Gurney, Mark E.

Abstract Recent updates to monocyte count thresholds recognize oligomonocytic chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (OM-CMML) as an early form of CMML. However, the clinical validity of these changes remains uncertain without incorporating biological and genomic factors. In this study, we analyzed a cohort of 911 patients (249 with OM-CMML, 359 with overt CMML, and 303 with myelodysplastic syndromes) using unsupervised clustering to evaluate the role of genomic determinants in refining CMML diagnosis. Our findings show that CMML molecular signatures (biallelic TET2 mutations or SRSF2-TET2 comutations) are linked to a distinct transcriptome, monocytic bias, classical monocytosis, and a higher risk of progression to overt CMML in OM-CMML cases. We developed a weighted genomic model and diagnostic workflow showing that combining genomic signatures with bone marrow monocyte frequencies in OM-CMML more accurately predicts progression to overt CMML. These findings support integrating genomic determinants and our clinic-ready diagnostic workflow into the CMML diagnostic framework to improve accuracy. Significance: Through comprehensive clinical and genomic profiling of a large patient cohort, alongside immunophenotypic and transcriptional cellular analyses, this study provides evidence that incorporating genomic determinants into the diagnostic criteria for OM-CMML improves diagnostic accuracy and refines the identification of early-stage CMML, thereby preventing misclassification.

Abstract Recent updates to the monocyte count thresholds for diagnosing chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) have recognized oligomonocytic CMML (OM-CMML) as an early stage within the CMML spectrum. However, the clinical validity of these revised criteria remains uncertain without considering biological factors and might misclassify myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) with mild monocytosis as CMML. To characterize the genomic landscape of OM-CMML, we evaluated OM-CMML (n=249), MDS (n=304) and myelodysplastic CMML (MD-CMML, n=358) patients (pts) treated at three academic institutions. Targeted next-generation sequencing was performed on bone marrow (BM) at initial diagnosis or first referral. OM-CMML was characterized by lower frequencies of biallelic TET2 (biTET2) and RAS pathway (RASp) gene mutations (BRAF, CBL, KRAS, NF1, NRAS and PTPN11) compared to MD-CMML (p<0.001) but higher frequencies than MDS (p<0.001). BM monocyte frequencies, assessed morphologically, were higher in OM-CMML than in MDS (p<0.001) but lower than in MD-CMML (p<0.001), indicating that OM-CMML is a heterogenous group including true CMML and distinct MDS subsets. Unsupervised hierarchical clustering based on genomic alterations across all cases (n=911) identified three distinct clusters: 1) TP53 alterations (predominantly multihit TP53) and complex karyotype (TP53-complex); 2) biTET2 or TET2-SRSF2 co-mutation (biTET2/SRSF2); 3) a heterogenous group lacking these features (not otherwise specifiable [NOS]). Among OM-CMML pts, 11%, 34% and 55% belonged to these clusters, respectively. Model-based unsupervised clustering further identified 9 unique clusters that could be consolidated into 6 groups: 1) TP53-complex; 2) biTET2/SRSF2; 3) SF3B1 (without biTET2 or SRSF2); 4) SRSF2 without TET2 and frequent IDH2 mutations (SRSF2-IDH2); 5) ASXL1 and U2AF1 mutations and copy number alterations (CNA-ASXL1/U2AF1); 6) no somatic mutations (No mutation). biTET2/SRSF2 group exhibited monocytic bias with higher AMC, PB and BM monocyte % even among OM-CMML cases. This bias was not attributed to higher RAS pathway mutation frequencies, as biTET2/SRSF2 cases had similar RASp mutation frequencies but lower median variant allele frequencies for RASp mutations compared to NOS cases (9% vs. 21%, p=0.029). PB monocyte partitioning using flow cytometry (FC) in a subset of OM-CMML pts (n=50) demonstrated higher frequency of classical monocytosis (>94% CD14+/CD16- monocytes) in biTET2/SRSF2 vs other OM-CMML. To further determine if biTET2/SRSF2 genotype defines a distinct biological subgroup, we performed RNA-sequencing of BM CD34+ cells from healthy donors (n=15) and pts with OM-CMML (n=12), MD-CMML (n=14) and MDS (n=55). Unsupervised clustering based on gene expression profiles revealed that biTET2/SRSF2 clustered irrespective of their diagnostic group with greater dispersion being observed based on diagnosis. MDS and CMML with biTET2/SRSF2 had less differentially expressed genes compared to MDS and CMML with biTET2/SRSF2 relative to other MDS and CMML genotypes. Among 138 OM-CMML pts in whom progression to overt CMML was evaluable, 37 (27%) progressed to overt CMML of which 26 (70%) belonged to the biTET2/SRSF2 group. Competing risk analysis confirmed higher cumulative incidence and shorter time to CMML progression among biTET2/SRSF2 OM-CMML. Using ElasticNet regression we identified BM monocytosis and 14 genomic variables (including biTET2 and TET2-SRSF2) as predictors of overt CMML progression among OM-CMML. We developed a score-based model able to predict progression with high reliability (AUC 0.805, sensitivity 0.70, specificity 0.76). Model accuracy was confirmed by optimism-corrected bootstrap internal validation (AUC 0.668). Monocytic bias, BM classical monocytosis (>94% CD16- monocytes) and higher overt CMML progression in biTET2/SRSF2 was confirmed in a validation cohort (28, 66 and 22 pts with OM-CMML, MDS and MD-CMML, respectively). BM monocytosis of biTET2/SRSF2 was confirmed in this cohort with morphologic and FC monocyte frequency quantification having high concordance (r=0.737, p<0.001). Genomic subgroup analysis discriminated survival outcomes more reliably than diagnostic categories alone. Our findings suggest that the presence of biTET2 or TET2-SRSF2 co-mutations, combined with BM monocytosis, can more reliably identify true CMML cases within the OM-CMML spectrum. Integrating genomic determinants into the CMML diagnostic framework enhances diagnostic accuracy.

Abstract RAS pathway (RASp) mutations induce proliferative features, and promote transformation in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML). However, the unique clonal landscape and hierarchy of distinct RASp mutations remain unexplored. To characterize the landscape, architecture, and implications of unique RASp mutations in CMML, we evaluated a cohort of 814 patients with CMML. We identified 461 RASp mutations among 342 patients (42%). N/KRAS and CBL mutations were the most common, frequently involved the P-loop or RING domains, respectively, and frequently appeared as dominant events (63% and 65%, respectively). BRAF, NF1, and PTPN11 mutations spanned throughout the gene structure, and frequently appeared as subclonal events (75%, 64%, and 59%, respectively). CBL mutations frequently occurred in codominance with SRSF2 and multihit TET2, and were enriched for KIT mutations. PTPN11 mutations more frequently co-occurred with SETBP1 and DNMT3A mutations, and were infrequently codominant with TET2 or ASXL1. RASp mutations predicted for shorter overall survival (hazard ratio [HR], 1.55; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15-2.07; P = .0075) and leukemia-free survival (LFS; HR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.26-2.20; P = .0011), influenced outcomes of myelodysplastic and TET2 mutant CMML, and cooperated with IDH2 and RUNX1 mutations to induce shorter LFS. These data set the bases for refined genomic classifications of CMML, and underscore the need to develop RAS-directed therapies for patients with CMML.

We sought to develop a survival model in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) that is primarily based on clinical variables and examine additional impact from mutations and karyotype. 457 molecularly-annotated patients were considered. Multivariable analysis identified circulating Blasts ≥2% (1 point), Leukocytes ≥13 x 109/L (1 point), and severe (2 points) or moderate (1 point) Anemia as preferred risk variables in developing a clinical risk Stratification Tool for overall survival (OS), acronymized to "BLAST": low-risk (0 points; median 63 months); intermediate-risk (1 point; median 28 months; HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.6-3.0), and high-risk (2-4 points; median 13 months; 5.4, 4.1-7.3); the corresponding 3/5 year OS rates were 68%/53%, 43%/18%, and 12%/1%. BLAST model performance (AUC 0.77/0.85 at 3/5-years) was shown to be comparable to that of the molecular CMML-specific prognostic scoring system (CMML-mol; AUC 0.73/0.75) and the international prognostic scoring system-molecular (IPSS-M; AUC 0.73/0.74). Multivariable analysis of mutations and karyotype identified PHF6MUT and TET2MUT as being "favorable" and DNMT3AMUT, U2AF1MUT, BCORMUT, SETBP1MUT, ASXL1MUT, NRASMUT, PTPN11MUT, RUNX1MUT, TP53MUT, and adverse karyotype, "unfavorable". Molecular information was subsequently encoded in a combined clinical-molecular risk model (BLAST-mol; AUC 0.80/0.86 at 3/5-years) that included the aforementioned BLAST clinical risk variables and a 3-tiered molecular risk score. BLAST and BLAST-mol were subsequently validated by two separate external cohorts. Independent risk factors for blast transformation included DNMT3AMUT, ASXL1MUT, PHF6WT, leukocytes ≥13 x 109/L, and ≥2% circulating or ≥10% bone marrow blasts. The current study proposes an easy to implement, globally applicable, and molecularly adaptive risk model for CMML.

Background: The majority of patients with chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) harbor somatic mutations with the most frequent being TET2 (56%), SRSF2 (42%), and ASXL1 (41%) (Leukemia 2020;34:1407). The prognostic relevance of mutations in CMML has been studied extensively with consistent observations suggesting favorable survival impact from TET2 and unfavorable from DNMT3A, ASXL1, NRAS, and SETBP1 mutations. Among the latter, DNMT3A mutation stands out as being the strongest predictor of inferior overall (OS) and leukemia-free (LFS) survival (AJH 2017;92:56). The current study was inspired by observations from exploratory analyses of a large Mayo Clinic CMML cohort. Methods: The current retrospective study was conducted under an institutional review board approved minimum risk protocol that allowed retrospective collection and analysis of data from patient records (Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN; Scottsdale, AZ; and Jacksonville, FL). Mutations were screened by multi-gene next-generation sequencing (NGS). Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022; 140:1200). Conventional statistical methods were employed for comparisons of groups and survival analysis (JMP Pro 17.0.0 software SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Results: Exploratory analysis of a well-characterized cohort of 398 Mayo Clinic patients with CMML suggested an unusually long median survival of 96 months for 7 patients harboring PHF6 mutation vs. 27 months for those without the mutation. A subsequent institutional database search focusing on PHF6-mutated CMML identified 20 more cases, expanding the total number of study patients to 418, including 27 PHF6-mutated cases. PHF6 mutations clustered with (co-mutation frequency) TET2 (93%) and less likely to be co-mutated with TP53 (0%), PTPTN11 (0%) and SF3B1 (0%) mutations. PHF6-mutated patients often presented with thrombocytopenia (platelet count <100 x 10(9)/L; 85% vs. 51% in PHF6 wild-type cases; p<0.01). Median time from initial presentation with thrombocytopenia to CMML diagnosis was 4 years (0-14 years). In order to isolate the prognostic impact of PHF6 mutation without associated DNMT3A mutation and independent of TET2 mutation, we considered 4 mutational categories: i) DNMT3A-mutated (N=19; 2 co-expressed PHF6 and 7 TET2 mutations), ii) PHF6-mutated with wild-type DNMT3A (N=25; 23 co-expressed TET2 mutation), iii) TET2-mutated without DNMT3A or PHF6 co-expression (N=169), and iv) wild-type for DNMT3A, TET2, and PHF6 (N=205). Compared to the other groups, PHF6-mutated patients with wild-type DNMT3A were less likely to display leukocytosis (p<0.01) or red cell transfusion need at presentation (p<0.01). At a median follow-up of 18 months, 302 deaths, 78 leukemic transformations, and 44 allogenic stem cell transplants were documented. Univariate analysis for OS disclosed superiority in favor of PHF6-mutated patients with wild-type DNMT3A (median OS 90 months) vs. the other three groups with median OS ranging from 10 months for DNMT3A-mutated patients (HR 20.7, 95% CI 8.1-52.7; p<0.01) to 40 months for TET2-mutated cases with wild-type DNMT3A (HR 3.5, 95% CI 1.7-7.6; p<0.01). Results were similar for multivariable analysis of LFS, where, remarkably, none (0%) of the 25 PHF6-mutated patients with wild-type DNMT3A experienced leukemic transformation vs. 15-30% risk of leukemic transformation in the other three groups (p<0.01). Multivariable analysis for both OS and LFS, which included other risk factors such as red cell transfusion need, leukocytosis (leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L) and karyotype, confirmed the independent and favorable impact of PHF6 mutation/wild-type DNMT3A (p<0.01 in both instances). Finally, all-inclusive multivariable analysis of karyotype and mutations, in DNMT3A wild-type patients, confirmed the highly favorable and independent prognostic impact of PHF6 mutation (HR 0.18, 95% CI 0.09-0.37). Conclusion: The current study proposes a 2-gene genomic signature (PHF6 mutated and DNMT3A wild-type) to identify a unique subset of CMML patients who often present with thrombocytopenia and whose clinical course is characterized by a very low risk of leukemic transformation, resulting in superior overall survival. Additional studies are warranted to validate these findings and include the information in contemporary risk models.

Introduction: Somatic mutations in RAS pathway genes are present in ~30% of patients with chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) and are usually associated with myeloproliferative features. Whether mutations in distinct RAS pathway genes share similar genomic context and have similar implications remains unknown. Such an understanding might inform future studies evaluating genotype-specific therapies (RAS-codon specific and pan-RAS inhibitors) or cooperative leukemogenic mechanisms. This multicenter study examines the landscape of RAS pathway mutations (RASMT) in CMML. Methods: Newly diagnosed CMML patients evaluated at MD Anderson Cancer Center (n=449, 54%) and Mayo Clinic (n=383, n=46%) were included after IRB approval. Clonal relationships were tested using Pearson goodness-of-fit. Clones with the highest variant allele frequency (VAF), or with VAF close to 40% were defined as dominant, and those present at VAF <20% in the presence of another dominant clone were defined as subclonal. RASMT genes included NRAS, KRAS, BRAF, CBL, CBLC, PTPN11 and NF1. Standard statistical measures were applied. Results: Among 832 CMML patients (median age 71 years, 68% male) 387 (47%) had myeloproliferative (MP) and 445 (53%) had myelodysplastic (MD) CMML. A total of 350 (42%) patients had RASMT with higher prevalence among MP-CMML compared to MD-CMML (55% vs 31%, p<0.001). Among patients with RASMT, 262 (32%), 59 (7%), 20 (2%), 6 (<1%) and 3 (<1%) had 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 distinct RASMT, respectively. Importantly, 17 patients harbored a RASmt as the only detectable somatic mutation, with KRASMT being the most frequent (n=10, 59%), including 3 (18%) patients with >1 RASMT. Among RASMT patients, a trend for higher hemoglobin (12.7 vs 10.8 g/dL, p=0.054) was observed in NF1MT CMML and lower WBC (14.4 vs 27.9 x109/L, p=0.067) values in CBLMT CMML. In total, 479 somatic mutations in RAS pathway genes were identified the most frequent involving NRAS (n=169, 35%) followed by CBL (n=120, 25%), KRAS (n=102, 21%), PTPN11 (n=38, 8%), NF1 (n=34, 7%), BRAF (n=11, 2%) and CBLC (n=5, 1%). Most frequently involved codons for each RAS pathway gene were as follows: G594 (n=3) for BRAF, R420 (n=22) and C404 (n=15) for CBL, G12 (n=41; G12D: 13, G12C: 3) and A146 (n=16) for KRAS, G12 (n=116; G12D: 74, G12C: 5) for NRAS and A72 (n=8) for PTPN11. CBLMT CMML had higher ASXL1 (58% vs 44%, p=0.011), BRAF (8% vs 4%, p=0.017), IDH2 (10% vs 4%, p=0.024), KIT (5% vs 1%, p=0.038), SRSF2 (54% vs 40%, p=0.004), TET2 (59% vs 47%, p=0.019) and ZRSR2 (10% vs 4%, p=0.014) co-mutation frequency. Of note, DNMT3A mutations were mutually exclusive of CBLMT CMML (0% vs 7%, p=0.007), and multihit TET2 was more common among TET2MT/CBLMT vs TET2MT/CBLWT CMML (82% vs 67%, p =0.039). CMML with NF1 mutations had higher BCORL1 (8% vs 0%, p=0.005), PTPN11 (15% vs 3%, p=0.014) and SETBP1 (23% vs 8%, p=0.022) mutational cooccurrences. NRASMT CMML was enriched for ASXL1 (53% vs 43%, p=0.042), ETNK1 (5% vs 1%, p=0.004), GATA2 (4% vs 1%, p=0.034) and STAG2 (4% vs 1 %, p=0.023) mutations but had lower JAK2 (1% vs 6%, p=0.036) and TP53 (1% vs 5%, p=0.022) mutational frequency. PTPN11 mutations were associated with higher NF1 (29% vs 7%, p=0.014), SETBP1 (27% vs 9%, p=0.01) and WT1 (6% vs <1%, p=0.014) mutational cooccurrences and lower SRSF2 (23% vs 42%, p=0.05) frequency. We evaluated RAS mutant clonal dominance in 253 (72%) RASMT patients. NRAS (63% vs 38%), KRAS (63% vs 38%) and CBL (65% vs 35%) mutations were more frequently observed as dominant clones while PTPN11 (44% vs 56%), BRAF (25% vs 75%) and NF1 (35% vs 65%) mutations were more frequently subclonal events, particularly of TET2, ASXL1 or SRSF2 mutant clones. Presence of a RAS pathway mutation was associated with shorter LFS (36 vs 53 months, HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.1-2.2, p=0.020), with presence of multiple RAS mutations shortening LFS further (53, 43, 27 months for 0, 1 and >1, p=0.017). PTPN11 mutations predicted for shorter OS (18 vs 39 months, HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.0-2.8, p=0.035) and LFS (14 vs 36 months, HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.2-2.9, p=0.008). Presence of >1 RAS pathway mutation was associated with shorter OS in ASXL1MT/TET2MT CMML compared to those with no RAS mutations (24 vs 53 months, HR 4.2, 95% CI 1.6-10.8, p=0.004). Conclusions: RAS mutations exhibit distinct genomic features and clonal hierarchy in CMML and cooperate with other somatic mutations to drive clinical outcomes. This study forms the foundation for assessment of novel RAS pathway inhibitors in CMML.

Background: Chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapy has shown substantial promise in treatment of hematological malignancies, including non-Hodgkin Lymphoma (NHL). A subset of patients develop prolonged cytopenia, comprising quality of life, increasing healthcare utilization, and imparting considerable morbidity and mortality. Therapy-related myeloid neoplasms (t-MN), typically seen in patients who receive DNA-damaging agents such as radiotherapy and alkylators, have also been observed in CAR-T recipients. CAR-Hematotox score predicts the development of hematotoxicity in CAR-T recipients using laboratory parameters obtained at lymphodepleting (LD) chemotherapy, a timepoint when the patient has already gone through leukapheresis thus committed to the CAR-T process. Therefore, it is critical to identify patients at the highest risk of prolonged cytopenia and/or t-MN prior to apheresis, making it possible for a better triage of those who will proceed with CAR-T and those who might benefit from other strategies. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted in NHL patients who received commercial CAR-T products between January 2018 and March 2024 at Mayo Clinic Rochester, Arizona and Florida. Clinical and laboratory data including age, hemoglobin (Hb), absolute neutrophil count (ANC), platelet (PLT), ferritin, and LDH, obtained at the initial CAR-T evaluation, typically within 1 week of leukapheresis, were used for analysis. Prior lines of therapies including autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT) were collected. Prolonged cytopenias were defined as Hb < 8 g/dL, ANC < 0.5 x 109/L, and/or PLT < 50 x 109/L at 3 months after CAR-T. t-MN was diagnosed per WHO 2016. For prolonged cytopenia, the optimal cutoff points for continuous variables were determined by maximizing the sum of sensitivity and specificity. Logistic regression was then used to determine the factors associated with cytopenia at 3 months post-CAR-T. For t-MN, maximally selected log-rank statistics was used to determine the optimal cutoffs. We used competing risk analysis to determine the factors associated with development of t-MN. Death without t-MN was considered a competing risk. For both analyses, the factors with P < 0.1 in univariate analysis (UVA) were included in multivariate analysis (MVA). Results: Among the 387 NHL patients, with a median follow-up of 11 months (95% CI 8.7 - 12.2 months), 56 (14.4%) developed (41, 10.5% with 1 cytopenia; 14, 3.6% with 2 and 1, 0.2% with cytopenia in all 3 lineages), 20 (5.2%) developed and 315 (81.2%) did not have either. Factors associated with prolonged cytopenia: were age >, PLT ≤ 150, ferritin ≥ 600, and LDH ≥ 250. Univariate analysis identified baseline Hb, ANC, PLT and ferritin to be significantly associated with prolonged cytopenia. MVA identified Hb ≤ 11 (HR = 1.98; 95% CI 1.03-3.85, P = 0.042) and PLT ≤ (HR = 2.56; 95% CI 1.39-4.78; P = 0.003) to be associated with the development of prolonged cytopenia. Factors associated with t-MN:were age > 65 years, Hb ≤ 9 g/dl, ANC < 3.8, PLT ≤ 80, Univariate analysis identified age, Hb, ANC, PLT, ferritin, and ≥ 3 prior lines of treatment to be significantly associated with t-MN. On MVA, age ≥ 65 (HR = 3.91; 95% CI 1.52-10.03; P = 0.004), Hb ≤ 9 (HR = 3.49; 95% CI 1.38-8.85; P = 0.008), ferritin ≥ 300 (HR = 3.06 ; 95% CI 1.08-8.67; P = 0.035) and ≥ 3 prior lines of therapy (HR = 3.25; 95% CI 1.33-7.94 ; P = 0.010) were associated with t-MN development. Association of prolonged cytopenia with t-MN development: Prolonged cytopenia was noted in 45% of patients who developed t-MN and 15% of those who did not (P = 0.002). Cumulative incidence of t-MN at 1 year was 3.3% and the presence of prolonged cytopenia was associated with a higher 1of t-MN (HR 8.93, 95% CI 2.15 - 37.1, P = 0.003). Conclusions: Readily accessible clinical and lab data such as blood count and inflammatory markers at the time of CAR-T evaluation were associated with the development of prolonged cytopenias. Similarly, advanced age, anemia, high ferritin levels and history of ≥3 lines of therapy were associated with the development of t-MN. These findings, when validated in larger dataset, can be used for patient counseling and therapy selection by identifying patients at high-risk of developing hematotoxicity and/or t-MN development.

Background: Previously published risk variables for chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) included age, gender, CMML subtype, red blood cell (RBC) transfusion status, hemoglobin, leukocyte, monocyte, lymphocyte and platelet counts, immature myeloid cells, peripheral blood (PB) or bone marrow blast percentage, and mutations including ASXL1, RUNX1, NRAS, and SETBP1. Recent studies have reported on additional prognostically favorable (TET2) or unfavorable (DNMT3A, ASXL1, NRAS, SETBP1) mutations. In the current study, we took advantage of a clinically well-characterized and molecularly annotated cohort of CMML patients, in order to revisit the prognostic interaction between the aforementioned risk factors, with emphasis on mutations. Methods: The current study was conducted under an institutional review board approved protocol that allowed retrospective collection and analysis of data from Mayo Clinic patient records. Mutations were screened by multi-gene next-generation sequencing (NGS). Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022; 140:1200). Conventional statistical methods were employed (JMP Pro 17.0.0 software SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Survival analysis was censored for allogeneic stem cell transplantation (ASCT). Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) plots and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) were used to compare predictive performance of the new model (MMMv2) vs. the Mayo Molecular Model (MMM) vs. the CMML-specific prognostic scoring system (CPSS). Results: The study cohort included 416 patients with CMML that were fully annotated for mutations. Cytogenetic information was available in 404 patients. At a median follow-up of 18 months, 302 (72%) deaths, 72 (18%) leukemic transformations, and 44 (11%) ASCTs were documented. Age-adjusted multivariable analysis (MVA) of mutations identified the following as risk factors: DNMT3A (HR 5.5; p<0.01), PHF6 (HR 0.3; p<0.01), TET2 (HR 0.6; p<0.01), PTPN11 (HR 2.5; p=0.01), NRAS (HR 1.6; p<0.01), ASXL1 (HR 1.3; p=0.02), and SETBP1 (HR 1.8; p=0.01). A separate MVA of clinical and cytogenetic variables identified RBC transfusion need, leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L, peripheral blood blast ≥1%, abnormal karyotype, older age, and male sex to be independently associated with inferior survival (p<0.04 in all instances). All-inclusive MVA identified the following as independent risk factors for survival (p <0.01): DNMT3A mutation (HR 3.7; 95% CI 2.0-6.7), absence of PHF6 mutation (HR 2.8; 1.3-5.8), RBC transfusion need (HR 2.3; 1.7-3.1), leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L (HR 2.0; 1.5-2.6), abnormal karyotype (HR 1.6; 1.2-2.2), and absence of TET2 mutation (HR 1.4,1.1-1.8). An HR based prognostic model was subsequently constructed by assigning 3 points to DNMT3A mutation, 2 points each for RBC transfusion need, leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L, and absence of PHF6 mutation and one point each for abnormal karyotype and absence of TET2 mutation, resulting in a 4-tiered survival risk model (MMMv2): low risk (0-2 points; N=103) with median survival of 74 months; intermediate-1 (3 points; N=65) with median 37 months; intermediate-2 (4-5 points; N=126) with median 19 months; and high (6 points; N=88) with median 12 months (p<0.01). Independent genetic risk factors associated with inferior leukemia-free survival included DNMT3A (HR 5.5), PHF6 (HR 0.2), abnormal karyotype (HR 2.0), PTPN11 (HR 5.2), ASXL1 (HR 2.0), and BCOR (HR 8.7). Leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L (p=0.01) but not RBC transfusion need (p=0.2) was additionally significant. However, presence of immature myeloid cells (p<0.01) and circulating blasts ≥1% (p<0.01) were prognostically more relevant than leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L and independently predicted leukemic transformation, along with DNMT3A, PTPN11 and ASXL1 mutations. Predictive performance was superior for MMMv2 (AUC 87, AIC 137) vs. MMM (AUC 74, AIC 194) vs. CPSS (AUC 76, AIC 177). Conclusion: The revised Mayo Molecular Model (MMMv2) provides a contemporary risk model for CMML that recognizes DNMT3A as the most unfavorable and PHF6 as the most favorable mutation and confirms the mutation-independent prognostic contribution from red cell transfusion need and sustained leukocytosis (≥13 x 109/L). Mutations were also important in predicting leukemic transformation, notably DNMT3A, PTPN11 and ASXL1.

Introduction Somatic mutations in TET2 are present in ~60% of chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) patients and are associated with improved median overall (mOS) and acute leukemia free survival (mLFS). Multiple TET2 mutations are detected in ~50% of such cases and are thought to confer additional benefit. Whether these benefits apply to the molecularly distinct myelodysplastic (MD) and myeloproliferative (MP) CMML subtypes is unknown. This study assesses the impact of the number and type of TET2 mutations across the MD and MP-CMML subtypes. Methods CMML patients seen at Mayo Clinic (n = 400, 47%) and MD Anderson Cancer Center (n = 449, 53%) were included with IRB approval. Analyses considered the clinical and molecular data at diagnosis or first referral. Truncating (frameshift or nonsense) mutations in TET2 were further annotated by location in either the proximal genome targeting domain (aa 1 - 1128) or distal catalytic domain (aa 1129 - 1936) as described (Coltro, 2020). Categorical variables were compared by Pearson Chi squared and continuous by Mann-Whitney U or Kruskal-Wallis tests. Univariate and multivariate analyses utilized Cox proportional hazards models with continuous variables binarized by receiver operator curves. Kaplan-Meier analyses were censored at hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). P < 0.05 was considered significant. Calculations used BlueSky (v10.3.1) or Prism (v10.2.3). Results In a cohort of 849 CMML patients (median age 71 years, 32% female, 90% white), 454 (54%) were classified as MD-CMML and 394 (46%) as MP-CMML. Cumulatively, 664 somatic TET2 mutations were identified across the MD (n = 415, 63%) and MP-CMML (n = 249, 38%) subgroups, with ≥1 TET2 mutation in 57% vs 44% (p < 0.001) and ≥2 TET2mutations in 33% vs 20% (p = 0.001) , respectively. The median (range) number of TET2 mutations in MD vs MP-CMML was 1 (0 - 4) vs 0 (0 - 3; p < 0.001). Truncating frameshift or nonsense mutations comprised 86% vs 78% of mutations in each group with hypomorphic missense mutations comprising 13% vs 20% (p = 0.03). Proximal (48% vs 43%) and distal (38% vs 35%) truncations were evenly distributed between MD and MP-CMML (p = 0.91). In both the MD and MP subgroups as well as the overall cohort (p < 0.01 each), increasing number of TET2 mutations (0 vs 1 vs ≥2) was associated with higher median hemoglobin (10.3 vs 11.4 vs 12.0 g/dL), fewer mean peripheral blasts (1.3% vs 0.5% vs 0.3%), and a higher proportion of normal karyotypes (60% vs 76% vs 79%). Likewise, co-mutations were increasingly frequent in SRSF2 (36% vs 45% vs 53%) and less frequent in IDH2 (9% vs 1% vs 1%) and SETBP1 (14% vs 4% vs 0%) throughout the cohort. TET2 mutations were mutually exclusive with ETV6, GATA2, IDH1, and WT1 mutations. Uniquely, MD-CMML cases with TET2 mutations (0 vs 1 vs ≥2) were enriched for co-mutations in ZRSR2 (5% vs 13% vs 9%) and had fewer co-mutations in both ASXL1 (47% vs 34% vs 28%) and U2AF1 (11% vs 6% vs 3%). In MP-CMML, co-mutations in CBL (11% vs 20% vs 27%) were increased while co-mutations in BCOR (6% vs 1% vs 0%) were decreased. Accordingly, the favorable ASXL1WT/TET2MT genotype was more common in MD (39% vs 22%), while the adverse ASXL1MT/TET2WT genotype was more common in MP-CMML (20% vs 33%; p < 0.001). In multivariate analyses, the presence of ≥2 TET2 mutations was favorably associated with OS and LFS in both MD and MP-CMML (hazard ratios 0.53 - 0.67, p < 0.04) independent of several clinical and genetic features including ASXL1 mutations and abnormal karyotype. Beyond the number of TET2 mutations, however, neither the mutation class (truncating vs hypomorphic) nor location (proximal vs distal) further affected OS or LFS. Likewise, although the median variant allele fraction (VAF) was lower in MD vs MP-CMML (42% vs 46%, p < 0.001), VAF did not impact survival. Accordingly, the mOS for patients with 0, 1, or ≥2 TET2 mutations was 29, 58, and 75 months in MD-CMML and 19, 26, and 39 months in MP-CMML, respectively (p < 0.001 each). The mLFS was similarly improved to 26, 52, and 67 months in MD-CMML (p < 0.001) and 16, 22, and 31 months in MP-CMML (p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS This multicenter study demonstrates that the favorable impact of multiple TET2 mutations in CMML extends to both the MD and MP subtypes. In MD-CMML, multiple TET2 mutations segregate against adverse ASXL1 mutations while, in MP-CMML, they appear to offset the impact of adverse RAS pathway mutations. Thus, multiple TET2 mutations may identify a lower-risk subgroup of MP-CMML patients.