Jena, Anupam B.

Background: Physicians’ professional networks are an important source of new medical information and have been shown to influence the adoption of new treatments, but it is unknown how physician networks impact the de-adoption of harmful practices. Methods: We analyzed changes in physicians’ use of dronedarone after the PALLAS trial (Palbociclib Collaborative Adjuvant Study; November 2011) showed that dronedarone increased the risk of death from cardiovascular events among patients with permanent atrial fibrillation. Deidentified administrative claims from the OptumLabs Data Warehouse were combined with physicians’ demographic information from the Doximity database and publicly available data on physicians’ patient-sharing relationships compiled by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. We used a linear probability model with an interrupted linear time trend specification to model the impact of the PALLAS trial on physicians’ dronedarone usage between 2009 and 2014. Results: Before the PALLAS trial, the use of dronedarone was increasing by 0.22 percentage points per quarter (95% CI, 0.19–0.25) in our Medicare Advantage sample (N=343 429 patient-quarter observations) and 0.63 percentage points per quarter (95% CI, 0.52–0.75) in our commercially insured sample (N=44 402 patient-quarter observations). After the PALLAS trial and subsequent United States Food and Drug Administration black box warning, physicians in the Medicare Advantage sample with an above-median number of network connections to other physicians decreased their quarterly usage of dronedarone by 0.12 percentage points more per quarter (95% CI, −0.20 to −0.04; P =0.031) than physicians with equal to or below the median number of network connections. Similar patterns existed in the commercially insured sample ( P =0.0318). Conclusions: After controlling for a wide range of patient, physician, and geographic characteristics, physicians with a greater number of network connections were faster de-adopters of dronedarone for patients with permanent atrial fibrillation after the PALLAS trial and subsequent United States Food and Drug Administration black box warning detailed the harmfulness of dronedarone for these patients. Policies for improving physicians’ responsiveness to new medical information should consider utilizing the influence of these important professional network relationships.

Abstract Variation in de-adoption of ineffective or unsafe treatments is not well-understood. We examined de-adoption of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESA) in anemia treatment among patients with chronic kidney diseases (CKD) following new clinical evidence of harm and ineffectiveness (the TREAT trial) and the FDA's revision of its safety warning. We used an interrupted time series approach to estimate changes in use of epoetin alfa (EPO) and darbepoetin alfa (DPO) in the commercial and Medicare Advantage (MA) and Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) populations. We also examined how changes in both trends and levels of use were associated with physicians’ characteristics. Study cohort included patients with CKD stages 3 to 5 during 2007-2015. Use of DPO and EPO declined over the study period. There were no consistent changes in DPO trend across insurance groups, but the level of DPO use decreased right after the FDA revision in all groups. The decline in EPO use trend was faster after the TREAT trial for all groups. Nephrologists were largely more responsive to evidence than primary care physicians. Differences by physician's gender, and age were not consistent across insurance populations and types of ESA.

AbstractObjectiveTo describe physicians’ variation in de‐adopting concurrent statin and fibrate therapy for type 2 diabetic patients following a reversal in clinical evidence.Data SourcesWe analyzed 2007‐2015 claims data from OptumLabs® Data Warehouse, a longitudinal, real‐world data asset with de‐identified administrative claims and electronic health record data.Study DesignWe modeled fibrate use among Medicare Advantage and commercially insured type 2 diabetic statin users before and after the publication of the ACCORD lipid trial, which found statins and fibrates were no more effective than statins alone in reducing cardiovascular events among type 2 diabetic patients. We modeled fibrate use trends with physician random effects and physician characteristics such as age and specialty.Data ExtractionWe identified patient‐year‐quarters with one year of continuous insurance enrollment, type 2 diabetes diagnoses, and fibrate use. We designated the physician most responsible for patients’ diabetes care based on evaluation and management visits and prescriptions of glucose‐lowering drugs.Principal FindingsFibrate use increased by 0.12 percentage points per quarter among commercial patients (95% CI, 0.10 to 0.14) and 0.17 percentage points per quarter among Medicare Advantage patients (95% CI, 0.13 to 0.20) before the trial and then decreased by 0.16 percentage points per quarter among commercial patients (95% CI, −0.18 to −0.15) and 0.05 percentage points per quarter among Medicare Advantage patients (95% CI, −0.06 to −0.03) after the trial. However, 45% of physicians treating commercial patients and 48% of physicians treating Medicare Advantage patients had positive trends in prescribing following the trial. Physicians’ characteristics did not explain their variation (pseudo R2 = 0.000).ConclusionOn average, physicians decreased fibrate prescribing following the ACCORD lipid trial. However, many physicians increased prescribing following the trial. Observable physician characteristics did not explain variations in prescribing. Future research should examine whether physicians vary similarly in other de‐adoption settings.

98 Background: Survival probabilities for patients with multiple myeloma have increased considerably over the past several decades, and a conservative estimate of 5-year survival today is approximately 50%, perhaps higher with optimal treatment. Treatment options for multiple myeloma have grown significantly beginning in 2003 with the approval of bortezomib, followed by approvals for lenalidomide and thalidomide in 2006. The second wave of novel agent approvals began in 2012 with carfilzomib, followed by pomalidomide in 2013. The aim of this study was to estimate the survival gains associated with multiple myeloma therapies after the introduction of novel therapies beginning in 2003 in the United States. Methods: We estimated survival gains for multiple myeloma patients diagnosed in the 5-year period from 2010-2014—who had access to newer therapies like lenalidomide, bortezomib, pomalidomide, and carfilzomib—compared with patients diagnosed in the 5 years prior to the approval of bortezomib (1998–2002). We used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program cancer registry and a generalized gamma regression survival model. The sample from SEER included patients aged > 18 years who had a diagnosis of multiple myeloma between 1983 and 2014. Results: Of 88,462 patients identified in the full sample, 14,446 patients were diagnosed in 1998–2002 and 25,948 patients were diagnosed in 2010–2014. Overall survival was 51% longer ( P< 0.001) in multiple myeloma patients diagnosed in 2010–2014 than in patients diagnosed in 1998–2002. Patients diagnosed in 2010–2014 had median and mean survival of 1.32 and 2.27 years longer, respectively, than patients diagnosed in 1998–2002. Conclusions: Patients diagnosed with multiple myeloma during 2010–2014 had significant improvement in survival relative to patients diagnosed in 1998–2002. This study found continued improvement in survival in multiple myeloma patients in the most recent 5-years of survival data available, demonstrating the considerable progress made since the wave of multiple myeloma innovation began in 2003.