ABSTRACT Background Critically ill patients may be overexposed to valproate because altered protein binding leads to a disproportionate free valproate fraction. The Fraser equation was derived and internally validated to estimate critically ill patients' free valproate concentrations, but it requires external validation. Methods Adult intensive care unit (ICU) patients at two academic centers with concurrently measured free and total valproate concentrations were included. Free valproate concentrations were estimated using the Fraser equation which includes total valproate, albumin and BUN concentration, and whether the patient received propofol or aspirin. The primary outcome was Fraser equation performance, assessed using Bland–Altman methods. Comparative performance against estimates from the Doré equation (an alternative predictive equation), therapeutic concordance using a target free valproate range of 5–15 mg/L, and equation improvements were explored. Results Overall, 315 patients and 556 free‐total valproate concentration pairs were included. The mean (±SD) age was 58 (±17) years and 90 (29%) patients were on valproate prior to hospital admission. The Fraser equation estimated free valproate concentrations were correlated with measured concentrations ( r = 0.728) with a negative bias (mean bias −2.77 mg/L, 95% LOA –18.9, 13.4). The Fraser equation increasingly underestimated measured concentrations as measured concentrations increased. 71% of Fraser equation estimates were therapeutically concordant (e.g., estimate and measured both within reference range) compared to 61.9% of Doré estimates ( p = 0.001). Fraser equation modifications led to minor performance improvements but did not overcome worsening underestimation with higher measured free valproate concentrations. Conclusion The Fraser equation was moderately accurate and corresponded with an appropriate interpretation for 71% of free valproate concentrations. Worse underestimation with higher measured free valproate concentrations suggests direct measurement of free valproate concentrations is warranted. While the Fraser equation could complement therapeutic decision making at centers where direct free valproate measurements are unavailable or slow to return, its accuracy is currently insufficient to replace direct measurement.
982: EXTERNAL VALIDATION OF THE FRASER EQUATION TO ESTIMATE FREE VALPROATE CONCENTRATION IN THE ICU
Objectives: The objectives of this study were to: 1) determine the association between vasopressor dosing intensity during the first 6 hours and first 24 hours after the onset of septic shock and 30-day in-hospital mortality; 2) determine whether the effect of vasopressor dosing intensity varies by fluid resuscitation volume; and 3) determine whether the effect of vasopressor dosing intensity varies by dosing titration pattern. Design: Multicenter prospective cohort study between September 2017 and February 2018. Vasopressor dosing intensity was defined as the total vasopressor dose infused across all vasopressors in norepinephrine equivalents. Setting: Thirty-three hospital sites in the United States ( n = 32) and Jordan ( n = 1). Patients: Consecutive adults requiring admission to the ICU with septic shock treated with greater than or equal to 1 vasopressor within 24 hours of shock onset. Interventions: None. Measurements and Main Results: Out of 1,639 patients screened, 616 were included. Norepinephrine (93%) was the most common vasopressor. Patients received a median of 3,400 mL (interquartile range, 1,851–5,338 mL) during the 24 hours after shock diagnosis. The median vasopressor dosing intensity during the first 24 hours of shock onset was 8.5 μg/min norepinephrine equivalents (3.4–18.1 μg/min norepinephrine equivalents). In the first 6 hours, increasing vasopressor dosing intensity was associated with increased odds ratio of 30-day in-hospital mortality, with the strength of association dependent on concomitant fluid administration. Over the entire 24 hour period, every 10 μg/min increase in vasopressor dosing intensity was associated with an increased risk of 30-day mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.16–1.53), and this association did not vary with the amount of fluid administration. Compared to an early high/late low vasopressor dosing strategy, an early low/late high or sustained high vasopressor dosing strategy was associated with higher mortality. Conclusions: Increasing vasopressor dosing intensity during the first 24 hours after septic shock was associated with increased mortality. This association varied with the amount of early fluid administration and the timing of vasopressor titration.