Nakase, Taishi

Abstract Gliomas are heterogeneous brain tumors with prognostically-significant subtypes and few risk factors. IDH-wildtype glioblastoma, the most common subtype, carries a dismal prognosis. Using the largest GWAS dataset with histological (11,304 cases, 304,523 controls) and molecular (3,418 cases, 8,156 controls) subtypes, we analyzed the plasma and brain proteome to uncover proteins associated with glioma susceptibility. Using protein quantitative trait loci (pQTL) for 1,776 proteins in brain tissue, we identified 21 candidate proteins, including 9 associations with high probability (>70%) of colocalization (shared causal genetic variants for glioma risk and protein abundance). We confirmed known risk genes such as EGFR (p=1.9×10-35) and D2HGDH (p=1.1×10-5). We also identified novel risk proteins, including ENPP6, a choline phosphodiesterase overexpressed in glioma, for IDH-wildtype glioblastoma (OR=0.62, p=7.6×10-5), and galectin-3, a lectin encoded by a tumor fitness gene in CRISPR screens of glioma proliferation and a clinical drug target, for glioma overall (OR=1.37, p=1.3×10-5). Analyses of the plasma proteome using pQTLs for 1,362 proteins from 3 cohorts (N=88,838) identified 9 colocalized associations in whole blood. Most risk signals were subtype-specific, such as CRELD1 (p=2.5×10-5) for triple-negative glioblastoma. We found three candidate risk proteins for IDH-mutant 1p19q-intact glioma: immunoglobulin glycoprotein BCAM (p=9.6×10-8), neurotrophin receptor SorCS2 (p=3.6×10-5) and immune checkpoint PD-1 (p=1.1×10-5). Interestingly, genetically-predicted PD-1 levels had a larger effect on IDH-mutant 1p19q-intact (OR=2.75, 95% CI=1.61-4.69) than IDH-wildtype (OR=0.73, 95% CI=0.51-1.05) tumors, suggesting germline differences in immune checkpoint mechanisms among subtypes. For all colocalized candidates, genetically-predicted protein abundance was correlated with cis-regulated transcriptional activity in brain tissue. For example, genetically-predicted SORCS2 gene expression in brain tissue was associated with plasma SorCS2 levels (Z=16.1, p=1.1×10-68). Our analysis identified candidate proteins involved in immune response and neuronal proliferation, which may enable prioritization of drug targets and provide insight into disease mechanisms for glioma.

Abstract Background Polygenic risk scores (PRS) aggregate the contribution of many risk variants to provide a personalized genetic susceptibility profile. Since sample sizes of glioma genome-wide association studies (GWAS) remain modest, there is a need to efficiently capture genetic risk using available data. Methods We applied a method based on continuous shrinkage priors (PRS-CS) to model the joint effects of over 1 million common variants on disease risk and compared this to an approach (PRS-CT) that only selects a limited set of independent variants that reach genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10–8). PRS models were trained using GWAS stratified by histological (10 346 cases and 14 687 controls) and molecular subtype (2632 cases and 2445 controls), and validated in 2 independent cohorts. Results PRS-CS was generally more predictive than PRS-CT with a median increase in explained variance (R2) of 24% (interquartile range = 11–30%) across glioma subtypes. Improvements were pronounced for glioblastoma (GBM), with PRS-CS yielding larger odds ratios (OR) per standard deviation (SD) (OR = 1.93, P = 2.0 × 10–54 vs. OR = 1.83, P = 9.4 × 10–50) and higher explained variance (R2 = 2.82% vs. R2 = 2.56%). Individuals in the 80th percentile of the PRS-CS distribution had a significantly higher risk of GBM (0.107%) at age 60 compared to those with average PRS (0.046%, P = 2.4 × 10–12). Lifetime absolute risk reached 1.18% for glioma and 0.76% for IDH wildtype tumors for individuals in the 95th PRS percentile. PRS-CS augmented the classification of IDH mutation status in cases when added to demographic factors (AUC = 0.839 vs. AUC = 0.895, PΔAUC = 6.8 × 10–9). Conclusions Genome-wide PRS has the potential to enhance the detection of high-risk individuals and help distinguish between prognostic glioma subtypes.