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Balsay-Patel, Caitlyn

0009-0004-9052-8999

Mayo Clinic

Moffitt Cancer Center

Citations 2

Assessment of recurrence risk in stage IIB/C melanoma across time: Implications for stratification and surveillance.
Balsay-Patel, Caitlyn , Leong, Stanley P. L. , Bagge, Roger Olofsson, Kashani-Sabet, Mohammed, White, Richard L., Vetto, John T. , Schneebaum, Shlomo, Howard, John H. , Avisar, E, Namm, Jukes P. , Pockaj, Barbara A. , Orcutt, Sonia T. , Crystal, Jessica S. , Zager, Jonathan S., Karakousis, Giorgos C. , O'Donoghue, Cristina, Farooq, Mohammad Saad , Bagge, Roger Olofsson , Kashani–Sabet, Mohammed , White, Richard L. , Avisar, Eli , Kosiorek, Heidi , Faries, Mark B. , Hieken, Tina J. , Zager, Jonathan S. , O’Donoghue, Cristina

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2026 | Volume: 44 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: 9568-9568

10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.9568 Get It

9568 Background: Stage IIB/C cutaneous melanoma is associated with high recurrence risk, however stratification of risk in relation to time after surgery has not been comprehensively evaluated. We evaluated recurrence-free survival (RFS) at key time points, stratified by clinicopathologic factors, to identify patients (pts) at higher recurrence risk and personalize postoperative surveillance strategies. Methods: In this multi-institutional, international retrospective cohort study from the Sentinel Lymph Node Working Group database, we included pts with pathologic T3b/T4a/T4b and N0 disease who underwent surgical resection and sentinel node biopsy from 1994-2025. The type of first recurrence (local, regional, distant) was characterized based on time category (0-12, 12-24, 24-60, and 60+ months after surgery). Restricted mean survival time (RMST) analysis was used to measure the average survival time up to a specified time point (6-, 12-, 24-, and 60-months after surgery), and associations of clinicopathologic variables (age, sex, Breslow thickness, ulceration and lymphovascular invasion [LVI]) with RFS. Results: We included 2514 stage IIB/C pts from 19 sites in 4 countries, with a median follow-up of 53 (stage IIB) and 49 (stage IIC) months. 675 (27%) pts experienced a recurrence (92 [14%] local, 238 [35%] regional and 345 [51%] distant), and 400 (59%) recurrences occurred within 24 months. The proportion of distant recurrences as the first recurrence increased significantly with time, comprising 39%, 50%, 62%, and 59% of recurrences in the 0-12, 12-24, 24-60, and 60+ month time categories respectively (χ 2 p<0.001). No significant differences were observed for the included clinicopathologic variables for 6-month RMST estimates. At 12 months, RMST estimates for thickness ≥4 mm (11.2 vs 11.6 months for thickness 2-3.99 mm, p<0.001) and presence of LVI (10.7 vs 11.4 months, p=0.009) were significantly different. 24-month RMST estimates differed for male sex (20.7 vs 21.5 months vs females, p=0.002), thickness ≥4 mm (20.5 vs 21.9 months, p<0.001), and presence of LVI (19.0 vs 21.1 months, p<0.001). Lastly, 60-month RMST estimates differed for male sex (42.0 vs 45.2 months, p=0.001), thickness ≥4 mm (41.5 vs 46.2 months, p<0.001), LVI (36.0 vs 43.7 months, p<0.001), and age >65 years (41.5 vs 46.4 for age <42, p=0.022). Conclusions: In this real-world, multi-center analysis of pathologic stage IIB/C melanoma pts, recurrence patterns varied based on time after surgery. Breslow thickness, LVI, male sex, and age were significantly associated with earlier recurrence at different time intervals on RMST analysis. Additionally, given that >50% of first recurrences 12+ months after surgery were distant, active surveillance for distant relapses may be warranted.
A propensity score-matched analysis comparing first-line regional, systemic, and intralesional treatments for melanoma in-transit metastases in a contemporary patient population.
Balsay-Patel, Caitlyn , Dugan, Michelle, Naqvi, Syeda Mahrukh Hussnain , Ollila, D. W., Houdt, Winan J. van, Asher, Nethanel, Snow, Hayden, Farma, Jeffrey M., Vetto, John T. , Saw, Robyn P.M., LO, S, Long, Georgina V., Ny, Lars, Akkooi, Alexander Christopher Jonathan Van, Bagge, Roger Olofsson, Zager, Jonathan S., Long, Georgina V. , Akkooi, Alexander C. J. van , Saw, Robyn P.M. , Lo, Serigne , Long, Georgina V , Lo, Serigne N , Dugan, Michelle M. , Hieken, Tina J. , Houdt, Winan J. van , Asher, Nethanel , Broman, Kristy K. , Farma, Jeffrey M. , Hui, Jane Yuet Ching , Ny, Lars , Kim, Youngchul , Bagge, Roger Olofsson , Zager, Jonathan S.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2026 | Volume: 44 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: 9524-9524

10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.9524 Get It

9524 Background: Unresectable melanoma in-transit metastases (ITM) can pose a significant clinical challenge. Our recently published data comparing first-line treatments for ITM, isolated limb infusion or perfusion (ILI/ILP), immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) and intralesional talimogene laherparepvec (TVEC), found superior outcomes with TVEC. However, TVEC was used more often in patients with lower disease burden and earlier stage (IIIB vs. IIIC/D). Therefore, we sought to better investigate these differences with a propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis. Methods: A multi-institutional, international IRB- approved retrospective analysis was conducted for unresectable melanoma ITM from 2016-2022. PSM analysis comparing first-line ILI/ILP, ICI, and TVEC for was performed. Patients were matched for stage, number of ITM, anatomical site, CLND status, gender and age. Kaplan-Meier curves (OS, PFS, DMFS) and Cumulative incidence function (MSS) were used to visualize time-to-event outcomes in the PSM cohort, though both methods do not account for the matched structure. Results: 274 patients were identified, 120 female/154 male; 96 treated with ILI/ILP, 111 with ICI, and 67 with TVEC. Median follow-up was 40 months (range, 1-80). PSM was performed and identified 36 TVEC–ICI pairs and 27 TVEC–ILI pairs. These were combined resulting in a final cohort of 108 observations (45 TVEC, 36 ICI and 27 ILI). The groups were well balanced. No statistical difference was found for metastasis-free survival (DMFS), progression-free survival (PFS), melanoma-specific survival (MSS), and overall survival (OS) between treatment modalities. TVEC was associated with significant improvement in local PFS (median was 2.2 years (y) for ILI/ILP, 1.5y for ICI and not reached for TVEC, p=0.048). While not statistically significant, a clinical benefit was seen in PFS being longer for TVEC (2.1y for TVEC vs. 1.2y for ILI/ILP and 1.1y for ICI; p=0.2) and OS (not reached vs 2.9y for ILI/ILP and 5.2y for ICI; p=0.2). On mixed effect Cox regression proportional hazard model using the matched data set, there were no significant differences in any of the survival and recurrence outcomes. Conclusions: When patients are propensity-matched, there were no significant differences in first-line treatment modalities for unresectable melanoma ITM. Treatment with TVEC did result in clinically meaningful improved overall and local PFS and OS. This supports that selection of ITM therapy should incorporate an individualized approach, incorporating disease distribution, stage, burden, treatment side effects and patient priorities.