Voeks, Jenifer H.

Background: We have previously reported that carotid artery stenting (CAS) carries a higher stroke risk than carotid endarterectomy (CEA) in patients over the age of 70. The question arises if advanced age is a surrogate for other factors? If so, can those factors be separately identified such that advanced chronological age alone would not be considered a contra-indication for CAS? Here we consider whether the CAS/CEA choice could be guided by other factors known in the clinical center at the time of patient evaluation, independent of age, in order to provide optimal 4-year outcomes. Methods: Demographic factors (age, sex and race), symptomatic status, patient risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, smoking), and arterial characteristics (percent stenosis) were available on 2,502 patients. Additional detailed arterial characteristics (ulcerated plaque, distal tortuosity, sequential lesions, circumferential calcification) were available on 1141 CAS and 438 CEA patients. Potential differential treatment efficacy was assessed by the addition of factor-by-treatment interaction terms to a proportional hazard model containing established predictors of outcome (treatment, symptomatic status, sex, age and age-by-treatment interaction). Results: No other factor was found to mitigate advanced age with evidence of additional treatment effect modification of 4-year outcome (p > 0.10). Discussion: Beyond the previously described differential treatment efficacy by age, there were no other patient or arterial characteristic detected to identify patient subgroups that would differentially benefit from the choice of CAS versus CEA. Our inability to identify factors to guide treatment choices could be due to the low number of stroke and death events, incomplete information regarding arterial characteristics in the CEA population, or the potential exclusion of “high risk” groups (such as those with severe arterial tortuosity) from the study.

Background The Carotid Revascularization Endarterectomy versus Stenting Trial (CREST) enrolled 2502 patients between December of 2000 and mid-July of 2008. We analyzed temporal changes in outcomes for both CEA and CAS over the course of this study. Methods Enrollment was divided into 3 consecutive epochs (5 years, 14 months, and 16 months), each with approximately 834 patients ( Table ). Rates for the primary outcome of death, stroke, and myocardial infarction (DSMI) and for death and stroke (DS) during the periprocedural period were calculated. Poisson regression was used to adjust rates for age, sex, dyslipidemia, and symptomatic status, all of which were found to influence outcomes. Results For CAS, there was a 26% decline in DSMI (6.2% → 4.6%) and a 35% decline in DS (5.5% → 3.6%). For both composite endpoints in CEA there was no consistent pattern ( Table ). As CREST progressed, it enrolled younger patients, more men, patients more likely to be dyslipidemic and enrolled more asymptomatic patients (all p < 0.05). Adjustment for these changes mediated the improvement in event rates for the CAS patients, and had no consistent effect on CEA event rates ( Table ). Conclusion Periprocedural safety for CAS improved over time in CREST. Changes were inconsistent for CEA. Improvements for CAS in part appear to reflect changes in patient selection related to age, sex, and risk factors, as adjustment for those variables attenuated the decline in rates. Linking rates to operator experience was not feasible because of the large number of new interventionalists and surgeons entering CREST over time.

Introduction: Inclusion of asymptomatic patients in randomized trials comparing revascularization to medical therapy has been questioned if they have been previously symptomatic. Hypothesis: Duration of asymptomatic status is not associated with better outcomes following endarterectomy (CEA) or stenting (CAS). Methods: Patients in CREST were classified as asymptomatic if they had not had a TIA or stroke ipsilateral to the study artery within 6 months prior to randomization. We compared those patients who had always been asymptomatic (AA) to those who had been previously symptomatic (PS) ≥ 6 months prior to randomization. Proportional hazards models adjusting for age and treatment were used to assess risk of 30-day stroke or death (S+D), and risk of any 30-day S+D plus ipsilateral stroke at 4 years by asymptomatic status Results: Among the 1056 asymptomatic patients who received the assigned procedure within 30 days of randomization, 977 (93%) were AA and 79 (7%) were PS. There was no difference in the 30-day and 4 year outcomes (Table). Conclusion: In CREST, 93% of the asymptomatic patients were always asymptomatic. Similar outcomes for the previously symptomatic patients (7%) supports the inclusion of such patients in randomized trials comparing CEA and CAS to medical treatment.

Background: Carotid revascularization was addressed by NASCET and ACAS. NASCET showed a 2-year stroke and death of 32.3% in medical patients and a 15.8% incidence in surgical patients (16.5% absolute/51% relative reduction). Similarly, ACAS revealed an 11% 5-year risk in medical patients and 5.1% in surgical patients (5.9% absolute reduction/53% relative reduction). Absolute risk (rather than relative risk) reduction is of prime interest to the patient. However, in these studies, treatment efficacy was assessed on a relative basis, and these procedures were equally efficacious (51% vs. 53% relative risk). The higher event rates in the symptomatic patients resulted in a larger absolute risk reduction in NASCET (16.5% vs. 5.9%). CREST is the only carotid revascularization study to include both symptomatic and asymptomatic patients undergoing CEA or carotid artery stenting (CAS), and we looked at absolute and relative risks associated with both procedures. Methods: Treatment differences in CREST by symptomatic status were reviewed and interaction terms analyzed. Results: Symptomatic periprocedural stroke and death rates were 6% for CAS vs. 3.2% for CEA (2.8% absolute/47% relative difference/p = 0.02), and were 2.5% for CAS vs. 1.4% for CEA (1.2% absolute/53% relative difference/p = 0.15) for asymptomatic. While treatment differences in periprocedural rates were significant for symptomatic but not asymptomatic patients, there was no difference in treatment efficacy as determined by relative risk reduction. Even the most prominent interaction terms were clearly not significant, p > 0.38. Discussion: There is no evidence of a CAS-CEA difference in treatment efficacy by symptomatic status in CREST. There are significant findings in symptomatic patients. This is likely a product of an increased background rate of events in this strata. While symptomatic status can identify a subgroup with an increased background rate, other factors (e.g. age or stenosis) could identify subgroups of asymptomatic patients with high event rates and large absolute treatment differences.

Background There is evidence that center-volume of cases affects outcomes for both carotid endarterectomy (CEA) and stenting (CAS). We sought to evaluate the effect of center-volume by site on complication rates in the Carotid Revascularization Endarterectomy versus Stenting Trial (CREST). Methods In CREST, the primary composite endpoint was any stroke, myocardial infarction, or death within 30 days or ipsilateral stroke in follow-up. Certification was achieved by 477 surgeons performing more than 12 procedures per year with complication rates less than 3% for asymptomatic patients and less than 5% for symptomatic patients; 224 interventionists were certified after a rigorous training and credentialing process that included a lead-in registry. CREST centers were divided into tertiles based on the number of patients enrolled into the study, with Group 1 composed of 82 sites each enrolling <25 patients, Group 2 with 24 sites enrolling 25-51 patients and Group 3 with 10 sites enrolling >51 patients. Differences in periprocedural event rates for the primary composite endpoint and its components were compared using logistic regression adjusting for age, sex, and symptomatic status within site-volume level. Results The safety of CAS and CEA did not vary by site-volume during the periprocedural period as indicated by occurrence of the primary endpoint (p=0.54) or by stroke and death (p=0.87). Conclusion Complication rates (as indicated by the primary endpoint and its components) were low in CREST and were not associated with center-volume. The data are consistent with the value of rigorous training and credentialing in trials evaluating endovascular devices and surgical procedures; because of ongoing entry of new interventionalists and surgeons into CREST, operator experience independent of center-volume cannot be addressed.

Background Carotid artery stent (CAS) placement may be used as an alternative to carotid endarterectomy in selected patients with symptomatic and asymptomatic carotid artery disease. Perhaps because stroke is an uncommon event after CAS, the angiographic predictors of stroke have been incompletely described. Methods A total of 1070 catheter-based angiograms were centrally reviewed in patients undergoing CAS enrolled in the Carotid Revascularization Endarterectomy versus Stenting Trial (CREST). Of these patients, 43 (4%) experienced periprocedural stroke. Angiograms were reviewed using qualitative and quantitative methodology before and after CAS. Reviews were done blinded to patient outcomes and strokes were adjudicated by a central committee blinded to results of angiography. The view showing the greatest carotid stenosis severity was selected. Extreme tortuosity was defined as 2 severe bends >90 degrees (maximum angulation/20 mm segment) beyond the target lesion, sequential lesions as lesions separated by ≥10 mm, and narrow mouth ulcer as a discrete area of contrast extension beyond the normal arterial lumen with a narrow inlet into the ulceration. Results The internal carotid artery reference diameter was 4.2 ± 0.8 mm, the minimal lumen diameter was 1.1 ± 0.6 mm, and the baseline % diameter stenosis was 74.1 ± 11.6%. There were no differences in vessel size or severity of the stenosis in patients with and without stroke. Morphologic predictors significantly related to the risk of subsequent stroke are listed in the Table . Calcification, lesion eccentricity, baseline flow, and distance from the bifurcation were not predictive of periprocedural stroke (p > 0.05). Conclusion In CREST, four angiographic variables were found to increase risk for stroke during and within 30 days after CAS: severe distal tortuosity, sequential lesions, lesion length > 20 mm, and narrow mouth ulcer. Angiographic characteristics beyond percent stenosis may help in patient selection in terms of best revascularization option.

Background In previous carotid revascularization trials, stroke as a qualifying symptom has had the greatest importance as a predictor of subsequent outcomes. However, the importance of stroke, TIA, amaurosis fugax, and asymptomatic status has not been analyzed together and comparatively as predictors of outcome for carotid stenosis in a randomized clinical trial (RCT). Methods Qualifying events were analyzed for the 1321 symptomatic patients in the Carotid Revascularization Endarterectomy versus Stenting Trial (CREST) and were modeled as predictors of the primary outcome (stroke, myocardial infarction, and death during a 30-day peri-procedural period, or ipsilateral stroke over the follow-up period out to 4 years); the potential predictive value was also tested for the outcome of stroke and death. The model included other potential predictors such as age, sex, and treatment. Results The distribution of pre-randomization qualifying events among symptomatic patients in CREST was 572 strokes, 550 TIA, and 199 amaurosis fugax. Relative to symptomatic patients qualifying for the study with stroke, the risk of subsequent primary endpoint was 15% lower for those qualifying with TIA (HR=0.85; 95% CI = 0.57 - 1.28), 36% lower for those qualifying with amaurosis fugax (HR=0.64; 95% CI = 0.3 - 1.23), and 48% lower for asymptomatic patients (HR=0.52; 95% CI = 0.35 - 0.76). The risk of stroke or death was 11% lower for TIA (HR=0.89; 95% CI = 0.57 - 1.40), 18% lower for amaurosis fugax (HR=0.82; 95% CI = 0.42 - 1.60), and 57% lower for asymptomatic patients (HR=0.43; 95% CI = 0.28 - 0.67) when compared to symptomatic patients qualifying with stroke. The risk for patients with stroke or TIA did not differ significantly, and the risk for asymptomatic patients and patients with amaurosis fugax did not differ significantly. Conclusion Outcomes in patients with carotid disease were predicted in descending order by stroke, TIA, amaurosis fugax, and asymptomatic status in a large RCT. Asymptomatic status and amaurosis fugax have a comparatively benign prognosis. Better understanding of these predictors may help in determining who will benefit from carotid revascularization and how quickly they may benefit given the perioperative risks.

Objectives The Carotid Revascularization Endarterectomy versus Stenting Trial (CREST) showed no difference in the composite endpoint of stroke, myocardial infarction, or death between carotid artery stenting (CAS) and carotid endarterectomy (CEA) in patients with symptomatic or asymptomatic carotid stenosis (CS). We compared restenosis or occlusion, and repeat revascularization, between CAS and CEA over 2 years of follow-up. Methods Restenosis, occlusion, and repeat revascularization were assessed at 1, 6, 12 and 24 months post-randomization. Hemodynamically significant restenosis (≥70% diameter reduction) was defined by a peak systolic velocity (PSV) ≥300 cm/second on standardized duplex ultrasonography (DUS), occlusion by an absence of flow within the target artery on DUS, and repeat revascularization by any additional procedure (CEA, angioplasty or CAS) performed on the index artery. Studies were performed in CREST-certified laboratories and interpreted in the CREST Ultrasound Core Lab. Patients included in this report were those who received their assigned treatment within 30 days of randomization and had an ultrasound reviewed at the Core Lab (n=2191). Treatment differences were assessed using proportional hazards models adjusting for age, sex, and symptomatic status. Results In the analytic cohort, 1086 patients received CAS and 1105 received CEA. Over 2 years 113 patients developed restenosis, 56 (rate 5.8%) in the CAS group and 57 (rate 5.8%) in the CEA group; and 8 developed an occlusion, 3 (rate 0.3 %) in the CAS group and 5 (rate 0.5%) in the CEA group. The combined restenosis-occlusion rate was 6.0% (n=58) for CAS and 6.3% (n=62) for CEA (HR=0.90, 95% CI=0.63-1.29, p=0.58). Forty-three patients of the 2191 underwent repeat revascularization (20 CAS, 23 CEA, p=0.69) of which 28 had restenosis by our criteria and so were included ( Figure ). Stroke occurred in 13 (4 CAS; 9 CEA) of the 120 patients with restenosis or occlusion; 1 of the 4 CAS strokes occurred after restenosis was detected, and 5 of 9 CEA strokes occurred after restenosis was detected. Conclusions This analysis of carotid restenosis is the largest reported to date from any randomized clinical trial. Restenosis and occlusion were infrequent and similar up to 2 years following CAS or CEA among 2191 patients. The rates of revascularization likewise did not differ between CAS and CEA. Follow-up out to 10 years is ongoing. Figure. Kaplan-Meier curves of restenosis and occlusion over 2 years.

Purpose: The safety of revascularization for asymptomatic carotid stenosis, and the efficacy of medical therapy for stroke prevention have improved. Therefore, results of prior randomized trials may not apply to current treatment decisions. The NINDS-funded CREST-2 will compare carotid endarterectomy and intensive medical therapy (IMT) versus IMT alone (n=1240), and carotid stenting and IMT versus IMT alone (n=1240) in asymptomatic patients with≥70% stenosis. Materials & Methods: CREST-2 consists of two parallel randomized clinical trials to be conducted at a target of ≈120 centers, including within NINDS StrokeNet. The composite primary outcome is stroke or death during the peri-procedural period or ipsilateral ischemic stroke thereafter up to 4 years. Blinded assessment of cognition will be done periodically. Centrally directed IMT includes tight control of blood pressure (systolic target <140 mm Hg) and cholesterol (LDL target <70 mg/dl) as well as lifestyle coaching. Results: As of June 12, 2015, 94 centers have been approved by the Site Selection Committee. Credentialing is ongoing, with 198 approved surgeons and 64 approved interventionists; 124 additional conditionally approved interventionists will be able to submit additional cases for review under the CREST-2 Registry. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid will offer CAS reimbursement for Registry enrollees. As of June 12, 2015, there are 39 actively enrolling centers, and 37 patients have been randomized. Conclusion: CREST-2 is designed to identify the best approach for asymptomatic carotid stenosis. The first patient was randomized in December, 2014. An update will be provided regarding the numbers of patients randomized, centers certified, as well as surgeons and interventionists fully approved. Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02089217

Background: Presence of atherosclerotic disease in more than one vascular bed (polyvascular disease) is associated with an increased risk of long-term vascular events. In the setting of asymptomatic carotid stenosis, the predictors of disease in other vascular beds is not well delineated. Objective: To identify the frequency and predictors of disease in other vascular beds the CREST 2 randomized trial population with hemodynamically significant stenosis. Methods: Recorded baseline characteristics among CREST 2 participants included: demographics, past medical history, lifestyle factors, and laboratory studies. Each variable was tested against three potential definitions of disease in other beds (cardiac, peripheral arterial disease (PAD) or disease in cardiac + PAD). Statistical analysis was done with Chi square and t tests as appropriate. Results: Data from 1447 patients were available for analysis. In these subjects with carotid disease, 51% also had cardiac disease, 24% also had PAD, and 16% had disease in in both cardiac and PAD. There was no relationship between age or race and presence of disease in other beds. Those with cardiac disease were more likely to be male. Diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and former history of smoking were all more common in those with either cardiac and PAD (TABLE). Elevated triglyceride and low HDL levels were also associated with all three definitions of disease in other beds. Those with either PAD or cardiac + PAD were more likely to be current smokers. Conclusions: Among CREST 2 participants, several medical conditions and lifestyle factors were associated with an increased frequency of disease in other vascular beds. Smoking, in particular, appears to be more common in those with PAD. Future analyses will address whether those with disease in other beds have higher rates of stroke or death.