Chamberlain, Alanna M

Background— Heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) share common risk factors and often coexist. The combination of HF and AF may carry a worse prognosis than either condition alone; however, the magnitude of this risk remains controversial and it is not known whether the timing of AF influences the risk of death. Methods and Results— We determined the risk of all-cause mortality in relation to the presence of AF prior to or after HF diagnosis in a community-based cohort of persons diagnosed as having HF between 1983 and 2006. Of 1664 individuals with HF, 553 had a history of AF and 384 developed AF after HF. During a median follow-up of 4.0 years, 450 deaths occurred among persons with prior AF, 314 among those with AF after HF, and 572 among patients without AF. In fully adjusted models, compared with patients without AF, those with AF prior to HF had a 29% increased risk of death, whereas those who developed AF after HF exhibited >2-fold increased risk of death. Conclusions— In the community, AF is frequent in the setting of HF and is associated with a large excess risk of death. The magnitude of this excess risk differs markedly according to the timing of AF, with AF developing after HF conferring the largest increased risk of death compared with HF patients without AF.

Background— Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common finding in patients with myocardial infarction (MI). Atrial fibrillation is not generally perceived by clinicians as a critical event during the acute phase of MI; however, its prognostic influence in MI remains controversial. Furthermore, contradictory data exist concerning the risk of death according to AF timing. This article, a systematic review and first meta-analysis, aims to quantify the mortality risk associated with AF in MI patients and its timing. Methods and Results— A comprehensive search of several electronic databases (1970 to 2010; adults, any language) identified MI studies that evaluated mortality related to AF. Evidence was reviewed by 2 blinded reviewers with a formal assessment of the methodological quality of the studies. Adjusted odds ratios were pooled across studies using the random-effects model. The I 2 statistic was used to assess heterogeneity. In the 43 included studies (278 854 subjects), the mortality odds ratio associated with AF was 1.46 (95% confidence interval, 1.35 to 1.58; I 2 =76%; 23 studies). This worse prognosis persisted regardless of the timing of AF; the odds ratio of mortality for new AF with no prior history of AF was 1.37 (95% confidence interval, 1.26 to 1.49), I 2 =28%, 9 studies), and for prior AF was 1.28 (95% confidence interval, 1.16 to 1.40; I 2 =24%; 4 studies). The sensitivity analysis of new AF studies adjusting for confounding factors did not show a decrease in risk of death. Conclusions— Atrial fibrillation is associated with increased risk of mortality in MI patients. New AF with no history of AF before MI remained associated with an increased risk of mortality even after adjustment for several important AF risk factors. These subsequent increases in mortality suggest that AF can no longer be considered a nonsevere event during MI.