Stone, Gregg W.

Abstract Objectives We sought to identify clinical, electrocardiographic (ECG), and angiographic characteristics that are predictive of 3‐year mortality after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with non‐anterior ST‐elevation myocardial infarction (NA‐STEMI) from the Harmonizing Outcomes With Revascularization and Stents in Acute Myocardial Infarction (HORIZONS‐AMI) trial. Background Which patients with NA‐STEMI undergoing PCI have a poor prognosis is uncertain. Methods NA‐STEMI was defined as ST‐segment elevation in lateral (V5, V6, I, aVL), inferior (II, III, aVF), or inferolateral (I, II, III, aVF, and V5‐V6) ECG leads or posterior myocardial infarction with ST‐segment depression of ≥1 mm in ≥2 contiguous anterior leads. Cox regression was used to identify independent predictors of 3‐year mortality. Missing data were imputed using multiple imputation. Results In HORIZONS‐AMI, 2,578/3,602 patients had no prior coronary artery bypass grafting, underwent single‐vessel PCI, and had baseline ECG data assessed in an independent core laboratory. Among them, 1,495 (58.0%) had NA‐STEMI. Patients with NA‐STEMI had lower 3‐year mortality risk than those with anterior STEMI (4.5% versus 7.1%, P = 0.004). The independent predictors of increased 3‐year mortality in NA‐STEMI were older age (median > 59.0 years), diabetes, reduced LVEF (≤50%), Killip class ≥2, post‐procedure TIMI flow 0–2 versus 3, renal insufficiency, and ST‐resolution <30% at 60 min post‐PCI. Patients with 0, 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 of these risk factors had 3‐year mortality rates of 1.8%, 2.3%, 3.1%, 6.1%, and 36.3%, respectively ( P < 0.0001). Conclusions Although NA‐STEMI carries a better prognosis than anterior STEMI, high‐risk patient cohorts with NA‐STEMI may be identified who have substantial 3‐year mortality.

Background: Elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is reflective of impaired cardiac function and is associated with worse prognosis among patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). We sought to assess the association between baseline BNP, adverse outcomes, and the relative efficacy of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) versus coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) in patients with left main CAD. Methods: The EXCEL trial (Evaluation of XIENCE Versus Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery for Effectiveness of Left Main Revascularization) randomized patients with left main CAD and low or intermediate SYNTAX scores (Synergy Between PCI With TAXUS and Cardiac Surgery) to PCI with everolimus-eluting stents versus CABG. The primary end point was the composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, or stroke. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression to assess the associations between normal versus elevated BNP (≥100 pg/mL), randomized treatment, and the 3-year risk of adverse events. Results: BNP at baseline was elevated in 410 of 1037 (39.5%) patients enrolled in EXCEL. Patients with elevated BNP levels were older and more frequently had additional cardiovascular risk factors and lower left ventricular ejection fraction than those with normal BNP, but had similar SYNTAX scores. Patients with elevated BNP had significantly higher 3-year rates of the primary end point (18.6% versus 11.7%; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16–2.28; P =0.005) and higher mortality (11.5% versus 3.9%; adjusted HR, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.48–4.19; P =0.0006), both from cardiovascular and noncardiovascular causes. In contrast, there were no significant differences in the risks of myocardial infarction, stroke, ischemia-driven revascularization, stent thrombosis, graft occlusion, or major bleeding. A significant interaction ( P interaction =0.03) was present between elevated versus normal BNP and treatment with PCI versus CABG for the adjusted risk of the primary composite end point at 3 years among patients with elevated BNP (adjusted HR for PCI versus CABG, 1.54; 95% CI, 0.96–2.47) versus normal BNP (adjusted HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.46–1.20). This interaction was stronger when log(BNP) was modeled as a continuous variable ( P interaction =0.002). Conclusions: In the EXCEL trial, elevated baseline BNP levels in patients with left main CAD undergoing revascularization were independently associated with long-term mortality but not nonfatal adverse ischemic or bleeding events. The relative long-term outcomes after PCI versus CABG for revascularization of left main CAD may be conditioned by the baseline BNP level. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT01205776.

BackgroundPresence of Q waves on the presenting electrocardiogram (ECG) in patients with ST‐segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has been associated with worse prognosis; however, whether the prognostic value of Q waves is influenced by baseline characteristics and/or rapidity of revascularization based on the guideline‐based metric of door‐to‐balloon time remains unknown.HypothesisWe hypothesized that Q waves in the presenting ECG will be predictive of long term mortality regardless of time to reperfusion.MethodsThe Harmonizing Outcomes With Revascularization and Stents in Acute Myocardial Infarction (HORIZONS‐AMI) trial enrolled 3602 patients with STEMI undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention. We stratified patients without prior history of myocardial infarction or coronary revascularization according to presence or absence of pathological Q waves on their presenting ECG. Associations between Q waves, death, and cardiovascular outcomes within 3 years were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression.ResultsAmong 2723 patients with evaluable ECGs, 1084 (39.8%) had Q waves on their presenting ECG. Male sex and time from symptom onset to balloon inflation were independent predictors of presence of Q waves. Patients with Q waves had higher adjusted risks of all‐cause death (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.45, 95% confidence interval: 1.02‐2.05, P = 0.04) and cardiac death (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.72, 95% confidence interval: 1.08‐2.72, P = 0.02). The association between Q waves and cardiac death was consistent regardless of sex, diabetes status, target vessel, or door‐to‐balloon time (Pinteraction > 0.4 for all).ConclusionsPresence of Q waves on the presenting ECG in patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention due to STEMI is an independent predictor of mortality and adds prognostic value, regardless of sex or rapidity of revascularization.

Objectives: We aimed to construct a predictive model for one‐year mortality in patients undergoing invasive coronary evaluation and to examine the impact of bivalirudin on survival according to the level of baseline risk.Background: Compared to heparin plus GP IIb/IIIa inhibitors (HEP/GPI), bivalirudin decreases bleeding complications in a range of clinical presentations. The impact of preprocedural risk assessment on survival and whether this is modified by bivalirudin, has not been investigated in detail.Methods: We examined patient‐level data from the REPLACE‐2, ACUITY, and HORIZONS‐AMI trials (n = 18,819) to construct a risk‐adjusted mortality model using baseline clinical variables.Results: One‐year mortality occurred in 287 patients (3.1%) assigned to bivalirudin and 336 patients (3.6%) assigned to HEP/GPI (HR 0.85; 95% CI, 0.73–1.00; P = 0.048). Using 11 highly significant predictors of mortality, we developed an integer‐risk score to classify patients into risk tertiles. High‐risk patients had a rate of 1‐year mortality over 9‐fold greater than low‐risk patients. Consequently, the absolute mortality reduction attributed to bivalirudin was more marked in high‐risk patients: 3.1% (−0.8% to 7.0%) in the overall cohort, 4.8% (0.5% to 9.2%) in the PCI cohort (P‐interaction versus intermediate and low risk categories, 0.09 and P = 0.02, respectively).Conclusions: In patients undergoing invasive coronary evaluation, 1‐year mortality can be predicted using baseline variables. Bivalirudin treatment (versus HEP/GPI) conferred a survival benefit. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Aims: Establishing epicardial flow with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is necessary but not sufficient to ensure nutritive myocardial reperfusion. We evaluated whether adding myocardial blush grade (MBG) and quantitative reperfusion ventricular arrhythmia “bursts” (VABs) surrogates provide a more informative biosignature of optimal reperfusion in patients with Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) 3 flow and ST-segment recovery (STR). Methods and results: Anterior STEMI patients with final TIMI 3 flow had protocol-blinded analyses of simultaneous MBG, continuous 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) STR, Holter VABs, and day 5–14 SPECT imaging infarct size (IS) assessments. Over 20 million cardiac cycles from >4500 h of continuous ECG monitoring in subjects with STR were obtained. IS and clinical outcomes were examined in patients stratified by MBG and VABs. VABs occurred in 51% (79/154) of subjects. Microcirculation (MBG 2/3) was restored in 75% (115/154) of subjects, of whom 53% (61/115) had VABs. No VABs were observed in subjects without microvascular flow (MBG of 0). Of 115 patients with TIMI 3 flow, STR, and MBG 2/3, those with VABs had significantly larger IS (median: 23.0% vs 6.0%, p=0.001). Multivariable analysis identified reperfusion VABs as a factor significantly associated with larger IS ( p=0.015). Conclusions: Despite restoration of normal epicardial flow, open microcirculation, and STR, concomitant VABs are associated with larger myocardial IS, possibly reflecting myocellular injury in reperfusion settings. Combining angiographic and ECG parameters of epicardial, microvascular, and cellular response to STEMI intervention provides a more predictive “biosignature” of optimal reperfusion than do single surrogate markers.