Estépar, R. San José

Abstract Introduction / Rationale Mucus plugs (MPs) on chest computed tomography (CT) are associated with increased respiratory symptoms, worse lung function, and elevated mortality and acute exacerbations among individuals with GOLD2-4 COPD. Whether mucus plug distribution in the upper versus lower lobes differentially impacts future acute exacerbations (AEs) has been incompletely explored. Methods Data from current and former tobacco users, ages 40-80, with ≥10 pack-years, at the enrollment visit in COPDGene were analyzed. MPs were visually-assessed on chest CTs using a sequential reading system; the MP score was calculated as the number of bronchopulmonary segments with plugs (range 0-18). Among subjects with MPs, the percent of lower lobe MPs (%LLMPs) was calculated as the number of bronchopulmonary segments in the right and left lower lobes divided by the total number of bronchopulmonary segments (range 0-100%). Moderate-to-severe AEs were assessed prospectively biannually for up to 15.5 years. Zero-inflated Poisson regression, adjusting for age, sex, BMI, race, smoking status, pack-years, FEV1% predicted, history of AEs (year prior to enrollment), and clinical center assessed the relationship between %LLMPs, total MPs, and prospective AEs; duration of follow-up was included as the offset. Subgroup analyses by lung function category (GOLD0, GOLD 1-4 COPD, and Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry, PRISm) were also performed using the same model. Results Among 10,198 tobacco-exposed individuals, 9,406 subjects (mean age 59.7±9.0, 53.4% male, 68% non-Hispanic white) had chest CT scans scored for MPs. The overall prevalence of MP>0 was 30.4%, with an average MP score of 0.78±1.88 and average %LLMP of 48%±39%. The prevalence of MPs varied by lung function category (20.1% GOLD0, 26.2% PRISm, 40.8% COPD) as did the mean MP score (0.28±0.93 GOLD0, 0.49±1.38 PRISm, 1.30±2.42 COPD) (Figure 1). The %LLMP also varied by lung function category (33%±39% GOLD0, 38%±37% PRISm, 57%±37% COPD). Among subjects with MPs>0 (n=2,857), higher %LLMP was associated with a significantly increased risk for future AEs (adjusted rate ratio (aRR) [95%CI]= 1.11[1.05-1.17]; Figure 1). Subgroup analyses by lung function category supported a significant association between increased %LLMP and future AEs in GOLD0 (aRR 1.45 [1.25-1.69]), but not in the COPD or PRISm subgroups (Figure 1). Conclusions A higher proportion of lower lobe mucus plugs is significantly associated with increased risk for future AEs among tobacco-exposed persons. Despite having the lowest burden of MPs, the highest risk for prospective AEs with increasing %LLMP was observed in the subgroup with normal spirometry (GOLD0).

Importance Airway mucus plugs are common in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); however, the association of airway mucus plugging and mortality in patients with COPD is unknown. Objective To determine whether airway mucus plugs identified on chest computed tomography (CT) were associated with increased all-cause mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants Observational retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data of patients with a diagnosis of COPD in the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD cohort. Participants were non-Hispanic Black or White individuals, aged 45 to 80 years, who smoked at least 10 pack-years. Participants were enrolled at 21 centers across the US between November 2007 and April 2011 and were followed up through August 31, 2022. Exposures Mucus plugs that completely occluded airways on chest CT scans, identified in medium- to large-sized airways (ie, approximately 2- to 10-mm lumen diameter) and categorized as affecting 0, 1 to 2, or 3 or more lung segments. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, assessed with proportional hazard regression analysis. Models were adjusted for age, sex, race and ethnicity, body mass index, pack-years smoked, current smoking status, forced expiratory volume in the first second of expiration, and CT measures of emphysema and airway disease. Results Among the 4483 participants with COPD, 4363 were included in the primary analysis (median age, 63 years [IQR, 57-70 years]; 44% were women). A total of 2585 (59.3%), 953 (21.8%), and 825 (18.9%) participants had mucus plugs in 0, 1 to 2, and 3 or more lung segments, respectively. During a median 9.5-year follow-up, 1769 participants (40.6%) died. The mortality rates were 34.0% (95% CI, 32.2%-35.8%), 46.7% (95% CI, 43.5%-49.9%), and 54.1% (95% CI, 50.7%-57.4%) in participants who had mucus plugs in 0, 1 to 2, and 3 or more lung segments, respectively. The presence of mucus plugs in 1 to 2 vs 0 and 3 or more vs 0 lung segments was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of death of 1.15 (95% CI, 1.02-1.29) and 1.24 (95% CI, 1.10-1.41), respectively. Conclusions and Relevance In participants with COPD, the presence of mucus plugs that obstructed medium- to large-sized airways was associated with higher all-cause mortality compared with patients without mucus plugging on chest CT scans.