Gupta, Nithin

ImportanceHip fractures present a substantial public health challenge, with projections of more than 500 000 per year by 2040. As such, frailty indices such as the Revised Risk Analysis Index (RAI) and the Modified Five-Item Frailty Index (mFI-5) have been recently investigated as metrics for preoperative risk stratification for these patients.ObjectiveTo understand the accuracy of frailty, as measured by the RAI and the mFI-5, for estimating 30-day mortality following surgically managed hip fractures.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis retrospective cross-sectional analysis used the American College of Surgeons’ National Surgical Quality Improvement database. Patients aged 65 years old with surgically managed traumatic hip fracture from 2015 to 2019 were included. Frailty was evaluated using the RAI, a 5-domain scale with 14 weighted variables graded from 0 to 81, and the mFI-5, a 2-domain scale with 5 unweighted variables graded from 0 to 5; for both, a higher score denotes worse frailty. Data collection occurred from May to June 2024.ExposureDiagnosis of hip fracture and undergoing surgical fixation, hemiarthroplasty, or total hip arthroplasty.Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Multivariable regression was conducted to assess the estimating value of frailty scales. Discriminatory accuracy was assessed using a receiver operating characteristic curve and quantified using a C-statistic.ResultsThe cohort consisted of 114 359 patients (70 038 female [69.9%]; median [IQR] age, 84 [77-89] years) with 51 071 prefrail patients (44.7%) according to the mFI-5 and 31 883 very frail patients (27.9%) according to the RAI comprising the largest frailty groups. Increasing frailty status was associated with greater odds ratio (OR) for 30-day mortality for both the mFI-5 (prefrail OR, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.24-1.47]; frail OR, 2.11 [95% CI, 1.94-2.30]; severely frail OR, 3.53 [95% CI, 3.20-3.90]; P < .001 for all) and RAI (normal OR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.35-1.79]; frail OR, 2.97 [95% CI, 2.59-3.42]; very frail OR, 6.17 [95% CI, 5.38-7.08]; P < .001 for all). The RAI demonstrated superior discriminatory accuracy for 30-day mortality compared with the mFI-5 (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.72-0.73] vs 0.61 [95% CI, 0.60-0.62]; P < .001).Conclusions and RelevanceIn this cross-sectional study of 114 359 patients, the RAI demonstrated superior odds and discriminatory accuracy for estimating 30-day mortality following surgical management of hip fractures. The RAI may be considered as a risk stratification tool for orthopedic surgeons to adjunct surgical planning, thereby reducing postoperative mortality.

(1) Introduction: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a leading cause of injury and mortality worldwide, carrying an estimated cost of $38 billion in the United States alone. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been investigated as a standardized biomarker that can be used to predict outcomes of TBI. The aim of this review was to determine the prognostic utility of NLR among patients admitted for TBI. (2) Methods: A literature search was conducted in PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science in November 2022 to retrieve articles regarding the use of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a prognostic measure in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients. Inclusion criteria included studies reporting outcomes of TBI patients with associated NLR values. Exclusion criteria were studies reporting only non-primary data, those insufficiently disaggregated to extract NLR data, and non-English or cadaveric studies. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was utilized to assess for the presence of bias in included studies. (3) Results: Following the final study selection 19 articles were included for quantitative and qualitative analysis. The average age was 46.25 years. Of the 7750 patients, 73% were male. Average GCS at presentation was 10.51. There was no significant difference in the NLR between surgical vs. non-surgical cohorts (SMD 2.41 95% CI −1.82 to 6.63, p = 0.264). There was no significant difference in the NLR between bleeding vs. non-bleeding cohorts (SMD 4.84 95% CI −0.26 to 9.93, p = 0.0627). There was a significant increase in the NLR between favorable vs. non-favorable cohorts (SMD 1.31 95% CI 0.33 to 2.29, p = 0.0090). (4) Conclusions: Our study found that NLR was only significantly predictive for adverse outcomes in TBI patients and not surgical treatment or intracranial hemorrhage, making it nonetheless an affordable alternative for physicians to assess patient prognosis.