Davis, Mary Elizabeth

Introduction: Various risk models have been used to predict mortality after implantation of continuous-flow ventricular assist devices (CF-VADs). Discriminatory power and predictive accuracy vary, and there is a need to develop and validate a contemporary risk score in a large multicenter patient cohort. Hypothesis: We sought to develop an early mortality risk score utilizing a large voluntary research registry of patients implanted with CF-VADs, with the focus on increased discriminatory power. Methods: From May 2004 to May 2015, 1150 patients in the Mechanical Circulatory Support Research Network (MCSRN) registry were randomly divided into equal-sized derivation and validation samples (n=575, each group). Candidate predictors from the derivation sample were subjected to backward stepwise logistic regression until the model with lowest Akaike information criterion value was identified for predicting 90-day mortality. A risk score was developed based on the variables and their respective regression coefficients in the final model. Discriminatory power of the risk score was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic analysis, and calibration was assessed using Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test. Results: Overall 90-day mortality was 9.4% (n=99). The final logistic regression model consisted of 9 predictors: Age at implant, preoperative mechanical ventilation, serum total bilirubin, hemoglobin, tricuspid valve regurgitation severity, left ventricular end-diastolic diameter, cardiac index, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, and destination therapy (DT) as an indication for pump placement. The area under the curve was 0.86 in the derivation sample (95% CI, 0.75-0.97) and 0.75 in the validation sample (95% CI, 0.63-0.86). Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test yielded insignificant values in both samples (p=0.75, p=0.58) consistent with good calibration. Conclusions: The proposed 90-day mortality MCSRN risk score provides highest-to-date discriminatory power when compared to already published models. The risk score is applicable to a contemporary large cohort of patients implanted with CF-VADs for either indication (bridge or DT).

Introduction: Recent reports have documented an abrupt increase in 3-month confirmed HeartMate II left ventricular assist device (LVAD) thrombosis beginning in 2011 without a plateau observed to date. Because very little data exist from multi-institutional efforts, we report our experience. Methods: From January 2004 to December 2013, 516 pt underwent HeartMate II LVAD implant at three institutions (University of Michigan (n=254), Mayo Clinic Rochester (n=205), and Vanderbilt Heart and Vascular Institute (n=57)). Median age at implant was 60 yr (range, 18-82) and 428 (83%) were male. Confirmed pump thrombosis at 3 months was defined as thrombus found in the blood-contacting surfaces of the pump at the time of urgent transplant, device exchange or autopsy. Pt without at least 3 months of follow-up were excluded. Results: Confirmed pump thrombosis occurred in 9 pt within 3 months post implant. The incidence was greatest in the year 2012 (5.3%). Following this peak, the incidence of 3-month confirmed pump thrombosis decreased significantly to 2.9% (Figure). Significant differences in preoperative characteristics between patients with pump thrombosis and without thrombosis included female sex (36% vs. 16%, p=0.01), bridge to transplant (77% vs. 54%, p=0.03), atrial fibrillation (55% vs. 32%, p=0.04), and preop platelet count (231,000 vs. 172,000, p<0.001). Follow-up was available in all for a total of 857 patient years of support. At a median follow-up of 1.2 years (max., 9.8 years), a similar proportion of patients were alive (73% vs. 74%, p=0.9). Conclusions: We report a recent decrease in early, confirmed HeartMate II LVAD thrombosis to historically observed levels, which is disparate to recent reports. While we identified several differences in clinical characteristics between patient groups, the issue of pump thrombosis is complex and multifactorial. Most importantly, our findings demonstrate the need for more granular analyses from collaborative efforts.

Abstract Various risk models with differing discriminatory power and predictive accuracy have been used to predict right ventricular failure (RVF) after left ventricular assist device (LVAD) placement. There remains an unmet need for a contemporary risk score for continuous flow (CF)‐LVADs. We sought to independently validate and compare existing risk models in a large cohort of patients and develop a simple, yet highly predictive risk score for acute, severe RVF. Data from the Mechanical Circulatory Support Research Network (MCSRN) registry, consisting of patients who underwent CF‐LVAD implantation, were randomly divided into equal‐sized derivation and validation samples. RVF scores were calculated for the entire sample, and the need for a right ventricular assist device (RVAD) was the primary endpoint. Candidate predictors from the derivation sample were subjected to backward stepwise logistic regression until the model with lowest Akaike information criterion value was identified. A risk score was developed based on the identified variables and their respective regression coefficients. Between May 2004 and September 2014, 734 patients underwent implantation of CF‐LVADs [HeartMate II LVAD, 76% ( n = 560), HeartWare HVAD, 24% ( n = 174)]. A RVAD was required in 4.5% ( n = 33) of the patients [Derivation cohort, n = 15 (4.3%); Validation cohort, n = 18 (5.2%); P = 0.68)]. 19.5% of the patients ( n = 143) were female, median age at implant was 59 years (IQR, 49.4–65.3), and median INTERMACS profile was 3 (IQR, 2–3). RVAD was required in 4.5% ( n = 33) of the patients. Correlates of acute, severe RVF in the final model included heart rate, albumin, BUN, WBC, cardiac index, and TR severity. Areas under the curves (AUC) for most commonly used risk predictors ranged from 0.61 to 0.78. The AUC for the new model was 0.89 in the derivation and 0.92 in the validation cohort. Proposed risk model provides very high discriminatory power predicting acute severe right ventricular failure and can be reliably applied to patients undergoing placement of contemporary continuous flow left ventricular assist devices.

As ventricular-assist devices (VADs) are increasingly employed in heart failure management, a leading cause of mortality, new literature is consistently published on less-invasive implantation techniques. Although early perioperative outcomes have been shown to be favorable with minimally invasive left thoracotomy (LT) approaches compared with conventional sternotomy (CS), studies comparing long-term outcomes are lacking. We set out to evaluate long-term follow up between LT and CS approach. In a single center, retrospective review, data on patients with similar demographic profiles were collected. HeartWare (HVAD) implantation was performed by either CS or LT. Analysis was performed on perioperative adverse outcomes, and 6 month postoperative adverse events. Primary objectives of the study included comparative outcomes of morbidity and mortality between both groups at 180 days postimplantation. Eighty-one (n = 81) bridge to transplant (BTT) patients underwent CS or LT HVAD implantation. Perioperative transfusion (p = 0.04) favored the LT cohort compared with CS, with a median of 6 units and 8 units transfused for each group, respectively. No survival difference was observed between both groups at 6 months postimplantation (p = 0.52). Clinical outcomes at an average of 6 month follow up showed no difference in adverse events, including common postoperative VAD complications such as infection and right heart failure. Miniaturization of LVAD size and improvement in technology has allowed expansion of interest in alternative surgical approaches for HVAD implantation. For BTT patients, no difference in early outcome was observed 6 months after implantation using a left LT versus CS technique.

Guidelines for performing concomitant procedures (CPs) in patients undergoing continuous flow-left ventricular assist device (CF-LVAD) implantation are unclear. The impact of an increased surgical complexity outside the constraint of landmark clinical trials has not been reported. From May 2004 to December 2013, 614 patients (499 males, 81%) underwent CF-LVAD implant at our institutions. Median age was 57 ± 13 years and 364 (59%) were bridge to transplantation (BTT). Survival and device-related complications were analyzed and stratified based on the surgical intervention. A total of 398 patients (65%) underwent CF-LVAD implantation without CPs. The remaining patients (35%, n = 216) were grouped according to various CPs. Survival was comparable between groups and not influenced by the CP, device type, or indication for implant. Time-to-first device-related adverse event was shorter in patients with CPs. Regression analysis revealed only increased age (p = 0.03), increase in baseline creatinine (p = 0.002), cardiopulmonary bypass time (p = 0.03), and decreased body mass index (p = 0.03) were predictors of mortality, whereas only age (p = 0.006) and prior sternotomy (p = 0.02) were related to adverse device-related events. Performing CPs leads to comparable survival and device-related outcomes after implant. The decision to perform CPs should be balanced with age, preoperative renal dysfunction, and projected complexity of surgery.

Driveline infections (DLI) are a cause of morbidity after continuous-flow left ventricular assist device (CF-LVAD) implantation. Because driveline trauma contributes to DLI, we assessed whether intraoperative placement of a temporary external anchoring suture (EAS) influenced DLI rate. We analyzed 161 consecutive patients with CF-LVAD (HMII 82; HW 79) implantation. Two groups were defined: placement of EAS (n = 85) or No EAS (n = 76). For NO EAS patients, the driveline was permanently anchored internally to the rectus fascia. Cox proportional analysis was performed to assess the effect of EAS on time to first confirmed DLI. Baseline characteristics were comparable between groups (all p = 0.3). Mean follow-up time was 0.93 years. A total of 18 (11.1%) patients developed confirmed culture positive DLI, with “first infection” rate of 0.13 events/year. Mean time to confirmed DLI was 0.69 years. Driveline infection was less likely (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.28, 0.95 confidence interval [CI] = 0.06–1.25, p = 0.056) to occur in NO EAS (2/18) then in EAS (16/18). Confirmed DLI was comparable between device types (p = 0.3). Multivariable regression adjusted for age, BMI, blood product use, device type, and diabetes showed equivocal effect of EAS (HR = 0.33, 0.95 CI = 0.07–1.54, p = 0.12). Patients with a temporary EAS may have an increased risk of confirmed DLI after device implantation.