Frost, Marlene H.

2 Background: Women with atypical hyperplasia (AH) on breast biopsy have an aggregate increased risk of breast cancer (BC), but accurate personalized risk prediction is desirable to facilitate individual clinical management decisions. Currently used models provide poor BC risk prediction for women with AH. Our goal was to develop and validate an improved risk prediction model for women with AH. Methods: From a cohort of 13,538 women with benign breast disease from 1967-2001, pathology review confirmed 699 with AH. Clinical risk factors and histologic features of the tissue biopsy were recorded, and BC events were ascertained from study questionnaires, tumor registry, and review of medical records. Using a lasso approach, 23 variables were assessed for model inclusion. Lasso-identified features were then fit in a Cox regression model to estimate BC risk. Model discrimination was assessed with C-statistics in the model-building set and in a separate external validation set. Calibration was assessed by comparing observed to predicted breast cancer counts. Results: The model-building set comprised 699 women with 142 BC events (median follow-up 8.1 years), and the external validation set comprised 461 women with 114 BC events (median follow-up 11.4 years). The final model included three covariates: age at biopsy, age squared, and number of foci of AH. Model performance was good, with a C-statistic of 0.622 (SE = 0.027) in the model-building set and 0.594 (SE = 0.029) in the external validation set. The model is well-calibrated, with observed to expected numbers of BCs nearly equal across all post-biopsy follow-up years. Conclusions: We propose a new model for predicting BC risk in women with AH based on age at biopsy and number of foci of atypia. This model provides absolute risk estimates for women with AH, has good discriminatory ability, is well-calibrated, and validates in an external cohort.

18 Background: Benign breast disease (BBD) is diagnosed in 1-2 million women/year in the US, and while these patients are known to be at substantially increased risk for subsequent development of breast cancer, existing models for risk assessment perform poorly at the individual level. Here, we describe a DNA-microarray-based transcriptional model for breast cancer risk prediction for patients with sclerosing adenosis (SA), a lesion found in ¼ of all BBD patients that is characterized by epithelial proliferation, disordered acinar architecture, and stromal fibrosis. Methods: A training set was developed from 86 patients diagnosed with sclerosing adenosis (SA), of which 27 subsequently developed cancer within 10 years (cases) and 59 remained cancer-free at 10 years (controls). A diagonal linear discriminate analysis (DLDA)-prediction model for prediction of cancer within 10 years (SA TTC10) was generated from transcriptional profiles of formalin fixed, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) biopsy-derived RNA. This model was tested on a separate validation case-control set composed of 65 SA patients. Results: The SA TTC10 gene signature model, composed of 35 gene features, achieved a clear and significant separation between case and control with receiver operating characteristic area under the curve of 0.913 in the training set and 0.836 in the validation set. Conclusions: Our results provide the first demonstration that benign breast tissue contains transcriptional alterations that indicate risk of breast cancer development, and that essential precursor biomarkers of malignancy are present many years prior to cancer development. Furthermore, the SA TTC10 gene signature model, which can be assessed on FFPE biopsies, constitutes a novel prognostic biomarker for patients with SA.

PURPOSE: To estimate the efficacy of contralateral prophylactic mastectomy in women with a personal and family history of breast cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We followed the course of 745 women with a first breast cancer and a family history of breast and/or ovarian cancer who underwent contralateral prophylactic mastectomy at the Mayo Clinic between 1960 and 1993. Family history information and cancer follow-up information were obtained from the medical record, a study-specific questionnaire, and telephone follow-up. Life-tables for contralateral breast cancers, which consider age at first breast cancer, current age, and type of family history, were used to calculate the number of breast cancers expected in our cohort had they not had a prophylactic mastectomy. RESULTS: Of the 745 women in our cohort, 388 were premenopausal (age < 50 years) and 357 were post- menopausal. Eight women developed a contralateral breast cancer. Six events were observed among the premenopausal women, compared with 106.2 predicted, resulting in a risk reduction of 94.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 87.7% to 97.9%). For the 357 postmenopausal women, 50.3 contralateral breast cancers were predicted, whereas only two were observed, representing a 96.0% risk reduction (95% CI, 85.6% to 99.5%). CONCLUSION: The incidence of contralateral breast cancer seems to be reduced significantly after contralateral prophylactic mastectomy in women with a personal and family history of breast cancer.

240 Background: Contralateral prophylactic mastectomy (CPM) is increasingly chosen by patients with breast cancer. Satisfaction after CPM is high. However, decreased satisfaction has been associated with reoperation after reconstruction. This study’s aim was to examine the adverse aspects patients attribute to reconstruction and the subsequent effect on psychosocial consequences and satisfaction with CPM. Methods: 487 unilateral breast cancer patients with a family history of breast cancer who underwent CPM between 1960 and 1993 were mailed a questionnaire evaluating QOL and satisfaction with CPM. Results: Of 269 respondents, 210 (78%) underwent reconstruction and 59 (22%) did not. Mean age at CPM was 46 and 50 years respectively (p=0.01). Mean follow-up was 20.2 years. Reconstruction was immediate in 96%, 98% with implants and 2% with tissue flap. Reconstruction was associated with lower satisfaction with CPM (p=0.03), but still only 7% (vs 2% in those without reconstruction) said they were dissatisfied. Most (83%) of those with reconstruction said they would choose reconstruction again while 7% were unsure and 10% said they would not. In those who did not undergo reconstruction, 18% said they would choose reconstruction if able to make the choice again while 5% were unsure and 77% said they still would not. 95 patients (45%) of those that underwent reconstruction required one or more reoperations for complications. Those with reoperation reported poorer responses for satisfaction with CPM (p=0.04), choice to have CPM again (p=0.008), and choice to have reconstruction again (p=0.004) when compared to patients with reconstruction and no reoperation. Those with and without reconstruction did not differ significantly with respect to femininity, sexual relationships or emotional stability, but those without reconstruction reported significantly poorer effects related to self esteem (p=0.04) and body appearance (p=0.002). Conclusions: In patients who undergo CPM, many years after surgery satisfaction with CPM is higher in those choosing not to have reconstruction than those with reconstruction although it was high in both groups. Reoperation is common after reconstruction and is associated with lower satisfaction.

Abstract Purpose: Little is known about the role of the immune system in the earliest stages of breast carcinogenesis. We studied quantitative differences in immune cell types between breast tissues from normal donors and those from women with benign breast disease (BBD). Experimental Design: A breast tissue matched case–control study was created from donors to the Susan G. Komen for the Cure Tissue Bank (KTB) and from women diagnosed with BBD at Mayo Clinic (Rochester, MN) who either subsequently developed cancer (BBD cases) or remained cancer-free (BBD controls). Serial tissue sections underwent immunostaining and digital quantification of cell number per mm2 for CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, CD20+ B cells, and CD68+ macrophages and quantification of positive pixel measure for CD11c (dendritic cells). Results: In 94 age-matched triplets, BBD lobules showed greater densities of CD8+ T cells, CD11c+ dendritic cells, CD20+ B cells, and CD68+ macrophages compared with KTB normals. Relative to BBD controls, BBD cases had lower CD20+ cell density (P = 0.04). Nearly 42% of BBD cases had no CD20+ B cells in evaluated lobules compared with 28% of BBD controls (P = 0.02). The absence of CD20+ cells versus the presence in all lobules showed an adjusted OR of 5.7 (95% confidence interval, 1.4–23.1) for subsequent breast cancer risk. Conclusions: Elevated infiltration of both innate and adaptive immune effectors in BBD tissues suggests an immunogenic microenvironment. The reduced B-cell infiltration in women with later breast cancer suggests a role for B cells in preventing disease progression and as a possible biomarker for breast cancer risk. Clin Cancer Res; 23(14); 3945–52. ©2017 AACR.

Abstract Background: Age-related lobular involution (LI) is a physiological process in which the terminal duct lobular units of the breast regress as a woman ages. Analyses of breast biopsies from women with benign breast disease (BBD) have found that extent of LI is negatively associated with subsequent breast cancer development. Here we assess the natural course of LI within individual women, and the impact of progressive LI on breast cancer risk. Methods: The Mayo Clinic BBD cohort consists of 13,455 women with BBD from 1967-2001. The BBD cohort includes 1115 women who had multiple benign biopsies, 106 of whom had developed breast cancer. Within this multiple biopsy cohort, the progression of the LI process was examined by age at initial biopsy and time between biopsies. The relationship between LI progression and breast cancer risk was assessed using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and by Cox proportional hazards analysis. Results: Women who had multiple biopsies were younger age and had a slightly higher family history of breast cancer as compared with the overall BBD cohort. Extent of LI at subsequent biopsy was greater with increasing time between biopsies and for women age 55+ at initial biopsy. Among women with multiple biopsies, there was a significant association of higher breast cancer risk among those with involution stasis (lack of progression, HR 1.63) as compared with those with involution progression, p = 0.036. Conclusions: The multiple biopsy BBD cohort allows for a longitudinal study of the natural progression of LI. The majority of women in the multiple biopsy cohort showed progression of LI status between benign biopsies, and extent of progression was highest for women who were in the perimenopausal age range at initial biopsy. Progression of LI status between initial and subsequent biopsy was associated with decreased breast cancer risk. Citation Format: Derek Radisky, Daniel W. Visscher, Ryan Frank, Robert A. Vierkant, Stacey J. Winham, Melody L. Stallings-Mann, Tanya L. Hoskin, Aziza Nassar, Celine M. Vachon, Lori A. Denison, Lynn C. Hartmann, Marlene H. Frost, Amy C. Degnim. Natural history of age-related lobular involution and impact on breast cancer risk. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 107th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2016 Apr 16-20; New Orleans, LA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(14 Suppl):Abstract nr LB-364.

BACKGROUNDWomen with atypical hyperplasia (AH) on breast biopsy have a substantially increased risk of breast cancer (BC). Here the BC risk for the extent and subtype of AH is reported for 2 separate cohorts.METHODSAll samples containing AH were included from 2 cohorts of women with benign breast disease (Mayo Clinic and Nashville). Histology review quantified the number of foci of atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH) and atypical lobular hyperplasia (ALH). The BC risk was stratified for the number of AH foci within AH subtypes.RESULTSThe study included 708 Mayo AH subjects and 466 Nashville AH subjects. In the Mayo cohort, an increasing number of foci of AH was associated with a significant increase in the risk of BC both for ADH (relative risks of 2.61, 5.21, and 6.36 for 1, 2, and ≥3 foci, respectively; P for linear trend = .006) and for ALH (relative risks of 2.56, 3.50, and 6.79 for 1, 2, and ≥3 foci, respectively; P for linear trend = .001). In the Nashville cohort, the relative risks of BC for ADH were 2.70, 5.17, and 15.06 for 1, 2, and ≥3 foci, respectively (P for linear trend < .001); for ALH, the relative risks also increased but not significantly (2.61, 3.48, and 4.02, respectively; P = .148). When the Mayo and Nashville samples were combined, the risk increased significantly for 1, 2, and ≥3 foci: the relative risks were 2.65, 5.19, and 8.94, respectively, for ADH (P < .001) and 2.58, 3.49, and 4.97, respectively, for ALH (P = .001).CONCLUSIONSIn 2 independent cohort studies of benign breast disease, the extent of atypia stratified the long‐term BC risk for ADH and ALH. Cancer 2016;122:2971‐2978. © 2016 American Cancer Society.

BACKGROUNDWomen with benign breast disease (BBD) have an increased risk of developing breast cancer (BC). Nearly 30% of all BCs develop in women with prior BBD. Information regarding features of the expected number of BCs after BBD would enhance individualized surveillance and prevention strategies for these women. In the current study, the authors sought to characterize BCs developing in a large cohort of women with BBD.METHODSThe current study cohort included 13,485 women who underwent breast biopsy for mammographic or palpable concerns between 1967 and 2001. Biopsy slides were reviewed and classified as nonproliferative disease, proliferative disease without atypia, or atypical hyperplasia. BCs were identified by follow‐up questionnaires, medical records, and Tumor Registry data. BC tissues were obtained and reviewed.RESULTSWith median follow‐up of 15.8 years, 1273 women developed BC. The majority of BCs were invasive (81%), of which 61% were ductal, 13% were mixed ductal/lobular, and 14% were lobular. Approximately two‐thirds of the BC cases were intermediate or high grade, and 29% were lymph node positive. Cancer characteristics were similar across the 3 histologic categories of BBD, with a similar frequency of ductal carcinoma in situ, invasive disease, tumor size, time to invasive BC, histologic type of BC, lymph node positivity, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positivity. Women with atypical hyperplasia were found to have a higher frequency of estrogen receptor‐positive BC (91%) compared with women with proliferative disease without atypia (80%) or nonproliferative disease (85%) (P = .02).CONCLUSIONSA substantial percentage of all BCs develop in women with prior BBD. The majority of BCs after BBD are invasive tumors of ductal type, with a substantial number demonstrating lymph node positivity. Of all the BCs in the current study, 84% were estrogen receptor positive. Prevention therapy should be strongly encouraged in higher‐risk women with BBD. Cancer 2016;122:378–385. © 2015 American Cancer Society.