Citations

Abstract Within COVID-19 there is an urgent unmet need to predict at the time of hospital admission which COVID-19 patients will recover from the disease, and how fast they recover to deliver personalized treatments and to properly allocate hospital resources so that healthcare systems do not become overwhelmed. To this end, we have combined clinically salient CT imaging data synergistically with laboratory testing data in an integrative machine learning model to predict organ-specific recovery of patients from COVID-19. We trained and validated our model in 285 patients on each separate major organ system impacted by COVID-19 including the renal, pulmonary, immune, cardiac, and hepatic systems. To greatly enhance the speed and utility of our model, we applied an artificial intelligence method to segment and classify regions on CT imaging, from which interpretable data could be directly fed into the predictive machine learning model for overall recovery. Across all organ systems we achieved validation set area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) values for organ-specific recovery ranging from 0.80 to 0.89, and significant overall recovery prediction in Kaplan-Meier analyses. This demonstrates that the synergistic use of an artificial intelligence (AI) framework applied to CT lung imaging and a machine learning model that integrates laboratory test data with imaging data can accurately predict the overall recovery of COVID-19 patients from baseline characteristics.

Abstract BackgroundAcute respiratory failure associated with sepsis contributes to higher in-hospital mortality. Intubation and invasive mechanical ventilation is a common rescue procedure. However, the 2016 International Guidelines for Management of Sepsis and Septic Shock does not provide any recommendation on indication nor timing of intubation. Timely intubation may improve outcome. The decision to intubate those patients is often hampered by the fear of further hemodynamic deterioration following intubation. MethodsThis study aimed at evaluating the impact of timely intubation on outcome in sepsis associated respiratory failure. We conducted an ancillary analysis of a prospective registry od adult ICU patients with septic shock admitted to the medical ICU in a tertiary medical center, between April 30th, 2014 and December 31st, 2017. All cases of sepsis with lactate >4 mmol/L, mean arterial pressure <65 mmHg, or vasopressor use after 30 mL/kg fluid boluses and suspected or confirmed infection. Patients who remained hospitalized at 24 hours following sepsis onset were separated into intubated and non-intubated groups. The primary outcome was hospital mortality. Univariate and multivariable analyses were used, adjusted for admission characteristics and stabilization of shock within 6 hours. In a secondary analysis, time-dependent propensity score matching was used to match intubated and non-intubated patients.ResultsWe identified 345 (33%) patients intubated within 24 hours and 707 (67%) not intubated. Intubated patients were younger, transferred more often from an outside facility, had higher severity of illness scores, more lung infection, achieved blood pressure goals more often but less often lactate normalization within 6 hours. The crude in-hospital mortality was higher, 89 (26%) vs. 82 (12%), p<0.001, as were ICU mortality, and ICU and hospital length of stay. After adjustment, intubation showed no effect on hospital mortality but fewer hospital-free days through day 28. After 1:1 propensity score matching, there was no difference in hospital mortality, but fewer hospital-free days in the intubated group. ConclusionsIntubation within 24 hours of sepsis onset was safe and not associated with hospital mortality, but was associated with less 28-day hospital-free days. Intubation should not be discouraged in appropriate patients with septic shock.

Abstract OBJECTIVES Neuroendocrine thymic tumours (NETTs) are a distinct subgroup of rare malignancies. An international, multicentre retrospective analysis was used to study the clinicopathological features, current pattern of diagnosis, treatment and outcomes of patients with NETT. METHODS One hundred and forty-six NETT treated from 1989 to 2016 at 21 centres in China, Europe and North America were retrospectively collected and reclassified according to the World Health Organization histological type and International Thymic Malignancy Interest Group (ITMIG)/International Association for Studies in Lung Cancer (IASLC)/Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) staging. Clinicopathological features, diagnostic and therapeutic approaches and outcomes were investigated. Results in the earlier and latter halves of the study period were also compared. RESULTS The pretreatment work-up relied exclusively on computed tomography in 85.6% (125/146) of cases. Most patients had advanced disease, with 32.2% (47/146) having lymph node involvement. Higher-grade histological type was associated with more advanced disease (P &lt; 0.05). Induction therapies and surgical procedures were used more often in the latter half of the study. However, the complete resection rate remained unchanged, being 71.5% (98/137) in the whole group. Complete resection was associated with significantly longer 5-year overall survival (77.2% vs 51.2%; P &lt; 0.001) than incomplete or no resection. Significant survival differences were seen with the T, N and M categories of ITMIG/IASLC/UICC staging. Poorly differentiated carcinoma, ITMIG/IASLC/UICC stage IIIa or above and incomplete or no resection were independent risk factors for worse survival. No survival difference was noted between the earlier and the latter halves of the study (58.2% vs 71.9%; P = 0.299). CONCLUSIONS Current management similar to that for thymomas is unsatisfactory in providing disease control or long-term survival for patients with NETT. Specific diagnostic tools and novel therapeutic agents are needed to improve management outcomes of this disease.

Abstract Background Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are increasingly found on cross-sectional imaging, with the majority having a low risk for malignancy. The added value of fine-needle aspiration (FNA) in risk stratification remains unclear. We evaluated the impact of three FNA needles on diagnostic accuracy, clinical management, and the ability to accrue fluid for tumor markers. Methods A multicenter prospective trial randomized 250 patients with PCLs ≥ 13 mm 2:1:1 to 19G Flex, 19G, and 22G needles with crossover for repeated FNA procedures. Diagnostic accuracy was established at 2-year follow-up, with the final diagnosis from surgical histopathology or consensus diagnosis by experts based sequentially on clinical presentation, imaging, and aspirate analysis in blinded review. Results Enrolled patients (36 % symptomatic) had PCLs in the head (44 %), body (28 %), and tail (26 %). Percentage of cyst volume aspirated was 78 % (72 % – 84 %) for 19G Flex, 74 % (64 % – 84 %) for 22G, and 73 % (63 % – 83 %) for 19G (P = 0.84). Successful FNA was significantly higher for 19G Flex (89 % [82 % – 94 %]) and 22G (82 % [70 % – 90 %]) compared with 19G (75 % [63 % – 85 %]) (P = 0.02). Repeated FNA was required more frequently in head/uncinate lesions than in body and tail (P < 0.01). Diagnostic accuracy of the cyst aspirate was 84 % (73 % – 91 %) against histopathology at 2-year follow-up (n = 79), and 77 % (70 % – 83 %) against consensus diagnosis among nonsurgical cases (n = 171). Related serious adverse events occurred in 1.2 % (0.2 % – 3.5 %) of patients. Conclusions Our study results demonstrate a statistically significant difference among the three needles in the overall success rate for aspiration, but not in the percentage of cyst volume aspirated. Flexible needles may be particularly valuable in sampling cystic PCLs in the pancreatic head/uncinate process.

Abstract Background The effect of transjugular intra-hepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement on renal function and the correlation of post-TIPS Cr with mortality remain unclear. This study aimed to assess the effect of TIPS placement on renal function and to examine the relationship between post-TIPS Cr and mortality risk. Methods A total of 593 patients who underwent de novo TIPS placement between 2004 and 2017 at a single institution were included in the study. The pre-TIPS Cr level (T0; within 7 days before TIPS placement) and post-TIPS Cr levels, at 1–2 days (T1), 5–12 days (T2), and 15–40 days (T3), were collected. Predictors of Cr change after TIPS placement and the 1-year mortality rate were analysed using multivariable linear-regression and Cox proportional-hazards models, respectively. Results Overall, 21.4% of patients (n = 127) had elevated baseline Cr (≥1.5 mg/dL; mean, 2.51 ± 1.49 mg/dL) and 78.6% (n = 466) had normal baseline Cr (&lt;1.5 mg/dL; mean, 0.92 ± 0.26 mg/dL). Patients with elevated pre-TIPS Cr demonstrated a decrease in post-TIPS Cr (difference, −0.60 mg/dL), whereas patients with normal baseline Cr exhibited no change (difference, &lt;0.01 mg/dL). The 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality rates were 13%, 20%, and 32%, respectively. Variceal bleeding as a TIPS-placement indication (hazard ratio = 1.731; P = 0.036), higher T0 Cr (hazard ratio = 1.834; P = 0.012), and higher T3 Cr (hazard ratio = 3.524; P &lt; 0.001) were associated with higher 1-year mortality risk. Conclusion TIPS placement improved renal function in patients with baseline renal dysfunction and the post-TIPS Cr level was a strong predictor of 1-year mortality risk.