Twelves, Chris

Purpose Factors associated with early mortality after surgery and treatment with adjuvant chemotherapy in colon cancer are poorly understood. We aimed to characterize the determinants of early mortality in a large cohort of colon cancer trial participants. Methods A pooled analysis of 37,568 patients in 25 randomized trials of adjuvant systemic therapy was conducted. Multivariable logistic regression models with several definitions of early mortality (30, 60, and 90 days, and 6 months) were constructed, adjusting for clinically and statistically significant variables. A nomogram for 6-month mortality was developed and validated. Results Median age among patients was 61 years, patient demographics included 54% men and 90% White, 29% and 71% had stage II and III disease, respectively, and 79%, 20%, and 1% had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (PS) of 0, 1, and ≥ 2, respectively. Early mortality was low: 0.3% at 30 days, 0.6% at 60 days, 0.8% at 90 days, and 1.4% at 6 months. Of those patients who died by 6 months post–random assignment, 40% had documented disease recurrence prior to death. Early disease recurrence was associated with a markedly increased risk of death during the first 6 months post-treatment (hazard ratio, 82.6; 95%CI, 66.9 to 102.1). In prognostic analyses, advanced age, male sex, poorer PS, increasing ratio of positive to examined lymph nodes, earlier decade of enrollment, and higher tumor stage and grade predicted a greater likelihood of early mortality, whereas treatment received was not strongly predictive. A multivariable model for 6-month mortality showed strong optimism-adjusted discrimination (concordance index, 0.73) and calibration. Conclusion Early mortality was infrequent but more prevalent in patients with advanced age and a PS of ≥ 2, underscoring the need to carefully consider the risk-to-benefit ratio when making treatment decisions in these subgroups.

Abstract Background: The Phase III trial (NCT00337103) compared eribulin (E) with capecitabine (C) in patients (pts) with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) in the 1st-, 2nd-, and 3rd-line setting. Median overall survival (OS) was 15.9 and 14.5 months (HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.77, 1.00; P = 0.056) and median progression-free survival (PFS) was 4.1 and 4.2 months (HR 1.08; 95% CI 0.93, 1.25; P = 0.30) for E and C, respectively. This analysis compares toxicity and efficacy of E and C in relation to age. Material and methods: In this post-hoc exploratory analysis, the effect of age on the incidence of adverse events (AEs), OS, PFS, and objective response rate (ORR) with E and C were analyzed for two age groups: ≤65 years (E, n = 468; C, n = 491) and >65 years (E, n = 86; C, n = 57). For OS and PFS, analyses were stratified by HER2 and geographic region. Results: With increasing age, the proportion of pts with worse performance status (PS ≥1: 54.5% vs 69.2% for ≤65 and >65 years, respectively), ER+ (47.4% vs 57.3%), and PgR+ MBC (41.3% vs 45.5%) increased, and the proportion with triple-negative MBC decreased (26.6% vs 20.3%). With both treatments, AEs were reported in a higher proportion of pts in the older age group, this becoming more apparent for grade 3+ AEs (E: 64.6% vs 70.2%, and C: 45.0% vs 54.4% for ≤65 and >65 respectively). With E, there was a trend for increased incidence of grade 3/4 neutropenia (45.0% vs 50.0%) and leukopenia (13.7% vs 22.6%) but, in contrast, decreased peripheral sensory neuropathy (3.9% vs 1.2%) with increasing age. For C, there was a trend for increased palmar-plantar erythrodysethesia syndrome (total: 44.4% vs 50.9%; grade 3/4: 14.1% vs 17.5%), and grade 3/4 fatigue (1.8% vs 7.0%) and diarrhea (4.7% vs 10.5%) with increasing age; emesis and nausea were similar for both age groups. Dose adjustments due to AEs with E were slightly higher in the older age group: withdrawals 7.4% vs 10.7%; dose reductions 31.1% vs 36.9%; and dose delays 30.9% vs 36.9%. With C, there was a trend for an increased incidence of withdrawals (9.2% vs 21.1%) and dose delays (34.2% vs 49.1%) due to AEs with increasing age: the incidence of dose reductions was slightly higher in the older age group (31.3% vs 36.8%). In an unadjusted analysis, a trend for improved OS with E vs C was observed in both subgroups (≤65 years: median 15.8 vs 14.5 months; HR 0.90; 95% CI 0.78, 1.04; P = 0.16, and >65 years: median 18.4 vs 14.1 months; HR 0.74; 95% CI 0.50, 1.12; P = 0.16). PFS and ORR for E and C were: median PFS: E, 4.0 and 5.4 months; C, 4.2 and 5.9 months; ORR: E, 10.9% and 11.6%; C, 11.6% and 10.5%, in the ≤65 and >65 groups respectively. Conclusions: This exploratory and unadjusted analysis suggests a trend for improved OS with E in both younger and older pts with MBC. With both treatments there was a suggestion that AEs were reported in a higher proportion of pts in the older age group, this becoming more apparent for grade 3+ events. Specifically, these data suggest an increased incidence of grade 3/4 diarrhea, dose delays, and study withdrawal due to AEs in pts treated with C, and potentially suggest that with E there may be less difference between the AE profile in younger vs older pts than with C. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2013;73(24 Suppl): Abstract nr P3-13-04.

Purpose With improved patient care, better diagnosis, and more treatment options after tumor recurrence, outcomes after fluorouracil (FU) -based treatment are expected to have improved over time in early-stage colon cancer. Data from 18,449 patients enrolled onto 21 phase III trials conducted from 1978 to 2002 were evaluated for potential differences in time to recurrence (TTR), time from recurrence to death (TRD), and overall survival (OS) with regard to FU-based adjuvant regimens. Methods Trials were predefined as old versus newer era using initial accrual before or after 1995. Outcomes were compared between patients enrolled onto old- or newer-era trials, stratified by stage. Results Within the first 3 years, recurrence rates were lower in newer- versus old-era trials for patients with stage II disease, with no differences among those with stage III disease. Both TRD and OS were significantly longer in newer-era trials overall and within each stage. The lymph node (LN) ratio (ie, number of positive nodes divided by total nodes harvested) in those with stage III disease declined over time. TTR improved slightly, with larger number of LNs examined in both stages. Conclusion Improved TRD in newer trials supports the premise that more aggressive intervention (oxaliplatin- and irinotecan-based chemotherapy and/or surgery for recurrent disease) improves OS for patients previously treated in the adjuvant setting. Lower recurrence rates with identical treatments in those with stage II disease enrolled onto newer-era trials reflect stage migration over time, calling into question historical data related to the benefit of FU-based adjuvant therapy in such patients.