Ahadpour, Mitra

Importance Opioid prescribing has decreased in the US for more than a decade. However, less is known about how prescribing trends differ by prescriber specialty and separately for short-term and long-term opioid prescribing for which the indications, clinical decision-making, and potential for harm vary substantially. Objective To characterize opioid analgesic prescribing trends in the US between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2024, by prescriber specialty, analyzing short-term and long-term opioid use episodes separately. Design, Setting, and Participants This cross-sectional study used administrative claims data for commercially insured and Medicare Advantage patients (aged ≥65 years and <65 years with long-term disability) with at least 90 days of enrollment in medical and prescription coverage. Statistical analysis was performed from May 2025 to September 2025. Main Outcomes and Measures Prescribing volume, daily dose, and prescription duration. Results The study identified 110 288 218 opioid fills by 14 959 612 patients during the 15-year study period. Among opioid fills, 59.4% were attributed to female patients; the median (IQR) age at opioid fill was 61 (50-71) years. From 2010 to 2024, decreases in opioid prescribing were greater for long-term than short-term opioid use episodes (eg, commercial cohort: 81.3% reduction [from 33.2 fills per 100-person years in 2010 to 6.2 in 2024] and 74.6% reduction [from 36.2 fills per 100-person years in 2010 to 9.2 in 2024]), respectively. The proportion of all opioid fills written by primary care clinicians decreased (eg, Medicare Advantage with disability cohort: from 52.2% to 47.2%), whereas those written by pain medicine specialists increased (eg, Medicare Advantage with disability cohort: from 17.1% to 25.7%). Distinct trends for short-term and long-term opioid use episodes were observed in prescription characteristics, such as daily dose and duration. Conclusions and Relevance In this cross-sectional study of opioid prescribing trends in the US between 2010 and 2024, decreases in prescribing were greatest in long-term opioid use episodes, and prescribing was increasingly concentrated among pain medicine specialists. These findings suggest the need to balance reductions in opioid prescribing with provision of nonopioid pain treatments and raise concerns about access to care for patients taking opioids for chronic pain management.

Importance High-quality evidence guiding opioid prescribing decisions for acute pain across common diagnoses is lacking. Objective To describe pain trajectories and patterns of opioid and nonopioid treatment use among individuals who were offered opioids for the treatment of acute pain. Design, Setting, and Participants This was a prospective cohort study of patients recruited from 5 US health systems between September 2020 and March 2023 in emergency departments (EDs), primary care clinics, dental practices, or after cesarean delivery or knee replacement. Eligible patients were opioid-naive adults aged 18 years or older at all study sites, as well as adolescents aged 15 to17 years undergoing impacted molar extraction at 1 site, who were offered an opioid prescription for acute pain. Analysis was conducted April 2023 through February 2026. Exposure Offer of a prescription for an opioid analgesic. Main Outcomes and Measures Time to pain resolution (3 consecutive reports of no pain), patterns of opioid and nonopioid treatment use, and opioid-related adverse effects, ascertained from digital questionnaires. Results Among 1708 enrolled patients (median age, 38 years [IQR, 28-52 years]; 615 [36.0%] reporting race or ethnicity underrepresented in studies of acute pain management) followed up for 180 days, 915 (53.6%) were recruited in EDs, 307 (18.0%) in primary or urgent care, 263 (15.4%) in dental settings, and 223 (13.1%) in inpatient settings. Pain sources included dental (302 patients [17.7%]), trauma or injury (302 [17.7%]), obstetric (176 [10.3%]), musculoskeletal (131 [7.7%]), and low back (100 [5.9%]). Among 1502 patients reporting pain level at least once, median time to pain resolution irrespective of the treatment approach was 20 days (IQR, 8-88 days), with longer durations for surgical pain (74 days [IQR, 30 days to not reached]) and low back pain (69 days [IQR, 18 days to not reached]). The median time to opioid discontinuation among 1189 patients (69.6%) who reported any opioid use was 7 days (IQR, 2-31 days); an estimated 10.0% (95% CI, 7.7%-12.7%) of patients used opioids for at least 90 days, with higher rates in people reporting frequent pain before enrollment. Of 1482 patients (86.8%) completing at least 1 survey during the first 2 weeks of follow-up, 1153 (77.8%) reported using any opioids and 1287 (86.8%) reported using acetaminophen or ibuprofen. Among 619 (52.1%) patients with any opioid use who reported the dose of opioids taken in the first 15 days, daily doses were low (median, 10 [IQR, 5-15] morphine milligram equivalents). Most respondents reported leftover opioids (657 of 982 responding [66.9%]). Conclusions and Relevance In this cohort study of opioid-naive patients with acute pain, opioid use was generally low dose and of short duration, although some patients reported prolonged opioid use; most reported achieving pain resolution within 3 weeks, with longer times for surgical and low back pain. The findings suggest current guidelines for multimodal treatment and for short-duration opioid prescriptions if needed will serve many but not all patients, and treatment should be tailored to address individual patients’ needs.

Introduction Opioid analgesics are often used to treat moderate-to-severe acute non-cancer pain; however, there is little high-quality evidence to guide clinician prescribing. An essential element to developing evidence-based guidelines is a better understanding of pain management and pain control among individuals experiencing acute pain for various common diagnoses. Methods and analysis This multicentre prospective observational study will recruit 1550 opioid-naïve participants with acute pain seen in diverse clinical settings including primary/urgent care, emergency departments and dental clinics. Participants will be followed for 6 months with the aid of a patient-centred health data aggregating platform that consolidates data from study questionnaires, electronic health record data on healthcare services received, prescription fill data from pharmacies, and activity and sleep data from a Fitbit activity tracker. Participants will be enrolled to represent diverse races and ethnicities and pain conditions, as well as geographical diversity. Data analysis will focus on assessing patients’ patterns of pain and opioid analgesic use, along with other pain treatments; associations between patient and condition characteristics and patient-centred outcomes including resolution of pain, satisfaction with care and long-term use of opioid analgesics; and descriptive analyses of patient management of leftover opioids. Ethics and dissemination This study has received approval from IRBs at each site. Results will be made available to participants, funders, the research community and the public. Trial registration number NCT04509115 .