Abstract Background The isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutation status is a key molecular marker in diagnosing and treating brain tumors. Currently, it is determined via invasive tissue biopsy. Recent advances in deep learning (DL) have offered promising non-invasive alternatives for determining IDH status. However, their clinical translation is hindered by a significant gap between DL predictions and their clinical applicability. The limited transparency of many DL-networks and inadequate evaluation metrics hinders trust and adoption, as clinicians require clear and validated insights for determining IDH status. These challenges highlight the need for robust validation and measures of predictive reliability to make DL-predictions clinically actionable. Methods We developed a unique approach for non-invasive prediction of IDH status using MRI. We combine a voxel-wise-segmentation network(MC-net) with Bayesian logistic regression (BLR) to provide an IDH status and estimate confidence scores. We utilized a comprehensive dataset of 2,481 glioma cases from eight institutions. Results Our framework(MC-net + BLR) demonstrated robust performance achieving 96.4% and 95.1% classification accuracies on diverse databases, with an AUC of 0.98. The BLR was implemented exclusively on held-out test data, ensuring that the derived confidence scores are independent of the training or validation phases. The derived confidence scores showed a low Brier score of 0.0125, highlighting its superior calibration and uncertainty quantification. Conclusion The developed framework provides an IDH status and a confidence score, offering clinicians an additional layer of assurance in prediction reliability. It bridges the gap between high-performing DL models and their clinical applicability by addressing the challenges in prediction reliability. Our framework is a significant advancement in non-invasive determination of IDH-status and confidence-informed therapeutic decision-making in neuro-oncology.
Clinical Efficacy of ONC201 in H3K27M-Mutant Diffuse Midline Gliomas Is Driven by Disruption of Integrated Metabolic and Epigenetic Pathways
Abstract Patients with H3K27M-mutant diffuse midline glioma (DMG) have no proven effective therapies. ONC201 has recently demonstrated efficacy in these patients, but the mechanism behind this finding remains unknown. We assessed clinical outcomes, tumor sequencing, and tissue/cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) correlate samples from patients treated in two completed multisite clinical studies. Patients treated with ONC201 following initial radiation but prior to recurrence demonstrated a median overall survival of 21.7 months, whereas those treated after recurrence had a median overall survival of 9.3 months. Radiographic response was associated with increased expression of key tricarboxylic acid cycle–related genes in baseline tumor sequencing. ONC201 treatment increased 2-hydroxyglutarate levels in cultured H3K27M-DMG cells and patient CSF samples. This corresponded with increases in repressive H3K27me3 in vitro and in human tumors accompanied by epigenetic downregulation of cell cycle regulation and neuroglial differentiation genes. Overall, ONC201 demonstrates efficacy in H3K27M-DMG by disrupting integrated metabolic and epigenetic pathways and reversing pathognomonic H3K27me3 reduction. Significance: The clinical, radiographic, and molecular analyses included in this study demonstrate the efficacy of ONC201 in H3K27M-mutant DMG and support ONC201 as the first monotherapy to improve outcomes in H3K27M-mutant DMG beyond radiation. Mechanistically, ONC201 disrupts integrated metabolic and epigenetic pathways and reverses pathognomonic H3K27me3 reduction. This article is featured in Selected Articles from This Issue, p. 2293
“Real world” use of a highly reliable imaging sign: “T2-FLAIR mismatch” for identification of IDH mutant astrocytomas
Abstract AbstractThe T2-FLAIR (fluid attenuated inversion recovery) mismatch sign is an easily detectable imaging sign on routine clinical MRI studies that suggests diagnosis of isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH)–mutant 1p/19q non-codeleted gliomas. Multiple independent studies show that the T2-FLAIR mismatch sign has near-perfect specificity, but low sensitivity for diagnosing IDH-mutant astrocytomas. Thus, the T2-FLAIR mismatch sign represents a non-invasive radiogenomic diagnostic finding with potential clinical impact. Recently, false positive cases have been reported, many related to variable application of the sign’s imaging criteria and differences in image acquisition, as well as to differences in the included patient populations. Here we summarize the imaging criteria for the T2-FLAIR mismatch sign, review similarities and differences between the multiple validation studies, outline strategies to optimize its clinical use, and discuss potential opportunities to refine imaging criteria in order to maximize its impact in glioma diagnostics.