Evaluation of the prognostic value of guanylyl cyclase C (GCC) lymph node (LN) classification in patients with stage II colon cancer: A pooled analysis.
443 Background: Identification of a sensitive and specific prognostic marker would aid in the management of patients (pts) with standard histopathology node negative colon cancer (CC). We conducted a pooled individual pt data analysis to confirm the prognostic value of GCC for disease recurrence in untreated stage II CC. Methods: GCC mRNA was quantified by RT-qPCR using formalin-fixed LN from 310 stage II pts diagnosed from 1991-2006 enrolled in two studies (Sargent 2011 [study1] and Haince 2009 [study2]). Patients were classified by GCC LN ratio (LNR) (high risk: LNR ≥ 0.1; low risk: LNR < 0.1), with LNR defined as number of GCC positive LN divided by number of informative LNs. Clinical outcomes included time to recurrence (TTR), overall survival (OS), disease-specific survival (DSS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Stratified log-rank tests and multivariate Cox models assessed the association between clinical outcomes and GCC LN status. Results: The 5-year recurrence rate in study 1 (n=241) was 15.8%, 24.9% in study 2 (n=69). GCC LNR high risk pts had significantly higher risk of TTR, OS, DSS and DFS, which remained after adjusting for age, T stage, grade, number of LNs examined, and presence of lymphovascular invasion ( Table ). In a secondary analysis of low risk stage II pts (T3, ≥12 LNs examined, and negative surgical margins, n=241), a strong relationship between GCC LNR and each endpoint remained (TTR HR=4.34, 95% CI=2.07 – 9.13, p<0.001). Conclusions: Pts with GCC LNR high risk status have significantly poorer outcomes compared to pts with low risk status, particularly among those traditionally considered to be low risk. [Table: see text]
GCC expression in lymph nodes (LNs) as a significant determinant of recurrence in stage II colon cancer (CC) patients (pts).
369 Background: A multi-center prospectively specified retrospective study Validating Indicators to Associate Recurrence (VITAR) is assessing the relationship between guanylyl cyclase C (GCC) gene expression in formalin fixed LNs and recurrence risk in stage II CC pts not treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. Here we report the preplanned initial analysis performed with 241 pts. Methods: GCC mRNA was quantified by RT-qPCR using FFPE LNs tissues from untreated stage II CC pts diagnosed from 1999-2006 with at least 10 LN examined blinded to clinical outcomes. Cox regression models examined the relationship between GCC nodal status and the prespecified primary endpoint of recurrence risk. Results: Twenty-ninepts (12%) had a disease recurrence or cancer death, median follow-up was 60 months and median LNs examined was 15. The ratio of the number of GCC+ LNs over the total number of informative LNs (LNR) significantly predicted higher recurrence risk for 84 pts classified as high risk (HR, 2.38; p=0.02). The estimated 5-yr recurrence rates were 10% and 27% for the low and high risk group, respectively. After adjusting for age, T stage, number of LNs assessed, and MMR status, the significant association remained (HR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.17-5.83; p=0.02). In a subset of 181 pts with negative margin, T3 tumor only and ≥12 LN examined, the GCC LNR had a HR for recurrence of 5.06 (95% CI 1.61-15.91, p=0.003), translating into 5-yr recurrence rates of 4% among low risk pts and 27% for the high-risk group. Conclusions: Our results suggest that GCC expression in LNs is a significant determinant of recurrence in appropriately staged CC pts not treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. The validation component of the study is ongoing. [Table: see text] [Table: see text]