Francini, Guido

30 Background: BM in patients (pts) with CRPC are associated with shorter overall survival (OS) and higher costs. BRI zoledronic acid and denosumab are frequently used to prevent skeletal-related events (SRE) in pts with CRPC and BM. AA is the most common 1st line therapy for men with metastatic CRPC. We aimed to assess the impact of BRI on OS and time to first SRE (ttSRE) of pts receiving 1st line treatment AA for CRPC with BM. Methods: A retrospective cohort of pts starting AA as 1st line therapy for CRPC with BM between 2013-2016 was identified through 8 hospitals’ IRB approved registries. Pts were classified by use of concomitant BRI and subgrouped by volume of disease (per E3805 definition) at AA start. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox models were used to assess OS and ttSRE with hazard ratio (HR) estimates (95% CI). Results: Of the 745 pts included (543 deaths), 529 (71.0%) had AA alone and 216 (29.0%) AA+BRI. Median follow-up was 23.5 months. Pts receiving concomitant BRI showed a significantly longer OS and a 35% reduced risk of death compared to AA alone (HR=0.65; 95% CI, 0.54-0.79; P<.0001). The OS benefit with BRI was greater for the subgroup with high volume disease (HV) (HR=0.51; 95% CI, 0.38-0.68; P<.0001). The cohort with AA+BRI had a significantly shorter ttSRE (HR=1.27; 95% CI; 1.0-1.60; P=.0439) and, notably, the risk of first SRE was more than doubled for the subgroup with LV (HR=2.29; 95% CI, 1.57-3.35; P<.0001). On MVA, BRI vs. no BRI, prior local therapy (PLT) vs. no PLT, LV vs. HV, baseline VAS pain ≤3 vs. >5, PS 0 vs. ≥1, and PSA are independently associated with longer OS. Conclusions: The addition of BRI to 1st line AA for CRPC men with BM was associated with improved OS, particularly in HV, and worsened ttSRE, more evident in LV. These data suggest a potentially different impact of concomitant BRI on HV vs. LV, which could affect clinical decision making.[Table: see text]

167 Background: Previous studies have reported high TILs are a favorable prognostic factor in stage II CC. However, whether the impact of TILs on overall survival (OS) differs among pts who did or did not receive ADJ is still to be determined. We assessed the prognostic value of CD3+ TILs in pts with stage II CC according to whether they received ADJ or not (no-ADJ). Methods: Pts treated with curative surgery for stage II CC (2002-2013) were identified through the Santa Maria alle Scotte Hospital database. CD3+ TILs at the invasive front, center of tumor, and stroma, were determined by immunohistochemistry and manually quantified as the rate of TILs/total tissue areas. High TILs (H-TILs) was defined as > 20%. Pts were classified as high or low TILs (L-TILs) and ADJ or no-ADJ. Cox models were used to assess OS with hazard ratio estimates (95% CI). Results: Of the 678 pts included (356 deaths), 137 (20%) received ADJ while 541 (80%) did not. ADJ comprised fluoropyrimidine +/- oxaliplatin. Median follow-up was 8.5 years. The distributions of the 4 groups were: 16% (L-TIL/ADJ), 64% (L-TIL/no-ADJ), 5% (H-TIL/ADJ), 15% (H-TIL/no-ADJ). Compared to H-TILs/no-ADJ, ADJ pts had a significantly longer OS (P < .0001) regardless of the TILS rate while L-TILs/no ADJ had significantly shorter OS and higher risk of death (HR = 1.41; 95% CI, 1.06-1.88; P < .0001) [See table]. On multivariable analysis, adjusting for perforation, obstruction, T-stage, grade, < 12 lymph nodes resected, lymphovascular and perineural invasion, the adverse prognostic impact of L-TILs (vs H-TILs) in no-ADJ pts was confirmed (HR = 1.36; 95% CI 1.02, 1.82; P = .0373). Conclusions: Low CD3+ TILs rate was independently associated with shorter OS in stage II CC pts who did not receive ADJ, but was not prognostic among pts who had ADJ. These data suggest a potentially different impact of TILs in chemo-treated vs -untreated stage II CC which could affect clinical decision making. [Table: see text]

e16508 Background: BM in patients (pts) with CRPC correlate with higher mortality and costs. BRI zoledronic acid and denosumab are frequently used for the prevention of skeletal-related events (SRE) in pts with CRPC and BM. AA is the most common 1st line treatment for men with metastatic CRPC. We sought to evaluate the impact of BRI on time to first SRE (ttSRE) and OS of pts receiving 1st line therapy AA for CRPC with BM. Methods: We identified a cohort of men starting AA as 1st line therapy for CRPC with BM between 2013-2015 from 7 hospitals’ IRB approved registries. Pts were grouped by use of concomitant BRI and subgrouped by volume of disease (per E3805 definition) at AA start. The endpoints were OS, defined as time from AA start to death or last follow-up visit, and ttSRE. Results: Of the 338 pts included, 256 (76%) received AA alone and 82 (24%) AA+BRI. ECOG PS (PS) was ≥1 for 178 pts (52.7%). No statistically significant difference in ttSRE was found between the 2 cohorts [see Table]. Median follow-up for OS was 25.6 months. Pts receiving concomitant BRI showed a significantly longer OS and a 36% decreased risk of death compared to AA alone (HR = 0.64; 95% CI, 0.64 0.46-0.91; p = 0.012). Notably, OS in the AA alone group was shorter than commonly described. The OS benefit with BRI was greater for men with high volume disease (HV) (HR = 0.42; 95% CI, 0.25-0.71; p = 0.001). On MVA, BRI vs. no BRI, low volume of disease vs. HV, PS 0 vs. ≥1, baseline VAS pain ≤3 vs. > 5, and baseline PSA are independently associated with longer OS. Conclusions: Using a multicenter database, the addition of BRI to 1st line AA for CRPC men with BM and poor prognostic factors did not improve prevention of SRE. However, concomitant use of BRI and AA was associated with a significantly improved OS, particularly in HV. Further research to determine the driving factors is needed. [Table: see text]

Purpose Factors associated with early mortality after surgery and treatment with adjuvant chemotherapy in colon cancer are poorly understood. We aimed to characterize the determinants of early mortality in a large cohort of colon cancer trial participants. Methods A pooled analysis of 37,568 patients in 25 randomized trials of adjuvant systemic therapy was conducted. Multivariable logistic regression models with several definitions of early mortality (30, 60, and 90 days, and 6 months) were constructed, adjusting for clinically and statistically significant variables. A nomogram for 6-month mortality was developed and validated. Results Median age among patients was 61 years, patient demographics included 54% men and 90% White, 29% and 71% had stage II and III disease, respectively, and 79%, 20%, and 1% had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (PS) of 0, 1, and ≥ 2, respectively. Early mortality was low: 0.3% at 30 days, 0.6% at 60 days, 0.8% at 90 days, and 1.4% at 6 months. Of those patients who died by 6 months post–random assignment, 40% had documented disease recurrence prior to death. Early disease recurrence was associated with a markedly increased risk of death during the first 6 months post-treatment (hazard ratio, 82.6; 95%CI, 66.9 to 102.1). In prognostic analyses, advanced age, male sex, poorer PS, increasing ratio of positive to examined lymph nodes, earlier decade of enrollment, and higher tumor stage and grade predicted a greater likelihood of early mortality, whereas treatment received was not strongly predictive. A multivariable model for 6-month mortality showed strong optimism-adjusted discrimination (concordance index, 0.73) and calibration. Conclusion Early mortality was infrequent but more prevalent in patients with advanced age and a PS of ≥ 2, underscoring the need to carefully consider the risk-to-benefit ratio when making treatment decisions in these subgroups.

Purpose Limited data are available on the time course of treatment failures (recurrence and/or death), the nature and duration of adjuvant treatment benefit, and long-term recurrence rates in patients with resected stage II and III colon cancer. Methods The data set assembled by the Adjuvant Colon Cancer Endpoints Group, a collection of individual patient data from 18 trials and more than 20,800 patients testing fluorouracil-based adjuvant therapy in patients with stage II or III colon cancer, was analyzed. Results A significant overall survival (OS) benefit of adjuvant therapy was consistent over the 8-year follow-up period. The risk of recurrence in patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy never exceeds that of control patients, signifying that adjuvant therapy cures some patients, as opposed to delaying recurrence. After 5 years, recurrence rates were less than 1.5% per year, and after 8 years, they were less than 0.5% per year. Significant disease-free survival (DFS) benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy was observed in the first 2 years. After 2 years, DFS rates in treated and control patients were not significantly different, and after 4 years, no trend toward benefit was demonstrated. This benefit was primarily driven by patients with stage III disease. Conclusion Adjuvant chemotherapy provides significant DFS benefit, primarily by reducing the recurrence rate, within the first 2 years of adjuvant therapy with some benefit in years 3 to 4, translating into long-term OS benefit. This reflects the curative role of chemotherapy in the adjuvant setting. After 5 years, recurrence rates in patients treated on clinical trials are low, and after 8 years, they are minimal; thus, long-term follow-up for recurrence is of little value.

Purpose The traditional end point for colon adjuvant clinical trials is overall survival (OS). We previously validated disease-free survival (DFS) after 3-year follow-up as an excellent predictor of 5-year OS results. Here we explore shorter term DFS and OS end points, as well as stage dependency. Methods Individual patient data from 18 phase III trials including 43 arms and 20,898 patients were pooled. Association measures included correlation of event rates within arms, correlation of hazard ratios (HRs) between arms, trial level significance comparisons (via log-rank testing), and a formal surrogacy model. Results DFS at earlier times was less accurate in predicting OS than 3-year DFS, but 2-year DFS remained a strong predictor. DFS with 1-year minimum follow-up demonstrated perfect negative predicted value; all trials negative at 1 year for DFS were negative for 5-year OS. OS with 3-year minimum follow-up was also an excellent predictor for 5-year OS; OS at earlier time points provided inaccurate prediction. The association between 3-year DFS and 5-year OS was greater for stage III patients; correlation of HR within trials was 0.92 (95% CI, 0.85 to 0.95) for stage III patients and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.44 to 0.80) for stage II patients. Conclusion DFS outcomes after 2- or 3-year median follow-up are excellent predictors of 5-year OS. DFS outcomes are appropriate for trials in which the majority of patients are stage III. DFS after 2- or 3-year median follow-up should be considered as the primary end point in future colon adjuvant trials.

Purpose A traditional end point for colon adjuvant clinical trials is overall survival (OS), with 5 years demonstrating adequate follow-up. A shorter-term end point providing convincing evidence to allow treatment comparisons could significantly speed the translation of advances into practice. Methods Individual patient data were pooled from 18 randomized phase III colon cancer adjuvant clinical trials. Trials included 43 arms, with a pooled sample size of 20,898 patients. The primary hypothesis was that disease-free survival (DFS), with 3 years of follow-up, is an appropriate primary end point to replace OS with 5 years of follow-up. Results The recurrence rates for years 1 through 5 were 12%, 14%, 8%, 5%, and 3%, respectively. Median time from recurrence to death was 12 months. Eighty percent of recurrences were in the first 3 years; 91% of patients with recurrence by 3 years died before 5 years. Correlation between 3-year DFS and 5-year OS was 0.89. Comparing control versus experimental arms within each trial, the correlation between hazard ratios for DFS and OS was 0.92. Within-trial log-rank testing using both DFS and OS provided the same conclusion in 23 (92%) of 25 cases. Formal measures of surrogacy were satisfied. Conclusion In patients treated on phase III adjuvant colon clinical trials, DFS and OS are highly correlated, both within patients and across trials. These results suggest that DFS after 3 years of median follow-up is an appropriate end point for adjuvant colon cancer clinical trials of fluorouracil-based regimens, although marginally significant DFS improvements may not translate into significant OS benefits.