Chowdhury, Shaika

Abstract Objectives Heart failure (HF) impacts millions of patients worldwide, yet the variability in treatment responses remains a major challenge for healthcare professionals. The current treatment strategies, largely derived from population based evidence, often fail to consider the unique characteristics of individual patients, resulting in suboptimal outcomes. This study aims to develop computational models that are patient-specific in predicting treatment outcomes, by utilizing a large Electronic Health Records (EHR) database. The goal is to improve drug response predictions by identifying specific HF patient subgroups that are likely to benefit from existing HF medications. Materials and Methods A novel, graph-based model capable of predicting treatment responses, combining Graph Neural Network and Transformer was developed. This method differs from conventional approaches by transforming a patient's EHR data into a graph structure. By defining patient subgroups based on this representation via K-Means Clustering, we were able to enhance the performance of drug response predictions. Results Leveraging EHR data from 11 627 Mayo Clinic HF patients, our model significantly outperformed traditional models in predicting drug response using NT-proBNP as a HF biomarker across five medication categories (best RMSE of 0.0043). Four distinct patient subgroups were identified with differential characteristics and outcomes, demonstrating superior predictive capabilities over existing HF subtypes (best mean RMSE of 0.0032). Discussion These results highlight the power of graph-based modeling of EHR in improving HF treatment strategies. The stratification of patients sheds light on particular patient segments that could benefit more significantly from tailored response predictions. Conclusions Longitudinal EHR data have the potential to enhance personalized prognostic predictions through the application of graph-based AI techniques.

Abstract Internal validation is the most popular evaluation strategy used for drug–target predictive models. The simple random shuffling in the cross-validation, however, is not always ideal to handle large, diverse and copious datasets as it could potentially introduce bias. Hence, these predictive models cannot be comprehensively evaluated to provide insight into their general performance on a variety of use-cases (e.g. permutations of different levels of connectiveness and categories in drug and target space, as well as validations based on different data sources). In this work, we introduce a benchmark, BETA, that aims to address this gap by (i) providing an extensive multipartite network consisting of 0.97 million biomedical concepts and 8.5 million associations, in addition to 62 million drug–drug and protein–protein similarities and (ii) presenting evaluation strategies that reflect seven cases (i.e. general, screening with different connectivity, target and drug screening based on categories, searching for specific drugs and targets and drug repurposing for specific diseases), a total of seven Tests (consisting of 344 Tasks in total) across multiple sampling and validation strategies. Six state-of-the-art methods covering two broad input data types (chemical structure- and gene sequence-based and network-based) were tested across all the developed Tasks. The best-worst performing cases have been analyzed to demonstrate the ability of the proposed benchmark to identify limitations of the tested methods for running over the benchmark tasks. The results highlight BETA as a benchmark in the selection of computational strategies for drug repurposing and target discovery.