Ortiz, J. Bryce

3516 Background: ICIs produce durable benefit in MSI-H CRC, yet optimal treatment duration and monitoring strategies remain unclear. ctDNA enables minimally invasive assessment of molecular response during and after ICI. We evaluated real-world treatment patterns, outcomes, and longitudinal ctDNA dynamics in pts with MSI-H CRC treated with ICI. Methods: Pts with MSI-H mCRC treated with first-line ICI were identified from Natera’s Real-World Database with linked longitudinal ctDNA results (Signatera, Natera, Inc.) and commercial claims data (Forian’s Hybrid data ecosystem, CHRONOS). Overall survival (OS) was estimated using available mortality data (Veritas Data Research, Fact of Death Mortality Data Index). ctDNA status was assessed pre-ICI when available and longitudinally following ICI initiation. Outcomes included OS and time to next trmt (TTNT); ctDNA dynamics following ICI discontinuation were descriptively evaluated. Results: Among 559 pts treated with first line ICI (pembrolizumab [70.1%], ipilimumab+nivolumab [15.7%], and nivolumab [11.8%]), the median duration of ICI was 266 days. Baseline (pre-ICI) ctDNA results were available for 180 pts, including 38% who were treated with chemotherapy, and most pts (71.7%, 129/180) were ctDNA-positive (ctDNA(+)) prior to ICI initiation. Of these, 89.9% (116/129) had ctDNA-timepoints after the start of ICI, and 81.0% (94/116) achieved anytime ctDNA clearance (from ctDNA(+) to negative), while 19.0% (22/116) remained ctDNA(+). ctDNA(+) at anytime after the start of ICI (HR: 8.0, p < 0.0001) or on first result after the start of ICI (HR: 3.4, p < 0.0001) was associated with inferior OS compared ctDNA-negativity (ctDNA(-)) at these time points. Among pts whose first post-ICI test was ctDNA(+), 32% switched treatments, with a median TTNT of 302 days, compared to only 6.6% of pts (median TTNT 683 days) whose first post-ICI test was ctDNA(-). First post-ICI ctDNA status was associated with longer ICI duration (median 192 days for ctDNA(+) vs 303 days for ctDNA(-)), and ctDNA(+) was predictive of inferior OS (HR: 4.9; p < 0.001). ctDNA after the end of ICI was available for 392 patients; it was persistently negative in 77.2% (303/392), persistently positive in 12.8% (50/392), cleared after the end of ICI (positive to persistently negative) in 4.1%, and the remaining 5.9% had variable patterns (e.g. positive to negative to positive). Conclusions: In this large real-world cohort of MSI-H mCRC treated with ICI, longitudinal ctDNA dynamics strongly correlated with treatment durability, time to subsequent therapy, and OS. These findings support further evaluation of ctDNA to inform treatment duration and surveillance strategies in MSI-H mCRC.

Abstract Introduction: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a promising biomarker for treatment response monitoring, risk stratification, and early recurrence detection for patients with lymphoma. Tumor-informed ctDNA testing for detecting molecular residual disease (MRD) is seeing early adoption in this setting, demonstrating technical feasibility and clinical need for personalized monitoring tools. However, the prognostic utility of ctDNA across indolent and aggressive subtypes of lymphoma remains poorly understood. Here, we present real-world data on ctDNA detection and clearance dynamics in patients with various lymphoma subtypes, including patients who are newly diagnosed and those in the relapsed/refractory setting receiving chimeric antigen receptor (CAR)-T therapy. Methods: We performed a retrospective, real-world analysis of ctDNA testing in 148 patients with either B-cell (n=129) or T-cell lymphoma (n=19). Among the 129 patients with B-cell lymphoma, 113 patients had aggressive subtypes (n=84 with DLBCL; n=29 with other), and 16 had indolent lymphoma subtypes. ctDNA was analyzed using a tumor-informed 16-plex mPCR-NGS assay (SignateraTM, Natera, Inc.) from September 2020 - May 2025. Plasma samples (n=1,122; median: 7 per patient, range: 1-31) were collected at baseline, during therapy, at end-of-treatment (EOT), and during follow-up per physician's discretion. ctDNA status at baseline and EOT, and clearance kinetics during first-line (1L) induction therapy were correlated with clinical outcomes. Results: The median patient age was 61 years (range: 18.3–84), and median follow-up was 18.7 months (range: 0.6–54.4 months). Disease stage at diagnosis was available for 139 patients: stage I (n=15, 11%), stage II (n=31, 22%), stage III (n=16, 12%), and stage IV (n=77, 55%). Stage was unknown in 9 patients. Overall, ctDNA detection at baseline was 95.7% (90/94), including 100% in patients with indolent B-cell (11/11), and T-cell lymphomas (6/6), and 94.8% (73/77) in patients with aggressive B-cell lymphomas. Across all subtypes, EOT ctDNA status was strongly prognostic for event-free survival (EFS). Patients with ctDNA-positivity at EOT had significantly worse EFS (HR: 7.33, 95%CI: 2.8-19.18, p&lt;0.0001). In aggressive lymphomas, particularly in DLBCL, ctDNA positivity at EOT was associated with a markedly worse prognosis (Aggressive: HR: 7.69, 95%CI: 2.62-22.56, p=0.0002; DLBCL only: HR: 5.74, 95%CI: 1.71-19.23, p&lt;0.01). Among patients with evaluable ctDNA time points relative to 1L therapy (N=60), ctDNA clearance at any time point during treatment correlated with improved EFS. (HR: 18.55, 95%CI: 4.82-71.32, p&lt;0.0001). All patients who did not clear ctDNA relapsed, yielding a positive predictive value of 100% (11/11); the negative predictive value for those who did clear was 88% (43/49). The remaining six patients turned positive during surveillance prior to relapse. Of 15 patients treated with CAR-T cell therapy, 11 had pre- and post-infusion timepoints for ctDNA analysis. Of these, 82% (9/11) were ctDNA-positive prior to CAR-T, and 55% (5/9) achieved post-infusion ctDNA clearance and a complete clinical response, though one became ctDNA-positive and relapsed (13.3 months post-CAR-T), and another suffered non-disease mortality (22.3 months post-CAR-T). In contrast, all 4 patients remaining ctDNA-positive post-CAR-T relapsed or died within a median of 3.3 months (range: 1.3–6.4 months). Two patients persistently ctDNA-negative remain disease-free. Taken together, the PPV and NPV for 12-month EFS following CAR-T therapy using a single ctDNA timepoint were both 100%. Conclusions: This is the first report of the largest, real-world study evaluating the utility of ctDNA across a broad spectrum of heterogeneous lymphoma subtypes in patients receiving various standard of care therapies. ctDNA status at EOT and on-treatment clearance were strong predictors of clinical outcomes across multiple histological subtypes of lymphoma treated with standard-of-care agents including CAR-T cell therapy. The robustness of these findings across biologically distinct subgroups highlight the broad applicability of ctDNA testing for risk stratification and recurrence monitoring for both aggressive and indolent disease. Further prospective studies are needed to validate these findings.