Almaadawy, Omar

Background: Current clinical guidelines emphasize the significance of rhythm control with catheter ablation but lack guidance on the timing after diagnosing atrial fibrillation (AF). Purpose: We aim to investigate the latest evidence on the impact of diagnosis to ablation time (DAT) on AF recurrence, all-cause mortality, stroke, and heart failure (HF) after AF catheter ablation. Methods: We comprehensively searched PubMed, WOS, SCOPUS, EMBASE, and CENTRAL through February 2024. We conducted a pair-wise and prognostic systematic review and meta-analysis with a reconstructed time-to-event data meta-analysis. All analyses were performed using R V. 4.3.1. PROSPERO ID: CRD42024525542. Results: With the inclusion of 22 studies, our cohort comprised a total of 42,101 patients. Regarding pair-wise meta-analysis, shorter DAT was significantly associated with a decreased incidence of AF recurrence across paroxysmal and persistent AF subgroups. Moreover, DAT ≤ one year was significantly associated with a decreased incidence of all-cause mortality (RR: 0.73 with 95% CI [0.59, 0.92], P< 0.01) with a trend toward lowering the risk of stroke (RR: 0.80 with 95% CI [0.62, 1.03], P= 0.08). However, there was no significant difference between DAT ≤ one year and DAT > one year in HF. Regarding adjusted prognostic meta-analysis, longer DAT was significantly associated with an increased risk of AF recurrence (P < 0.01). Our reconstructed Kaplan Meier showed that DAT > one year was significantly associated with a 50% increase in the risk of AF recurrence compared to DAT ≤ one year (HR: 1.50 with 95% CI [1.42, 1.58], P< 0.00001) over 60 months follow-up. Conclusion: Our meta-analysis strongly underscores the critical importance of a short DAT in significantly reducing AF recurrence and all-cause mortality, with a trend toward lowering stroke risk, though no significant impact on HF was observed. Early ablation proves beneficial not only for patients with paroxysmal AF but also for those with persistent AF. These findings suggest that minimizing DAT can markedly improve AF outcomes, warranting further investigation to optimize treatment strategies.