspect or exclude the presence of early/prefibrotic PMF. In the validation set of 321 patients classified by WHO 2008 as true ET or early/prefibrotic PMF (Cologne cohort) SP of anemia was 84%, WBC < 7 x109/L or >= 13 x109/L had 91% and 81% of SE and SP, respectively. LDH values < 200 mU/mL had 85% of SE. By applying the same flow-chart, 46% of patients were classified as WHO-ET or early/prefibrotic PMF. CONCLUSIONS. The present study provides clinicians with laboratory parameters that should increase suspicion of early/prefibrotic PMF in a patient with a working clinical diagnosis of ET. In fact, while patients presenting clinically with ET can now be discriminated as true ET or early/prefibrotic PMF by adopting the WHO 2008 criteria that require bone marrow histology, an algorithm including baseline anemia, WBC count and LDH, allows this differentiation in about 50% of patients with a good approximation. However, for a definitive proof, bone marrow histology is still an integral part for final diagnosis. Disclosures: Vannucchi: Novartis: Honoraria.

Abstract Background: In both polycythemia vera (PV) and essential thrombocythemia (ET), aspirin and/or hydroxyurea therapy provide adequate protection from thrombosis but not from disease transformation into acute myeloid leukemia/myelodysplastic syndrome (AML/MDS) or myelofibrosis (MF). In designing clinical trials with new drugs, including the use of small molecule JAK2 inhibitors, in either ET or PV, it is important to identify patients who are at a higher risk of early transformation into AML/MDS/MF as well as those in whom the long-term risk of these complications is too low to justify exposure to experimental drugs with unknown short-term and long-term toxicity profile. Methods: Information on an institutional database of 1061 patients with either PV (n=458) or ET (n=603) was updated in July of 2007. The World Health Organization criteria were used for diagnosis of PV, ET, AML, MDS, and MF. Two different approaches were used to assess both early and overall risk of AML/MDS/MF development in both ET and PV. In the first approach, three distinct groups were delineated and their presenting features compared; group A was comprised of patients who have remained AML/MDS/MF free after a minimum follow-up of 20 years whereas groups B and C included patients who developed either AML/MDS or MF, respectively, in the first decade of their disease. In the second approach, prognostic factors for AML/MDS/MF-free survival were examined among the entire cohort of 1061 patients. Results : In ET, the number of patients that fulfilled the above-mentioned criteria for inclusion in groups A, B, and C were 40, 12, and 8; the three groups displayed significant differences in the prevalence, at diagnosis, of lower than normal hemoglobin level (8% vs. 58% vs. 38%; p=0.0004), male sex (18% vs. 58% vs. 50%; p=0.01), and arterial thrombosis at diagnosis (p=0.03), respectively. However, only the former two remained significant during multivariable analysis that included age as a covariate. In PV, the number of patients in groups A, B, and C were 23, 18, and 12; the only difference between the three groups was the association between group B and leukocytosis (p=0.02). Cox regression analysis of the entire 1061 ET/PV patients cohort, including 65 AML/MDS/MF events in ET and 36 AML/MDS events in PV, confirmed the inferior AML/MDS/MF-free survival in ET associated with lower than normal hemoglobin and AML/MDS-free survival in PV associated with leukocytosis (Figure). Conclusion : The current study identifies PV patients with leukocytosis as being the most appropriate and ET patients without anemia as the least appropriate for consideration of participation in experimental drug treatment trials. Figure Figure Figure Figure

Abstract Background : Current prognostication in primary myelofibrosis (PMF) utilizes international prognostic scoring systems that rely on clinical parameters that are sensitive to day-to-day variations and subjective interpretation. Recent studies in PMF have disclosed important prognostic information attached to additional cytogenetic details (Blood. 2011;118:4595) and somatic mutations, including CALR and ASXL1 (NEJM. 2013;369:2379; Leukemia. 2013;27:1861). Methods : PMF diagnosis and definition of blast transformation (BT) were according to World Health Organization criteria (Blood. 2009;114:937). Cytogenetic analysis and reporting was done according to the International System for Human Cytogenetic Nomenclature (Cytogenetic and genome research. 2013. Prepublished on 2013/07/03 as DOI 10.1159/000353118). Previously published methods were used for analyses of CALR, JAK2, MPL and other prognostically-relevant mutations, including ASXL1, SRSF2, EZH2 and IDH(Leukemia. 2014;28:1472). Results : The training set included 964 Mayo Clinic patients (median age 65 years; 62% males) in whom informative karyotype or mutation information was available; cytogenetic information was available in 903 (94%) cases, JAK2/CALR/MPL mutational status in 532 (55%), ASXL1 in 425 (44%), SRSF2 in 434 (45%), IDH1/2 in 376 (39%) and EZH2 in 268 (28%). DIPSS-plus (JCO. 2011;29:392) risk distribution was high in 37% of patients, intermediate-2 in 37%, intermediate-1 in 15% and low in 11%. We used a revised risk stratification for cytogenetics (see accompanying ASH 2014 abstract) to distinguish four distinct cytogenetic risk categories: very high (monosomal karyotype, inv(3), i(17q), -7/7q-, 11q or 12p abnormalities; n=67), high (complex non-monosomal, two abnormalities not included in very high risk category, 5q-, +8, other autosomal trisomies except +9, and other sole abnormalities not included in other risk categories; n=164), intermediate (sole abnormalities of 20q-, 1q+ or any other sole translocation, and -Y or other sex chromosome abnormality; n=133) and low (normal or sole abnormalities of 13q- or +9; n=539). Mutational frequencies were 58% for JAK2, 25% CALR, 7% MPL, 36% ASXL1, 11% SRSF2, 5% IDH1/2 and 6% EZH2. The 131 cases with CALR mutations were further subclassified into two prognostically different groups: type 1/type 1-like (n=110) and type 2/type 2-like (n=21) (see accompanying ASH 2014 abstract). At a median follow-up time of 4.2 years for patients who are alive, 664 (69%) deaths and 70 BT (7%) were recorded. Age-adjusted multivariable analysis that included cytogenetic and mutational risk groups disclosed the following as independent predictors of shortened survival: very high risk karyotype (HR 4.2; 3 points), high risk karyotype (HR 1.9; 1 point), triple-negative (HR 2.8; 2 points), JAK2 (HR 3.1; 2 points), MPL (HR 3.1; 2 points), type 2/type 2-like CALR (HR 3.6; 2 points), ASXL1 (HR 1.9; 1 points) and SRSF2 (HR 1.9; 1 point); EZH2 (p=0.24) and IDH1/2 (p=0.68) and intermediate risk karyotype (p=0.87) were not significant. The above-mentioned significant variables and age demarcated at 60 years (2 points), were subsequently used to develop an HR-derived, genetics-based prognostic scoring system (GPSS) for 369 patients who were fully informative for both karyotype and all significant mutations: low risk (0 points; n=31), intermediate-1 (1 or 2 points; n=90), intermediate-2 (3 or 4 points; n=133) and high (5 or more points; n=115); the corresponding median survivals were >17, 9 (HR 4.7, 95% CI 1.7-13.0), 5 (HR 10.7, 95% CI 3.9-29.3) and 2.2 (HR 29.2, 95% CI 10.6-80.0) years (Figure 1). High risk GPSS was also associated with higher BT rate (HR 7.4, 95% CI 2.1-26.3). The prognostic distinction between high/intermediate-2 and low/intermediate-1 risk GPSS, in terms of both overall (median 5 vs 26.4 years; HR 7.1, 95% CI 3.3-14.9) and leukemia-free survival (median 11.6 years vs not reached; HR 9.4, 95% CI 2.2-41.0) was validated in an independent cohort of 183 patients from the University of Florence (Figure 2). Conclusions : The current study demonstrates the feasibility of genetics-based prognostic models in PMF that rely on objective parameters that are amenable to further refinement as new genetic information becomes available. Figure 1 Figure 1. Figure 2 Figure 2. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract BACKGROUND. In primary myelofibrosis (PMF), survival from time of diagnosis is predicted by the international prognostic scoring system (IPSS), and from time of referral, by the dynamic IPSS (DIPSS) or DIPSS-plus. JAK2/CALR/MPL mutational status and presence and number of other prognostically-relevant mutations (ASXL1, SRSF2, EZH2, IDH1/2) provide IPSS/DIPSS-plus independent prognostic information. The objective in the current study was to revise IPSS, by including mutation-relevant prognostic information. METHODS. The study included 986 PMF patients divided into learning (n=588) and validation (n=398) cohorts. Previously published methods were used to screen for mutations involving JAK2,MPL, CALR, EZH2, ASXL1, IDH1/2 and SRSF2. The clinical variables assessed were those previously identified as being prognostically-relevant by IPSS or DIPSS-plus. The prognostic model (MIPSS) was developed through a stepwise selection process, based on a z-test of the regression coefficients, and its relative quality was measured by means of the Akaike information criterion. RESULTS. In the Italian learning cohort (n=588),median follow-up was 3.6years (95% CI, 0.03-30.8) for alive patients and 196 (33.3%) deaths and 67 leukemic transformations were documented. IPSS risk distribution was low in 26%, intermediate-1 in 30%, intermediate-2 in 24% and high in 20%. Mutational frequencies were approximately 63% for JAK2, 20% CALR, 6% MPL, 7% EZH2, 22% ASXL1, 2.5% IDH1/2 and 9% SRSF2. Constitutional symptoms were recorded in 28.6% of patients, splenomegaly 75% (18% >10cm from LCM) and grade 3 fibrosis 21%. Overall 252 patients were evaluable for karyotype and abnormalities were detected in 35%, including 9.5% unfavorable. Univariate analysis identified the following risk factors for inferior survival: age >60 years, constitutional symptoms, hemoglobin <100g/L, leukocytes >25x109/L, platelets <200x109/L, circulating blasts 1% or greater, splenomegaly >10cm, grade 3 fibrosis, unfavorable karyotype, triple-negativity for JAK2, MPL and CALR (TN), JAK2 or MPL mutation, and mutations in ASXL1, SRSF2, EZH2 or IDH1/2. In multivariable analysis, age >60 years, constitutional symptoms, hemoglobin <100g/L, platelets <200x109/L, TN, JAK2 or MPL mutation, ASXL1 and SRSF2 mutation remained significant; these variables were subsequently assigned the following HR-weighted adverse points: 1.5, 0.5, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 0.5, 0.5 and 0.5, respectively. Subsequently, four risk groups with no overlap in the 95% CI of their survival curves were delineated (Figure 1A): low (score 0-0.5); Intermediate-1 (score 1-1.5); Intermediate-2 (score 2-3.5); and high (score 4 or greater). The number of patients in each risk category, median survivals and HR and 95% CI values are included in figure 1A. Akaike information criterion indicated that MIPSS performed better than IPSS in predicting survival (1611.6 vs 1649.0). Leukemia-free survival was also predicted by high (p<0.01) and intermediate 1/2 (p<0.01) risk MIPSS. In the Mayo Clinic validation cohort (n=398), median age 63 years; males 64%,median follow-up for alive patients was 7.5 years and 271 (68%) deaths and 51 (13%) leukemic transformations were documented. DIPSS-plus risk distribution was low in 13%, intermediate-1 18%, intermediate-2 37% and high 32%. Mutational frequencies were approximately 51% for JAK2, 30% CALR, 7.5% MPL, 5% EZH2, 36% ASXL1, 5.6% IDH1/2 and 13% SRSF2. MIPSS performed equally well in this cohort, as illustrated in figure 1B, which includes number of patients in each risk category with their median survival and HR and 95% CI values. Leukemia-free survival in the Mayo cohort was also predicted by high (p<0.01) and intermediate-2 (p=0.04) risk MIPSS. Patients in the Mayo cohort were fully annotated for karyotype, which was MIPSS-independent in its prognostic value for both overall (p<0.01) and leukemia-free (p<0.01) survival. CONCLUSIONS. MIPSS addresses the mutation-relevant prognostic information gap in IPSS and performs equally well in the setting of patients seen at time of diagnosis or referral. Karyotype carries MIPSS-independent prognostic value that is recognized in an alternative GIPSS prognostic model (see accompanying ASH 2014 abstract), which complements MIPSS. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract Background: Relapse after ATRA-based induction therapy is relatively uncommon in patients with acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL). Long term follow up studies have estimated a 15-25% relapse rate. Autologous and allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT) has been used as an effective salvage strategy. We present a single institution study of the outcomes of patients with relapsed APL that underwent HCT. Methods: After due IRB approval, the Mayo Clinic Transplant Database was retrospectively reviewed to identify all patients across three Mayo Clinic sites with relapsed APL that underwent HCT from 1995-2013. Data was abstracted at diagnosis and at relapse. The aims of this study were to report the descriptive characteristics of patients, with a focus on HCT outcomes. Results: Baseline Patient Characteristics A total of 15 patients (9 (60%) males) with relapsed APL that underwent HCT were identified. Median age was 36 years (range: 19-63) and median follow up from diagnosis was 8.8 years (range: 1.7-17). 2 (13%) deaths (1 from relapse) were recorded. 14 (93%) received ATRA and anthracycline-based induction therapy and 1 received anthracycline-based induction without ATRA. All relapsed patients achieved a complete remission (CR) after induction. Median time to relapse was 1.6 years (range: 0.6-3.9). 10 (67%) patients had a medullary relapse (hematologic-7(70%), cytogenetic -2 (20%) and molecular-1(10%)), 3 (20%) had additional extramedullary (EM) disease (CNS-2, myeloid sarcoma-1), while 2 (13%) presented with EM disease only (CNS-2). Salvage regimens included ATRA in 5 (33%) patients and arsenic trioxide (ATO) in 8 (53%) patients. 12 (80%) patients were transplanted in CR2 and 1 in CR3 (7%), while 2 (13%) had persistent disease (PD) at time of HCT. Allogeneic HCT 4 (27%) patients with a median age of 37 years (range: 33-49) underwent allogeneic HCT. 2 (50%) patients received myeloablative (MA) conditioning and 2 received reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC). 2 patients who underwent MA HCT had PD at time of transplant, while 1 patient in CR3 received a RIC. 2 (50%) patients developed acute GVHD while 2 (50%) had extensive stage chronic GVHD. At a median follow up of 2.6 years (range: 0.3-10.9), 3 (75%) patients remain alive and disease-free. 1 patient died of infectious complications within 100 days of transplant. Autologous Transplantation 11 (73%) patients with a median age of 40 years (range: 23-68) underwent autologous HCT with MA conditioning. 7 (64%) patients were in molecular remission at time of HCT, 3 (27%) patients transplanted before 2004 were in cytogenetic remission and information about type of remission was unavailable in 1 patient. At a median follow up of 6.8 years (range: 0.5-16) since HCT, 1 (9%) patient had a documented relapse at 175 days after HCT and died of disease-related complications. 10 (91%) are alive and in remission. Conclusions: Our single-institution study reaffirms the efficacy of HCT for APL patients with medullary and EM relapse. Autologous HCT has excellent long-term results in selected patients in CR2. Allogeneic HCT was mainly reserved for patients with high risk disease (CR3) and persistent disease at time of HCT. Table 1: Baseline Patient Characteristics N (%) Number of patients 15 Follow up (years) (median, range) 8.8 (1.7-17) Age at diagnosis (years) (median, range) 36 (19-53) Gender Male 9 (60%) Female 6 (40%) Sanz risk score High 4 (29%) Intermediate 8 (57%) Low 2 (14%) Induction Regimen ATRA + anthracycline 14 (93%) Anthracycline-based 1 (7%) Response to induction therapy CR 15 (100%) Time from diagnosis to relapse (years) (median, range) 1.6 (0.6 - 3.9) Type of relapse Hematologic 7 (47%) Cytogenetic 2 (13%) Molecular 1 (7%) Hematologic and EM 3 (20%) CNS only 2 (13%) Salvage regimen ATRA-based 5 (33%) ATO-based 8 (53%) Chemotherapy only 2 (13%) Table 2: Outcomes at HCT N (%) Age at HCT (years) (median, range) 38 (23-68) Disease status at HCT CR2 12 (80%) CR3 1 (7%) PD 2 (13%) Type of HCT Allogeneic 4 (27%) Autologous 11 (73%) Conditioning regimen Myeloablative 13 (87%) Non-myeloablative 2 (13%) Follow up since HCT (years) (median, range) 4.5 (0.3 - 16.3) Disease status at last follow up CR 13 (86%) Relapsed disease 1 (7%) Unable to assess 1 (7%) Alive at last follow up 13 (87%) Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract Abstract 1746 Diagnosis of essential thrombocythemia (ET) has been updated in the last World Health Organization (WHO) classification, that provides a guideline to distinguish ET from early/prefibrotic primary myelofibrosis. These two conditions differ in term of disease evolution and survival (Barbui et al, J. Clin. Oncol. 2011). To design a prognostic model for survival in WHO-defined ET (International Prognostic Score for Essential Thrombocythemia, IPSET), we studied 891 patients with strict WHO diagnostic criteria. Demographics have been presented elsewhere (Barbui et al, J. Clin. Oncol. 2011). We tested the prognostic impact on survival of age, prior thrombosis, leukocyte count, platelet count, hemoglobin level, JAK mutational status, splenomegaly. Harrell's C concordance statistics were used to set the best cutoff levels of continuous variables in order to predict survival. Univariate Cox proportional hazard regression showed that age over 60 years (P<.0001), leukocyte count greater than 11 x109/L (P<.0001), anemia (P=.04), platelet count greater than 1000 x109/L (P<.004) and prior history of thrombosis (P< 0001) were significant risk factors for survival. Age over 60 years (hazard ratio-HR- 6.5, 95% CI: 3.9–10.7; P<.0001), leukocyte count greater than 11 × 109/L (HR: 3.1, 95% CI: 2–4.7; P<.0001) and prior history of thrombosis (HR: 2.9, 95% CI: 1.9–4.5; P< 0001) retained statistical significance on survival by multivariable analysis and were included in the new prognostic model. We assigned each factor an integer weight close to the corresponding HR in the multivariable Cox regression: weight 2 for age over 60 years; weight 1 for leukocyte count greater than 11 x109/L and for prior thrombosis. Finally, we defined the IPSET score by allocating patients into three risk categories with significantly different survival according to the sum of weights: low risk (sum of weights=0; n= 342; median survival not reached), intermediate risk (sum=1-2; N=374; median survival 24.5 years), and high risk (sum=3-4, n=158; median survival 13.8 years). Fisher exact test did not reveal a difference in the distribution of the causes of death among IPSET categories. We validated the model in two independent cohorts: one from Germany (132 WHO-defined ET) and another from France (234 ET patients not strictly diagnosed according to WHO). Log rank test and Cox regression showed significant differences in term of survival among IPSET categories in both series. Finally, we designed an age-specific IPSET model for patients younger than 60 years (IPSET-y). Using the same methodology, we found that age over 45 years (weight 2), leukocyte count greater than 11 × 109/L (weight 1) and prior history of thrombosis (weight 1) were independent risk factors for survival. IPSET-y defined three risk categories (LR, sum=0; IR, sum=1-2; HR, sum=3–4) with a median survival not reached in LR and IR, and of 22.3 years in HR. In conclusion, IPSET, based on age over 60 years, leukocyte count greater than 11 x109/L and history of thrombosis allows prognostic assessment of WHO-defined ET. The validation process makes IPSET applicable in all patients phenotypically appearing as ET. IPSET models may be useful for treatment decision-making. Disclosures: Vannucchi: Italfarmaco: Consultancy; Novartis: Honoraria. Gisslinger:AOP Orphan Pharmaceuticals AG: Research Funding.

Abstract Abstract 3846 INTRODUCTION There is strong evidence indicating that the clear-cut separation of prefibrotic primary myelofibrosis (PMF) from essential thrombocythemia (ET) by consequent application of the World Health Organization (WHO) 2008 criteria is reflected in different, well defined clinical pictures and divergent prognoses (Barbui et al, JCO 2011,Thiele et al, Blood 2011). Very recently the specific risk profile for arterial and venous thrombosis in WHO- diagnosed ET was published (Carobbio et al, Blood 2011). In PMF so far all published data on vascular events were exclusively based on overt disease manifestations until now there are no data available regarding prefibrotic stages. Consequently, we aimed to evaluate the corresponding risk profile of patients with WHO-diagnosed prefibrotic PMF. METHODS A total number of 264 patients with WHO-defined prefibrotic PMF derived from either the Medical University of Vienna or an International Database (Barbui et al, JCO 2011) were studied. Nonfatal thrombotic events considered in this study were reported as rates per 100 patient-years and included transient ischemic attacks, thrombotic cerebrovascular accidents, coronary artery disease, myocardial infarction, peripheral arterial disease, deep vein thrombosis of peripheral vasculature, pulmonary embolism, and abdominal large vein thrombosis. Cardiovascular risks factors considered, comprised of arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus and tobacco use. To evaluate risk factors for total thrombosis and for arterial and venous events in particular multivariate Cox- regression analysis including the co-variables sex, age, previous thrombotic event, laboratory parameters measured at diagnosis and need for cytoreductive and/or antiplatelet therapy during follow-up was calculated. P values less than 0.05 were considered as statistically significant. RESULTS After a median follow- up of 5.8 years (range0.0 – 27.2), the total rate of non fatal thrombotic events was 2.1% patient-years (95% CI, 1.5–2.8); the incidence of arterial events was higher (1.7% patient- years) than of venous events (0.6% patient-years).Considering thrombosis in general a higher white blood cell (WBC) count enhances the risk significantly (p=0.005; HR 1.15). This is also true in arterial events in particular (p=0.047; HR 1.12). A lower platelet count is associated with a higher risk for thrombotic events; for thrombosis in general this association is of borderline significance (p=0.056; HR 0.99), for arterial thrombosis in particular of significance (p= 0.042; HR 0.99). A lower hemoglobin level is associated with a higher risk for venous thrombosis (p=0.007; HR 0.59). CONCLUSION Leukocytosis appears as a risk factor for thrombosis in general and also for arterial thrombosis in particular in WHO-diagnosed prefibrotic PMF. Moreover, higher platelet counts seem to decrease significantly the risk for thrombotic events in general and arterial thrombosis in particular. Anemia is associated with a higher risk for venous thrombosis. These observations are partly in line with recently published findings in WHO-diagnosed ET (Carobbio et al,2011) and might indicate the existence of a specific risk profile for thrombotic events in prefibrotic PMF. This is the first study reporting data on the risk profile for thrombosis in WHO-diagnosed prefibrotic PMF. Certainly these findings ask for validation in a larger patient population. Disclosures: Gisslinger: Novartis: Speakers Bureau; Celgene Austria: Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; AOP-Orphan Pharmaceuticals AG: Speakers Bureau. Vannucchi:Novartis: Honoraria.

Abstract Background : Recent studies have suggested significant associations between karyotype and certain molecular or phenotypic features in primary myelofibrosis (PMF). In the current study of 835 consecutive patients, we examined the spectrum and prevalence of cytogenetic abnormalities in PMF and their molecular and phenotypic correlates. Methods : PMF diagnosis was according to World Health Organization criteria. Cytogenetic analysis and reporting was done according to the International System for Human Cytogenetic Nomenclature. Statistical analyses considered clinical and laboratory parameters obtained at time of cytogenetic studies. Spectrum and frequency of cytogenetic abnormalities : Analyzable metaphases were obtained in 826 (99%) of 835 patients studied; 681(82%) had ≥20 metaphases analyzed. 352 (42.6%) patients had abnormal karyotype, including 240 (68.2%) sole, 64 (18.2%) two and 48 (13.6%) complex; comparison of these groups revealed lower platelet count (p<0.01), higher DIPSS-plus score (p=0.03) and higher percentage of younger patients (p=0.04) with complex abnormalities. Monosomal karyotype was noted in 20 (5.7%) patients. Approximately 150 individual abnormalities were identified; most frequent were 20q- (23.3%), 13q- (18.2%), +8 (11.1%), +9 (9.9%), duplication of chromosome 1q (9.7%) and -7/7q- (7.1%). Other notable abnormalities including i(17q) (1.4%), 12p- (1.1%) and inv(3) (0.6%) were much less frequent. Trisomy 8 was the most frequent in the context of complex abnormality (25%). Among the 500 patients seen within one year of initial diagnosis, 179 (35.8%) had abnormal karyotype, which included 121 (67.6%) sole, 31 (17.3%) two and 27 (15.1%) complex abnormalities; the most common abnormalities were 20q- (24.6%), 13q- (15.1%), +8 (14%) and +9 (10%) whereas 11q- (1.7%), i(17q) (1.1%), inv(3) (0.6%), and 12p- (0.6%) were infrequent. Molecular correlates : 476 patients were annotated for JAK2, CALR and MPL mutations; abnormal karyotype frequencies were 43% in JAK2, 42% CALR, 33% MPL mutated and 34% triple-negative cases (p=0.3). 13q- was associated with mutant CALR (p=0.03) and +9 with mutant JAK2 (p=0.02). Subsets of patients were also screened for ASXL1, EZH2, IDH, SRSF2, U2AF1, and SF3B1 mutations; in all instances, mutational frequencies were higher in patients with normal karyotype, reaching significance with ASXL1 (p=0.02) and U2AF1 (p=0.01). Mutant SRSF2 was associated with 20q- (p=0.02). Phenotypic correlates : Phenotypic correlates included abnormal karyotype with anemia (p=0.02), leukopenia (p<0.01) and thrombocytopenia (p<0.01); complex karyotype with younger age (p=0.04) and thrombocytopenia (p<0.01); leukopenia with 20q-, +8 and -7/7q-; and thrombocytopenia with 20q- and -7/7q-. Cytopenias were less likely to occur with 13q- (p<0.01), which was instead associated with thrombocytosis (p<0.01). 20q- was associated with lower incidence of marked leukocytosis (p=0.02). Trisomy 8 was associated with lower incidences of constitutional symptoms (p<0.01) and marked splenomegaly (p<0.01). Conclusions : The association of 13q- with CALR mutations in PMF might underlie its association with both thrombocytosis and favorable prognosis. The association of +9 with JAK2 mutations might reflect selective clonal advantage through JAK2V617F dosage enhancement or mutation-induced chromosomal instability. The association of 20q- with mutant SRSF2 and thrombocytopenia warrant further clarification of its reported association with favorable prognosis. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract Abstract 3833 Background: Survival in primary myelofibrosis (PMF) is assessed by the Dynamic International Prognostic Scoring System (DIPSS) (Blood 2010;115:1703) and DIPSS-plus (JCO 2011;29:392). The latter is based on eight risk factors including age>65 years, constitutional symptoms, hemoglobin <10 g/dL, red blood cell transfusion need, leukocyte count >25 × 109/L, platelet count <100 × 109/L, peripheral blood (PB) blasts ≥1% and unfavorable karyotype. Recent studies have highlighted the prognostic significance of monosomal karyotype (MK) (Blood 2011;117:5612), unfavorable karyotype (Leukemia 2011;25:82) and platelet count <100 × 109/L ((JCO 2011;29:392), for leukemic transformation (LT) in PMF. Methods: A combination of multivariable and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were applied to a Mayo Clinic database of 884 karyotypically-annotated patients with PMF, in order to define karyotype-dependent and karyotype-independent risk models for LT. The karyotype-independent model was further validated in a separate cohort of 525 PMF patients from an international database (Blood 2010;115:1703). Patients in the Mayo cohort were evaluated at time of referral and those of the international database at time of initial diagnosis. Results I: Sixty cases of LT were documented. Karyotype (categorized into MK, inv(3)/i(17q) abnormalities, other unfavorable, and favorable), PB blast percentage (as a continuous variable), and platelet count (as a continuous variable) were the most reliable (p<0.01) in predicting leukemia-free survival (LFS). The best discriminant levels for inferior LFS were MK (HR 6.2, 95% CI 2.2–17.1), inv(3)/i(17q) abnormalities (HR 7.6, 95% CI 1.8–33.3), PB blast ≥2% (HR 2.4, 95% CI 1.4–4.2) and platelet count ≤41 × 109/L (HR 2.6, 95% CI 1.3–5.1). MK and inv(3)/i(17q) abnormalities were subsequently consolidated into one “very high risk” cytogenetic category (n =27), with a corresponding HR of 6.6 (95% CI 2.7–16.0). HR-based risk scores were assigned to “very high risk” karyotype (2 points), PB blast ≥2% (one point) and platelet count ≤50 × 109/L (one point) to classify patients into low (no adverse points; n =522), intermediate (one adverse point; n =290) and high risk (two or more adverse points; n =72) groups; the corresponding 3-year LT rates were 3%, 10% (HR 2.6; 95% CI 1.4–4.6) and 35% (HR 9.4, 95% CI 4.7–18.7) (Figure 1). Results II: The karyotype-independent model was based on PB blast percentage and platelet count only; low-risk (no adverse points; n =525), intermediate-risk (one adverse point; n =311) and high-risk (two adverse points; n =48); the corresponding 3-year LT rates were 3%, 12% (HR 3.1, 95% CI 1.8–5.4; p<0.0001) and 25% (HR 6.0, 95% CI 2.6–14.1). The karyotype-independent model was validated in a separate cohort of 525 PMF patients with 70 documented cases of LT, from an international database (Blood 2010;115:1703). Conclusions: The current leukemia risk models are applicable at diagnosis or during follow-up, in the presence or absence of cytogenetic information, and complement DIPSS-plus in the comprehensive prognostication of patients with PMF. Disclosures: Vannucchi: Novartis: Honoraria.