Suárez, Abraham Báez

Introduction: We have previously shown that ECG-derived age (ECG-Age) predicts all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality, reflecting physiologic age. We hypothesized that ECG-Age minus chronological age (Age-Gap) would be associated with coronary artery calcium (CAC) assessed by computer tomography. Methods: We developed a neural network model to predict ECG-Age using 12 lead ECGs from 399,750 training, 99,977 validation and 275,056 testing patients. We then applied the algorithm to 41,202 consecutive patients that from 1997-2020 underwent clinically indicated CAC and ECG within 1 year. Major modifiable CV risk factors were collected as part of preventive cardiology or general medical evaluations. Exclusion criteria were statin therapy, pacemakers, or history of coronary artery disease. Results: We included 41,202 subjects (68.5% males, 83.6% Caucasian), mean chronological age was 55.2±9.1 yrs and the ECG-Age was 56.01±9.3 yrs. The mean Age-Gap was -0.78±7 yrs, R 2 =0.78, p<0.0001. Mean CAC score was 140.2±532.3, and 21,483 (52%) had CAC >0. After adjustment for age and sex, those older by ECG (defined as having a positive Age-Gap) were more likely to have CAC>0 (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.34-2.37 for those with >1 but <2 SD of a positive Age-Gap; and OR 1.80, 95% CI 1.34-2.37 for those with ≥2 SD of a positive Age-Gap), while those younger by ECG were less likely to have any CAC (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.57-0.87 for those with >1 but <2 SD of a negative Age-Gap; and OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.67-0.84 for those with ≥2 SD of a negative Age-Gap), respectively. This association remained significant after multivariate adjustment, Fig. A and increased with CAC burden, Fig. B , all P for trend <0.01. Conclusions: The difference between physiologic AI-ECG age and chronologic age, something likely representing rate of biological aging, is associated with presence of CAC, further supporting the hypothesis that AI-ECG age can identify people more likely to have subclinical coronary atherosclerosis.

Background: We developed a deep learning algorithm to predict elevated coronary artery calcium (CAC) score from 12-lead electrocardiograms (CAC- ECG). We tested the hypothesis that this CAC-ECG algorithm will independently predict long-term survival. Methods: We leveraged a historical cohort of 43,210 consecutive patients who from the years 1997-2020 underwent clinically indicated ECG-gated unenhanced chest computed tomography (CT) to identify and quantify CAC and had an ECG within 1 year of the CT. Data on cardiovascular risk (CV) factors, and to calculate the Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE) for ASCVD was collected as part of preventive cardiology or general medical evaluations. We used the oldest CAC in record and excluded those taking statins at the time of the CAC. The algorithm was trained in 60% of the cohort, and the association between CAC-ECG and survival was evaluated with multivariate cox proportional hazard models in 40% of the remaining observations. Results: Of the 17,284 evaluated patients, mean ± SD age 55.9 ± 9.9, 33% female, 3,714 (21%) had elevated CAC ≥ 300. During an average of 15±5.9 years follow-up, 848 (5%) patients died. The algorithm’s area under the receiving operating characteristics curve (ROC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy to detect a CAC ≥ 300 were 0.83, 0.90%, 0.56%, 0.60%. Those with elevated CAC had a nearly two-fold risk of death, a value similar to those deemed positive by the ECG-CAC algorithm ( Figure A ). Risk of death increased with CAC-ECG probability quartiles ( Figure A ). The CAC-ECG algorithm enhanced predicted capabilities of the PCE across all ASCVD risk subgroups ( Figure B ), as well as in those with no CAC and elevated CAC ( Figure C ), all p for trend <0.001. Conclusions: A deep learning-enabled CAC-ECG algorithm was independently associated with long-term survival and enhanced current risk prediction paradigms. The CAC-ECG algorithm could help identify individuals at risk in primary prevention of CV disease.

Introduction: Increasing evidence unravels the role of loneliness and social connection in cardiovascular diseases potentially mediating accelerated biological aging. The present study aims to explore the association between social connection and biological aging as determinate by artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiography (ECG). Methods: This is an observational retrospective cohort of adults aged ≥18 seen at Mayo Clinic from 2019-2022 who completed the social determinants of health questionnaire and had a 12-lead ECG within one year of completing the questionnaire. Five questions were asked to understand each patient’s social connection . The answers were scored to assess their level of social connection from socially isolated (score of 0) to socially connected (score of 4). The biological age was predicted from ECGs using the previously developed convolutional neural network (AI-ECG age). Delta age (Δage) was defined as AI-ECG age minus chronological age, where positive values reflect an older than expected age. Results: We included 280,323 subjects (chronological age 59.7±16.4 years, 51% female). The average AI-ECG age was 59.5±13.5 year. Better social connection status correlated with lower delta age (β=-0.33 (95%CI, -0.38 and -0.28, p<0.001, adjusted to chronological age and sex). Conversely, individuals reporting the least social connection were an average of 2 years older than expected whereas those with the most social connection were 2 years younger than expected by AI-ECG (Figure 1). Conclusions: Social connection is strongly associated with slower biological aging compared to chronological aging, independent of the conventional cardiovascular risk factors. This observation underscores the need to address social connection as a healthcare determinant.

Introduction: The physiological changes associated with aging have deleterious effects on cardiovascular function. In addition, increasing evidence showed the effect of exercise on improving cardiovascular health and reducing the aging process. The present study sought to demonstrate the association between exercise and biological age, estimated by our previously reported method using artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiography (ECG). Methods: This retrospective observational study enrolled adults aged ≥18 years who have been evaluated at Mayo Clinic between 2019-2022 and completed the exercise questionnaire. The total time spent in moderate to strenuous exercise was calculated by multiplying the number of days engaging in exercise per week by the average minutes per day. The biological age was determined by applying our previously developed convolutional neural network model on the 12-lead ECG records (AI-ECG). The ECG records were within one year of subjects’ visits (in case of multiple visits, the closest one to the questionnaire was chosen). Positive Age-Gap (AI-ECG minus chronological age) reflects a person identified as being older by AI-ECG compared to his/her chronological age. Results: A total of 268,002 subjects (51% female) were recruited (mean age 59.7±16.4 years). Of those, 25.7% were not engaged in any exercise. The median day of engaging in exercise was 3 (Interquartile range, 2,5) per week, and the average time of exercising was 31.3±30 minutes/day. Age-Gap diminished progressively with increased duration of moderate to strenuous exercise (Figure 1). Linear regression analysis revealed exercise is an independent predictor of Age-Gap, (β= -0.043, 95%CI, -0.045 and -0.041, p<0.001). Conclusions: Engaging in moderate to strenuous exercise is associated with slower biological aging relative to chronological age as determined by AI-enabled ECG.

Background: We developed a deep learning algorithm that detects coronary artery calcium (CAC) score using 12-lead electrocardiograms (CAC- ECG). We tested the hypothesis that the output from the CAC-ECG algorithm would be associated with incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events and that the CAC- ECG would refine the AHA/ACC Pooled Cohort Equation’s (PCE) predictive capabilities. Methods: A community-based cohort of consecutive patients seeking primary care in Olmsted County, MN, between 1998-2000 with passive follow-up via record linkage. Inclusion was identical to the PCE. The original CAC-ECG was developed in 43,210 subjects yielding an AUC of 0.83. Herein, we used the CAC-ECG output to predict a high CAC (≥ 300). Primary outcome was ASCVD defined as fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke, secondary outcome was Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) further including PCI, CABG, and mortality. Events were validated in duplicate. Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for variables included in the PCE and were stratified to evaluate the effect of the CAC-ECG on PCE-predicted risk. Follow-up was truncated at 10 years for PCE analyses. Results: We included 24,793 subjects, mean ± SD age 53.9 ± 12.1, 52% women, 95% white. After 16.7±3.7 yrs follow-up, 2,366 (9.5%) had ASCVD and 3,401 (13.7%) had MACE. Risk of ASCVD and MACE increased with CAC-ECG probability quintiles, independent of risk factors, p for trend <0.001 ( Fig. A-B ). The CAC-ECG enhanced the predicted capabilities of the PCE across all ASCVD risk groups ( Fig. C ). Net reclassification improved 13.7% with comparable C-statistic from 0.77 vs. 0.78 for PCE and CAC-ECG. Conclusions: CAC-ECG was associated with ASCVD and MACE and improved PCE predicted risk. The CAC-ECG algorithm could identify individuals at risk in primary prevention; Unlike the PCE, the CAC-ECG can be applied without chart review or performing a computer tomography and may be reliably used retrospectively in cohorts with digitally stored ECGs.

Introduction: Transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis (TTR-CA) can cause heart failure with preserved EF (HFpEF). We previously reported a clinical/echo-based score (TCAS) and defined a cut-off that predicted risk of TTR-CA in HFpEF. Herein, we assess the comparative performance of an artificial-intelligence ECG-based screening tool (AI-ECG). Hypothesis: AI-ECG successfully identifies TTR-CA in HFpEF cohorts across a range of TTR-CA prevalence Methods: Referral HFpEF cohort was constructed from a referral population of HFpEF patients (EF ≥ 40%) undergoing 99m Tc-pyrophosphate scintigraphy (PYP) at Mayo Clinic (2013-2020, n=484, 38% with TTR-CA). Community HFpEF cohort was prospectively screened with PYP (n=275; age ≥ 60, LV wall thickness (WT) ≥ 12 mm, 4% with TTR-CA). TCAS was built using a multivariable logistic regression model and converted to a simple point score comprised of age (60-69, 70-79, ≥ 80: +2, +3, +4 points respectively), male sex (+2), relative WT > 0.57 (+2), posterior WT ≥ 12 mm (+1), EF < 60% (+1), and hypertension diagnosis (-1). TCAS was validated in the community cohort. A deep neural network trained to predict cardiac amyloidosis from a single 12-lead ECG, was applied to both referral and community cohorts. Patients were excluded if ECG was not available ≤ 12 months before PYP or if used in development of the AI-ECG. Standard ROC methods were applied. Youden’s index was used to define optimal cut-off. Results: Predictive characteristics of AI-ECG were strong and compared favorably with TCAS across a range of true TTR-CA prevalence (Table). Conclusions: Using a single ECG, AI-ECG effectively predicts TTR-CA with an excellent negative predictive value to rule out TTR-CA and a positive predictive value sufficient to warrant specific TTR-CA testing. This was particularly evident in the community. AI-ECG holds promise for simple, cost-effective global screening of at-risk populations, especially those with limited access to advanced cardiac imaging.