Sauver, Jennifer L. St.

Abstract Aims The objective of this study is to longitudinally assess sociodemographic and psychological correlates of increased alcohol use during the coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) period among adolescents and young adults. Methods Pre-COVID period is defined as the 1-year period on or before 31 March 2020, and during-COVID period is defined as the period from 1st April 2020 to 30 March 2021. Univariable logistic regression models are used to evaluate the association of demographic characteristics, Area Deprivation Index (ADI), rurality, changes in Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) and Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD-7) scale severity, and the risk of increased alcohol consumption (binge drinking, number of drinks and drinking regularity) from pre-COVID to during-COVID period. Results and conclusion Our study found that worsened anxiety symptoms, older age, being in college and current cigarette smoking status were associated with increased alcohol use among youth during the pandemic year. Socioeconomic position (measured by ADI) and rural status were not found to be associated with increased alcohol use among adolescents and young adults.

Abstract Background Cognitive function is essential to effective self‐management of heart failure (HF). Alzheimer's disease and Alzheimer's disease‐related dementias (AD/ADRD) can coexist with HF, but its exact prevalence and impact on health care utilization and death are not well defined. Methods Residents from 7 southeast Minnesota counties with a first‐ever diagnosis code for HF between January 1, 2013 and December 31, 2018 were identified. Clinically diagnosed AD/ADRD was ascertained using the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid (CMS) Chronic Conditions Data Warehouse algorithm. Patients were followed through March 31, 2020. Cox and Andersen‐Gill models were used to examine associations between AD/ADRD (before and after HF) and death and hospitalizations, respectively. Results Among 6336 patients with HF (mean age [SD] 75 years [14], 48% female), 644 (10%) carried a diagnosis of AD/ADRD at index HF diagnosis. The 3‐year cumulative incidence of AD/ADRD after HF diagnosis was 17%. During follow‐up (mean [SD] 3.2 [1.9] years), 2618 deaths and 15,475 hospitalizations occurred. After adjustment, patients with AD/ADRD before HF had nearly a 2.7 times increased risk of death, but no increased risk of hospitalization compared to those without AD/ADRD. When AD/ADRD was diagnosed after the index HF date, patients experienced a 3.7 times increased risk of death and a 73% increased risk of hospitalization compared to those who remain free of AD/ADRD. Conclusions In a large, community cohort of patients with incident HF, the burden of AD/ADRD is quite high as more than one‐fourth of patients with HF received a diagnosis of AD/ADRD either before or after HF diagnosis. AD/ADRD markedly increases the risk of adverse outcomes in HF underscoring the need for future studies focused on holistic approaches to improve outcomes.

Objectives Determine whether there are different longitudinal patterns of treatment burden in people living with multiple chronic conditions (MCC) and, if so, explore predictors that might reveal potential routes of intervention. Methods We analyzed data from a prospective mailed survey study of 396 adults living with MCC in southeastern Minnesota, USA. Participants completed a measure of treatment burden, the Patient Experience with Treatment and Self-management (PETS), and valid measures of health-related and psycho-social concepts at baseline, 6, 12, and 24 months. Latent class growth mixture modeling (LCGM) determined trajectories of treatment burden in two summary index scores of the PETS: Workload and Impact. Multivariable logistic regressions were used to identify independent predictors of the trajectories. Results LCGM supported a 2-class model for PETS Workload, including a group of consistently high workload ( N = 69) and a group of consistently low workload ( N = 311) over time. A 3-class model was supported for PETS Impact, including groups of consistently high impact ( N = 62), consistently low impact ( N = 278), and increasing impact ( N = 51) over time. Logistic regression analyses showed that the following factors were associated with patterns of consistently high or increasing treatment burden over time: lower health literacy, lower self-efficacy, more interpersonal challenges with others, and worse subjective reports of physical and mental health (all p < .05). Conclusions Different longitudinal patterns of treatment burden exist among people with MCC. Raising health literacy, enhancing self-efficacy, and lessening the effects of negative social interactions might help reduce treatment burden.

Objective: This study determined the incidence rates for obesity among adult patients ages 20 and older empaneled in primary care practice in Midwest United States to potentially identify an optimum timeframe for initiating intervention. Background: Primary care practice patients are likely to reflect underlying community trends in overweight and obesity; however, data on overweight and obesity in primary care patients is limited. While childhood incidence rates of obesity have been well reported, there is still a paucity of data on the incidence of obesity among adult population; literature has mainly focused on its prevalence. Methods: Medical record review of identified cohort with BMI data was conducted. Population was stratified by age and sex and overweight category was subdivided into tertiles. Results: Majority of 40 390 individuals who comprised the final population and had follow-up data, consisted of adults ages 40 to 69 years (47.5%), female (59.8%) of non-Hispanic ethnicity (95.9%) with 21 379 (52.8%) falling in weight category of overweight. Incidence of obesity was 7% at 1 year and 16% at 3 years follow-up. Highest percentages of individuals who became obese at 1 and 3 years were in age category of 40 to 69 years among men and 20 to 39 years among women. In Cox regression analysis, there was statistically significant association to developing obesity among all tertile groups in the overweight category. Age and particularly gender appeared to be modifying factors to likelihood of developing obesity. Conclusion: Study results suggest that while obesity incidence is higher among certain age groups in both genders, middle-aged women, and men in all tertiles of overweight category are at highest risk and may be the optimum population to target for weight loss interventions. Findings support the initiation of population-based interventions before onset of obesity.

Background: In 2007, the American Heart Association (AHA) infective endocarditis (IE) prevention guidelines recommended that antibiotic prophylaxis before invasive dental procedures for the “moderate risk” (MR) group, which represented the bulk of patients who were to receive prophylaxis before 2007, be eliminated. This decision was met with much concern among some healthcare providers and that concern persists today. We therefore evaluated dental office records in Olmsted County (OC), Minnesota to determine whether patients included in the MR group continue to receive antibiotic prophylaxis despite the 2007 AHA recommendations. Methods: Eligible patients include all adult (≥18 years) residents of OC, classified as having MR cardiac condition for IE (i.e. mitral valve prolapse [MVP], bicuspid aortic valve [BAV], hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy [HOCM], acquired valvular dysfunction [AVD]), with at least one dental visit between January 1, 2005 and June 1, 2015. Eight dental offices located within OC were sampled to identify both dental procedures and whether antibiotic prophylaxis was administered according to AHA guidelines. Results: We identified 334 MR patients. Approximately 62% of MR patients received antibiotic prophylaxis prior to the change in AHA guidelines in 2007. There was a decrease to 7% post-2007 AHA guidelines (P<.001). The magnitude of decline was greater among visits for dental cleanings (from 63% to 6%), as compared to other invasive procedures (57% to 11%; P=0.003) (Figure 1). AVD was the most common cardiac condition (85%), followed by MVP (8%), and BAV (4%). Conclusion: Following publication of the 2007 AHA IE prevention guidelines, there was a rapid, 9-fold decrease in antibiotic prophylaxis in patients with MR cardiac conditions who underwent invasive dental procedures in OC. These data are also critical as we attempt to evaluate the impact, if any, of this practice on the incidence of IE due to viridans group streptococci.

Introduction: Proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) are used by an estimated 29 million Americans. PPIs increase the levels of asymmetrical dimethylarginine, a known risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Data from a select population of patients with CVD suggest that PPI use is associated with an increased risk of stroke, heart failure, and coronary heart disease. The impact of PPI use on incident CVD is largely unknown in the general population. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that PPI users have a higher risk of incident total CVD, coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure compared to nonusers. To demonstrate specificity of association, we additionally hypothesized that there is not an association between use of H 2 -blockers - another commonly used class of medications with similar indications as PPIs - and CVD. Methods: We used the Rochester Epidemiology Project’s medical records-linkage system to identify all residents of Olmsted County, MN on our baseline date of January 1, 2004 (N=140217). We excluded persons who did not grant permission for their records to be used for research, were <18 years old, had a history of CVD, had missing data for any variable included in our model, or had evidence of PPI use within the previous year.We followed our final cohort (N=58175) for up to 12 years. The administrative censoring date for CVD was 1/20/2014, for coronary heart disease was 8/3/2016, for stroke was 9/9/2016, and for heart failure was 1/20/2014. Time-varying PPI ever-use was ascertained using 1) natural language processing to capture unstructured text from the electronic health record, and 2) outpatient prescriptions. An incident CVD event was defined as the first occurrence of 1) validated heart failure, 2) validated coronary heart disease, or 3) stroke, defined using diagnostic codes only. As a secondary analysis, we calculated the association between time-varying H 2 -blocker ever-use and CVD among persons not using H 2 -blockers at baseline. Results: After adjustment for age, sex, race, education, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, and body-mass-index, PPI use was associated with an approximately 50% higher risk of CVD (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.51 [1.37-1.67]; 2187 CVD events), stroke (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.49 [1.35-1.65]; 1928 stroke events), and heart failure (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.56 [1.23-1.97]; 353 heart failure events) compared to nonusers. Users of PPIs had a 35% greater risk of coronary heart disease than nonusers (95% CI: 1.13-1.61; 626 coronary heart disease events). Use of H 2 -blockers was also associated with a higher risk of CVD (adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.23 [1.08-1.41]; 2331 CVD events). Conclusions: PPI use is associated with a higher risk of CVD, coronary heart disease, stroke and heart failure. Use of a drug with no known cardiac toxicity - H 2 -blockers - was also associated with a greater risk of CVD, warranting further study.

Background: Referral to a skilled nursing facility (SNF) should contribute to reducing hospital readmissions; however, a “revolving door” phenomenon after admission to SNF has been hypothesized to drive readmissions. The urgent need to study the impact of SNF on readmissions in heart failure (HF) was recently emphasized, yet this has never been studied in the community. Objectives: To evaluate the association between discharge to SNF and 30-day readmissions in a community cohort of hospitalized incident HF patients. Methods: Olmsted County, MN residents hospitalized with first ever (incident) HF (International Classification of Diseases-9 th Revision code 428) from 1995 through 2010 were identified. HF was validated by Framingham criteria. Patients residing in a SNF prior to hospitalization were excluded from the analysis. Logistic regression was used to examine the association between discharge to SNF and 30-day readmissions. Results: Among 1360 HF patients (mean age 74±14, 47% male), 241(18%) were referred to a SNF. Overall, 296 (22%) patients were readmitted within 30-days after index hospitalization. The proportion of 30-day readmissions was greater among patients discharged to a SNF compared to patients discharged home (27% vs 21%, p=0.031). After adjustment for age and sex, patients discharged to a SNF had a 40% increase in the odds of having a hospital readmission within 30 days post HF compared to those discharged home (OR: 1.42, 95% CI 1.01-1.99). Further adjustment for year of HF diagnosis, ejection fraction, anemia, renal function, dementia and cancer did not alter the strength of the association (OR: 1.43, 95% CI: 0.99-2.09). Conclusion: Among community patients with HF, 30-day readmissions remain frequent and are more likely to occur among patients discharged to a SNF compared to those discharged home. These data provide new insight into the drivers of HF readmissions and suggest that interventions targeted to HF patients in SNFs may be warranted.

Objectives Sex as a biological variable affects response to opioids. However, few reports describe the prevalence of specific adverse reactions to commonly prescribed opioids in men and women separately. A large cohort was used to investigate sex differences in type and occurrence of adverse reactions associated with use of codeine, tramadol, oxycodone and hydrocodone. Design Retrospective cohort study. Setting Participants in the Right Drug, Right Dose, Right Time (RIGHT) Study. Participants The medical records of 8457 participants in the RIGHT Study who received an opioid prescription between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2017 were reviewed 61% women, 94% white, median age (Q1–Q3)=58 (47–66). Primary and secondary outcome measures Adverse reactions including gastrointestinal, skin, psychiatric and nervous system issues were collected from the allergy section of each patient’s medical record. Sex differences in the risk of adverse reactions due to prescribed opioids were modelled using logistic regression adjusted for age, body mass index, race and ethnicity. Results From 8457 participants (of which 449 (5.3%) reported adverse reactions), more women (6.5%) than men (3.4%) reported adverse reactions to at least one opioid (OR (95% CI)=2.3 (1.8 to 2.8), p<0.001). Women were more likely to report adverse reactions to tramadol (OR (95% CI)=2.8 (1.8 to 4.4), p<0.001) and oxycodone (OR (95% CI)=2.2 (1.7 to 2.9), p<0.001). Women were more likely to report gastrointestinal (OR (95% CI)=3.1 (2.3 to 4.3), p<0.001), skin (OR (95% CI)=2.1 (1.4 to 3.3), p=0.001) and nervous system issues (OR (95% CI)=2.3 (1.3 to 4.2), p=0.004). Conclusions These findings support the importance of sex as a biological variable to be factored into pain management studies.

Background: Prevention strategies for Alzheimer’s disease and Alzheimer’s disease related dementias (AD/ADRDs) are urgently needed for reducing incidence. Intra-patient variability in lipid levels is a potentially modifiable risk factor for incident AD/ADRD. Although regular lipid measurements are a part of common clinical practice and longitudinal data routinely available in electronic health records (EHR), research examining this association between AD/ADRD and lipid variability across multiple lipid types remains scarce. Methods: All residents living in Olmsted County, MN on 1/1/2006 age ≥60 years without an AD/ADRD diagnosis were identified using Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services diagnostic codes. Persons with ≥3 lipid measurements (total cholesterol or triglycerides) in the 5 years prior to index date were retained. Lipid variability was quantified using variability independent of the mean (VIM). Models were adjusted for traditional risk factors. Associations between lipid variability quintiles and incident AD/ADRD were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Multiple imputation was used for missing covariates. Participants were followed through 2018 for incident AD/ADRD. Results: The final analysis included data on 11,551 participants with total cholesterol and 11,502 participants with triglycerides. Participants had a mean age of 71 (range 60-99) years, and were primarily white (96%). Females (54%) were also slightly more frequent than males. Median follow up was 12.9 years (range: 0-13). Participants in the highest quintile of variability for total cholesterol and triglycerides had a 20% increased risk of incident AD/ADRD. Similar results were found in the subset with complete covariate data. Conclusion: In a large EHR derived cohort, persons in the highest quintile of lipid variation had an increased risk of incident AD/ADRD. Further studies to identify the mechanisms behind this risk factor and replication of these results across a more diverse population are needed.

Background: Larger within-patient variability of lipid levels has been associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, measures of lipid variability are not currently used clinically. We investigated the feasibility of calculating lipid variability within a large electronic health record (EHR)-based population cohort and assessed associations with incident CVD. Methods: We identified all individuals ≥40 years of age who resided in Olmsted County, MN on 1/1/2006 (index date) without prior CVD. CVD was defined as myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass graft surgery, percutaneous coronary intervention or stroke. Patients with ≥3 measurements of total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and/or triglycerides during the 5 years before the index date were retained in the analyses. Lipid variability was calculated using variability independent of the mean (VIM). Patients were followed through 9/30/2017 for incident CVD (including CVD death). Cox regression was used to investigate the association between quintiles of lipid VIMs and incident CVD. Results: We identified 18,642 individuals (mean age 60; 55% female) who were free of CVD at baseline and VIM calculated for at least one lipid measurement. After adjustment, those in the highest VIM quintiles of total cholesterol had a 25% increased risk of CVD (Q5 vs. Q1 HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.08-1.45; Table). We observed similar results for LDL-C (Q5 vs. Q1 HR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.04-1.39) and HDL-C (Q5 vs. Q1 HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.09-1.43). There was no association between triglyceride variability quintiles and CVD risk. Conclusion: In a large EHR-based population cohort, high variability in total cholesterol, HDL-C and LDL-C was associated with an increased risk of CVD, independently of traditional risk factors, suggesting it may be a target for intervention. Lipid variability can be calculated in the EHR environment but more research is needed to determine its clinical utility.