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Raftery, Kay A.

Mayo Clinic

Imperial College London

Citations 2

Patient Specific Finite Element Modeling Outputs Outperform Clinical Metrics in Predicting Fusion Cage Subsidence
Lali, Francis, Raftery, K. A., Freedman, Brett, Newell, Nicolas, Newell, Nicolas , Levy, Hannah, Raftery, Kay A., Levy, Hannah A. , Freedman, Brett A.

Spine | March 27, 2026 | Volume: 51 | Issue: 15 | Pages: E391-E399

10.1097/brs.0000000000005698 Get It

Study Design. Finite element (FE) analysis of retrospective clinical cohort. Objective. To determine whether preoperative CT-derived FE model outputs can improve subsidence prediction compared with conventional clinical measurements alone in patients undergoing transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (TLIF). Summary of Background Data. Cage subsidence occurs in ∼20% of spinal fusion patients and can lead to complications requiring reoperation. While individual risk factors are known, no validated tool integrates patient anatomy, bone quality, and implant characteristics to predict subsidence. Finite element models have been hypothesized to predict subsidence but lack clinical validation. Materials and Methods. Patient-specific FE models were created from preoperative CT scans of 42 TLIF patients: N=22 severe subsidence (≥4 mm); N=20 nonsevere subsidence (<4 mm). Vertebral geometries were segmented, and bone material properties were assigned based on Hounsfield units (HU). Cage positions from postoperative scans were registered to preoperative anatomy. Endplate and trabecular stresses and strains from FE models were compared with clinical measures using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Results. Fifteen principal stresses and strains of the FE simulations showed significantly higher values in severely subsided patients compared with the nonsevere group. Average trabecular intermediate strain achieved the highest area under the curve score (AUC=0.809), outperforming all clinical metrics. Peak endplate minimum principal stress (AUC=0.775) was the second-best FE classifier. Traditional clinical measures showed lower discriminative ability: cage length (AUC=0.797), cage width (AUC=0.750), and cage height (AUC=0.698). Conclusion. Patient-specific FE model outputs significantly correlate with clinical subsidence outcomes and outperform several traditional metrics in classifying severe subsidence. Both endplate and trabecular stresses and strains are important predictors, with average values showing comparable or superior performance to peak values. Integration of FE models into the clinical workflow could provide a comprehensive preoperative subsidence prediction tool.
Transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion subsidence: computed tomography analysis of incidence, associated risk factors, and impact on outcomes
Reed, Ryder, Harmer, Joshua R. , Raftery, Kay A., Bydon, Mohamad , Fogelson, Jeremy L. , Elder, Benjamin D. , Currier, Bradford L. , Freedman, Brett A. , Sebastian, Arjun S. , Katsos, Konstantinos, Levy, Hannah A. , Pinter, Zachariah W. , Nathani, Karim Rizwan , Katsos, Konstantinos D. , Newell, Nicolas , Nassr, Ahmad , Karamian, Brian A.

Journal of Neurosurgery: Spine | July 5, 2024 | Volume: 41 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 463-472

10.3171/2024.4.spine231007 Get It

OBJECTIVE The aims of this study were to 1) define the incidence of transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (TLIF) interbody subsidence; 2) determine the relative importance of preoperative and intraoperative patient- and instrumentation-specific risk factors predictive of postoperative subsidence using CT-based assessment; and 3) determine the impact of TLIF subsidence on postoperative complications and fusion rates. METHODS All adult patients who underwent one- or two-level TLIF for lumbar degenerative conditions at a multi-institutional academic center between 2017 and 2019 were retrospectively identified. Patients with traumatic injury, infection, malignancy, previous fusion at the index level, combined anterior-posterior procedures, surgery with greater than two TLIF levels, or incomplete follow-up were excluded. Interbody subsidence at the superior and inferior endplates of each TLIF level was directly measured on the endplate-facing surface of both coronal and sagittal CT scans obtained greater than 6 months postoperatively. Patients were grouped based on the maximum subsidence at each operative level classified as mild, moderate, or severe based on previously documented < 2-mm, 2- to 4-mm, and ≥ 4-mm thresholds, respectively. Univariate and regression analyses compared patient demographics, medical comorbidities, preoperative bone quality, surgical factors including interbody cage parameters, and fusion and complication rates across subsidence groups. RESULTS A total of 67 patients with 85 unique fusion levels met the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Overall, 28% of levels exhibited moderate subsidence and 35% showed severe subsidence after TLIF with no significant difference in the superior and inferior endplate subsidence. Moderate (≥ 2-mm) and severe (≥ 4-mm) subsidence were significantly associated with decreases in cage surface area and Taillard index as well as interbody cages with polyetheretherketone (PEEK) material and sawtooth surface geometry. Severe subsidence was also significantly associated with taller preoperative disc spaces, decreased vertebral Hounsfield units (HU), the absence of bone morphogenetic protein (BMP) use, and smooth cage surfaces. Regression analysis revealed decreases in Taillard index, cage surface area, and HU, and the absence of BMP use predicted subsidence. Severe subsidence was found to be a predictor of pseudarthrosis but was not significantly associated with revision surgery. CONCLUSIONS Patient-level risk factors for TLIF subsidence included decreased HU and increased preoperative disc height. Intraoperative risk factors for TLIF subsidence were decreased cage surface area, PEEK cage material, bullet cages, posterior cage positioning, smooth cage surfaces, and sawtooth surface designs. Severe subsidence predicted TLIF pseudarthrosis; however, the causality of this relationship remains unclear.