Cunningham, Francesca

Abstract Purpose The 2025 ASHP Pharmacy Forecast report is written to identify and contextualize emerging trends that will influence healthcare, health systems, and the pharmacy profession. It provides recommendations to inform strategic planning that should prompt action by pharmacists and health-system leaders. Methods Drawing on the “wisdom of crowds” concept, a survey was constructed by an advisory committee with 6 themes, each with 7 focused statements and a seventh theme on preparedness (54 survey items in total). A survey panel of 321 pharmacy leaders was purposefully designed to capture opinions from a wide range of pharmacists across the United States. Panelists were asked to consider the likelihood of the statements occurring in the next 5 years as being likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely to occur. Forecast panelists also assessed health systems’ preparedness (from very unprepared to very prepared) for 12 of the statements. Results The 6 survey themes identified were The Business of Healthcare: Challenges in Health-System Pharmacy, Managing Ultra-High-Cost Drugs, Addressing the Gap in Primary Care, Whole Person Health, Navigating Generative Artificial Intelligence: Opportunity and Risk, and Stabilizing the Pharmacy Workforce. The survey was completed by 269 respondents, yielding an 84% response rate. Descriptive statistics of the survey results were provided to chapter authors to inform commentary and strategic recommendations for each theme. Conclusion The Pharmacy Forecast provides insights on large-scale, long-term trends that will influence healthcare and the pharmacy profession over the years ahead. Insight from the report can stimulate strategic thinking and provides a starting point to proactively position leaders, their teams, and departments for potential future trends.

Abstract Purpose: The 2024 ASHP Pharmacy Forecast identifies and contextualizes emerging issues and trends that will influence healthcare, health systems, and the pharmacy profession and provides recommendations to inform long-term strategic planning that should prompt action by pharmacists and health-system leaders. Methods: Drawing on the “wisdom of crowds” concept, a survey was constructed with 6 general themes, each with 6 to 9 focused statements and a seventh theme on preparedness (58 survey items in total). The size of and representation within the survey panel were intended to capture opinions from a wide range of pharmacy leaders. The survey instructed panelists to consider the likelihood of the events/scenarios described in the statements occurring in the next 5 years as being likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely. Then, survey panelists assessed the preparedness (from very unprepared to very prepared) for 12 of the statements. Results: The 6 survey themes identified were Urgent Public Health Priorities, Responding to the Mental Health Crisis, Achieving Care Equity, New Disease Paradigms and Treatment Innovations, Workforce: Focus on Culture for the Future, and Artificial Intelligence: Can Ethics and Regulators Catch Up? The survey was completed by 250 respondents, yielding an 88% response rate. Analysis of survey results was provided by chapter authors along with strategic recommendations to guide actions for each theme. Conclusion: The focus of the Pharmacy Forecast is on large-scale, long-term trends that will influence healthcare and the pharmacy profession over months and years and not on day-to-day situational dynamics. The report provides insight to stimulate thinking and discussion and provides a starting point to proactively position leaders, their teams, and departments for potential future events and trends.