Kalyvas, Aristotelis

ABSTRACT Background Olfactory neuroblastoma (ONB) exhibits variable recurrence patterns, with significant late recurrences occurring years after treatment. We investigated cutoff periods to define late recurrence and identified predictors that distinguish patients at risk of late recurrence from those considered cured. Methods From a multi‐institutional cohort of 219 ONB patients treated at nine centers, we analyzed 77 patients with documented recurrence. Using a 48‐month cutoff to define early (< 48 months) versus late (≥ 48 months) recurrence, we evaluated 35 clinical, anatomic, and treatment variables using Firth penalized logistic regression across three comparisons: (1) late versus early recurrence timing, (2) late recurrence versus no recurrence, and (3) early recurrence versus no recurrence. Results Thirty‐four of the 77 (44.2%) recurrences were classified as late. Among the 77 patients who recurred, smaller tumor volume (OR 0.243, p = 0.035) and lower novel Dulguerov staging (OR 0.802, p = 0.038) were associated with late, rather than early recurrence. When patients with late recurrence were compared to those who remained disease‐free, radiographic skull base bone involvement was the strongest independent predictor (OR 2.90, 95% CI 1.14–8.64, p = 0.025), and this effect strengthened after adjusting for tumor volume (OR 3.80, p = 0.029). Pathologic dural invasion (OR 3.29, p = 0.013), Kadish stage (OR 2.02, p = 0.026), and T‐stage (OR 1.32, p = 0.040) were also significant. Conclusions A 48‐month cutoff effectively stratifies ONB recurrence risk. Skull base bone involvement independently predicts recurrence when compared to nonrecurrent cases and uniquely persists as a risk factor for late recurrence. These findings establish skull base bone involvement as a novel biomarker for risk‐stratified surveillance protocols.

AbstractBackgroundWith modern treatment paradigms, olfactory neuroblastoma (ONB) has favorable overall survival (OS); however, the incidence of recurrence remains high. The primary aims of this study were to delineate the prognosis of recurrence of ONB and explore how recurrence subsites are associated with OS, disease‐specific survival (DSS), and further recurrence.MethodsA retrospective chart review of ONB cases from nine academic centers between 2005 and 2021 was completed. Tumor characteristics, recurrence subsites, timelines to recurrence, additional recurrences, and survival estimates were determined using descriptive and time‐to‐event analyses.ResultsA final cohort of 233 patients was identified, with 70 (30.0%) patients recurring within 50.4 (standard deviation ±40.9) months of diagnosis on average, consisting of local (50%), neck (36%), intracranial (9%), and distant (6%) recurrence. Compared with subjects without recurrence, patients with recurrence had significantly different primary American Joint Committee on Cancer T stage (p < 0.001), overall stage (p < 0.001), and modified Kadish scores (p < 0.001). Histopathology identified that dural involvement and positive margins were significantly greater in recurrent cases. First recurrence was significantly associated with worse 5‐year DSS (hazard ratio = 5.62; p = 0.003), and subjects with neck or local recurrence had a significantly better DSS compared to intracranial or distant recurrence.ConclusionsRecurrent cases of ONB have significantly different stages and preoperative imaging factors. Patients with local or neck recurrence, however, have better DSS than those with intracranial or distant recurrence, independent of initial tumor stage or Hyams grade. Identifying specific factors that confer an increased risk of recurrence and DSS is important for patient counseling in addition to surveillance planning.

ImportanceCurrent olfactory neuroblastoma (ONB) staging systems inadequately delineate locally advanced tumors, do not incorporate tumor grade, and poorly estimate survival and recurrence.ObjectiveThe primary aims of this study were to (1) examine the clinical covariates associated with survival and recurrence of ONB in a modern-era multicenter cohort and (2) incorporate Hyams tumor grade into existing staging systems to assess its ability to estimate survival and recurrence.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis retrospective, multicenter, case-control study included patients with ONB who underwent treatment between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2021, at 9 North American academic medical centers.InterventionStandard-of-care ONB treatment.Main Outcome and MeasuresThe main outcomes were overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and disease-specific survival (DSS) as C statistics for model prediction.ResultsA total of 256 patients with ONB (mean [SD] age, 52.0 [15.6] years; 115 female [44.9%]; 141 male [55.1%]) were included. The 5-year rate for OS was 83.5% (95% CI, 78.3%-89.1%); for DFS, 70.8% (95% CI, 64.3%-78.0%); and for DSS, 94.1% (95% CI, 90.5%-97.8%). On multivariable analysis, age, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, involvement of bilateral maxillary sinuses, and positive margins were associated with OS. Only AJCC stage was associated with DFS. Only N stage was associated with DSS. When assessing the ability of staging systems to estimate OS, the best-performing model was the novel modification of the Dulguerov system (C statistic, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.59-0.76), and the Kadish system performed most poorly (C statistic, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.50-0.63). Regarding estimation of DFS, the modified Kadish system performed most poorly (C statistic, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.51-0.66), while the novel modification of the AJCC system performed the best (C statistic, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.66-0.80). Regarding estimation of DSS, the modified Kadish system was the best-performing model (C statistic, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.70-0.94), and the unmodified Kadish performed the worst (C statistic, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.51-0.68). The ability for novel ONB staging systems to estimate disease progression across stages was also assessed. In the novel Kadish staging system, patients with stage VI disease were approximately 7 times as likely to experience disease progression as patients with stage I disease (hazard ratio [HR], 6.84; 95% CI, 1.60-29.20). Results were similar for the novel modified Kadish system (HR, 8.99; 95% CI, 1.62-49.85) and the novel Dulguerov system (HR, 6.86; 95% CI, 2.74-17.18).Conclusions and RelevanceThe study findings indicate that 5-year OS for ONB is favorable and that incorporation of Hyams grade into traditional ONB staging systems is associated with improved estimation of disease progression.

AbstractBackgroundTraditional management of olfactory neuroblastoma (ONB) includes margin‐negative resection with removal of cribriform plate, dura, and olfactory bulb, regardless of intracranial disease. This approach may be overtreating certain patients. Our investigation examines risk factors associated with occult intracranial disease to optimize therapeutic outcomes.MethodsThis retrospective, multi‐institutional cohort study examined clinical covariates associated with occult intracranial involvement. Patient demographics, staging, Hyam's grade, and pathologic involvement of dura, olfactory bulb/tract, and brain were collected. Diagnostic imaging was reviewed. Positive and negative predictive value (NPV) were estimated along with effect size estimates. Cox hazard regression examined associations with overall survival (OS) and disease‐free survival (DFS).ResultsA total of 224 subjects with new diagnoses of ONB (2005–2021) were identified. Skull base bone involvement on computed tomography (CT) had the highest NPV for pathologic dura (88.0%), olfactory bulb (88%), and brain involvement (97.3%). Hyam's grade category was significantly associated with dural involvement (φC = 0.26; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.16, 0.42). Subjects without radiologic skull base involvement (n = 66) had pathologic positivity of 12.1%. Within this subgroup, Hyam's grade was clinically significant for dural positivity (φ = 0.34; 95% CI: −0.12, 0.71) with 28.6% involvement in high grade tumors. Neither clinical nor pathologic positivity of intracranial structures were associated with significantly different OS or DFS.ConclusionsBoth CT and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) had reasonably good NPV for involvement of dura and olfactory bulb. Higher Hyam's grade was associated with dural involvement. Patients with low‐grade tumors not involving the skull base may be suitable for avoiding skull base resection; however, further investigation is warranted.