Alsugair, Ali Khalid A

We sought to develop a survival model in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) that is primarily based on clinical variables and examine additional impact from mutations and karyotype. 457 molecularly-annotated patients were considered. Multivariable analysis identified circulating Blasts ≥2% (1 point), Leukocytes ≥13 x 109/L (1 point), and severe (2 points) or moderate (1 point) Anemia as preferred risk variables in developing a clinical risk Stratification Tool for overall survival (OS), acronymized to "BLAST": low-risk (0 points; median 63 months); intermediate-risk (1 point; median 28 months; HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.6-3.0), and high-risk (2-4 points; median 13 months; 5.4, 4.1-7.3); the corresponding 3/5 year OS rates were 68%/53%, 43%/18%, and 12%/1%. BLAST model performance (AUC 0.77/0.85 at 3/5-years) was shown to be comparable to that of the molecular CMML-specific prognostic scoring system (CMML-mol; AUC 0.73/0.75) and the international prognostic scoring system-molecular (IPSS-M; AUC 0.73/0.74). Multivariable analysis of mutations and karyotype identified PHF6MUT and TET2MUT as being "favorable" and DNMT3AMUT, U2AF1MUT, BCORMUT, SETBP1MUT, ASXL1MUT, NRASMUT, PTPN11MUT, RUNX1MUT, TP53MUT, and adverse karyotype, "unfavorable". Molecular information was subsequently encoded in a combined clinical-molecular risk model (BLAST-mol; AUC 0.80/0.86 at 3/5-years) that included the aforementioned BLAST clinical risk variables and a 3-tiered molecular risk score. BLAST and BLAST-mol were subsequently validated by two separate external cohorts. Independent risk factors for blast transformation included DNMT3AMUT, ASXL1MUT, PHF6WT, leukocytes ≥13 x 109/L, and ≥2% circulating or ≥10% bone marrow blasts. The current study proposes an easy to implement, globally applicable, and molecularly adaptive risk model for CMML.

AbstractThe current study was inspired by observations from exploratory analyses of an institutional cohort with chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML; N = 398) that revealed no instances of blast transformation in the seven patients with plant homeodomain finger protein 6 (PHF6) mutation (PHF6MUT). A subsequent Mayo Clinic enterprise‐wide database search identified 28 more cases with PHF6MUT. Compared with their wild‐type PHF6 counterparts (PHF6WT; N = 391), PHF6MUT cases (N = 35) were more likely to co‐express TET2 (89% vs. 45%; p < .01), RUNX1 (29% vs. 14%; p = .03), CBL (14% vs. 2%; p < .01), and U2AF1 (17% vs. 6%; p = .04) and less likely SRSF2 (23% vs. 45%; p < .01) mutation. They were also more likely to display loss of Y chromosome (LoY; 21% vs. 2%; p < .01) and platelets <100 × 109/L (83% vs. 51%; p < .01). Multivariable analysis identified PHF6MUT (HR 0.28, 95% CI 0.15–0.50) and DNMT3AMUT (HR 5.8, 95% CI 3.3–10.5) as the strongest molecular predictors of overall survival. The same was true for blast transformation‐free survival with corresponding HR (95% CI) of 0.08 (0.01–0.6) and 9.5 (3.8–23.5). At median 20 months follow‐up, blast transformation was documented in none of the 33 patients with PHF6MUT/DNMT3AWT but in 6 (32%) of 19 with DNMT3AMUT and 74 (20%) of 374 with PHF6WT/DNMT3AWT (p < .01). The specific molecular signatures sustained their significant predictive performance in the context of the CMML‐specific molecular prognostic model (CPSS‐mol). PHF6MUT identifies a unique subset of patients with CMML characterized by thrombocytopenia, higher prevalence of LoY, and superior prognosis.