Collaco, Bernardo

Background: Large language models (LLMs) are being used by surgeons for education and reference yet concerns about hallucinations and reliability limit safe adoption. Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) can offer a potential solution by grounding responses in a high-quality external database (e.g., medical textbooks) to enhance accuracy. However, performance tradeoffs across different RAG configurations—many of which exponentially increase computational cost—remain poorly characterized. Methods: In total, 120 lightweight, open-source RAG configurations were evaluated across 40 plastic surgery-focused question-answering tasks (20 single-hop, 20 multi-hop), spanning multiple subspecialties (4800 total evaluations). Configurations varied by base LLM (Phi-3-mini-128k-instruct vs. BioMistral-7B), embedding model, database size, chunk size, and query hop type. Performance was assessed using semantic similarity (Ragas) to physician-validated reference answers. Performance was analyzed using linear mixed-effects regression with query as a random effect and fixed and interaction effects selected via likelihood testing and AIC. Results: High performance was achievable using lightweight, open-source models. While BioMistral-7B had high mean sematic similarity under specific configurations (mean semantic similarity up to 0.786), Phi-3-mini-128k-instruct demonstrated more consistent performance across query complexity. Larger database sizes significantly improved semantic similarity, with the largest gain at intermediate sizes (e.g., size 5: +0.043, p = 0.001). Embedding choice had a strong effect, with bge-large-en-v1.5 improving performance (p = 0.0016) and Bio_ClinicalBERT markedly reducing it (p < 0.001). Multi-hop queries substantially reduced performance (p < 0.001), though this effect was attenuated for Phi-3-mini-128k-instruct via a strong model × hop-type interaction (p < 0.001). Conclusions: RAG systems for plastic surgery do not require large proprietary models, as performance depends on configuration choices and interaction effects rather than isolated components. With advancements, predictive modeling may enable resource-efficient, safe deployment of clinical RAG systems.