Liu, H

Abstract Background: While TNBC remains the most aggressive type of breast cancer (BC), substantial heterogeneity in biology and outcomes exists among TNBC subtypes. Historically, risk stratification of TNBC has been based on anatomic factors such as tumor size, nodal involvement and presence of distant metastases. However, these features alone fail to accurately predict outcomes. Tumor immune infiltration (sTILs) and distribution of immune cell subsets in the perip heral blood (NLR) have emerged as variables reported to be associated with outcomes in TNBC. We sought to evaluate whether NLR and sTILs provided independent prognostic information in TNBC. Methods: From a cohort of 9,982 women who underwent BC surgery at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN between Jan 1985 and Dec 2012, we identified 605 centrally-confirmed TNBC tumors. Patients (pts) with prior BC, bilateral BC, non-invasive disease, stage IV, neoadjuvant therapy, endocrine therapy, or adenoid cystic histology were excluded. For eligible tumors, clinical and pathologic variables were evaluated, including peripheral blood NLR and central assessment of sTILs per the 2014 International TILs Working Group recommendations. We calculated the Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) between NLR and sTILs and constructed Cox Proportional Hazards Models to evaluate their association with invasive-disease free (IDFS) and overall survival (OS). NLR and sTILs were both analyzed as continuous variables. Results: Most pts had T1-2 (95%) and N0-1 disease (86%). Median OS follow-up was 10.6yrs. Median IDFS was 12yrs (95%CI 10.2-16.7) and median OS was 18.8yrs (95%CI 15.6-20.8). NLR and sTILs were available in 408 and 599 pts, respectively. The median NLR and sTIL content were 2.29 (0.14-10.50) and 20% (0-90%), respectively. NLR and sTILs were poorly correlated (PCC 0.0237). On univariate analysis (UVA), a higher NLR was associated with worse IDFS (HR 1.13; 95%CI 1.02-1.26, p=0.02) and OS (HR 1.17; 95%CI 1.04-1.31, p=0.01). Each 1% increment in sTILs was associated with improved IDFS (HR 0.99; 95%CI 0.98-0.99, p<0.001) and OS (HR 0.99, 95%CI 0.98-1.00, p<0.001). Among pts with high sTILs (≥20%), a higher NLR remained significantly associated with worse IDFS (HR 1.21; 95%CI 1.05-1.38, p=0.007) and OS (HR 1.25; 95%CI 1.09-1.44, p=0.001). In contrast, among pts with low sTILs (<20%), NLR was not associated with IDFS (HR 1.07; 95%CI 0.89-1.28, p=0.49) or OS (HR 1.07; 95%CI 0.88-1.30, p=0.49). The interaction test between NLR and sTILs did not reach statistical significance. A multivariate analysis (MVA; including age, menopausal status, histologic subtype, grade, tumor size, nodal stage, Ki-67, NLR, sTILs, adjuvant chemotherapy, type of surgery and adjuvant radiation) showed that sTILs remained independently associated with IDFS (HR 0.99, 95%CI 0.97-1.0, p=0.019) and OS (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.97-1.0, p=0.044), whereas NLR did not. Conclusions: A lower NLR and a higher sTIL content were each associated with improved IDFS and OS among pts with nonmetastatic TNBC on UVA. However, when evaluated on a MVA, only sTILs remained independently associated with IDFS and OS. Our data suggest that the effect of sTILs on outcomes may not be modified by the NLR. Citation Format: Leon-Ferre RA, Polley M-Y, Liu H, Gilbert J, Cafourek V, Hillman D, Negron V, Boughey JC, Liu MC, Ingle JN, Kalari K, Couch FJ, Visscher DW, Goetz MP. Prognostic value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and its relation to stromal tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) in triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2017 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2017 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P3-05-06.

Abstract Purpose: Triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) is an aggressive breast cancer subtype with substantial risks of disease recurrence. While cytotoxic chemotherapy is commonly administered and reduces recurrence, disease outcomes vary considerably and few prognostic tools are available for risk stratification for TNBC patients. We constructed and validated clinical calculators for invasive-disease free survival (IDFS) and overall survival (OS) for TNBC and compared their performance against AJCC-based models which include only tumor size and nodal status. Methods: From a surgical cohort of 9,982 patients who underwent breast cancer surgery at Mayo Clinic between January 1985 and December 2012, 605 centrally reviewed TNBC patients were identified and used to construct Cox models for IDFS and OS. Patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy were excluded. Variables considered included age, menopausal status, tumor size, nodal status, Nottingham grade, type of breast surgery (mastectomy vs. lumpectomy), adjuvant radiation therapy, adjuvant chemotherapy, Ki67, stromal tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). Missing values were imputed using single imputation with all variables (including outcomes) included in the imputation model. Backward step-down procedure was used for model selections. The final models were internally validated for calibration and discrimination using bootstrapping methods and compared with AJCC-based models. Results: For both IDFS and OS, higher sTIL's, less extensive nodal involvement, use of adjuvant chemotherapy, and lower NLR were significant predictors of improved clinical outcomes. Premenopausal status and younger age were additionally predictive of improved IDFS and OS, respectively. Models for IDFS and OS have good calibration and are associated with bias-corrected C-indices of 0.68 and 0.71, respectively, as compared with C-indices of 0.59 and 0.62 for AJCC-based models. Conclusions: Our data indicate that a clinical calculator that includes sTIL's, NLR, menopausal status, age, nodal involvement as well as chemotherapy use can provide significantly greater prediction of clinical risk than tumor size and nodal status alone. These tools may be used to identify TNBC patients at elevated risk of disease relapse and to aid physician's communication with patients regarding their long-term disease outlook and planning treatment strategies. External validation is required to further evaluate broader applicability of this tool, which was developed utilizing a single-institutional experience. Citation Format: Polley M-YC, Leon-Ferre RA, Liu H, Gilbert J, Cafourek V, Hillman DW, Negron V, Boughey JC, Liu MC, Ingle JN, Kalari K, Couch F, Visscher DW, Goetz MP. Mayo clinic TNBC outcome calculator: A clinical calculator to predict disease relapse and survival in women with triple-negative breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2017 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2017 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-06-07.