Artificial Intelligence in Risk Stratification and Outcome Prediction for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Background/Objectives: Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has been introduced as an optimal treatment for patients with severe aortic stenosis, offering a minimally invasive alternative to surgical aortic valve replacement. Predicting these outcomes following TAVR is crucial. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a promising tool for improving post-TAVR outcome prediction. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aim to summarize the current evidence on utilizing AI in predicting post-TAVR outcomes. Methods: A comprehensive search was conducted to evaluate the studies focused on TAVR that applied AI methods for risk stratification. We assessed various ML algorithms, including random forests, neural networks, extreme gradient boosting, and support vector machines. Model performance metrics—recall, area under the curve (AUC), and accuracy—were collected with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A random-effects meta-analysis was conducted to pool effect estimates. Results: We included 43 studies evaluating 366,269 patients (mean age 80 ± 8.25; 52.9% men) following TAVR. Meta-analyses for AI model performances demonstrated the following results: all-cause mortality (AUC = 0.78 (0.74–0.82), accuracy = 0.81 (0.69–0.89), and recall = 0.90 (0.70–0.97); permanent pacemaker implantation or new left bundle branch block (AUC = 0.75 (0.68–0.82), accuracy = 0.73 (0.59–0.84), and recall = 0.87 (0.50–0.98)); valve-related dysfunction (AUC = 0.73 (0.62–0.84), accuracy = 0.79 (0.57–0.91), and recall = 0.54 (0.26–0.80)); and major adverse cardiovascular events (AUC = 0.79 (0.67–0.92)). Subgroup analyses based on the model development approaches indicated that models incorporating baseline clinical data, imaging, and biomarker information enhanced predictive performance. Conclusions: AI-based risk prediction for TAVR complications has demonstrated promising performance. However, it is necessary to evaluate the efficiency of the aforementioned models in external validation datasets.
Short‐Term, Mid‐Term, and Long‐Term Outcomes of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement With Balloon‐Expandable Versus Self‐Expanding Valves: A Meta‐Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials
ABSTRACTBackgroundComparisons of outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement with balloon‐expandable (BEV) versus self‐expanding (SEV) valves are limited.HypothesisThis study aimed to compare clinical and hemodynamic outcomes of BEV and SEV at short‐term (30 days), midterm (1 year), and long‐term (> 1 year) endpoints.MethodsPubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane Library databases were searched until July 2024 for randomized controlled trials. Random‐effect model (DerSimonian–Laird method) was used to pool the risk ratios (RR), mean differences, and 95% confidence intervals (CI).ResultsA total of 10 studies comprising 4325 patients (2295 BEV, 2030 SEV) were included. In short‐term, cardiovascular (RR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.36–0.87) and all‐cause mortality (RR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.35–0.81) were lower in the BEV group. Risk of moderate to severe paravalvular leak (PVL) was lower among BEV patients in short‐term (RR: 0.28, 95% CI: 0.17–0.49) and long‐term (RR: 0.28, 95% CI: 0.1–0.79). A limited number of studies showed a greater risk of clinical valve thrombosis on BEV in midterm and long‐term. The need for permanent pacemaker implantation was lower in BEV at both short‐term (RR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.37–0.87), and midterm (RR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.64–0.94). The SEV group had a larger effective orifice area with lower mean transvalvular pressure gradient at all endpoints.ConclusionsBEV is associated with reduced risk of clinical outcomes in short‐term; however, most differences diminish in longer evaluations, except for moderate to severe PVL, which remains elevated for SEV. SEVs had better hemodynamic results and lower risk of clinical valve thrombosis.
Abstract 4145990: Time Trend Analysis of Clinical Outcomes for Drug-Coated Balloon versus Drug-Eluting Stent among Patients with Coronary In-Stent Restenosis: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials
Background: Coronary in-stent restenosis (ISR) secondary to neointimal hyperplasia or neoatherosclerosis remains a significant challenge following percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI), with no consensus on the optimal revascularization strategy. We compared the outcome of PCI for ISR using drug-coated balloons (DCB) and drug-eluting stents (DES) and investigated the time trends in their clinical outcomes. Methods: PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library databases were searched through May 2024. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing DCB versus DES among patients with coronary ISR. The primary outcome was target lesion revascularization (TLR). Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), stent thrombosis, and late lumen loss (LLL). Random-effects models were employed to analyze outcomes within 1-year and beyond 1-year intervals. Meta-regression analysis was used to investigate the effect of age, sex, history of diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, smoking, and ejection fraction on all outcomes by applying mixed-effect models. Results: We included 10 RCTs (1034 patients in the DCB group and 943 patients in the DES group). We found similar incidence of 1-year TLR (odds ratio [OR] 1.36; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86, 2.14; P 0.194; I 2 43.3%) and >1-year TLR (OR 0.94; 95% CI 0.57, 1.56; P 0.817; I 2 0%) with the use of DCB versus DES. The risks of all-cause mortality, MI, and stent thrombosis were comparable between DCB and DES in 1-year and beyond 1-year follow-ups. At 6-9 months angiographic follow-up, DCB was associated with non-significantly lower LLL compared to DES (standardized mean difference [SMD] -0.12 millimeters; 95% CI -0.29, 0.05; P 0.170; I 2 71.7%). Meta-regression indicated that higher prevalence of diabetes was associated with an increased risk of 1-year revascularization after DCB compared to DES (Estimate 0.07; P 0.003; I 2 0%). Additionally, male sex was associated with an increased LLL in DCB versus DES (Estimate 0.034; P 0.001; I 2 41.8%). No association was found between other baseline characteristics and measured clinical outcomes. Conclusion: DCB demonstrated comparable PCI outcomes compared to DES in patients with coronary ISR.
Abstract 4140192: Time Trends in Outcomes of Trans-Catheter Aortic Valve Replacement with Balloon-expanding Versus Self-expanding Valves: A Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials
Background: The research on the outcomes of transcatheter aortic valve replacement with balloon-expandable valves (BEV) and self-expanding valves (SEV) are limited. Hypothesis: This study aims to compare the clinical and hemodynamic outcomes of BEV and SEV at short-term (30 days), mid-term (1 year), and long-term (>1 year) endpoints. Methods: PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane Library databases were searched up to April 25, 2024, for randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Random-effect model (DerSimonian–Laird method) was used to pool the risk ratios (RR), mean differences (MD) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for binary and continuous outcomes, respectively. Results: A total of 11 RCTs comprising 4,325 patients (2,295 BEV, 2,030 SEV) were included. At short-term, the risk of cardiovascular (RR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.36-0.87) and all-cause mortality (RR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.35-0.81) were lower in the BEV group. However, no differences were noted between the two treatment modalities in longer follow-ups despite the lower risk of moderate to severe paravalvular leak (PVL) among BEV patients. The risk of stroke was comparable between two groups across all three follow-up endpoints, albeit a limited number of studies suggesting the BEV group showed a greater risk of clinical valve thrombosis in mid-term and long-term assessments. The need for permanent pacemaker implantation was lower in BEV arm in short-term (RR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.37-0.87) and mid-term (RR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.64-0.94). Yet, this difference was not observed in long-term follow-ups. Conversely, the SEV group had a larger effective orifice area with lower mean transvalvular pressure gradient from short-term (MD: 0.17, 95% CI: 0.07-0.26 and MD: 3.71, 95% CI: 2.64-4.78, respectively) to long-term (MD: 0.25, 95% CI: 0.17-0.32 and MD: 3.73, 95% CI: 3.19-4.27, respectively) periods. Conclusions: BEV is associated with reduced risk of clinical outcomes at short-term; however, most differences diminish in longer evaluations, except for moderate to severe PVL. Conversely, SEV is linked to better hemodynamic outcomes and a lower risk of clinical valve thrombosis across all follow-up durations.
In-hospital and 1-year outcomes of patients without modifiable risk factors presenting with acute coronary syndrome undergoing PCI: a sex-stratified analysis
Abstract Background The standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRFs: hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and cigarette smoking) are known to play a major role in the pathogenesis of coronary heart disease (CHD). Despite endeavors aiming at primary and secondary prevention of these risk factors, CHD has remained a leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide. A considerable proportion of patients admitted with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) have no SMuRFs, the outcomes of whom following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are debated. Further, sex differences within this population have yet to be established. Purpose The present study aimed to evaluate the association between SMuRF-less status and post-PCI outcomes among patients with ACS. Further, we sought to determine possible sex differences in the post-PCI outcomes related to the SMuRF-less status. Methods This retrospective cohort study included 7847 patients with ACS who underwent PCI. The study outcomes were all-cause mortality and major adverse cardio-cerebrovascular events (MACCE). The association between the absence of SMuRFs (SMuRF-less status) and outcomes among all the patients and each sex was assessed using logistic and Cox proportional hazard regressions. A separate landmark analysis with the landmark (cutoff) set at 30 days after the index procedure was performed as well. Models were adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cerebrovascular accident, previous myocardial infarction, estimated glomerular filtration rate, ejection fraction, and left main disease. Results Approximately 11% of the study population had none of the SMuRFs. The SMuRF-less and SMuRF+ groups aged 63.10 ±8.91 (85.1% males) and 62.53 ± 10.91 years (74.9% males), respectively. During 12.13 [11.99-12.36] months of follow-up, the followings were respective event numbers in the SMuRF-less and SMuRF+ groups: all-cause mortality: 35 (4.1%) and 273 (3.9%); MACCE: 99 (11.6%) and 898 (12.8%). All-cause mortality (adjusted-hazard ratio (HR): 1.01, 95%CI: 0.88-1.46, P: 0.731), and MACCE (adjusted-HR: 0.93, 95%CI:0.81-1.12, P: 0.412) did not differ between patients with and without SMuRFs (Figure 1). Sex-stratified analyses recapitulated similar outcomes between SMuRF+ and SMuRF-less men. In contrast, SMuRF-less women had significantly higher all-cause mortality (adjusted-HR:1.41, 95%CI: 1.02-3.21, P: 0.008) than SMuRF+ women (Figure 1). Notably, following landmark analyses, this significant association among women disappeared (adjusted-HR: 0.99, 95%CI: 0.41-2.59, P:0.991), implying that its significance stemmed, to some extent, from higher 30-day mortality (Figure 1,2). Conclusions Almost one in 10 patients with ACS who underwent PCI had no SMuRFs. The absence of SMuRFs did not confer any benefit in terms of in-hospital mortality, one-year mortality, and MACCE. Even worse, SMuRF-less women paradoxically had an excessive risk of one-year mortality.
Risk factor profile and outcomes of premature acute coronary syndrome after percutaneous coronary intervention: A 1‐year prospective design
AbstractBackgroundThe prevalence of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) among young adults (premature ACS) has dramatically increased in recent years, especially in developing countries. Yet, the data on these patients' attributed risk factors and outcomes are inconsistent. In this study, we aimed to investigate these data in a cohort of premature ACS cases who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) compared to older patients.HypothesisWe hypothesize that premature ACS patients undergoing PCI will exhibit different risk factor profiles and outcomes compared to non‐premature patients. specifically, we anticipate that premature patients do not necessarily have better outcomes than non‐premature.MethodsOverall, 3142 and 10 399 patients were included in premature and non‐premature groups, respectively. Patients' pre‐operative, post‐operative, and follow‐up data were retrieved retrospectively from the Tehran Heart Center PCI databank.ResultsThe mean age of premature and non‐premature cohorts was 48.39 and 67 years, respectively. Patients were predominantly male in both groups. Family history of coronary artery disease (CAD), dyslipidemia, smoking, and opium addiction were more prevalent among the younger cohort. After adjustment, in‐hospital mortality in younger patients was considerably higher, with all‐cause mortality and major cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) exhibiting no noticeable difference among the two groups.ConclusionsRisk factor profile is different in young patients, and traditional cardiovascular risk factors, such as hypertension and diabetes mellitus, are more prevalent among older adults. Younger age is not equivalent to a better prognosis; hence, similar or even more caution should be taken into consideration regarding secondary prevention for these patients.