Brooks, Maria M.

SummaryObjectivePosttraumatic seizures (PTS) are well‐recognized acute and chronic complications of traumatic brain injury (TBI). Risk factors have been identified, but considerable variability in who develops PTS remains. Existing PTS prognostic models are not widely adopted for clinical use and do not reflect current trends in injury, diagnosis, or care. We aimed to develop and internally validate preliminary prognostic regression models to predict PTS during acute care hospitalization, and at year 1 and year 2 postinjury.MethodsPrognostic models predicting PTS during acute care hospitalization and year 1 and year 2 post‐injury were developed using a recent (2011–2014) cohort from the TBI Model Systems National Database. Potential PTS predictors were selected based on previous literature and biologic plausibility. Bivariable logistic regression identified variables with a p‐value < 0.20 that were used to fit initial prognostic models. Multivariable logistic regression modeling with backward‐stepwise elimination was used to determine reduced prognostic models and to internally validate using 1,000 bootstrap samples. Fit statistics were calculated, correcting for overfitting (optimism).ResultsThe prognostic models identified sex, craniotomy, contusion load, and pre‐injury limitation in learning/remembering/concentrating as significant PTS predictors during acute hospitalization. Significant predictors of PTS at year 1 were subdural hematoma (SDH), contusion load, craniotomy, craniectomy, seizure during acute hospitalization, duration of posttraumatic amnesia, preinjury mental health treatment/psychiatric hospitalization, and preinjury incarceration. Year 2 significant predictors were similar to those of year 1: SDH, intraparenchymal fragment, craniotomy, craniectomy, seizure during acute hospitalization, and preinjury incarceration. Corrected concordance (C) statistics were 0.599, 0.747, and 0.716 for acute hospitalization, year 1, and year 2 models, respectively.SignificanceThe prognostic model for PTS during acute hospitalization did not discriminate well. Year 1 and year 2 models showed fair to good predictive validity for PTS. Cranial surgery, although medically necessary, requires ongoing research regarding potential benefits of increased monitoring for signs of epileptogenesis, PTS prophylaxis, and/or rehabilitation/social support. Future studies should externally validate models and determine clinical utility.

OBJECTIVEThe Bypass Angioplasty Revascularization Investigation 2 Diabetes (BARI 2D) trial demonstrated similar long-term clinical effectiveness of insulin-sensitizing (IS) versus insulin-providing (IP) treatments for type 2 diabetes on cardiovascular outcomes in a cohort with documented coronary artery disease. We evaluated the effects of randomized glycemic control strategy (IS vs. IP) on the prevalence and incidence of diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN).RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODSDPN (defined as Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument [MNSI] clinical examination score &gt;2) was assessed at baseline and yearly for 4 years. DPN prevalence and incidence were compared by intention-to-treat modeling by logistic generalized estimating equation models for prevalence and Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox regression models for incidence rates.RESULTSResults are reported for 2,159 BARI 2D participants (70% males) with valid baseline and at least one follow-up MNSI score (mean age 62 ± 9 years, mean HbA1c 7.7 ± 1.6%, diabetes duration 10 ± 9 years). There were no differences in the prevalence of DPN between the IS and the IP groups throughout the 4 years of follow-up. In 1,075 BARI 2D participants with no DPN at baseline, the 4-year cumulative incidence rate of DPN was significantly lower in the IS (66%) than in the IP (72%) strategy group (P = 0.02), which remained significant after adjusting for the in-trial HbA1c (P = 0.04). In subgroup analyses, IS strategy had a greater benefit in men (hazard ratio 0.75 [99% CI 0.58–0.99], P &lt; 0.01).CONCLUSIONSAmong patients with type 2 diabetes followed for up to 4 years during BARI 2D, a glycemic control therapy with IS significantly reduced the incidence of DPN compared with IP therapy and may add further benefit for men.

Background— The Bypass Angioplasty Revascularization Investigation 2 Diabetes (BARI 2D) trial assigned patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus to prompt coronary revascularization plus intensive medical therapy versus intensive medical therapy alone and reported no significant difference in mortality. Among patients selected for coronary artery bypass graft surgery, prompt coronary revascularization was associated with a significant reduction in death/myocardial infarction/stroke compared with intensive medical therapy. We hypothesized that clinical and angiographic risk stratification would affect the effectiveness of the treatments overall and within revascularization strata. Methods and Results— An angiographic risk score was developed from variables assessed at randomization; independent prognostic factors were myocardial jeopardy index, total number of coronary lesions, prior coronary revascularization, and left ventricular ejection fraction. The Framingham Risk Score for patients with coronary disease was used to summarize clinical risk. Cardiovascular event rates were compared by assigned treatment within high-risk and low-risk subgroups. Overall, no outcome differences between the intensive medical therapy and prompt coronary revascularization groups were seen in any risk stratum. The 5-year risk of death/myocardial infarction/stroke was 36.8% for intensive medical therapy compared with 24.8% for prompt coronary revascularization among the 381 coronary artery bypass graft surgery–selected patients in the highest angiographic risk tertile ( P =0.005); this treatment effect was amplified in patients with both high angiographic and high Framingham risk (47.3% intensive medical therapy versus 27.1% prompt coronary revascularization; P =0.010; hazard ratio=2.10; P =0.009). Treatment group differences were not significant in other clinical-angiographic risk groups within the coronary artery bypass graft surgery stratum, or in any subgroups within the percutaneous coronary intervention stratum. Conclusion— Among patients with diabetes mellitus and stable ischemic heart disease, a strategy of prompt coronary artery bypass graft surgery significantly reduces the rate of death/myocardial infarction MI/stroke in those with extensive coronary artery disease or impaired left ventricular function. Clinical Trial Registration— URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT00006305.

Background —The Bypass Angioplasty Revascularization Investigation (BARI) included 4039 patients with multivessel coronary artery disease; 1829 consented to randomization, and 2010 did not but were followed up in a registry. Thus, we can evaluate the outcome of physician-guided versus random assignment of percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) versus coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG). Methods and Results —We compared the baseline features and outcomes for PTCA and CABG in the overall registry and its predesignated subgroups. We assessed the impact of treatment by choice versus random assignment by comparing the results in the registry with those of the randomized trial. Statistical adjustments for differences in baseline characteristics were made. Within the registry, nearly twice as many patients were selected for PTCA (1189) as CABG (625); mortality at 7 years was similar for PTCA (13.9%) and CABG (14.2%) ( P =0.66) before and after adjustment for baseline differences between patients selected for PTCA versus CABG (adjusted RR, 1.02; P =0.86). In contrast to the randomized trial, the 7-year mortality rate of treated diabetics in the registry was equally high (26%) with PTCA or CABG. Seven-year mortality was higher for patients undergoing PTCA in the randomized trial than in the registry (19.1% versus 13.9%, P <0.01) but not for those undergoing CABG (15.6% versus 14.2%, P =0.57). The adjusted relative mortality risk for PTCA in the randomized versus registry population was 1.17 ( P =0.16). Conclusions —BARI physicians were able to select PTCA rather than CABG for 65% of registry patients who underwent revascularization without compromising long-term survival either in the overall population or in treated diabetics.

Background —The impact of percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) and coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) on long-term mortality rates in the presence of various demographic, clinical, and angiographic factors is uncertain in the population of patients suitable for both procedures. Methods and Results —In the Bypass Angioplasty Revascularization Investigation (BARI) randomized trial and registry, 3610 patients who were eligible to receive PTCA and CABG were revascularized between 1989 and 1992. Multivariate Cox models were used to identify factors associated with 5-year mortality and cardiac mortality, with particular attention to factors that interact with treatment. Diabetic patients receiving insulin had higher mortality and cardiac mortality rates with PTCA compared with CABG (relative risk [RR] 1.78 and 2.63, respectively, P <0.001), and patients with ST elevation had higher cardiac mortality rates with CABG than with PTCA (RR 4.08, P <0.001). Factors most strongly associated with high overall mortality rates were insulin-treated diabetes, congestive heart failure, kidney failure, and older age. Black race was also associated with higher mortality rates (RR 1.49, P =0.019). Conclusions —A set of variables was identified that could be used to help select a revascularization procedure and to evaluate risk of long-term mortality in the population of patients considering revascularization.

Background —Numerous studies have shown that women undergoing coronary revascularization procedures do so at a higher risk for an adverse outcome compared with men. However, the impact of advances in technology and improvements in techniques on in-hospital and long-term outcome after revascularization in women is unclear. Methods and Results —We evaluated 1829 patients with symptomatic multivessel coronary disease randomized to CABG or PTCA in the Bypass Angioplasty Revascularization Investigation (BARI), of whom 27% were women. As expected, women were older (64.0 versus 60.5 years), with more congestive heart failure (14% versus 7%), hypertension (68% versus 42%), treated diabetes mellitus (31% versus 15%), and unstable angina (67% versus 61%) than men but had similar preservation of left ventricular function and extent of multivessel disease. Women assigned to surgery received the same number of total grafts but fewer internal mammary artery grafts (72% versus 85%, P <0.01), and those assigned to angioplasty had more intended lesions (76% versus 71%, P <0.01) successfully dilated than men. At an average of 5.4 years’ follow-up, crude mortality rates were similar in women (12.8%) and men (12.0%). The Cox regression model adjusting for baseline differences revealed that women had a significantly lower risk of death (relative risk, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.84; P =0.003) but not a significantly lower risk of death plus myocardial infarction (relative risk, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.66 to 1.07; P =0.16) than men. Conclusions —Although the unadjusted mortality rate suggests that women and men undergoing CABG and PTCA have a similar 5-year mortality, women have higher risk profiles; consequently, contrary to previous reports, female sex is an independent predictor of improved 5-year survival after we control for multiple risk factors.

Background —Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is a recognized determinant of survival in patients with coronary artery disease. In major trials comparing surgical and percutaneous revascularization approaches, the long-term effect of the coronary revascularization strategy on LVEF has not been reported. Methods and Results —In the NHLBI-sponsored Bypass and Angioplasty Revascularization Investigation (BARI) randomized trial comparing angioplasty and bypass surgery as initial treatment strategies, 1220 (75%) of the 1617 surviving randomized patients had their EF measured by radionuclide ventriculography 5 years after study entry. For the total study group, the 5-year EF in the CABG group (n=623) was 55.8±12.3, compared with 55.7±12.7 in PTCA group (n=597, P =0.82). There was no significant difference in measured EF between the CABG group and the PTCA group within multiple subgroups determined by the presence or absence of diabetes, 3-vessel disease, complete revascularization, or prior myocardial infarction. In a multiple linear regression model developed to predict 5-year EF, treatment assignment to PTCA or CABG was not significant ( P =0.95). If an EF of 0 was imputed for patients who were dead and missing EF data, however, there was a higher EF in the CABG group ( P =0.0018) among diabetic patients only. Conclusions —In the BARI randomized trial, initial treatment assignment to angioplasty was not associated with any difference in long-term ventricular function compared with initial treatment assignment to surgery. These results apply, however, only to patients who were alive at 5 years.

Background —Patients with treated diabetes in the randomized-trial segment of the Bypass Angioplasty Revascularization Investigation (BARI) who were randomized to initial revascularization with PTCA had significantly worse 5-year survival than patients assigned to CABG. This treatment difference was not seen among diabetic patients eligible for BARI who opted to select their mode of revascularization. We hypothesized that differences in patient characteristics, assessed and unmeasured, together with the treatment selection in the registry, at least partially account for this discrepancy. Methods and Results —Among diabetics taking insulin or oral hypoglycemic drugs at entry, angiographic and clinical presentations were comparable between randomized and registry patients. However, more registry patients were white, and registry diabetics tended to be more educated and more physically active and to report better quality of life. Procedural characteristics and in-hospital complications were comparable. The 5-year all-cause mortality rate was 34.5% in randomized diabetic patients assigned to PTCA versus 19.4% in CABG patients ( P =0.0024; relative risk [RR]=1.87); corresponding cardiac mortality rates were 23.4% and 8.2%, respectively ( P =0.0002; RR=3.10). The CABG benefit was more apparent among patients requiring insulin. In the registry, all-cause mortality was 14.4% for PTCA versus 14.9% for CABG ( P =0.86, RR=1.10), with corresponding cardiac mortality rates of 7.5% and 6.0%, respectively ( P =0.73; RR=1.07). These RRs in the registry increased to 1.29 and 1.41, respectively, after adjustment for all known differences between treatment groups. Conclusions —BARI registry results are not inconsistent with the finding in the randomized trial that initial CABG is associated with better long-term survival than PTCA in treated diabetic patients with multivessel coronary disease suitable for either surgical or catheter-based revascularization.