Assen, Marly van

Abstract Background and Aims Women are underdiagnosed and undertreated for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Automatic quantification of breast arterial calcification (BAC) on screening mammography can identify women at risk for CVD. This study aimed to determine whether artificial intelligence–based automatic quantification of BAC from screening mammograms predicts CVD and mortality beyond PREVENT scores in a large, racially diverse, multi-institutional population. Methods This retrospective cohort study included 123 762 women from two healthcare systems who had screening mammograms. Breast arterial calcification was quantified using a transformer-based neural network for segmentation. Breast arterial calcification severity was categorized as zero (0 mm2), mild (>0–10 mm2), moderate (>10–25 mm2), and severe (>25 mm2). Kaplan–Meier analysis, Cox proportional hazards, and Fine–Gray competing event models were used to examine the association between BAC and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Results Breast arterial calcification was detected in 16.1% (internal cohort) and 20.6% (external cohort) of women and provided significant prognostic value incremental to the PREVENT score. In PREVENT adjusted models, a clear dose–response was observed. Compared with zero BAC, mild [internal: hazard ratio (HR) 1.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10–1.59; external: HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.17–1.39], moderate (internal: HR 1.75, 95% CI 1.23–2.50; external: HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.55–2.06), and severe BAC (internal: HR 3.29, 95% CI 2.15–5.05; external: HR 2.80, 95% CI 2.36–3.32) were all prognostic for any MACE. Each 1 mm2 increase in BAC conferred an additional 2%–3% risk for MACE (P < .001). Conclusions Automatically quantified BAC is an independent predictor of MACE and mortality, adding prognostic value to the PREVENT score. This approach may provide an opportunistic cardiovascular risk assessment during routine mammography screening without additional radiation exposure to guide earlier and more effective preventive care for women.

In addition to the traditional clinical risk factors, an increasing amount of imaging biomarkers have shown value for cardiovascular risk prediction. Clinical and imaging data are captured from a variety of data sources during multiple patient encounters and are often analyzed independently. Initial studies showed that fusion of both clinical and imaging features results in superior prognostic performance compared with traditional scores. There are different approaches to fusion modeling, combining multiple data resources to optimize predictions, each with its own advantages and disadvantages. However, manual extraction of clinical and imaging data is time and labor intensive and often not feasible in clinical practice. An automated approach for clinical and imaging data extraction is highly desirable. Convolutional neural networks and natural language processing can be utilized for the extraction of electronic medical record data, imaging studies, and free-text data. This review outlines the current status of cardiovascular risk prediction and fusion modeling; and in addition gives an overview of different artificial intelligence approaches to automatically extract data from images and electronic medical records for this purpose.