Purpose The traditional end point for assessing efficacy of first-line chemotherapies for advanced cancer is overall survival (OS), but this end point requires prolonged follow-up and is potentially confounded by the effects of second-line therapies. We investigated whether progression-free survival (PFS) could be considered a valid surrogate for OS in advanced colorectal cancer. Patients and Methods Individual patient data were available from 10 historical trials comparing fluouracil (FU) + leucovorin with either FU alone (1,744 patients) or with raltitrexed (1,345 patients) and from three validation trials comparing FU + leucovorin with or without irinotecan or oxaliplatin (1,263 patients). Correlation coefficients were estimated in historical trials between the end points of PFS and OS, and between the treatment effects on these end points. Treatment effects on OS were predicted in validation trials, and compared with the observed effects. Results In historical trials, 1,760 patients (57%) had progressed or died at 6 months, and 1,622 (52%) had died at 12 months. The rank correlation coefficient between PFS and OS was equal to 0.82 (95% CI, 0.82 to 0.83). The correlation coefficient between treatment effects on PFS and on OS ranged from 0.99 (95% CI, 0.94 to 1.04) when all trials were considered to 0.74 (95% CI, 0.44 to 1.04) after exclusion of one highly influential trial. In the validation trials, the observed OS hazard ratios were within the 95% prediction intervals. A hazard ratio of 0.77 or lower in terms of PFS would predict a benefit in terms of OS. Conclusion PFS is an acceptable surrogate for OS in advanced colorectal cancer.
Phase 1 and Pharmacokinetic Study of Intravenous Irinotecan in Refractory Solid Tumor Patients with Hepatic Dysfunction
AbstractPurpose: To determine the recommended starting doses and pharmacokinetics of irinotecan in cancer patients with impaired liver function treated on a weekly schedule.Experimental Design: Patients with solid tumors who had impaired liver function were enrolled into four groups based on baseline serum total bilirubin and aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT): Group 1 (n = 19): total bilirubin 1.5 to 3.0 × institutional upper limit of normal (IULN) and ALT/AST ≤5.0 × IULN; Group 2 (n = 7): total bilirubin 3.1 to 5.0 × IULN and ALT/AST ≤5.0 × IULN; Group 3 (n = 6): total bilirubin ≤1.5 × IULN and ALT/AST 5.1 to 20.0 × IULN; Group 4 (n = 10): total bilirubin 1.5 to 3.0 × IULN and ALT/AST 5.1 to 20.0 × IULN. Irinotecan was given as a 90-minute i.v. infusion weekly for the first 4 weeks in each 6-week cycle at starting doses which escalated from 40 to as much as 75 mg/m2. After the first treatment, doses were adjusted based on individual patient toxicities. Starting doses for patients with hepatic dysfunction were derived from the maximum tolerated doses noted in the four hepatic dysfunction groups.Results: Forty-two patients were treated. Among the most frequent adverse events were neutropenia (41%, grades 3/4), diarrhea (15%, grades 3/4), nausea (10%, grade 3), and vomiting (5%, grades 3/4). Two patients died from drug-induced neutropenic sepsis. Two patients had objective tumor responses (complete response, liver metastases from unknown primary; partial response, colon cancer). Hepatic dysfunction reduced irinotecan clearance while increasing relative exposure to the active metabolite, 7-ethyl-10-hydroxycamptothecin (SN-38). SN-38 exposures in patients receiving doses of 40 to 75 mg/m2 were comparable to exposures in patients with normal liver function treated with a starting dose of 125 mg/m2.Conclusions: Irinotecan starting doses that seem to be safe for hepatically impaired patients treated with the weekly schedule are 60, 50, 60, and 40 mg/m2 for groups 1 to 4, respectively. At these starting doses, exposure to SN-38 and the adverse event profile are similar to that observed in patients with normal liver function and antitumor activity can be observed.