Lohse, Christine M.

AbstractBackgroundThe Choosing Wisely campaign has called for better engagement of palliative and hospice care services for patients in the emergency department (ED). PREDICT is a clinical prediction tool that was derived in an Australian ED cohort. It assesses a patient's risk of mortality at 1 year to select those who would benefit from advanced care planning. Such goals‐of‐care discussion can improve patients’ ability to communicate what they want out of their healthcare and, in cases of end of life, potentially reduce the number of futile interventions. Using a cutoff of 13 points, PREDICT had a reported 95.3% specificity and 53.9% sensitivity for 1‐year mortality. We externally validated PREDICT and derived a simpler modified PREDICT tool to systematically identify high‐risk patients eligible for goals‐of‐care discussions and palliative care consultation in the ED.MethodsThis was an observational cohort study of a random sample of 927 patients aged 55+ seen in the ED in 2014. We identified advance healthcare directives (AHDs) on file. We summarized diagnostic accuracy of the clinical tool to predict 1‐year mortality using sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC). We refined PREDICT using multivariable modeling. We followed reporting guidelines including STrengthening the Reporting of OBservational studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) for cohort studies and Standards for Reporting of Diagnostic Accuracy (STARD).ResultsA total of 927 patients were included: 55.0% were male, 63 (7.0%) were nursing home residents, 389 (42.0%) patients had an AHD in their medical record at the time of ED visit, and 245 (26.4%) were deceased at 1 year. Of the 780 patients with PREDICT scores < 13, a total of 164 (21.0%; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 18.3–24.1) were deceased at 1 year, and of the 147 patients with PREDICT scores ≥ 13, a total of 81 (55.1%; 95% CI = 46.7–63.2) were deceased at 1 year. The AUC of the PREDICT score was 0.717 (95% CI = 0.680–0.754), sensitivity was 33.1% (95% CI = 27.3–39.4), and specificity was 90.3% (95% CI = 87.8–92.4) to predict 1‐year mortality. The modified PREDICT tool resulted in an AUC of 0.709 (95% CI = 0.671–0.747). We decided to select this model as the preferred model, as the variable of intensive care unit (ICU) admission with multiorgan failure can be difficult to assess in the ED and may delay advanced care planning. Reweighting the score did not improve fit or the AUC, so points assigned to each variable were not adjusted.ConclusionPREDICT is an easy tool to administer to be able to identify patients who are at high risk of 1‐year mortality and who could benefit from AHDs, goals‐of‐care discussion, and when appropriate in the context of an end‐of‐life setting, palliative medicine consultation. External validation of PREDICT was successful in our population. We simplified PREDICT and derived a new tool, the modified PREDICT minus ICU tool, without significantly altering the sensitivity, specificity, and AUC for death at 1 year. The next steps include external validation of the newly derived rule and prospective implementation.

Abstract BACKGROUND The goal of microsurgical removal of a vestibular schwannoma is to completely remove the tumor, to provide long-term durable cure. In many cases, less than gross total resection (GTR) is performed to preserve neurological, and especially facial nerve function. OBJECTIVE To analyze long-term quality of life (QoL) in a cohort of patients who received either GTR or less than GTR. METHODS Patients operated for vestibular schwannoma less than 3.0 cm in posterior fossa diameter at 1 of 2 international tertiary care centers were surveyed using generic and disease-specific QoL instruments. RESULTS A total of 143 patients were analyzed. GTR was performed in 122, and 21 underwent less than GTR. QoL was assessed at a mean of 7.7 yr after surgery (interquartile range: 5.7-9.6). Patients who underwent GTR had smaller tumors; otherwise, there were no baseline differences between groups. Patients who underwent GTR, after multivariable adjustment for baseline features and facial nerve and hearing outcomes, reported statistically significantly better Short Form Health Survey-36 (SF-36) physical and mental scores, Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS-10) physical and mental scores, and Penn Acoustic Neuroma Quality of Life (PANQOL) facial, energy, general health, and total scores compared to patients receiving less than GTR. CONCLUSION GTR is associated with better QoL using the general QoL measures SF-36 and PROMIS-10 and the disease-specific PANQOL, even after controlling for baseline and outcome differences. This is especially significant in the assessment of mental health, indicating there may indeed be a psychological advantage to the patient that translates to overall well-being to have the entire tumor removed if microsurgical resection is undertaken.

ObjectiveTo describe management and oncologic outcomes for patients who develop locoregional recurrence (LRR) or distant metastasis (DM) following transoral robotic surgery for human papilloma virus (HPV)–positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC).Study DesignCase series with chart review.SettingTertiary care referral center.Subjects and MethodsA total of 286 patients with HPV‐positive OPSCC who underwent transoral robotic surgery–based treatment from May 2007 to May 2015.ResultsOf 286 patients (12.2%), 35 met inclusion criteria. Of these, 19 experienced an LRR and 16 developed a DM; 2 patients with LRR subsequently developed DM. In those patients with an LRR, 79% had T1/T2 tumors, and 47% had N0/N1 nodal disease, compared with 75% and 6% in the DM group, respectively. The median time to LRR or DM was 0.6 years (interquartile range [IQR], 0.4‐1.0) and 1.8 years (IQR, 1.0‐2.1), respectively. Salvage treatment with intent to cure was attempted in 23 patients (16 LRR, 7 DM). The median time from LRR or DM to last follow‐up for the 18 patients who were still alive after salvage was 1.9 years (IQR, 0.4‐3.8; range, 7 days–6.2 years). Estimated cancer‐specific survival rates at 3 years following intent‐to‐cure treatment were 63% (95% CI, 39‐100; number still at risk, 5) in the LRR group and 100% (95% CI, 100‐100; number still at risk, 2) in the DM group.ConclusionOverall, LRR and DM for HPV‐positive OPSCC following transoral robotic surgery–based therapy are infrequent. In our subset of patients who underwent intent‐to‐cure treatment, cancer‐specific survival rates were favorable. Therefore, aggressive salvage treatment for LRR and DM for HPV‐positive OPSCC should be recommended for appropriate candidates.

516 Background: The impact of diabetes mellitus (DM) on outcomes in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is controversial. Herein, we evaluated the association of DM with survival among patients with RCC. Methods: We reviewed 2,589 patients treated with nephrectomy for sporadic, unilateral, M0 RCC between 1990 and 2008 and compared demographic and tumor characteristics in patients with and without DM (nonDM). Patients with DM (n=313) were matched 1:2 to nonDM patients according to date of surgery, age, smoking status, obesity, ECOG performance status (PS), CKD stage, histological subtype, and nuclear grade. Cancer-specific (CSS) and overall survival (OS) were compared by Kaplan-Meier analysis. The association of DM with outcomes was evaluated with Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: A total of 313 (12%) patients had DM. DM patients were significantly older at RCC diagnosis, more likely to be obese, and had higher Charlson scores, CKD class, rates of smoking, and worse PS at surgery (p<0.001). Patients with DM were also more likely to have ccRCC (83% vs. 76%, p=0.02) and to undergo nephron-sparing surgery (42% vs. 35%, p=0.01), while other pathologic features were similar in DM and nonDM. Among the 939 matched cases and controls, 463 patients died within a median of 5.5 years after nephrectomy. Median follow-up for survivors was 8.6 years. Five-year CSS was not significantly different among DM patients 84% vs. nonDM patients 87% (p=0.11), although 5-year OS was significantly worse among DM patients (66% vs. 75%; p<0.001). Indeed, even after adjusting for Charlson score, DM patients were noted to have a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.33; p=0.004). In a subanalysis of patients with clear cell RCC, DM patients were more likely to die from RCC compared with nonDM patients after adjusting for the SSIGN (Stage, Size, Grade, Necrosis) score (HR 1.44; p=0.034). Conclusions: In this surgical cohort, DM was independently associated with decreased CSS among patients with ccRCC and with decreased OS in all RCC subtypes. Further studies to determine the potential biologic mechanism for this interaction are warranted.

402 Background: The American Urological Association (AUA) and the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) are highly utilized sources for surveillance strategies following surgical treatment for renal cell carcinoma (RCC). However, the duration of follow-up may be inadequate to capture the majority of recurrences. Herein, we assess the ability of these guidelines to effectively capture recurrences of RCC following primary surgical resection. Methods: We reviewed our institutional database of 3,725 patients treated with radical or partial nephrectomy for M0 sporadic RCC between 1970-2008. For comparison to the AUA guidelines, patients were stratified into low risk following partial nephrectomy (LRp) or radical nephrectomy (LRr) = pT1N0, and moderate/high risk (M/HR) = pT2-4 N0-1. Guideline effectiveness was assessed by calculating the percentage of recurrences detected within the prescribed follow-up periods given for site-specific recurrence: AUA—LRp: 3yrs for all sites; LRr: 1yr for abdominal and 3yrs for chest/bone/other sites; M/HR: 5yrs for all sites; NCCN—6 months for abdominal/chest sites and 5yrs for bone/other sites. Results: Of the 3,725 patients, 2721 (73.1%) underwent radical nephrectomy, 2,210 (59.3%) were classified as pT1 NX-0 and 2,910 (78.1%) as clear cell RCC. Median postoperative follow-up was 8.9yrs (IQR 5.5-14.2) during which 1,114 (29.9%) patients developed recurrence. Of these recurrences, 760 (68.2%) would have been detected using the AUA guidelines and 432 (38.8%) by NCCN recommendations. Within AUA risk groups, 37.2% recurrences were captured in LRp, 31.4% in LRr and 80.2% in M/HR. Capture of 90% of recurrences in the abdomen and chest would require surveillance for 9yrs and 8 yrs, respectively in LRp, 15yrs and 12yrs in LRr and 11yrs and 10yrs in M/HR. Conclusions: Duration of follow-up recommended by current surveillance algorithms by the AUA and NCCN do not adequately capture many recurrences in RCC following radical or partial nephrectomy. Guidelines using risk stratification and site-specific recurrence parameters to assign length of surveillance may allow providers to better individualize surveillance regimens.

359 Background: Sarcomatoid renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is an aggressive form of RCC and is associated with a poor prognosis. Standard therapies tend to be less effective in this subset of patients. Methods: Using the Mayo Clinic Nephrectomy Registry, 206 patients with sarcomatoid RCC treated with partial or radical nephrectomy were identified. These patients were characterized based on extent of disease, treatment response and survival. Results: Of these 206, there was no evidence of distant metastases in 110 patients at the time of surgery and the estimated distant metastases-free survival at one year was 44%. The estimated cancer-specific survival rate at one and five years was 56% and 20%, respectively. Compared to patients with grade 4 RCC without sarcomatoid features, those with sarcomatoid RCC were more likely to develop distant metastases following surgery (hazard ratio 1.49). Considering those with metastatic sarcomatoid RCC, 96 patients had metastases at the time of surgery and 77 with no metastases at the time of surgery subsequently developed distant metastases (n=173). Of these, 156 died at a mean of 1.0 years from time of first evidence of distant metastases with a median cancer-specific survival of 0.6 years. Estimated cancer-specific survival rates from time of first metastases at one year and five years were 34% and 4%, respectively. The most common metastatic sites: lung (46%), bone (15%), liver (13%), non-regional lymph nodes (9%), and brain (5%). Patients who received targeted systemic therapy (10%) with either sunitinib (n=14), sorafenib (2) or pazopanib (1) for their first occurrence of distant metastases had an estimated cancer-specific survival rate at one year of 69%, compared to 30% for patients who did not. Median cancer-specific survival for those receiving targeted therapy as first-line was 2.2 years compared to 0.6 years for those patients who did not. Conclusions: Sarcomatoid RCC is an aggressive subtype of kidney cancer as evidenced by poor survival rates. The patients in this registry with metastatic sarcomatoid RCC who received targeted therapy as first-line treatment had improved cancer-specific survival rates.

494 Background: Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) with rhabdoid differentiation is thought to portend a poor prognosis, similar to RCC with sarcomatoid differentiation. Both rhabdoid and sarcomatoid differentiation are classified as grade 4 RCC based on the most recent International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) grading system. We sought to determine the prognostic value of rhabdoid differentiation in comparison to RCC with sarcomatoid differentiation, grade 4 RCC without rhabdoid or sarcomatoid differentiation, and grade 3 RCC. Methods: Using the Mayo Clinic Nephrectomy Registry, we identified 406 patients with ISUP grade 4 RCC and 1,758 patients with grade 3 RCC. A urologic pathologist reviewed all specimens to determine the presence of both rhabdoid and sarcomatoid differentiation. Associations of clinical and pathologic features with death from RCC were evaluated using Cox models. Results: Among the 406 grade 4 RCC tumors, 111 (27%) had rhabdoid differentiation and 189 (47%) had sarcomatoid differentiation, although only 28 (7%) demonstrated both rhabdoid and sarcomatoid differentiation. In multivariable analysis of grade 4 RCC tumors, the presence of rhabdoid differentiation was not associated with death from RCC (HR 0.95, p=0.75); in contrast, sarcomatoid differentiation was significantly associated with death from RCC (HR 1.63, p<0.001). Patients with RCC with rhabdoid differentiation were significantly more likely to die of RCC than patients with grade 3 RCC (HR 2.45, p<0.001) and grade 3 RCC with necrosis (HR 1.62; p<0.001). Conclusions: This study confirms that RCC with rhabdoid differentiation is appropriately classified as grade 4. However, unlike sarcomatoid differentiation, the presence of rhabdoid differentiation in grade 4 RCC is not associated with an increased risk of death from RCC. Therefore, rhabdoid and sarcomatoid differentiation should not be grouped together when assessing risk in a patient with grade 4 RCC.

420 Background: Cytoreductive nephrectomy (CN) has been associated with significant morbidity, but there is little data identifying patients at increased risk. We evaluated the association of clinicopathologic features with early post-operative complications and prolonged length of stay (pLOS) among CN patients. Methods: We identified 294 patients treated with radical nephrectomy for M1 renal cell carcinoma between 1990 and 2009 at the Mayo Clinic. All complications within 30 days of surgery were reported using standardized methodology according to the Clavien classification. Associations with the presence of any early complication and pLOS (defined as ≥8 days, the top 25th percentile) were evaluated using logistic regression models. Results: Thirty-five (12%) patients experienced at least one early complication and 15 (5%) patients experienced at least one Clavien grade ≥3 early complication. The median LOS was 6 days (IQR 5-7), and 68 (23%) patients had a pLOS. On univariate analysis, liver metastases, symptomatic presentation, intraoperative transfusion, and pathologic nodal stage were significantly associated with both early complications and pLOS (Table). Two multivariate models were constructed. In Model 1 (limited to pre-operative features), only liver metastases (p<0.01) were associated with early complications while liver metastases (p=0.01) and open approach (p=0.02) were associated with pLOS. In Model 2 (all variables included), liver metastases (p=0.01), intraoperative transfusion (p<0.01), and high nuclear grade (p<0.01) were associated with early complications while intraoperative transfusion (p<0.01) and positive nodes (p=0.05) were associated with pLOS. Conclusions: CN was associated with a low incidence of early post-operative complications, particularly Clavien ≥3 complications. Presence of liver metastases and intraoperative transfusion were independently associated with increased risk of both complications and pLOS. [Table: see text]